Kit Yates

Where they publish

• Site kityates.com His personal site: books, research on mathematical biology, media and outreach.

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  Link verified 5 Sept 2026.

• x.com @Kit_Yates_Maths Posts on maths in public life, epidemic modelling and his books.

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  Recent

  • A lack of PPE meant staff had to resort to workarounds, including bin bags, festival waterproof ponchos and painters' overalls. The report is also critical of the way hospital COVID patients were moved to care homes to make space for others. 20 Oct 2026 bbc.co.uk
  • When Matt Hancock said that the government had put a “protective ring around care homes from the very start” we all knew it was not true. The Covid Inquiry has now backed this up criticising his claim as "unfounded". 20 Oct 2026 bbc.co.uk
  • The Covid Inquiry’s Module 6 report is devastating. Its central conclusion: adult social care was treated as “something of an afterthought”, while “protecting the NHS” sometimes came at the expense of people receiving and providing care. 1/10 20 Oct 2026

  Show 17 more

  • Last night Justin Seven-seven scored in the 77th minute for West Brom against Sutton United. Lucky numbers right? But this isn't even the first time that sort of thing has happened... 1/4 15 Oct 2026
  • Wait. You test every sip of my drinking water half a million times? That’s a lot of tests. 14 Oct 2026
  • “in other words, we still have no idea what is going on” 13 Oct 2026 rasmussenretorts.substack.com
  • Lots of people have been asking my opinion, as a fan, on the Man City Guilty verdicts. So I wrote this to explain what I feel about it and why I won't be getting myself too upset. 10 Oct 2026 kityates.substack.com
  • Who doesn't love a good spreadsheet error. Especially when it informs policy. Wonderful. 9 Oct 2026 theguardian.com
  • "In England, all key indicators increased this week indicating a low but increasing risk of Covid. Test positivity rates are continue to remain highest in London, the West Mids, and Yorkshire & Humberside. Whilst Flu activity is low it is rising earlier than previous years." 1/2 8 Oct 2026
  • "The World Health ​Organization said on Wednesday it had asked Russia for more information about what killed a plague institute worker in Siberia, ‌but the Kremlin said Moscow had shared what it knew and accused the media of spreading lies." Hmmm https://t.co/Mo0N7gRia7 1/2 7 Oct 2026
  • “Unconfirmed reports suggested the woman fell ill either after breaking a test tube containing the pathogen or following a field trip to a region where plague occurs naturally among wild rodents.” 6 Oct 2026 bbc.co.uk
  • "The U.S. State Department is monitoring a reportedly fatal case of "pneumonia of an unknown etiology" linked to a plague research laboratory in Russia." 5 Oct 2026 abcnews.com
  • "Nearly 200 people have been placed under medical observation in Russia’s Irkutsk region in eastern Siberia over suspected exposure to plague, according to local media reports." 5 Oct 2026 cnbc.com
  • "Several hospitals in Siberia have been placed under quarantine after the death of a woman who worked at an anti-plague institute." "Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported on Monday that several hospitals in Irkutsk had been placed under quarantine." 5 Oct 2026 theguardian.com
  • Delighted to see Hannah Fry's debut on Celebrity Traitors last night. Doing it for all the mathematicians and self-confessed nerds out there. She's one of our own. 2 Oct 2026
  • The water company said in a statement after sentencing: "We apologise for what happened in the past." Presumably that's only because they can't yet apologise for the sewage spills in the future? 29 Sept 2026 bbc.co.uk
  • I’m trying to buy Oasis tickets and my Man City look like they’re getting relegated. Feels like I’m 14 years old again. 26 Sept 2026
  • I was on BBC Inside Science on Thursday as Presenter's Friend. We talked about Leap seconds being on borrowed time, a ‘fire-loving’ amoeba and taking the temperature of T. rex. You can read all about it on my substack here: https://t.co/WyFysX2gpc 1/2 26 Sept 2026
  • I was on BBC Inside Science yesterday as presenter's friend. We talked about leap seconds being on borrowed time, a ‘fire-loving’ amoeba and taking the temperature of T. rex. You can catch up with it here: 25 Sept 2026 bbc.co.uk
  • I'm on @BBCRadio4's Inside Science again this afternoon at 16:30. This week I’m going to be finding out exactly how much of a hot-blooded predator T-rex really was and detailing a new record temperature for the survival of "complex life". Check it out: 24 Sept 2026 bbc.co.uk

  Link verified 5 Sept 2026. Recent items update automatically from the channel.

• Bluesky @kityates.bsky.social Day-to-day posting.

  Open bsky.app

  Recent

  • A lack of PPE meant staff had to resort to workarounds, including bin bags, festival waterproof ponchos and painters' overalls. The report is also critical of the way hospital COVID patients were moved to care homes to make space for others. 20 Oct 2026
  • When Matt Hancock said that the government had put a “protective ring around care homes from the very start” we all knew it was not true. The Covid Inquiry has now backed this up criticising his claim as "unfounded". 20 Oct 2026
  • The Covid Inquiry’s Module 6 report is devastating. Its central conclusion: adult social care was treated as “something of an afterthought”, while “protecting the NHS” sometimes came at the expense of people receiving and providing care. 1/10 20 Oct 2026

  Show 17 more

  • Last night Justin Seven-seven scored in the 77th minute for West Brom against Sutton United. Lucky numbers right? But this isn't even the first time that sort of thing has happened... 1/4 15 Oct 2026
  • “in other words, we still have no idea what is going on” 13 Oct 2026
  • Lots of people have been asking my opinion, as a fan, on the Man City Guilty verdicts. So I wrote this to explain what I feel about it and why I won't be getting myself too upset. 10 Oct 2026
  • Who doesn't love a good spreadsheet error. Especially when it informs policy. Wonderful. 9 Oct 2026
  • "In England, all key indicators increased this week indicating a low but increasing risk of Covid. Test positivity rates are continue to remain highest in London, the West Mids, and Yorkshire & Humberside. Whilst Flu activity is low it is rising earlier than previous years." 1/2 8 Oct 2026
  • “Unconfirmed reports suggested the woman fell ill either after breaking a test tube containing the pathogen or following a field trip to a region where plague occurs naturally among wild rodents.” 6 Oct 2026
  • "The U.S. State Department is monitoring a reportedly fatal case of "pneumonia of an unknown etiology" linked to a plague research laboratory in Russia." 5 Oct 2026
  • "Nearly 200 people have been placed under medical observation in Russia’s Irkutsk region in eastern Siberia over suspected exposure to plague, according to local media reports." 5 Oct 2026
  • "Several hospitals in Siberia have been placed under quarantine after the death of a woman who worked at an anti-plague institute." "Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported on Monday that several hospitals in Irkutsk had been placed under quarantine." 5 Oct 2026
  • Delighted to see Hannah Fry's debut on Celebrity Traitors last night. Doing it for all the mathematicians and self-confessed nerds out there. She's one of our own. 2 Oct 2026
  • The water company said in a statement after sentencing: "We apologise for what happened in the past." Presumably that's only because they can't yet apologise for the sewage spills in the future? 29 Sept 2026
  • I’m trying to buy Oasis tickets and my Man City look like they’re getting relegated. Feels like I’m 14 years old again. 26 Sept 2026
  • I was on BBC Inside Science on Thursday as Presenter's Friend. We talked about Leap seconds being on borrowed time, a ‘fire-loving’ amoeba and taking the temperature of T. rex. You can read all about it on my substack here: kityates.substack.co... 1/2 26 Sept 2026
  • Interesting ratios. 25 Sept 2026
  • I was on BBC Inside Science yesterday as presenter's friend. We talked about leap seconds being on borrowed time, a ‘fire-loving’ amoeba and taking the temperature of T. rex. You can catch up with it here: 25 Sept 2026
  • I'm on @BBCRadio4's Inside Science again this afternoon at 16:30. This week I’m going to be finding out exactly how much of a hot-blooded predator T-rex really was and detailing a new record temperature for the survival of "complex life". Check it out: 24 Sept 2026
  • I suspect she’ll be hearing about this from Oasis. 24 Sept 2026

  Link verified 5 Sept 2026. Recent items update automatically from the channel.

• Papers ORCID Their ORCID record: peer-reviewed papers, newest first.

  Academic papers, most recent first, restricted to open-access articles published in an identified journal. Fetched live from OpenAlex, keyed by this ORCID.

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  Recent

  • Multistage volume exclusion models for cell proliferation 14 Sept 2026 Cell proliferation and cell movement are fundamentally stochastic processes which lead to variability in the growth and spatial structure of cell populations in many biological settings, such as cell invasion, wound hea…
  • An Agent-Based Modelling Approach to Investigate the Impact of Sex and Gender on Tuberculosis Transmission: A Case Study of Kampala, Uganda 10 Sept 2026 Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne disease caused by the pathogen Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In 2023, it returned to being the leading cause of death from an infectious agent globally, replacing COVID-19. More than 10 mi…
  • Consensus Formation and Change are Enhanced by Neutrality 22 Mar 2026 Effective collective decision-making in human and animal groups requires robust mechanisms for consensus formation and change, typically via feedback loops in which individuals adapt their behavior and opinions based on…

  Show 17 more

  • The Spatial Regime Conversion Method 26 Oct 2025 We present the spatial regime conversion method (SRCM), a novel hybrid modelling framework for simulating reaction–diffusion systems that adaptively combines stochastic discrete and deterministic continuum representatio…
  • We are falling short of the critical immunisation threshold to protect against measles 22 Jul 2025 against measlesKit Yates professor of mathematical biology and public engagement
  • Standing up for science in an age of political interference 31 Mar 2025
  • Modeling adhesion in stochastic and mean-field models of cell migration 21 Jan 2025 Adhesion between cells plays an important role in many biological processes such as tissue morphogenesis and homeostasis, wound healing, and cancer cell metastasis. From a mathematical perspective, adhesion between mult…
  • Independent SAGE as an example of effective public dialogue on scientific research 12 Dec 2024
  • Weakly nonlinear analysis of minimal models for Turing patterns 19 Nov 2024
  • Foresight approaches for future health shocks: integration into policy making and accompanying research priorities 7 Oct 2024 Christina Pagel and colleagues argue that foresight approaches are key to preparedness for emergencies such as covid-19 and that these must be integrated within policy making at all levels
  • A stochastic model of ant trail formation and maintenance in static and dynamic environments 13 Apr 2024 Colonies of ants can complete complex tasks without the need for centralised control as a result of interactions between individuals and their environment. Particularly remarkable is the process of path selection betwee…
  • Minimal reaction schemes for pattern formation 1 Feb 2024 We link continuum models of reaction-diffusion systems that exhibit diffusion-driven instability to constraints on the particle-scale interactions underpinning this instability. While innumerable biological, chemical an…
  • Dynamics of information networks 30 Nov 2023 We explore a simple model of network dynamics which has previously been applied to the study of information flow in the context of epidemic spreading. A random rooted network is constructed that evolves according to the…
  • Mathematical methods for scaling from within-host to population-scale in infectious disease systems 30 Oct 2023 Mathematical modellers model infectious disease dynamics at different scales. Within-host models represent the spread of pathogens inside an individual, whilst between-host models track transmission between individuals.…
  • Rapid mechanosensitive migration and dispersal of newly divided mesenchymal cells aid their recruitment into dermal condensates 25 Sept 2023 Embryonic mesenchymal cells are dispersed within an extracellular matrix but can coalesce to form condensates with key developmental roles. Cells within condensates undergo fate and morphological changes and induce cell…
  • The regime-conversion method: a hybrid technique for simulating well-mixed chemical reaction networks 7 Sept 2023 There exist several methods for simulating biological and physical systems as represented by chemical reaction networks. Systems with low numbers of particles are frequently modeled as discrete-state Markov jump process…
  • Swapping in lattice-based cell migration models 27 Apr 2023 Cell migration is frequently modeled using on-lattice agent-based models (ABMs) that employ the excluded volume interaction. However, cells are also capable of exhibiting more complex cell-cell interactions, such as adh…
  • Stochastic drift in discrete waves of nonlocally interacting particles 18 Jan 2023 In this paper, we investigate a generalized model of N particles undergoing second-order nonlocal interactions on a lattice. Our results have applications across many research areas, including the modeling of migration,…
  • A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat 3 Nov 2022 Despite notable scientific and medical advances, broader political, socioeconomic and behavioural factors continue to undercut the response to the COVID-19 pandemic1,2. Here we convened, as part of this Delphi study, a…
  • The NHS is facing the bleakest midwinter 24 Oct 2022 With the NHS caught in a vicious cycle of connected pressures, we are heading for a very bleak midwinter, say Christina Pagel and Christian A Yates

  Link verified 9 Sept 2026. Recent items update automatically from the channel.