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Kit Yates Papers
Mathematical methods for scaling from within-host to population-scale in infectious disease systems
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11 September
10 September
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Their words
If there is a 3x productivity boost now, the correct assumption is that in the future the productivity boost, in places it carries over, will a lot more than 3x. Indeed, given how this scales, a better model might be in practice 10x or 100x or even 1,000x or more.
8 September
9 August
2 August
18 July
9 July
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korrents.com
People who choose a chronological feed are happy in the moment and measurably less satisfied months later.Their words
the individual who made that choice might be happy at the moment, but when you just get pummeled with stuff you're less interested in over the course of months, we ask, we run surveys at massive scales, we just see people start to become less and less satisfied with Instagram.
13 May
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Their words
we knew from experience that you cannot build good tooling without a type system. You can build decent tooling, but it's never going to scale. It's never going to scale to large teams cuz you can't describe your intents in in the code.
3 May
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Victorinox CompactTheir words
There is no perfect SAK, but the Compact is the best SAK. And this is not a "smartest Kardashian" scenario. Over the years I have genuinely loved carrying the Compact. Adding the pocket clip and the excellent PDW scales has made it one of my most frequently carried items.
22 April
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korrents.com
Replication earns its place even in a small system, because what it buys is fault tolerance rather than scale.Their words
And uh replication is still relevant even at smaller scales because that's for fault tolerance, that's not for scalability.
20 April
23 March
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Their words
And so the next scaling law is the agentic scaling law. It's kind of like multiplying AI. Multiplying AI, we could spin off agents as fast as you want to spin off agents. And so, you know, I… You know, I have four scaling laws.
20 March
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Their words
There isn't this cumulative process which is, uh, sort of built up interactively. Um, it it it seems to be a lot more trial and error and just repetition, brute force, um, you know, which can see it scales and it can work amazingly well in in certain contexts, um, but yeah, this this idea this this sort of building up cumulatively from, um, from partial progress is kind of is what's still not quite there yet.
13 February
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Their words
My one little bit, the one little bit of of fundamental uncertainty even on long time scales is this thing about tasks that aren't verifiable. Like, planning a mission to Mars, like, uh you know, doing some fundamental scientific discovery like like CRISPR, like, you know, writing a writing a novel. Hard to hard to verify those tasks.
8 December 2025
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Their words, before
we will see batteries aggressively displace transmission as the most cost-effective way to ensure continuity of electricity supply, leading to an eventual pruning of the grid and drastic reduction in the average distance that power travels between production and consumption, even as the average time that power is stored increases.
Their words now
Do we need to drastically expand the grid in order to metabolize renewables? No.
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Their words
Do we need to drastically expand the grid in order to metabolize renewables? No.
30 October 2025
15 August 2025
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Their words
But then all you need to connect that to the outside world is like an optical fiber, right? An optical fiber cable which you can string up on poles, you can run underground, you could even use microwave links if you really wanted to.
23 July 2025
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Their words
I think fusion and solar are the two that I would bet on. Solar, I mean it's the fusion reactor in the sky of course, and I think really the problem there is batteries and transmission.
29 May 2025
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Their words
Infectious diseases as a category receive vastly less R&D spending from industry than non-communicable diseases, per death they cause, because they disproportionately kill people in lower- and middle-income countries where the payoff for making a cure is less lucrative.
A Quantitative Approach to Vaccine Fundingblog.jacobtrefethen.com
8 May 2025
5 May 2025
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Their words
I think that this is suggesting that there might not be a theory of quantum gravity, that gravity will emerge at a macroscopic level, out of quantum phenomena. Now, we don’t know how to do that yet, but these are all hints.
30 September 2024
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korrents.com
A civilization that advanced and that large would have left something behind, and archaeologists find fish scales.Their words
And archeologists, all of our ideas are theories. Very few of them are facts, and we could have the story wrong, but one thing we’re real good at is finding stuff. We find fish scales, so I find it just too big a pill to swallow that there was a civilization that was that technologically advanced and that large that we can’t even find a potsherd from.
21 May 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Infectious GenerosityTheir words
If you want to help create a more generous world but don’t know where to start, Infectious Generosity is the book for you.
8 May 2024
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Their words
Both the genome sequences of pandemic viruses and step-by-step protocols to make infectious samples from synthetic DNA are now freely available online.
16 March 2024
3 December 2023
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korrents.com
It is dark matter, not ordinary matter, that drives galaxy formation; ordinary matter just comes along with it.Their words
In fact, dark matter is in some sense more important because it can collapse more readily than ordinary matter because ordinary matter has radiative forces, which makes it hard to collapse on small scales. Actually it’s dark matter that drives galaxy formation and then ordinary matter comes along with it.
10 November 2023
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Their words
The primary driver of increased impact, longer time scales before displacement, and catastrophically high levels of avoidable pollution is environmental protection regulations.
1 September 2023
4 July 2023
1 December 2021
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