What public figures publish and believe, in their own words.
About this feed
Highlights: posts that did unusually well for the person who wrote them, everything they published at length, each release and new project, and every belief — at most two a day from anyone. Day by day, newest day first; within a day, the people with the most beliefs on this site come first. Nothing else orders it. Show everything instead.
The quoted blocks are what people actually said; a beneath one is the belief those words support, in korrents' wording. Nobody here wrote their own page.
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28 May 2024
25 May 2024
From one piece Charan Ranganath: Human Memory, Imagination, Deja Vu, and False Memories | Lex Fridman Podcast #430 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
You only retain what you were pushed to your limit on: if learning feels like coasting, you are not learning.Their words
So that’s why I think this is a thing that I come back to over and over again, is that you will retain information better if you’re constantly pushing yourself to your limit. If you are feeling like you’re coasting, then you’re actually not learning
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Their words
So if you remember this information in different times in different places, it’s more accessible at different times in different places because it’s not overfitted in an AI way of thinking about things. It’s not overfitted to one particular context. But that’s also why the memories that we call upon the most also feel like they’re just things that we read about almost.
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Their words
if I just try to do half-an-hour and then later in the day I do half-an-hour, I won’t retain that information as long as if I do half-an-hour today and half-an-hour one week from now. So doing that extra spacing should help me retain the information better.
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Their words
is this idea that we form these internal models at particular points of high prediction error or points of, I believe also points of uncertainty, points of surprise or motivationally significant periods. And those points are when it’s maximally optimal to encode an episodic memory.
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Their words
What I say in the book is is that you don’t want to remember more, you want to remember better, which means focusing on the things that are important. That’s what our brains are designed to do.
24 May 2024
23 May 2024
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Likedtheir ownrcmnd.app
Decent DE1Their words
In the early days, the DE1 was considered "unforgiving" by many. I didn't mind, as the DE1's ability to control shot parameters more than made up for its early challenges.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Niche ZeroTheir words
High quality, budget grinders were rare at the time. The Niche Zero and other new grinders changed that, and helped make it easier to pull good shots.
21 May 2024
From one piece Stripe's monorepo developer environment 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Per-engineer productivity inevitably declines somewhat as an organization and its codebase growTheir words
It is almost inevitable that per-engineer productivity drops to some extent as an organization and codebase grows, even though it's also nearly-impossible to quantify that effect.
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korrents.com
Rapidly growing organizations need a developer environment that works well out of the box for new engineersTheir words
In a rapidly growing organization, it's much more important to have a developer environment that "just works" out of the gate, with minimal setup pain for new engineers.
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korrents.com
Reliable, stable developer tooling matters more than which specific technical choices a team makesTheir words
The best tooling in the world will struggle to make up for "regularly losing a day debugging your environment," and so getting that aspect right can easily outweigh almost any other decisions you make.
From one piece On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkers 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A huge fleet collecting driving data is not a silver bullet for self-driving, because the data arrives unlabelled.Their words
But while access to more data is certainly helpful, it’s not a magic bullet. One issue is that the data Tesla collects is unlabeled.
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Their words
So Tesla hasn’t found a different, better way to bring driverless technology to market. Waymo is just so far ahead that it’s dealing with challenges Tesla hasn’t started thinking about.
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Their words
If Waymo vehicles were constantly asking for remote guidance, Waymo might need to hire so many remote operators that it negates the cost savings that come from not needing a driver.
From one piece What therapist experience, a nickel, and cup of coffee have in common 2 beliefs · writings.scottdmiller.com
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Their words
It's time for the field to stop attributing benefits to clinical experience. Beyond the obvious ethical concerns, doing so actually prevents us from improving our effectiveness!
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Their words
Indeed, as I've reported in previous posts, research not only shows therapists do not improve with time and experience in the field, but on average become less effective (1, 2, 3, 4).
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Brave New WordsTheir words
I recently read a terrific book on this topic called Brave New Words.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
How to Know a PersonTheir words
It's a must-read for anyone looking to deepen their relationships and broaden their perspectives—and I believe it has the power to make us better friends, colleagues, and citizens.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Infectious GenerosityTheir words
If you want to help create a more generous world but don’t know where to start, Infectious Generosity is the book for you.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The WomenTheir words
This terrific novel tells the story of Frankie McGrath, an army nurse who serves two tours on the frontlines in Vietnam before returning home to a country rocked by protest and anti-war sentiment.
20 May 2024
19 May 2024
From one piece Group chats rule the world 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It is impossible to add new members forever without decreasing quality.
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korrents.com
Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion.Their words
Time and time again I've seen group chat conversations act as the memetic upstream of mainstream opinion.
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korrents.com
Private group chats have become the primary venue for the most interesting conversations in tech.Their words
Most of the interesting conversations in tech now happen in private group chats: Whatsapp, Telegram, Signal, small invite-only Discord groups.
18 May 2024
16 May 2024
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Their words
People are overreacting to the Remix React Router merge.
From one piece The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Life 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
in relation to devices we tend to be relegated to the status of a user, who may more often than not be the one being used
The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Lifetheconvivialsociety.substack.com
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korrents.com
A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none.Their words
A good life is supported by a diverse array of focal things and practices, which tend to reward us with deeper, more meaningful experiences; a gratifying measure of bodily skill and competence; and possibly even a stronger fabric of relationships.
The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Lifetheconvivialsociety.substack.com
15 May 2024
14 May 2024
13 May 2024
From one piece The Evolving Landscape of LLM Evaluation 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
GPT models perform much better on coding problems released before their pre-training data cut-off.
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Their words
The time when benchmarks lasted multiple decades has passed. Going forward, we will rely less on public benchmark results.
From one piece AI Drugs So Far 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic.Their words
For now, I am not convinced that issuing press releases about your compounds that talk about their discovery through AI techniques is sufficient to expect greater things from them.
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korrents.com
The drugs advertised as having AI-discovered targets are aimed at targets people already knew about.Their words
What you will see is that in almost every case, these targets were already known to be implicated in the disease under investigation.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Sense of StyleTheir words
Steven Pinker goes deep, showing how understanding the science of memory, social understanding, and syntactic structure can really pay off in making one a better writer.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Writing WorkshopTheir words
I highly recommend this for graduate students and postdocs, but it’s useful for the rest of us as well.
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Likedrcmnd.app
On WritingTheir words
But Stephen King has good war stories, and his book really is bullshit-free.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Clear and Simple as the TruthTheir words
When I’m stuck and hate myself and my work, I pick up Francis-Noël Thomas and Mark Tuner’s short and wonderful book
12 May 2024
11 May 2024
10 May 2024
9 May 2024
From one piece How to Conquer Your Biggest Fear 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A person's identity is essentially the sum of their accumulated associations and repeated habits.Their words
Take the sum total of those associations and you get a person's identity.
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korrents.com
The human mind functions as an association-forming machine, linking past experiences to present beliefs.Their words
Exposure therapy works because the human mind is an association machine.
8 May 2024
From one piece How to Play a Game 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Games are AI’s natural habitat.
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korrents.com
A strategy does not play a game; playing requires something that can see the game and choose to enter it.Their words
It doesn’t make sense to say that a strategy plays a game.
From one piece It shouldn't be easy to buy synthetic DNA fragments to recreate the 1918 flu virus 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That makes it essential to ensure that all synthetic DNA orders are screened to determine whether they contain hazardous sequences, which should be shipped only to legitimate researchers whose work has been approved by a biosafety authority.
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Their words
Both the genome sequences of pandemic viruses and step-by-step protocols to make infectious samples from synthetic DNA are now freely available online.
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Their words
It should be hard — exceedingly hard — to obtain the synthetic DNA needed to recreate the virus that caused the deadly 1918 influenza pandemic without authorization. But my lab found that it’s surprisingly easy, even when ordering gene fragments from companies that check customers’ orders to detect hazardous sequences.
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Their words
Our experiment demonstrates that the immense potential benefits of biotechnology are profoundly vulnerable to misuse.
7 May 2024
From one piece The case for ensuring that powerful AIs are controlled 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
AI control (with only black-box techniques) seems like a fundamentally limited approach.
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Their words
Because evaluating control just requires evaluating capabilities, it's far easier to robustly evaluate than alignment.
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Their words
So when evaluating control, we should count catching an AI red-handed as a win condition.
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Their words
We think no fundamental research breakthroughs are required for labs to implement safety measures that meet our standard for AI control for early transformatively useful AIs; we think that meeting our standard would substantially reduce the risks posed by intentional subversion.
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Their words
That is, labs should make sure that the safety measures they apply to their powerful models prevent unacceptably bad outcomes, even if the AIs are misaligned and intentionally try to subvert those safety measures.
5 May 2024
3 May 2024
From one piece How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fab 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But as fab costs increased, it became more and more burdensome for manufacturers to operate cutting edge manufacturing facilities due to the high costs, and fewer manufacturers had the production volume to spread those costs over.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
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korrents.com
Fabs take roughly a third longer to build in the United States than in Asia, largely because of environmental review.Their words
Fab construction time in the US has increased from just over 650 days on average in the 1990s to over 900 days on average in the 2010s, compared to around 600-700 days in Asian countries, in part because of increasingly stringent environmental review processes.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
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korrents.com
Lithography machines alone cost about as much as the entire building put up to house them.Their words
The cost of lithography machines is often estimated as 20% of the cost of a new fab, which means that lithography tools can cost as much as the entire fab facility itself.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
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korrents.com
Every new process node makes a fab about 30 per cent more expensive to build than the one before it.Their words
For modern semiconductor fabs, each new process node increases fab cost by about 30%.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
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Their words
Roughly 70-80% of the cost of a new fab will be the process tools that go in it.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
1 May 2024
From one piece We can have a different web 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Most of us spend our days within the confines of a handful of platforms, wandering around to admire what people have done with the seeds they are allowed in the space they are allotted, with platform owners directing us to the gardens they think we might like — or, more often, the ones they think will keep us within their walls for longer.
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Their words
The thing is: none of this is gone. Nothing about the web has changed that prevents us from going back.
30 April 2024
From one piece How I Think About Debt 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The real price of debt is paid in options and flexibility, which is the asset that matters most.Their words
you start to see it as a constraint on the asset that matters most: having options and flexibility
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korrents.com
Debt is best understood as narrowing the range of outcomes you can survive, not as a cost of capital.Their words
I think this is the most practical way to think about debt: As debt increases, you narrow the range of outcomes you can endure in life.
29 April 2024
25 April 2024
From one piece Speech on Europe, Sorbonne, 25 April 2024 (Elysee English transcript) 3 beliefs · elysee.fr
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Their words
We cannot sustain the most stringent environmental and social norms, invest less than our competitors, have a more naive trade policy than them and think that we will continue to generate jobs. This no longer holds together.
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Their words
And so yes, the era when Europe bought its energy and fertilizers from Russia, had its goods manufactured in China, and delegated its security to the United States of America, is over.
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korrents.com
Europe is mortal — it can die, and whether it does depends entirely on choices Europeans make now.Their words
My message today is simple. Paul Valéry said, at the end of the First World War, that we now know that our civilizations are mortal. We must be clear on the fact that our Europe, today, is mortal. It can die. It can die, and that depends entirely on our choices. But these choices must be made now.
22 April 2024
From one piece Sean Carroll: General Relativity, Quantum Mechanics, Black Holes & Aliens | Lex Fridman Podcast #428 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That is absolutely possible. I’m actually putting less credence on that one just because you need to happen every single time. If even one, I mean, this goes back to John von Neumann pointed out that you don’t need to send the aliens around the galaxy. You can build self-reproducing probes and send them around the galaxy.
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korrents.com
The simplest explanation for why we have never noticed an alien civilization is that there are none out there.Their words
But I think your intuition is right that it would’ve been easy for there to be lots of civilizations then we would’ve noticed them already and we haven’t. Absolutely the simplest explanation for why we haven’t is that they’re not there.
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Their words
Sometimes people think that complexity or life or whatever is fighting against the second law of thermodynamics, fighting against the increase of entropy. That is precisely the wrong way to think about it. We are surfers riding the wave of increasing entropy. We rely on increasing entropy to survive.
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Their words
Remember space and time are parts of one unified space-time, the location of the singularity in the black hole is not the middle of space, but our future. It is a moment of time. It is like a big crunch.
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Their words
I think that that story about the latter part is completely wrong, almost 180 degrees wrong. I think that Einstein understood quantum mechanics as well as anyone, at least up through the 1930s. I think that his philosophical objections to it are correct. He should actually have been taken much more seriously about that.
20 April 2024
19 April 2024
From one piece Copyleft licenses are not “restrictive” 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
No free or open source licence may restrict what the software is used for, however objectionable the use.Their words
No such restrictions are found in free or open source software licenses, be they permissive or copyleft – all FOSS licenses permit the use of the software for any purpose without restriction.
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Their words
Copyleft does not impose restrictions, but it does impose obligations. The obligations exist to guarantee rights to the users of the software – in other words, to ensure freedoms.
18 April 2024
From one piece How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordable 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Deleting the UPSs could knock off ~$750/kW after considering equipment, installation, and square footage reduction.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
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Their words
Installed generators cost ~$800/kW, and the data center capital cost, including servers, is ~$40,000/kW, so adding 1% more makeup compute capacity is money ahead of purchasing generators.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
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Their words
The optimal scenario is typically when the generators supply 1% of yearly electricity (shown below).
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
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korrents.com
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.Their words
The solar array sizes under these assumptions are prohibitively large.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
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korrents.com
Air cooling has run out of headroom for AI racks, so liquid cooling is now a requirement rather than an upgrade.Their words
AI servers bring new challenges because many require liquid cooling.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
17 April 2024
From one piece Measuring personal growth 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Under uncertainty, the best decision is the one that preserves the most future options.Their words
In the face of uncertainty, I lean towards the decision that would give me the most future options.
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korrents.com
Growing older tends to expand rather than shrink the number of achievable dreams and options.Their words
As I grow older, I have more dreams. I now know many things that I didn't know before, and I have access to more resources than I ever did.
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Their words
I have this theory that life has a circadian rhythm. Every 3-6 years, you become a different person.
15 April 2024
From one piece Command R+ 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I'm excited about what this means for the open-source community and research, with the gap between closed-source and open-weight models closing and SOTA-level conversational models being more easily accessible.
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korrents.com
Retrieval-augmented generation is the most practical approach for reducing LLM hallucinations.Their words
Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG; Lewis et al., 2020), which conditions on the LLM's generation on retrieved documents is the most practical paradigm IMO.
14 April 2024
13 April 2024
12 April 2024
From one piece Diffusion Models for Video Generation 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
High-quality video data, especially paired with text, is harder to collect at scale than image or text data.Their words
In comparison to text or images, it is more difficult to collect large amounts of high-quality, high-dimensional video data, let along text-video pairs.
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Their words
It has extra requirements on temporal consistency across frames in time, which naturally demands more world knowledge to be encoded into the model.
11 April 2024
10 April 2024
9 April 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Idea FarmTheir words
He is also the proprietor of The Idea Farm, one of the best free investment research products in the world with over 100,000 subscribers.
8 April 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Idea of the Brain: The Past and Future of NeuroscienceTheir words
This is a great book for anyone interested in learning about neuroscience—and I’d recommend it as well for many of my more neuro-crazed psychology professor colleagues.
7 April 2024
From one piece Lucky vs. Repeatable 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Market history teaches why things behave as they do, never what happens next, because the details never repeat.Their words
you want to learn the big lessons about why things behave the way they do without assuming the past is a direct guide to the future, because it’s not – most of the details are not repeatable
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korrents.com
When learning from someone successful, copy only what is repeatable; the rest of their success cannot be reproduced.Their words
It’s so important to know the difference between the two when attempting to learn from someone. You want to try to emulate skills that are repeatable.
6 April 2024
5 April 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
Between Us: How Cultures Create EmotionsTheir words
Cultural psychology, studying emotions through the lens of culture. Your emotions are created by your culture. You should not be too sure that you share the emotional experiences of individuals from other cultures. Culture and emotion make each other up. Great insights!
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Everybody WritesTheir words
EVERYBODY WRITES 2nd Edition now available!
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Total AnnarchyTheir words
Join 61,199 others who get insights and inspiration on marketing, writing, and life (plus high-spirited shenanigans).
4 April 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Muji pensTheir words
It was around this time, in the summer of 2021, that I discovered the Muji pens. I discovered them as every minimalism fetishist discovers them perhaps.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Papermate InkJoyTheir words
My favorite pens at the time were the Papermate InkJoy and the Tül pens I had stolen from lab before departing for my MFA in Iowa City.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Tül pensTheir words
My favorite pens at the time were the Papermate InkJoy and the Tül pens I had stolen from lab before departing for my MFA in Iowa City.
+ 1 more
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Pentel Energel LRN5Their words
The Pentel Energel LRN5 or LR7. You can also use the refills from Papermate Ink Joy and the Tül refills.
From one piece The Data Center is the New Compute Unit: Nvidia's Vision for System-Level Scaling 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The copper backplane in the data center rack is effectively the new advanced packaging in the system-level Moore’s Law race.
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korrents.com
Moore's Law is a fractal: the same squeeze that shrank the transistor is now being applied to the rack.Their words
Moore’s Law is a fractal, and the principles that apply to nanometers apply to racks.
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korrents.com
Air cooling has run out of headroom for AI racks, so liquid cooling is now a requirement rather than an upgrade.Their words
The critical change that makes this all possible is liquid cooling.
2 April 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Little House on the PrairieTheir words
There are children's books that have summoned this energy for us—Torbjørn Egner, The Little House on the Prairie, Harry Potter—but generally speaking, children's books are a drag.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Harry PotterTheir words
There are children's books that have summoned this energy for us—Torbjørn Egner, The Little House on the Prairie, Harry Potter—but generally speaking, children's books are a drag.
From one piece Timeline of the xz open source attack 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The xz backdoor falls short of a Ken Thompson-style 'trusting trust' compromise, but comes a step closer to one.Their words
We're not at trusting trust levels yet, but it would be one step closer.
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Their words
It marks a watershed moment in open source supply chain security, for better or worse.
1 April 2024
From one piece You Are All On The Hobbyists Maintainers’ Turf Now 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
This is not the same world that you were part of. The complexity is off the chart; we are hidden layers and layers under the scaffolding. And we are used everywhere.
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Their words
If your plans for open-source sustainability or security do not align first and foremost with this population it is not going to achieve anything.
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Their words
It means that anything you offer must fit in 1h per month. That is it. And if it does not, if it needs more involvement than that, we, as maintainers, will not do it. At all.
31 March 2024
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Usesrcmnd.app
TodoistTheir words
My daily todo application is Todoist. I use Notion as a work journal to keep track of the progress of every-day tasks.
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Usesrcmnd.app
AlfredTheir words
I use Alfred to quick access and control apps, manage entries in my clipboard and automate tasks.
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Usesrcmnd.app
NetlifyTheir words
I deploy quite a few sites to Netlify.
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Usestheir ownrcmnd.app
Netlify menubarTheir words
To keep track of ongoing builds, I use my self-written tool, Netlify menubar. Netlify menubar lets you access build status right in your menubar.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Rocket EmojiTheir words
To quickly type emojis, I use Rocket Emoji. It is so good to access emojis promptly.
29 March 2024
26 March 2024
From one piece Seth Godin: "Failure is Learning on Your Way to Mastery" and Other Advice for Creativity (The Knowledge Project #105, published 23 February 2021) 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Employees don't want what you want. Customers don't want what you want. Uh you know, that that one of the challenges of the whole stock option thing is entrepreneurs and founders think that other people will be as motivated by owning part of the company as they are. They are not. Not even close.
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Their words
the way to be on the hook is to say, "This is only for people who are like this." Because if those people hate it, then you were wrong. Whereas if you say, "This is for everyone," you're allowed to hide behind, "Well, everyone hasn't found it yet."
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korrents.com
Even the most commercially successful books are written for a very small group of people rather than for everyone.Their words
Uh Harry Potter, the most successful uh book franchise in history, it made the author over a billion dollars. That book is for almost no one. Right? That book is for precocious 12-year-olds and people who like to remember what was like to be a precocious 12-year-old. That's not everyone. That's a very small group of people.
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Their words
nobody has everyone as their customer. Nobody. Maybe the water company, but that's about it. Our goal cannot be to be for everyone. That we have to be for someone. The smallest viable audience, not the biggest possible audience.
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Their words
The internet is a micro medium. It is the best medium ever developed to reach specific people, but it is terrible at reaching everyone. There is no homepage. It is impossible to reach a hundred million people in one day on the internet, which is something TV used to do every night.
25 March 2024
From one piece Preventing a “Space Pearl Harbor”: Rep. Turner leads the charge 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Satellites need self-defence zones: a keep-out rule around them is the only workable arms control in orbit.Their words
We accordingly proposed a framework of self-defense zones to “facilitate unilateral defense against a surprise attack on satellites.”
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Their words
This raises public concerns that, at this late date, DoD might not have such a specification, whether classified or unclassified, even for its own internal use.
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Their words
Based on public commercial data that tells a lot about the military potential of these dual-use robotic spacecraft, we have shown that China can manufacture and deploy 200 such spacecraft as early as 2026, enough to cripple critical US satellites in geosynchronous, highly elliptical, and other orbits, and thus severely degrading space support to wartime operations.
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korrents.com
Dual-use robotic servicing spacecraft, not missiles or lasers, will be the anti-satellite weapon of choice.Their words
Dual-use robotic spacecraft will soon become the anti-satellite weapon of choice for mounting this attack.
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Their words
If a Chinese spacecraft can dock with a friendly satellite to refuel, repair, or transport it, the same robotic arm can also disable a US satellite’s solar panels and antennas. Alternatively, China can use these spacecraft to tow satellites into locations where they can, at best, only sub-optimally perform intended duties such as early warning, surveillance, or geolocation.
24 March 2024
22 March 2024
From one piece Annie Jacobsen: Nuclear War, CIA, KGB, Aliens, Area 51, Roswell & Secrecy | Lex Fridman Podcast #420 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
First of all, we have 44 interceptor missiles total, period, full stop. Let me repeat, 44. Earlier we were talking about Russia’s 1,670 deployed nuclear weapons. How are those 44 interceptor missiles going to work? And they also have a success rate of around 50%. So they work 50% of the time.
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Their words
So, in addition to the Launch on Warning concept, there’s this other insane concept called Sole Presidential Authority. And you might think, in a democracy that’s impossible, right? You can’t just start a war. Well, you can just start a nuclear war if you are the commander in chief, the President of the United States. In fact, you’re the only one who can do that.
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Their words
Because we have that policy, Launch on Warning, which is exactly like it says. It means the United States will not wait to absorb a nuclear attack. It will launch nuclear weapons in response before the bomb actually hits.
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Their words
First millions, then tens of millions, then hundreds of millions of people will die in the first 72 minutes of a nuclear war. And then, comes nuclear winter where the billions happen from starvation.
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Their words
I’m coming back at you with a very dark answer and a very big number. And that number is 5 billion people.
From one piece Redis Renamed to Redict 2 beliefs · andrewkelley.me
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Their words
In short summary, the licenses limit the freedoms of what one can do with the software in order for Redis Labs to be solely enriched, while asking for volunteer labor, and having already
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korrents.com
Handing stewardship of Redis to a company whose goal is extracting profit was a mistake for the projectTheir words
I think that was an unfortunate move because their goal is mainly to extract profit from the software project rather than to uphold the ideals of Free and Open Source Software.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
RedictTheir words
In other words, Redict is the true spiritual successor to what was once Redis.
21 March 2024
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
La Sportiva MutantTheir words
The La Sportiva Mutant (men's, women's) is my overall pick for backpacking and light canyoneering, and my personal favorite.
19 March 2024
18 March 2024
From one piece Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #419 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I kind of hate ads just as an aesthetic choice. I think ads needed to happen on the internet for a bunch of reasons, to get it going, but it’s a momentary industry. The world is richer now. I like that people pay for ChatGPT and know that the answers they’re getting are not influenced by advertisers.
-
Their words
So part of the reason that we deploy the way we do, we call it iterative deployment, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT-5, we decided to talk about GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. And part of the reason there is I think AI and surprise don’t go together. And also the world, people, institutions, whatever you want to call it, need time to adapt and think about these things.
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Their words
The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do on over one time horizon. So if you think of all of the five-second tasks in the economy, five minute tasks, the five-hour tasks, maybe even the five-day tasks, how many of those can AI do?
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Their words
But compute is different. Intelligence is going to be more like energy or something like that, where the only thing that I think makes sense to talk about is, at price X, the world will use this much compute, and at price Y, the world will use this much compute.
-
Their words
Look, I think compute is going to be the currency of the future. I think it will be maybe the most precious commodity in the world, and I think we should be investing heavily to make a lot more compute.
17 March 2024
16 March 2024
14 March 2024
From one piece What I learned from looking at 900 most popular open source AI tools 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Several people have speculated that we'll see many very valuable one-person companies (see Sam Altman's interview and Reddit discussion). I think they might be right.
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korrents.com
The lower a layer sits in the software stack, the harder it is for an individual developer to build in it.Their words
the lower we go in the stack, the harder it is for individuals to build.
13 March 2024
From one piece Raising Agricultural Yields Spares Land 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The case for raising yields, especially among smallholders, is humanitarian as much as environmental.Their words
What this also tells us is that, at the end of the day, the argument for boosting yields—especially among smallholder farmers—is not just environmental: it is humanitarian.
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korrents.com
Making American farms more productive shrinks cropland in the rest of the world by more than it adds at home.Their words
Nelson Villoria estimates that for every 1% gain in Total Factor Productivity (inputs required per unit of output) in the US, croplands in the rest of the world shrink by 0.7%.
-
Their words
Claims to the contrary could lead to a misallocation of investments and, consequently, worse environmental (and social) outcomes.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
The claim that higher yields backfire and end up increasing farmland is much weaker than the literature assumes.Their words
In sum, land sparing is common at the local level and the norm at the global scale, in contrast to recent appeals to Jevons' paradox.
-
Their words
Without yield improvements, therefore, we would have seen more than double the cropland expansion.
12 March 2024
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Usesrcmnd.app
Lume Cube EdgeTheir words
I ended up sticking with this as part of my more sophisticated light setup
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Dream Studio courseTheir words
I took the Dream Studio course
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Likedrcmnd.app
Canon EOS M50 Mark IITheir words
Camera: Canon EOS M50 Mark II
+ 2 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
Logitech K380 Multi-Device Bluetooth KeyboardTheir words
Keyboard: Logitech K380 Multi-Device Bluetooth Keyboard
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Usesrcmnd.app
Logitech Signature M650 Wireless MouseTheir words
Mouse: Logitech Signature M650 Wireless Mouse
11 March 2024
10 March 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
China’s World ViewTheir words
Senior academic advisor to the Chinese Communist Party feels most political tensions come from a misunderstanding of China’s world view, hence the subtitle “demystifying to prevent global conflict”, and his intrinsic desire to explain. I love its insights and historical context, especially around “Respect-centered diplomacy” and how the CCP is structured.
9 March 2024
From one piece 40 Life Lessons I Know at 40 (That I Wish I Knew at 20) 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Most people are fundamentally good, which makes the risk of trusting them worth taking.Their words
Most people are good. And while you might get hurt or embarrassed sometimes, the alternative is just way worse.
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korrents.com
Life's most valuable things, like health, wealth and knowledge, compound slowly over long periods of time.Their words
The most valuable things in life compound over a long period of time
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korrents.com
How a person treats themselves determines who they let into their life and how those people treat them.Their words
If you treat yourself poorly, then you will also unconsciously seek out and tolerate others who treat you poorly.
8 March 2024
7 March 2024
6 March 2024
4 March 2024
From one piece Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
What I think would happen one way or another is the Soviet collapse in a different form, on somebody else’s watch at some later period in time.
-
Their words
The United States of America didn’t want the Soviet Union to collapse and disintegrate. They didn’t want that at the start of the Cold War in 1948. We now have the strategic documents. They were concerned about that, they didn’t want to do that. And certainly they didn’t want to do that in the year 1991.
-
Their words
So the most important story for me, this is the story of the continuing collapse of the Russian Empire and the rise of not just local nationalism, but also rise of Russian nationalism that turned out to be as a destructive force for the imperial or multi-ethnic, multinational state, as was Ukrainian nationalism or Georgian or Estonian for that matter.
+ 2 more
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Their words
And the Soviet collapse is continuation of the disintegration of the Russian Empire that started back in 1917, that was arrested for some period of time by the Bolsheviks, by the Communist ideology, which was internationalist ideology. And then came back in full force in the late ’80s and early ’90s.
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Their words
Very often people confuse three different processes that were taking place in the late ’80s and early ’90s, and the one was the collapse of communism as ideology. Another was the end of the Cold War. And the third one was the end of the Soviet Union.
From one piece How to Break Free from Dopamine Culture 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
If you look at the 10 largest companies in the world, half of them are trying to create this addictive relationship to technology.
-
korrents.com
A service paid by the hour of your attention is rewarded for delivering the opposite of what it promises.Their words
The dating app does not make money from you finding a life partner—it needs you to keep looking, so the app provider can hold on to you as a recurring customer. These companies actually get rewarded by delivering the opposite of what they promise.
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Their words
They aren’t designed to solve your problem, but actually aim to prevent closure, and create an illusion that there are still infinite choices available to you.
3 March 2024
From one piece Why HBM is the Hottest Thing in Memory 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
They will shift what cash they generate to HBM capacity, which will keep supply growth in DRAM and NAND low.
Why HBM is the Hottest Thing in Memoryfabricatedknowledge.com
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Their words
HBM has the unique dynamic of costing a lot more than traditional DRAM, and the dynamic 2x higher capex is driven by the twice as large die size for HBM.
Why HBM is the Hottest Thing in Memoryfabricatedknowledge.com
29 February 2024
From one piece Accessibility Has Failed: Try Generative UI = Individualized UX 2 beliefs · jakobnielsenphd.substack.com
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Their words
I foresee a much more radical approach to generative UI to emerge shortly — maybe in 5 years or so. In this second-generation generative UI, the user interface is generated afresh every time the user accesses the app. Most important, this means that different users will get drastically different designs.
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korrents.com
Accessibility has failed as a way to make computers usable for disabled users, after thirty years of trying.Their words
Accessibility has failed as a way to make computers usable for disabled users. My metrics for usable design are the same whether the user is disabled or not: whether it’s easy to learn the system, whether productivity is high when performing tasks, and whether the design is pleasant — even enjoyable — to use.
28 February 2024
From one piece Rethinking the startup MVP: Building a competitive product 2 beliefs · linear.app
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Their words
To be able to do this with limited resources, you must scope down your audience (and thus your ambitions) as much as possible to make competing easier, and aim to solve the problems of specific people.
-
Their words
The MVP as a practice of building a hacky product as quickly and cheaply as possible to validate the product does no longer work. Many product categories are already saturated with a variety of alternatives, and to truly test the viability of any new idea you need to build something that is substantially better.
27 February 2024
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Usesrcmnd.app
ZFS.rentTheir words
$10/month for zfs.rent + €10/month for Hetzner.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Hetzner Storage BoxTheir words
$10/month for zfs.rent + €10/month for Hetzner.
-
Their words
many under-represented languages are primarily spoken; they do not have a written tradition or a standardized orthography. Text-based NLP technology is thus of limited use to them.
25 February 2024
From one piece How I build and run behavioral interviews 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Most workplace problems have more than one person contributing to them, not a single culprit.Their words
Sometimes this is true, but usually problems aren't a single person's fault!
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korrents.com
Someone who can't name what they'd do differently is unlikely to be good at improving over time.Their words
if the person responds to "what would you do differently" with "nothing," or with non-actionable vague platitudes, it's a sign they may not be great at figuring out how to get better at things over time.
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korrents.com
Repeated vague platitudes without follow-up specifics signal weak first-principles thinking.Their words
If they don't follow this up with a more specific, precise or nuanced claim, they may not be a strong first-principles thinker.
24 February 2024
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Lovedsponsoredrcmnd.app
Theft of FireTheir words
Theft of Fire offers a plausible and realistic universe. The characters, Marcus Warnoc and Miranda Foxgrove, are not mere archetypes; they are complex, flawed, and deeply human. Their struggle to trust one another and overcome their own demons is a powerful allegory for the modern human condition.
22 February 2024
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
JamesTheir words
Briefly, James is Huckleberry Finn retold from the perspective of Jim. It has all the energy and humor of Twain's work—in Everett's own unique voice of course—and adds a whole new level of depth to the story.
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
HeadshotTheir words
Rita Bullwinkel follows up her excellent and weird story collection Belly Up with a knockout punch of a debut
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Novices of LernaTheir words
And if you are, like me, a fan of surreal and fantastical literature I think you will be blown away by The Novices of Lerna.
+ 2 more
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RebootTheir words
For now, let me say I tore through Reboot, which is a sharply written and hilarious novel about a has-been actor in a downward spiral who tries to fix his life with a (yes) reboot of the Buffy-by-way-of-Baywatch teen drama that made him briefly a star.
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Lovedtheir ownrcmnd.app
The Werewolf at DuskTheir words
Obviously, my text appears in the book but I would have loved it even if that wasn't the case. Small is just an astounding artist—see his bestselling memoir Stitches
20 February 2024
From one piece Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The most difficult analysis to do as an investor is that, is kind of figuring out how wide is the moat, how much at risk is the business to disruption? And we're in, I would say, the greatest period of disruptability in history.
-
Their words
Price matters a lot. You can buy the best business in the world and if you overpay, you're not going to earn particularly attractive returns.
-
Their words
You want to buy a company at a price that if you're wrong about what you think it's worth and it turns out to be worth 30% less, you paid a deep enough discount to your estimate that you're still okay. A big part of investing is not losing money.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
Most investments are really speculations, because only a handful of businesses can be predicted with any confidence.Their words
And very few businesses that you can have a really high degree of certainty about. And as a result, many investments are speculations because it's really very difficult to predict the future.
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korrents.com
The value of anything is the present value of the cash you can take out of it over its life.Their words
The value of anything, I would say, other than love, let's say, is the present value of the cash you can take out of it over its life.
18 February 2024
From one piece The State of the Culture, 2024 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
They don’t want to find the next Michelangelo or Mozart. They want to create a world of junkies—because they will be the dealers.
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korrents.com
The fastest-growing part of the culture economy is not art or entertainment but distraction.Their words
The fastest growing sector of the culture economy is distraction.
17 February 2024
From one piece Muse retrospective 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A business succeeds through a small number of highly effective distribution channels, not many mediocre ones.Their words
any given business will find a small number of highly-effective channels, and the rest don't matter.
-
Their words
After that, I think you have to be left with software that serves a deep and hard-to-replace purpose in people's lives.
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korrents.com
Prosumer software needs tens or hundreds of thousands of users for its development costs to be sustainable.Their words
You need tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, to make the cost of development sustainable.
14 February 2024
13 February 2024
12 February 2024
9 February 2024
From one piece All My Thoughts After 40 Hours in the Vision Pro 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It's the next step in a centuries-long human mission to conquer long-distance.
All My Thoughts After 40 Hours in the Vision Prowaitbutwhy.com
-
Their words
If you zoom out on a story of technology, you usually see a big exponential curve. But if you look at the curve up close, you see that it's wavy, made of S-curves.
All My Thoughts After 40 Hours in the Vision Prowaitbutwhy.com
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korrents.com
Augmented reality and virtual reality are no longer separate categories, but points on one continuum.Their words
And it's a general reminder that AR and VR2 being separate categories is a thing of the past.
All My Thoughts After 40 Hours in the Vision Prowaitbutwhy.com
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Meta Quest 2Their words
In 2020, standing around during Covid with my dick in my hand like everyone else, I got myself a Quest 2. It was amazing. I loved it.
8 February 2024
6 February 2024
From one piece jsonfile: a quick hack for tinkering 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Programming is fundamentally the practice of making tradeoffs about what matters and what doesn't.Their words
Programming is the art of tradeoffs. You have to decide what matters and what does not.
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korrents.com
Most projects fail before they even begin because the activation energy required to start is too high.Their words
Most projects fail before they start. They fail because the activation energy is too high.
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korrents.com
The right moment to migrate from an ad hoc data store to SQL is the moment you first need an index.Their words
I suspect, considering the process retrospect, a great deal of that pain can be avoided by committing to migrating directly to an SQL system the moment you need an index.
From one piece Encyclopaedia Automatica 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
AI-generated writing is already fairly good but still lacks the direction and insight of human editors.Their words
As of today, computers write pretty good articles but lack the direction and insight of human editors.
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korrents.com
AI should be approached as a collaboration between humans and computers, not a forced choice between them.Their words
We need to find ways to work with this new tech to get the best of humans and the best of computers, together, rather than thinking in terms of one or the other.
5 February 2024
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korrents.com
High-quality data collection depends more on careful human execution than on machine learning techniques alone.Their words
Lots of ML techniques in the post can help with data quality, but fundamentally human data collection involves attention to details and careful execution.
4 February 2024
3 February 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
ArabsTheir words
3000 years of factual Arab history, and personal insights from this Oxford Brit who lived in Yemen for 37 years, translates classical Arabic, and clearly cares a lot. Huge and thorough but really wonderful for those with the interest. I loved his writing style and poetic asides. Read my notes here for a taste. What a great book.
2 February 2024
From one piece 10 technologies that won't exist in 5 years 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
With an extra $10 billion over 10 years I’m pretty sure we’d get to 5 or 6 of the 10 on the list, and millions of unnecessary deaths would be prevented.
10 technologies that won't exist in 5 yearsblog.jacobtrefethen.com
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Their words
Technological progress is not a mystical force that delivers the most important ones first.
10 technologies that won't exist in 5 yearsblog.jacobtrefethen.com
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korrents.com
A technology company's success is determined mainly by how fast it operates and learns.Their words
The biggest determinant for success in a technology company is the speed at which it operates and learns - the "clock speed" to use a CPU analogy.
1 February 2024
31 January 2024
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Their words
There are two ways to use money. One is as a tool to live a better life. The other is as a yardstick of status to measure yourself against others.
30 January 2024
From one piece My McLuhan lecture on enshittification 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
In theory, you could have all just left for somewhere else; in practice, you were hamstrung by the collective action problem.
-
Their words
I think that the enshittification framework goes a long way to explaining it, moving us out of the mysterious realm of the 'great forces of history,' and into the material world of specific decisions made by named people – decisions we can reverse and people whose addresses and pitchfork sizes we can learn.
29 January 2024
28 January 2024
27 January 2024
26 January 2024
25 January 2024
24 January 2024
23 January 2024
From one piece 2023 letter 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
China will not fade away, so America has to reform itself for a protracted contest with a peer competitor.Their words
It is that China will not fade away, meaning that America must reform itself for a protracted contest with a peer competitor.
-
Their words
While 50 percent of China’s economy might be dysfunctional, the 5 percent that’s going spectacularly well is pretty dangerous to American interests.
-
Their words
The trouble with Xi Jinping is that he is 60 percent correct on all the problems he sees, while his government’s brute force solutions reliably worsen things.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
China's industrial lead was manufactured by deliberate state industrial policy rather than by market forces alone.Their words
The foundations of China’s success in EVs were built a decade ago, when the state decided to bet on batteries, and then bought up a lot of the mines for these metals.
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korrents.com
The West's biggest blindspot is repeatedly underestimating China's speed and capabilities.Their words
I worry however that one of America’s superpowers is to spin up yarns to reduce the urgency for action.
19 January 2024
18 January 2024
17 January 2024
From one piece Five Fertility Fails 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all.Their words
And they don’t see a need for a plan B, in case their forecast fails.
-
Their words
They do not want to give such enemies the satisfaction of admitting they have a point.
-
Their words
Similarly, most recent discussions of how to promote fertility discuss how we might promote housing, inequality, schooling, day-care, etc., but few consider directly paying parents big amounts to have kids. As indirect approaches require us to guess what are the actual main obstacles to fertility, they are more likely to fail.
From one piece Palabras del Presidente Javier Milei en la 54ª Reunión Anual del Foro Económico Mundial, Davos, 17 de enero de 2024 3 beliefs · casarosada.gob.ar
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korrents.com
Social justice is intrinsically unjust, because the state can only fund it by collecting taxes coercively.Their words
El problema es que la justicia social no es justa, sino que tampoco aporta al bienestar general; muy por el contrario, es una idea intrínsecamente injusta porque es violenta; es injusta porque el Estado se financia, a través de impuestos y los impuestos se cobran de manera coactiva.
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Their words
La conclusión es obvia: lejos de ser la causa de nuestros problemas, el capitalismo de libre empresa, como sistema económico, es la única herramienta que tenemos para terminar con el hambre, la pobreza y la indigencia, a lo largo y a lo ancho de todo el planeta.
-
Their words
hoy estoy acá para decirles que Occidente está en peligro, está en peligro porque aquellos, que supuestamente deben defender los valores de Occidente, se encuentran cooptados por una visión del mundo que – inexorablemente – conduce al socialismo, en consecuencia a la pobreza.
16 January 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
CommuniquéTheir words
David Adeleke's dispatches from the African tech scene introduce me to companies and entrepreneurs who are as fascinating as they are unfamiliar. The sharp analysis and quality-over-quantity approach to newslettering makes it stand out.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
NewcomerTheir words
Eric Newcomer is the rare Substack journalist who thrives on breaking news. His dispatches from Silicon Valley and beyond have the knowing voice of a veteran observer, but with the open-mindedness that defines a great reporter. The accompanying podcast is also well worth a listen.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Search EngineTheir words
It's a deeply humane project that also manages to be formally inventive; I never feel like I'm in surer hands as a podcast listener than when Vogt is telling me about what he has learned.
+ 2 more
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
SupervisedTheir words
Longtime tech reporter Matt Lynley offers an uncommonly technical assessment of new AI developments in his newsletter Supervised. Original reporting and a fast cadence help this one stand out from other AI newsletters.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Design LobsterTheir words
Ben Strak's short and sweet Monday newsletter offers weekly inspiration to designers and anyone else curious about the world around them. A good example of how newsletters thrive on the authentic curiosity of the people who write them.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
InvestopediaTheir words
A few years back, my friend Caleb Silver became the editor-in-chief of one of the best resources in all of finance - Investopedia.com.
13 January 2024
12 January 2024
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korrents.com
A book you want is always worth buying: never let time or money stop you from having itTheir words
I promised myself a long time ago that if I saw a book that interested me I’d never let time or money or anything else prevent me from having it. This means that I treat reading with a certain amount of respect.
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Pontius PilateTheir words
Ann Wroe’s biography of Pontius Pilate, the Roman governor of Judaea–the man who sentenced Jesus to his gruesome death–was so overwhelmingly good that I could only read a couple pages at a time.
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Good Inside: A Guide to Becoming the Parent You Want to BeTheir words
I just interviewed Dr. Becky too but I don’t think it will come out until January. Stay tuned and in the meantime, you just HAVE to read this book
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Book of Charlie: Wisdom from the Remarkable American Life of a 109-Year-Old ManTheir words
The Book of Charlie: Wisdom from the Remarkable American Life of a 109-Year-Old Man by David Von Drehle. It’s a short, great read.
+ 2 more
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The Past That Would Not DieTheir words
by Walter Lord is a riveting, must read narrative nonfiction thriller about James Meredith’s brave and bold campaign to integrate Ole Miss in 1962.
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Greek WayTheir words
Edith Hamilton’s The Greek Way is a wonderful discussion of what made the Greeks so special, what they can teach us and how they thought about life.
11 January 2024
10 January 2024
From one piece How to be more agentic 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
What I discovered by casting a wide net was that I have very little ability to predict how useful a call will be in advance.
-
Their words
If you aren’t trying to get real feedback from people who know you, you’re cooking without tasting.
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Their words
Ask for things that feel unreasonable, to make sure your intuitions about what’s reasonable are accurate (of course, try not to be a jerk in the process). If you’re only asking for things you get, you’re not aiming high enough.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Most subject matter is learnable, even stuff that seems really hard. But beyond that, many (most?) traits that people treat as fixed are actually quite malleable if you (1) believe they are and (2) put the same kind of work into learning them as you would anything else.
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Their words
In my way of thinking, radical agency is about finding real edges: things you are willing to do that others aren’t, often because they’re annoying or unpleasant.
9 January 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
A Short History of Financial EuphoriaTheir words
And this gives me a great opportunity to reference one of my favorite quotations from John Kenneth Galbraith’s wonderful book on market excesses:
7 January 2024
5 January 2024
From one piece Questionable Advice: "My boss says we don’t need any engineering managers. Is he right?" 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
What sets a company’s velocity is spending its time on the right things, not how much code it produces.Their words
What matters is moving the business forward, not churning out code.
-
Their words
On the other hand, the manager-free experiments I’m aware of (e.g. holacracy at Medium and GitHub, or “Choose Your Own Work” at Linden Lab) have all been quietly abandoned or outgrown.
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Their words
If you aren’t making building the organization someone’s number one job, it won’t be anyone’s number one job, which means it probably won’t get done very well.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
A few larger teams under experienced engineering managers outperform many tiny teams each led by a working tech lead.Their words
But everything I have ever experienced leads me to believe that a fewer number of larger teams, each helmed by an experienced engineering manager, should way outperform this gaggle of tiny groups.
-
Their words
But hierarchy is not intrinsically authoritarian. Hierarchy did not originate as a political structure that humans invented for controlling and dominating one another, it is in fact a property of self-organizing systems, and it emerges for the benefit of the subsystems.
4 January 2024
3 January 2024
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Tokyo ViceTheir words
it’s fun but I think a lot of it probably made up. Still fun.
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Elon MuskTheir words
The back half is kind of a hit piece on his Twitter acquisition in way way too much detail
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Chip WarTheir words
Great history of the semiconductor industry, starting in Silicon Valley and ending in Asia.
+ 2 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
SolarisTheir words
Classic scifi. Guy shows up on a research station above a planet with a strange (alive??) ocean
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Cold War: A New HistoryTheir words
Concise summary of the Cold War from the end of WW2 to the fall of the USSR.
2 January 2024
From one piece Seven things you didn't know about life expectancy 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Women outlive men because their death rates are lower at every age, not because men die in accidents and violence.Their words
But women actually tend to live longer than men because they have lower death rates across their lifespans, which you can see in the chart below.
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Their words
Many other predictions have already been broken, as life expectancy has continued to rise.
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korrents.com
Every age of life is less deadly than it was for the generation before, not just childhood.Their words
Each age of our lives is less deadly than it was for previous generations.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Life expectancy isn’t a prediction of how long people will live.
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Their words
To me, one of them is that longevity isn’t one obscure problem that needs to be ‘cracked’ in order for us to live longer.
1 January 2024
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Secure LoveTheir words
Secure Love shows you how to understand your attachment style, calm conflict, and build the secure connection every relationship needs.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Attachment Style QuizTheir words
Take the free Attachment Style Quiz and get personalised insight into how you connect, where your patterns come from, and your next step toward secure love.
31 December 2023
From one piece in which an escape route is discovered 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
In a subtle but very real sense, every Lua function is an anonymous function.
-
Their words
most macros don't actually do anything other than pure transformation of their arguments. It's almost always safe to run them during static analysis, except you don't know for sure
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korrents.com
Metaprogramming in a language creates fundamental obstacles to static analysis of its code.Their words
Languages with metaprogramming tend to put up fundamental hurdles to static analysis
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Nothing to HideTheir words
Mind candy thriller, somehow equally about a serial killer and about secrets in marriage. (Previously in this series.)
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Dark CountryTheir words
Mind candy horror/mystery, stalking and being stalked by the somewhat-supernatural serial killer, with extensive local color for contemporary South Africa. There are rough patches, but it's a perfectly enjoyable specimen of this type of novel. It's obviously the set-up for a series, and I'm not sure I need to follow these characters, but I would be happy to read more by Snyman.
30 December 2023
29 December 2023
From one piece My Automated Vehicle Safety Prediction for 2024 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The Cruise debacle of the last few months proved (once again; remember Uber ATG?) that it only takes one company doing one ill-advised thing to hurt the entire industry.
My Automated Vehicle Safety Prediction for 2024safeautonomy.blogspot.com
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Their words
At a higher level, the real event was a catastrophic failure of the industry's strategy of relentlessly shouting as loud as they can "Hey, get off our case, we're busy saving lives here!"
My Automated Vehicle Safety Prediction for 2024safeautonomy.blogspot.com
26 December 2023
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Last InterviewTheir words
The Last Interview by Anthony Bourdain - There are some people who I often wish were still alive so I could have their take on things.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and TomorrowTheir words
Tomorrow and tomorrow and Tomorrow by Gabrielle Zevin - A gut punch of a book, beautiful and lyrical.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Invisible Life of Addie LaRueTheir words
A wonderful idea for a book and brilliant execution as she lives from Medieval France to modern day.
+ 2 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
Olga Dies DreamingTheir words
Olga Dies Dreaming by Xochitl Gonzalez - Olga grows up in the Puerto Rican community in New York and becomes enormously successful as a wedding planner, but cannot manage her own relationships
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Neural Network Methods for Natural Language ProcessingTheir words
I also read a ton of technical books last year, but the most impactful one for me was Neural Network Methods for Natural Language processing by Yoav Goldberg
24 December 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
A Theory of Everyone: The New Science of Who We Are, How We Got Here, and Where We’re GoingTheir words
Best books I read in 2023: Just a note that these books weren’t all necessarily published this year (though some were). A Theory of Everyone: The New Science of Who We Are, How We Got Here, and Where We’re Going by Michael Muthukrishna
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Two-Parent PrivilegeTheir words
Best books I read in 2023: Just a note that these books weren’t all necessarily published this year (though some were). A Theory of Everyone: The New Science of Who We Are, How We Got Here, and Where We’re Going by Michael Muthukrishna The Two-Parent Privilege by Melissa S. Kearney
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Keep the Aspidistra FlyingTheir words
Keep the Aspidistra Flying by George Orwell This lesser known book from Orwell offers an illuminating glimpse into the arrogant, entitled, and self-pitying mindset of downwardly mobile elites.
+ 1 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
A Personal OdysseyTheir words
A Personal Odyssey by Thomas Sowell My review here . Insights into the mindset required to climb out of poverty and remake one’s fortunes. A countervailing perspective from the above Orwell work.
23 December 2023
From one piece The pharma industry from Paul Janssen to today: why drugs got harder to develop and what we can do about it 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Biology is unpredictable, especially when the immune system is involved, and there is no guarantee that a drug that appears safe in animals will be safe in humans.
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Their words
The most significant factor preventing us from taking better molecules into clinical trials is not our ability to design arbitrary molecules, but our (lack of) understanding of underlying disease biology. In other words, we often know how to make something, but not what to make.
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Their words
The cost to discover and develop a drug today is orders of magnitude higher than in the 1950s. Despite this, the probability that a drug entering clinical trials will eventually reach the market has hardly improved in the intervening years.
+ 2 more
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Their words
In reality, the productivity crisis in the pharmaceutical industry is the culmination of decades of just about every aspect of drug discovery and development getting gradually harder and more expensive.
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Their words
Such prolificacy is unlikely to be repeated any time soon; if current trends hold, a drug discovery scientist starting their career today is likely to retire without ever having worked on a single drug that makes it to market.
22 December 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The OdysseyTheir words
Love the Iliad and Odyssey
21 December 2023
From one piece How Effective Altruism Lost Its Way 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Diverting attention and resources from global health and poverty is an enormous gamble, as it will make many lives poorer, sicker, and shorter in the name of fending off threats that may or may not materialize.
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korrents.com
The more effective altruism has absorbed itself in saving humanity, the less humanistic it has become.Their words
Strangely enough, as EA becomes more absorbed in the task of saving humanity, the movement is becoming less humanistic.
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korrents.com
A movement that has decided its job is to save humanity is uniquely prone to hubris, dogma and motivated reasoning.Their words
This is a worldview that’s uniquely susceptible to hubris, dogma, and motivated reasoning.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Unlike other interventions EA has sponsored, there are scant metrics for tracking the success or failure of investments in existential risk mitigation.
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Their words
While there are interesting theoretical arguments for these causes, there’s a disconnect between an almost-neurotic focus on hard evidence of effectiveness in some areas of EA and a willingness to accept extremely abstract and conjectural “evidence” in others.
20 December 2023
19 December 2023
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Likedrcmnd.app
How Languages are LearnedTheir words
To that end, I read a few different books from the field of second language acquisition (SLA) over the summer, and even wrote a review of How Languages are Learned.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Science of Learning PhysicsTheir words
Mestre and Docktor tackle this challenge by reviewing the large body of literature on learning physics. I plan on writing a full review of their book, which I found to be a helpful summary.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The RepublicTheir words
To my surprise, I really enjoyed The Republic. It is both well-written and weird, which puts it above many other famous philosophical books that are too obscure to be easily read.
+ 2 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Social Learning TheoryTheir words
Social Learning Theory is a difficult book to summarize, but it has profoundly impacted my thinking.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Beginning to ReadTheir words
Marilyn Jager Adams's extensive review of the literature concluded essentially the same thing in 1994.
From one piece Take Tesla safety claims with about a pound of salt 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Whatever safety gain a driver-assistance system delivers is cancelled out by the driver complacency it creates.Their words
suggests that any steering automation safety gains (e.g., Level 2 autopilot) are approximately negated by driver complacency, with autopilot on being slightly worse than autopilot off
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Their words
Any true safety improvement for Tesla is good to have, but is much more likely due to comparison against an "average" vehicle (12 years old in the US) which is much less safe than any recent high-end vehicle regardless of manufacturer, and probably not driven on roads as safe on average as where Teslas are more popular.
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Their words
To look back on a year of reading is to be handed a clear mirror of your priorities and passions, of the questions that live in you and the reckonings that keep you up at night.
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
What Looks Like BraveryTheir words
She tells the story of those difficult, transformative learnings in What Looks Like Bravery
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
How to Say GoodbyeTheir words
How to move through it is what my talented friend and sometime-collaborator Wendy MacNaughton explores in How to Say Goodbye
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Leaning toward Light: Poems for GardensTheir words
The garden as a place of reverence and responsibility, a practice of ample creative and spiritual rewards, comes alive in Leaning toward Light: Poems for Gardens
+ 2 more
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Archives of Joy: Reflections on Animals and the Nature of BeingTheir words
The secret pulse-beat of joy is what Jean-François Beauchemin explores in Archives of Joy: Reflections on Animals and the Nature of Being
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The AskingTheir words
For half a century, Jane Hirshfield has been slaking the world's soul on poems of perspective and consolation, fusing her Buddhist training, her passion for science, and her tenderness for all things living.
18 December 2023
From one piece Performance engineering, profilers, and seeing the invisible 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A profiler measures time already spent in an operation, not how much time would be saved by optimizing it.Their words
a profile tells you how much time a program spent in a given operation; but not how much time it would spend if you optimized that operation.
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korrents.com
Profilers show where time is spent but not which of that time can feasibly be reduced or is worth optimizing.Their words
Profilers can only show you "what is there"; skillful performance engineering requires understanding the information that shapes and informs the profile but is "not there" in the profile itself.
14 December 2023
From one piece Jeff Bezos: Amazon and Blue Origin | Lex Fridman Podcast #405 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The only interesting problem is dramatically reducing the cost of access to orbit, which is, if you can do that, you open up a bunch of new endeavors that lots of start-up companies everybody else can do. One of our missions is to be part of this industry and lower the cost to orbit, so that there can be a renaissance, a golden age of people doing all kinds of interesting things in space.
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Their words
Efficiency and invention are sort of at odds, because real invention, Not incremental improvement... Incremental improvement is so important in every endeavor, in everything you do, you have to work hard on also just making things a little bit better. But I'm talking about real invention, real lateral thinking that requires wandering, and you have to give yourself permission to wander.
-
Their words
If you think about the good old days, they're mostly an illusion. In almost every way, life is better for almost everyone today than it was say 50 years ago or 100 years ago. We live better lives by and large than our grandparents did, and their grandparents did, and so on. And you can see that in global illiteracy rates, global poverty rates, global infant mortality rates. Almost any metric you choose, we're better off than we used to be.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Yeah, the only way to get to that vision is with giant space stations. The planetary surfaces are just way too small.
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Their words
I would love to see a trillion humans living in the solar system. If we had a trillion humans, we would have, at any given time, 1,000 Mozarts and 1,000 Einsteins. That our solar system would be full of life and intelligence and energy.
13 December 2023
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Their words, before
If I were forced at gunpoint to guess, I'd say that human-level AI seemed to me like a slog of many more centuries or millennia
Their words now
I was wrong, of course, not to contemplate more seriously the prospect that AI might enter a civilization-altering trajectory, not merely eventually but within the next decade.
-
Their words, before
precisely because smart people do devote brain-cycles to these possibilities, the rest of us have correspondingly less need to.
Their words now
I accepted what’s turned into a two-year position at OpenAI, thinking about what theoretical computer science can do for AI safety.
-
Their words, before
If I were forced at gunpoint to guess, I’d say that human-level AI seemed to me like a slog of many more centuries or millennia (with the obvious potential for black swans along the way).
Their words now
I was wrong, of course, not to contemplate more seriously the prospect that AI might enter a civilization-altering trajectory, not merely eventually but within the next decade.
11 December 2023
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Words Without MusicTheir words
Any Glass fan is going to want to read this, I think. But it’s not problem-free.
10 December 2023
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Usestheir ownrcmnd.app
WorkplaceTheir words
Instead of meetings, I used Workplace posts (Meta’s internal version of Facebook Group posts) to share thoughts, start discussions, and make announcements.
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Witch KingTheir words
Witch King is really well-crafted. The combat scenes are explosive.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Kaiju Preservation SocietyTheir words
These are blasts of pure fun, with razor-sharp dialog
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Likedrcmnd.app
Starter VillainTheir words
These are blasts of pure fun, with razor-sharp dialog
+ 1 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Saint of Bright DoorsTheir words
It’s as colorful as anything I’ve read in years. I really enjoyed that
9 December 2023
From one piece Food, land, work and rent: the real story of Vallis Veg 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
wherever in the world can be found the cheapest assemblage of land, labour, energy and capital to produce a given food commodity, that will be a preferential site of its production.
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Their words
In my opinion, normal market economics is incentivising the wrong things. I think its preference for horse liveries or campsites over vegetables and other local food production will lead us to disaster
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Their words
My wife and I have averaged a joint annual income of £5,500 from the market garden over the last ten years.
+ 1 more
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Their words
One clue to the difficulties I faced, if I hadn’t been too naïve to see it, is that almost nobody works in small-scale, local, agroecological market gardening in Britain and most other rich countries. There’s a reason for that.
8 December 2023
7 December 2023
From one piece Stop Demanding Dumb Answers To Hard Questions 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Demanding simple answers to hard questions is itself a political harm, not just an intellectual one.Their words
The stubborn thirst for simple answers to hard questions is bad for America.
Stop Demanding Dumb Answers To Hard Questionspopehat.substack.com
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korrents.com
Whether calling for the genocide of a group breaches a university's harassment policy genuinely depends on context.Their words
If you think the question “is calling for the genocide of a group against your policy” is an easy question with a one-word answer, you’re wrong.
Stop Demanding Dumb Answers To Hard Questionspopehat.substack.com
6 December 2023
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Their words
Opportunity solution trees help product trios: Resolve the tension between business needs and customer needs
5 December 2023
3 December 2023
From one piece Lisa Randall: Dark Matter, Theoretical Physics, and Extinction Events | Lex Fridman Podcast #403 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That was originally one of the hopes of Large Hadron Collider. I’d say at this point, it would be very unlikely given what they’ve already accomplished, but there are these underground detectors, xenon detectors that look for dark matter coming in, and they are going to try to achieve a much stronger bound than exists today.
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korrents.com
A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences.Their words
That’s also why I like the dark disk because there’s a scientific story behind it. As far-fetched as it might sound, you could actually go and look for the experimental consequences, for the observational consequences to test whether it’s true.
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Their words
The interesting thing is that if some of the dark matter does radiate, and I like to call it dark light because it’s light that we don’t see, but dark matter would see. It could radiate that and then it could perhaps collapse into a disk the same way ordinary matter collapsed into the Milky Way disk.
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Their words
In fact, I would say it’s more surprising that the matter that we know about is constitutes as big a fraction of the universe as it does. We’re limited, we’re human. The fact that we see 5% of the energy density of the universe, about one sixth of the energy density in matter, that’s remarkable.
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korrents.com
It is dark matter, not ordinary matter, that drives galaxy formation; ordinary matter just comes along with it.Their words
In fact, dark matter is in some sense more important because it can collapse more readily than ordinary matter because ordinary matter has radiative forces, which makes it hard to collapse on small scales. Actually it’s dark matter that drives galaxy formation and then ordinary matter comes along with it.
1 December 2023
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Usesrcmnd.app
BackblazeTheir words
Cloud: entire computer remotely backed up to Backblaze
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Usesrcmnd.app
TwingateTheir words
Twingate - for remote access
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Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Bose Noise Cancelling Headphones 700Their words
Bose Noise Cancelling Headphones 700
+ 2 more
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Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Logitech ERGO K860 Wireless Ergonomic KeyboardTheir words
Logitech ERGO K860 Wireless Ergonomic Keyboard
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Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Anker 777 Thunderbolt Docking StationTheir words
Anker 777 Thunderbolt Docking Station
30 November 2023
29 November 2023
From one piece Lant Pritchett, economist: ‘Negativity around migration is the last breath of a moribund system’ 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
When you separate those two questions in public dialogue, the negative attitudes disappear.
-
Their words
Governments should create three tracks for people who come to live in their country. One track is that of people who hope to become Spanish. Another is that of those who we are going to allow to live and work here; the third is that of those of we are going to allow to be in Spain out of necessity.
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Their words
But once the demographics reverse, the challenge will be to find a person for every job. In the coming years, the impact of demographic changes is going to lead to chronic labor shortages.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
Without immigrants Spain’s labour force falls from 22.6 to 15.7 million by 2050, far too few to run its economy.Their words
In the absence of immigrants, between 2020 and 2050 Spain’s labor force (its active population) will drop from 22.6 to 15.7 million people. You’re not going to fill all the jobs needed in a modern and sophisticated economy like that of Spain’s with 15.7 million people.
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korrents.com
Hostility to migration is the last gasp of a dying system rather than the shape of the future.Their words
The negativity around migration is the last breath of a moribund system and the transition to a more realistic approach.
28 November 2023
From one piece In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
These skewed priorities are the exact problem that effective altruism exists to solve - or the exact inefficiency that effective altruism exists to exploit, if you prefer that framing.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
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Their words
Movements are coalitions. Sometimes this means different people with different priorities choose to work together. But other times it means the same people tend to share both priorities.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
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Their words
EA has done a great job working on this (see list of accomplishments above), and I think the AI and x-risk people have just as much to be proud of as the global health and animal welfare people.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
+ 2 more
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Their words
And I notice that the tiny handful of people capable of caring about 200,000 people dying of neglected tropical diseases are the same tiny handful of people capable of caring about the next pandemic, or superintelligence, or human extinction.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
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Their words
I think EA’s track record of accomplishments vs. scandals is as good as any of them, maybe better.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
27 November 2023
26 November 2023
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korrents.com
Mars Sample Return as designed is too complicated, too slow and too expensive to succeed.Their words
The brief summary is that MSR’s architecture, pictured below, is incredibly complicated, slow, and expensive.
What is going on with Mars Sample Return?caseyhandmer.wordpress.com
23 November 2023
21 November 2023
20 November 2023
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
ObsidianTheir words
Depending on your goals, needs, and tolerance for customization, Obsidian might be the perfect choice for you.
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Dislikedrcmnd.app
TanaTheir words
I encountered much the same experience as I did with Obsidian: too much complexity, most of it front-loaded and unavoidable, making it difficult to get to the task of writing.
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Dislikedrcmnd.app
MemTheir words
I liked Mem’s editing experience within notes because it resembled word processing, without extra steps getting in the way. But I found the app otherwise surprisingly lacking in basic functionality, despite its polished appearance.
+ 2 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
EvernoteTheir words
If you look at the sheer number of different methods for getting content into Evernote, it becomes clear how difficult it will be to replicate this functionality.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
How to Switch From Evernote to ObsidianTheir words
I recommend checking out Nick Milo’s video How to Switch From Evernote to Obsidian if that’s you.
From one piece What do I do with these songs? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The only thing a maker really controls is telling the good work from the bad; what arrives is not up to them.Their words
Where we do have control is in identifying which is which.
-
Their words
But I have come to understand that the feeling of creative control is an illusion, that the songs are predetermined and have their own destiny, that they are not our own.
From one piece My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Up 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
In my view, too many critics of “cancel culture” are recklessly promoting not the speech of the powerless, but the censorious resentment of the powerful.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
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Their words
“Your criticism violates my right to free speech” is a fatuous but common American sentiment.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
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korrents.com
Refusing to advertise on a platform is protected expression, not an attack on the platform owner's free speech.Their words
Elon Musk’s sullen yawp amounts to a claim that he has a right for companies to sponsor his speech, no matter what he says. That’s nonsense, both legally and philosophically.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Song of the CellTheir words
If I had been able to read The Song of the Cell by Siddhartha Mukherjee in school, I might have fallen in love with biology a lot earlier.
19 November 2023
17 November 2023
From one piece John Mearsheimer: Israel-Palestine, Russia-Ukraine, China, NATO, and WW3 | Lex Fridman Podcast #401 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Economic interdependence does not prevent war, because survival always trumps prosperity.Their words
The point is that economic interdependence at its root has prosperity as the core variable. In the realest story, the core variable is survival, and survival always trumps prosperity.
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korrents.com
Whether a state is a democracy or an autocracy makes no difference to how it behaves abroad.Their words
A realist like me would say that it doesn't matter whether a state is a democracy or not, all states behave the same way because the structure of the system, getting back to our earlier discussion about international anarchy, the structure of the system leaves those states no choice, whether they're democracies or autocracies.
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korrents.com
States are not inherently aggressive; anarchy leaves them no choice but to behave aggressively.Their words
So it's very important to understand that I'm not arguing that states are inherently aggressive. My point is that as long as states are in anarchy, they have no choice but to behave in an aggressive fashion.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
A state's power rests on two material foundations only: the size of its population and its wealth.Their words
The two key building blocks of power are population size and wealth. You want to have a lot of people and you want to be really wealthy.
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Their words
I believe that power is the currency of international relations, and by that I mean that states are deeply interested in the balance of power and they're interested in maximizing how much power they control.
16 November 2023
From one piece The Looking Glass: How to tell if work is beautiful 4 beliefs · lg.substack.com
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Their words
Better design does not mean more design. Often, the most obvious designs are invisible.
-
Their words
Obviousness comes from conforming to people’s existing mental models. Don’t waste time reinventing common UI patterns or paradigms unless they are at least 2x better, or you have some critical brand reason to do so.
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korrents.com
If the people a product is designed for cannot generally agree that the design is good, it is not good.Their words
If you cannot get a group of people for whom your product is designed for to generally agree that your design is good, it’s not good.
+ 1 more
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Their words
Do not judge a product’s beauty by its aesthetics; judge it by how it made you feel.
10 November 2023
From one piece Permitting Reform Or Death 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
There is almost no lower-impact use of low-value land than covering it with solar panels.Their words
In summary, it is hard to imagine a lower impact use of low-value land than solar development.
-
korrents.com
Delay in permitting clean energy kills more Americans every year than the September 11 attacks did.Their words
The terrorist attacks on 9/11 killed 2996 people in a day of singular horror. Our ongoing indifference to regulatory inefficiency, considering only the area of green energy development, kills more people every year – more than 10 people per day, and that’s only within the US.
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Their words
The primary driver of increased impact, longer time scales before displacement, and catastrophically high levels of avoidable pollution is environmental protection regulations.
+ 1 more
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korrents.com
The binding constraint on building anything in America is permitting and litigation, not money.Their words
Yet solar development is hopelessly snarled by dozens of different development regulations which begin with the assumption that it will permanently and severely harm the environment unless proven otherwise, at exhaustive length.
9 November 2023
From one piece Elon Musk: War, AI, Aliens, Politics, Physics, Video Games, and Humanity | Lex Fridman Podcast #400 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Look, I think I would just recommend do not send the flower of Ukrainian youth to die in trenches, whether he talks to Putin or not, just don’t do that. Whoever goes on the offensive will lose massive numbers of people and history will not look kindly upon them.
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Their words
So generally, I think we obviously want to prioritize civilizational risks over things that are painful and tragic on a local level, but not civilizational.
-
Their words
So really the question is like for every Hamas member that you kill, how many did you create? And if you create more than you killed, you’ve not succeeded. That’s the real situation there.
+ 2 more
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Their words
So the counterintuitive thing here, I think that the thing that I think should be done, even though it’s very difficult, is that I would recommend that Israel engage in the most conspicuous acts of kindness possible
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Their words
People think of nature as perhaps some sort of peaceful thing, but in fact it is not. There’s some quite funny Werner Herzog thing where he is in the jungle saying that it’s basically just murder and death in every direction. The plants and animals in the jungle are constantly trying to kill each other every single day, every minute. So it’s not like we’re unusual in that respect.
8 November 2023
6 November 2023
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Their words, before
If the future is like the past, this implies that debt rollovers—that is, the issuance of debt without a subsequent increase in taxes—may well be feasible. Put bluntly, public debt may have no fiscal cost.
Their words now
Across advanced economies, the celebrated ( r - g ), i.e., the difference between the interest rate and the growth rate, appears to have durably changed sign or, at a minimum, to have gone from a substantially negative number to a number closer to zero.
From one piece If markets are right about long real rates, public debt ratios will increase for some time 2 beliefs · piie.com
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Their words
Thus, once current debt has been refinanced and the average interest on debt reflects the higher long rates, absent changes in policy, debt ratios will increase.
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Their words
It is fair to say that, while economists expected the short end of the yield curve to reflect the higher rates needed to win the fight against inflation, the sharply steeper long end of the yield curve in the last few months has come as a surprise. I shall freely admit that I did not predict it.
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Their words
One thing that drives me crazy about the React ecosystem, and more specifically "tech influencers" and "thought leaders" in the space, is the infantilization of the developers using and working in it. I’m tired of reading takes like TypeScript generics, mapped types, etc should only be needed and used by library authors for most use cases. Or today’s discourse; Don’t use `useCallback’, ‘useMemo’, and React.memo. If you’re building anything beyond a simple CRUD app or a an incredibly focused app with few features, you _will_ need these features.
4 November 2023
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The VulnerablesTheir words
Sigrid Nunez's novel The Vulnerables: Nunez's most famous novel, The Friend, was what you get when you take autofiction from a well-established NYC writer and add a big, friendly dog.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Family MealTheir words
Bryan Washington's novel Family Meal: Bryan is the great millennial fiction writer of food, among many other talents. His descriptions of cooking and meals are fantastically rich, as much for the food itself as for the social and emotional exchange involved.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Stay TrueTheir words
Hua Hsu's memoir Stay True: This book is now out in paperback, and you probably don't need me recommending it (it won a Pulitzer), but it is fantastic.
+ 1 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
ZojirushiTheir words
Turn on the rice cooker for normal or quick cooking (I have a Zojirushi, either setting works).
3 November 2023
2 November 2023
1 November 2023
31 October 2023
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Palm Beach FinlandTheir words
Mind candy: black comedy crime fiction / murder mystery, in rural Finland. I enjoyed both the comic darkness and the convincing happy endings all around. (At least, happy by the characters' own lights...) My first Tuomainen, but I'd read more if they crossed my path and I was in the right mood.
30 October 2023
26 October 2023
From one piece Managing extreme AI risks amid rapid progress (with 24 co-authors) 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Despite evaluations, we cannot consider coming powerful frontier AI systems "safe unless proven unsafe". With current testing methodologies, issues can easily be missed. Additionally, it is unclear if governments can quickly build the immense expertise needed for reliable technical evaluations of AI capabilities and societal-scale risks. Given this, developers of frontier AI should carry the burden of proof to demonstrate that their plans keep risks within acceptable limits.
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Their words
Without sufficient caution, we may irreversibly lose control of autonomous AI systems, rendering human intervention ineffective. Large-scale cybercrime, social manipulation, and other harms could escalate rapidly. This unchecked AI advancement could culminate in a large-scale loss of life and the biosphere, and the marginalization or extinction of humanity.
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Their words
For AI to be a boon, we must reorient; pushing AI capabilities alone is not enough. We are already behind schedule for this reorientation. The scale of the risks means that we need to be proactive, as the costs of being unprepared far outweigh those of premature preparation.
+ 1 more
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Their words
Society's response, despite promising first steps, is incommensurate with the possibility of rapid, transformative progress that is expected by many experts. AI safety research is lagging. Present governance initiatives lack the mechanisms and institutions to prevent misuse and recklessness, and barely address autonomous systems.
25 October 2023
From one piece Adversarial Attacks on LLMs 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Universal adversarial trigger attacks are easy to detect because the learned trigger tokens tend to be nonsensical.Their words
One drawback with UAT (Universal Adversarial Trigger) attacks is that it is easy to detect them because the learned triggers are often nonsensical.
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Their words
High perplexity makes an attack more vulnerable to be detected and mitigated.
From one piece Age of Invention: Lessons from the Rise of Coal 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
“lots of anonymous people just invented through trial and error and adaptation” just doesn’t cut it for me — I’ve never found such stories to be true upon closer investigation.
Age of Invention: Lessons from the Rise of Coalageofinvention.xyz
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Their words
Yet lime is a huge blind spot for economic historians, despite it increasing the productivity of what was still by far the largest portion of the economy: agriculture.
Age of Invention: Lessons from the Rise of Coalageofinvention.xyz
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Their words
The Dutch Republic’s Golden Age did not fail because it lacked energy sources.
Age of Invention: Lessons from the Rise of Coalageofinvention.xyz
24 October 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Going Infinite: The Rise and Fall of a New TycoonTheir words
Going Infinite is awesome. I would have been happy with my decision on the basis of any one of the following:
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korrents.com
Most people who love the Next.js app directory would also love Remix nested routing, for many of the same reasons.Their words
Most people who love the next.js app directory would also love remix nested routing for many of the same reasons.
19 October 2023
18 October 2023
17 October 2023
16 October 2023
From one piece The Techno-Optimist Manifesto 2 beliefs · a16z.com
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Their words
We believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past.
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korrents.com
There is no material problem, whether created by nature or by technology, that cannot be solved with more technology.Their words
We believe that there is no material problem – whether created by nature or by technology – that cannot be solved with more technology.
15 October 2023
From one piece Orbitals 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It's important to look around you for solutions instead of accepting the current unavailability of options.
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korrents.com
Reading even one book on a niche topic sharply shrinks the number of people you can discuss it with.Their words
Most people don't read books. If you read a book on a topic (say, clouds, or Italian furniture), you can now only communicate on that topic with 1 in 10 to 1 in 100 people.
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Their words
you should be frightened of smart people who don't read. They're the ones that build Jurassic Park, or send all the dentists to build a dam.
12 October 2023
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korrents.com
Meat substitutes have to become clearly cheaper than meat, not merely as cheap, before most people will switch.Their words
Meat substitutes need to be quite clearly cheaper, especially if we want them to break into middle- and low-income markets.
11 October 2023
4 October 2023
From one piece The Cruel Fantasies of Well-Fed People 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But while I have seen no evidence (and Chris provides none) that higher food prices alleviate global hunger, there is a wealth of evidence that they exacerbate it.
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korrents.com
Local self-provisioning cannot feed the world, because most people do not live within reach of enough fertile land.Their words
They show that, while agrarian localism might be great as far as it goes, it simply cannot, by itself, meet the challenge of feeding the world.
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korrents.com
Long-distance food transport is what stops a local harvest failure from becoming a famine.Their words
But without long-distance transport, many more would starve.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
Raising yields on land already farmed is what keeps farming from taking more of the wild world.Their words
It was achieved almost entirely through higher crop yields per hectare.
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Their words
In 2023, a world of 8.1 billion people suffers far less hunger and famine than the world of 3.2 billion did in 1963, the year of my birth.
3 October 2023
From one piece A Fertility Reckoning 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
the most likely identifiable scenario by which fertility will rise again is via the growth of currently-small insular high-fertility subgroups like the Amish and Orthodox Jews
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Their words
Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.
1 October 2023
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korrents.com
Returns for performance are superlinear rather than proportional across most domains that matter.Their words
One of the most important things I didn't understand about the world when I was a child is the degree to which the returns for performance are superlinear.
From one piece GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter? 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I am myself skeptical that there is a clearly defined notion of who “the right people” might be, and thus I am on public choice grounds far more skeptical of government than Keynes was.
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Their words
I view Keynes’s bisexuality and his strong interest in gay sex as a significant cause of what made him interesting and which gave him so strong an ability to grasp different and outside perspectives.
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Their words
I often like to say that all thinkers are regional thinkers, namely they are indelibly shaped by the circumstances they grew up in
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Their words
I don’t view Keynes primarily as an economist, rather I see him as a British aesthete rationalist who did economics in his spare time, and fortunately he had lots of spare time.
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Their words
And indeed overall that interaction fits with my more general reservation about Friedman: he wanted to make economics just a little bit too simple.
29 September 2023
28 September 2023
From one piece Mark Zuckerberg: First Interview in the Metaverse | Lex Fridman Podcast #398 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I don't think we necessarily want there to be one big super intelligence. We want to empower everyone to both have more fun, accomplish their business goals, just everything that they're trying to do. We don't tend to have one person that we work with on everything, and I don't think in the future we're going to have one AI that we work with.
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korrents.com
Screens, books, art and board games are all better as holograms you can summon and dismiss than as physical objects.Their words
I mean, any screen that you have can be a hologram, any media, in any book, art. It can basically be just as effective as a hologram, as a physical object. Any game that you're playing, a board game or any kind of physical game, cards, ping pong, things like that, they're often a lot better as holograms.
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korrents.com
By the end of the 2020s, walking into a room will mean seeing as many holograms as physical objects.Their words
And in that world, I think that there are going to be, not too far off, maybe by the end of this decade, we'll be living in a world where there are as many holograms when you walk into a room as there are physical objects.
+ 1 more
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korrents.com
The real world is not the physical world; it is the physical and digital worlds coming together into one experience.Their words
And I kind of think increasingly, the physical world is super important, but I actually think the real world is the combination of the physical world and the digital worlds coming together.
25 September 2023
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What is a korrent?
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