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korrents.com
Anthropic prices its Claude subscription plans as loss leaders relative to its own API rates.Their words
The subscription tiers are still enormous loss leaders: $20/month for your first $200/month of tokens at API rates for the "Pro" tier, and $100 or $200/month for your first $1500 or $3000/month of tokens at the "Max 5x" or "Max 20x" tiers.
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The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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19 September
18 September
16 September
13 September
12 September
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korrents.com
The benefits to economic science from AI will be enormous, even if current practitioners cannot foresee most of themTheir words
I expect the benefits to economic science from AI will be enormous, even if current practitioners cannot foresee most of those benefits today.
11 September
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Their words
They see what needs to happen but don’t want to be the bad guy. I’m happy to just make the call if I agree with the premise. Saves enormous amounts of meetings and change management etc.
10 September
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Their words
It still seems in expected value terms, Christ made an enormous difference.
9 September
- New repobutton-challenge
8 September
3 September
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Their words
Everyone always asks me like with all this AI is anything still the same? And the answer is so far almost everything is exactly the same. The only weird The only weird new thing is that companies have these giant AI bills.
2 September
30 August
29 August
26 August
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Their words
when you're working with a lot of data, the the difference can be massive if you structure it in one way versus structuring another way, right? Again, architectural decisions that have nothing to do with hotspots, they're how all the data is laid out and what the access pattern is, right?
25 August
20 August
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Their words
so I'm in the camp that like continuity is greatly important. And so people will accept significant drift in their identity over time as long as they have continuity.
19 August
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Their words
Humans are humans are are shockingly simple, you know, uh, if you think about the experience you have with somebody that's just trying to cross the street, if, uh, you know, if the light doesn't turn, you know, doesn't say they can walk fast enough, they'll just keep hitting that button. That's the same experience they have on the internet.
15 August
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Their words
The alternative way that you can reduce risk is actually just reducing consequence, right? And we would argue that that's a much better way to reduce risk. Odds uh are stochastic, right? Even if you do an enormous amount of risk reduction on odds and you do all this engineering, something's still going to happen, right? like just something's going to come out of left field and you can't predict everything.
14 August
13 August
11 August
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Their words
I think this constitution is in some sense very compatible with Claude doing huge amounts of power seeking because it thinks that will result in better outcomes.
9 August
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korrents.com
The ethical failure in using AI to write is publishing unread, unowned work, not using the tool itself.Their words
The transgression isn't using the machine. It's hitting a button, not reading what comes back, and publishing it under your name.
6 August
3 August
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Their words
Are parents better people? Not really. Parental love directs enormous concern toward a few particular people, leaving less for everyone else.
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korrents.com
In the physical world a model's mistake is measured in human lives rather than tokens, and there is no retry button.Their words
In the physical world, the cost of a mistake can be measured in human lives, not tokens. There's simply not an undo and a retry button.
31 July
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Their words
there still seems to be an enormous premium on cognitive ability. And so, I wouldn't I I I I think, um, renouncing that before there's evidence that we've saturated, uh, those benefits would be premature.
29 July
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Their words
The transformation to come will be decidedly nonlinear, meaning it will not occur as small impacts over many years but rather a series of infrequent, huge events of enormous destructive power.
16 July
14 July
10 July
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Their words
Once you commit to HTML, an enormous amount of complexity simply evaporates.
29 June
24 June
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Their words
Like me looking at their site for 5 minutes, I can articulate things about their design better than they can. And it's just disappointing. It's like I don't think that's like a matter of intelligence. I don't think it is. I think it's a matter of like effort and caring and probably skill set as well.
18 June
17 June
14 June
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korrents.com
There is enormous unmet demand for social, because the social products people already use have lost their adrenaline.Their words
I believe that we have beyond a latent demand for social we are being social right online. We are on Snapchat and Instagram and and Tik Tok, but I believe it's it's lost the adrenaline.
12 June
4 June
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Their words
things have to go really wrong for us to like just get over the threshold of uh you know, capital being productive enough to automate lots of work, but not be productive enough that that the interest rate is high and or the price of capital produced goods is falling a lot, okay? So, even without redistribution, a little bit of savings will save a lot of people.
27 May
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Their words
The boring truth is that expertise in most subjects is largely a matter of having an enormous library of knowledge and skill.
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Their words
You give them a button that lets them do their work faster. The natural place for them to do is hit that button as much as possible, do the same amount of work, and just cash in that extra time, right? Which makes total sense.
12 May
15 April
From one piece Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
We have got to acknowledge that most of the advanc advances in AI came out of algorithm advances not just the raw hardware. Now if most advances came from algorithms and computer science and programming tell me that their army of AI researchers is not their fundamental advantage.
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Their words
Computing is not like that. There's a reason why the x86 still exists. There's a reason why ARM is so sticky. These ecosystems, these ecosystems are hard to replace. It costs an enormous amount of time and energy and most people don't want to do it.
4 April
1 April
11 March
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Their words
And what makes an MMO, massively multiplayer online game, massive is having the other people there. And they’re so important or else the world feels kind of wrong and dead. But the concept that we have to force you to interact with them to do anything is very off-putting to a lot of people.
12 February
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Their words
I know I have one blog post where I say, "I don't read the code." But if you read it more closely, I mean, I don't read the boring parts of code.
8 February
20 January
7 January
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korrents.com
A consumer fraud dispute is decided by a support agent in about three minutes, not by anything resembling a trial.Their words
It is a CSR clicking a button on their web app’s interface after 3 minutes of consideration, and then entire evidentiary record often fits in a tweet.
One Regulation E, Two Very Different Regimesbitsaboutmoney.com
9 December 2025
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Their words
Given the vast potential of AI but also the large number of enormous unknowns, I think virtually no one can say for sure.
25 November 2025
26 October 2025
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Their words
But politics aside, what’s notable about that 2001 report, put together by men who regarded themselves as hard-headed realists, is that it envisaged an energy future reliant almost entirely on fossil fuels plus a bit of nuclear energy.
17 October 2025
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Their words
Um so I almost feel like because the internet is so terrible, we actually have to sort of like build really big models to compress all that. Uh most of that compression is memory work instead of like cognitive work. But what we really want is the cognitive part actually delete the memory
21 September 2025
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Their words
So the funny thing, my funny answer to this is I don't actually think a lot of the fast growing companies are using data well at this point. And the main reason why is because traditionally things just didn't grow that fast.
18 September 2025
From one piece ACQ2: How to Live in Everyone Else's Future (with Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
However, we are actually absolutely doing this. It's just the great works are kernels of operating systems, the browser, the um lots of the software platforms, the phones, the um the incredible advances in uh silicon lithography
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Their words
no one carries the full legitimacy inside of a company. Legitimacy is a currency in a companies. No one carries the full legitimacy in a company, even the CEO. The CEO just has a lot of input on the plan. The plan carries the legitimacy.
17 September 2025
2 September 2025
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Their words
I think it's actually the opposite which is that everyone's kind of using the same data which is you need such an enormous amount of generalized text that the amount that Google has or that meta has is not actually enough to move to be a kind of fundamental difference in what you can train with.
13 August 2025
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korrents.com
Having banked almost everyone does not entitle banks to a fee on every transaction in society.Their words
We have made enormous strides, both from the financial industry and civil society, in banking almost everyone.
9 August 2025
2 August 2025
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Their words
Going all in on AI is not the highest return-on-investment strategy if you care about human flourishing, even if AI might lead to rapid scientific advances.
AI will not suddenly lead to an Alzheimer's cureblog.jacobtrefethen.com
23 July 2025
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Their words
And Meta right now are not at the frontier. Maybe they'll manage to get back on there and it's probably rational what they're doing from their perspective because they're behind and they need to do something. But I think there's more important things than just money.
3 June 2025
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Their words
It actually means that to make it easier for users to transition from something they were used to — in this case, phones typically being slabs with a grid of buttons on them — to what things had become — phones were all-screen, so they could show any kind of button or interface imaginable.
24 May 2025
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Their words
He might have amazing attention to detail, he might be able to understand, have an enormous capacity to remember units and where they are on a map, but he was only a half corporal in the First World war. He’s never been to staff college.
20 April 2025
4 April 2025
9 February 2025
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korrents.com
People will find new kinds of useful work as AI advances, though it will not resemble the jobs of today.Their words
We will find new things to do, new ways to be useful to each other, and new ways to compete, but they may not look very much like the jobs of today.
22 December 2024
From one piece Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So, we could be fooled into thinking like, "Oh, technology's going to go on forever, we're always going to find new advances." As opposed to sometimes things just flatten out for a long time. So, you have to be careful about that bias that we have living in this time of great acceleration.
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Their words
Many of them try to pretend the measurement problem isn't there. Go to enormous lengths like the many-worlds interpretation, literally inventing an infinite number of unobservable parallel universes to avoid the thing that quantum mechanics is telling them, which is that measurements matter.
5 September 2024
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korrents.com
Wartime shipbuilding surges have never left America with a commercial shipbuilding industry afterwards.Their words
But the U.S. again failed to transform its enormous shipbuilding effort into a successful commercial shipbuilding industry.
3 September 2024
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korrents.com
Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient.Their words
Above I dismissed the notion that technological advances should make the market more efficient in all but the short-term sense. Here, I argue it likely goes the other way at longer horizons. And, IMHO, this is the best of my three hypotheses.
31 August 2024
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korrents.com
Art is what results from making an enormous number of choices, and a prompt contains almost none of them.Their words
But let me offer a generalization: art is something that results from making a lot of choices.
22 August 2024
25 May 2024
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Their words
So it gives us this enormous amount of flexibility to stop on a dime and change, without having to erase everything we’ve already learned. And that solution is incredibly powerful, because it gives you the ability to learn from so much less information, really, and it gives you that flexibility. So one of the things I think that makes humans great is having both episodic and semantic memory.
10 May 2024
3 May 2024
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korrents.com
The same law that made chips cheaper made the factories that produce them enormously more expensive.Their words
These enormous costs are ultimately due to the same factor that has steadily driven down the cost of semiconductors: Moore’s Law, the observation that the number of components on an integrated circuit tends to double every two years.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
22 April 2024
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Their words
I think that Nobel Prize has enormous problems. I think it’s probably a net good for the world because it brings attention to good science. I think it’s probably a net negative for science because it makes people want to win the Nobel Prize.
21 December 2023
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Their words
Diverting attention and resources from global health and poverty is an enormous gamble, as it will make many lives poorer, sicker, and shorter in the name of fending off threats that may or may not materialize.
29 June 2023
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Their words
Everyone who talks about AI talks about the button, the button to turn it off, right? Do we have a button to turn off Google? Is anybody in the world capable of shutting Google down?
14 March 2023
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korrents.com
Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.Their words
Even when we understand the words, and even when we trust them, we still have another eject button: we assume they don’t apply to us.
You can't reach the brain through the earsexperimental-history.com
3 November 2022
8 October 2022
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korrents.com
The three-year bet about whether AI image models could handle compositionality was won in three months.Their words, before
In fact, not only did they reach this level in three months, but probably they were at this level before the bet was even made
Their words now
I retract my claim to have won and will continue to see how AI progress advances over the next three years.
10 June 2022
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korrents.com
The field calling itself AI safety is not being remotely productive on the problems that are actually lethal.Their words
It does not appear to me that the field of ‘AI safety’ is currently being remotely productive on tackling its enormous lethal problems.
5 November 2021
1 August 2021
15 July 2021
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Their words
Despite these advances, contemporary physical and evolutionary-history-based approaches produce predictions that are far short of experimental accuracy in the majority of cases in which a close homologue has not been solved experimentally and this has limited their utility for many biological applications.
14 April 2021
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Their words
Clearly something other than the current type of healthcare advances will be needed to crack through the natural human lifespan ceiling-it'll take some deeper recoding of the human genome.
1 February 2021
24 July 2020
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Their words
There is a ton of food in this countryside (nearly everyone is producing it) but hardly any surplus.
24 June 2020
1 August 2018
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Their words, before
One thing that I think hasn’t gotten enough attention is the fact that NuSI staff, particularly Attia, paid themselves enormous salaries while they were at NuSI
Their words now
NuSI executives didn’t set their own compensation, as I and others have implied.
13 June 2018
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Their words
Open source projects on GitHub represent billions of dollars in value creation, but none of that is captured on GitHub.
6 September 2017
Nothing matches.
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