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20 September
Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.
Most of who is willing to debate whom is judgments of relative status. We'll debate someone much higher, but not much lower. Quoting @GaryMarcus @JeffLadish @sapinker either scott should debate someone like me or admit he can’t defend his positions. Related
18 September
President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.
I am proud to announce that, effective immediately, I am banning Fake News CNN, MSNOW (who recently changed their name from MSNBC due to lack of viewership and credibility!), and Politico (The recipients of an illegal and ridiculous $8 Million Dollar subscription, an All Time Record, directly from the United States Government, under Crooked Joe Biden, in order to keep them “alive.” Seems like corruption to me!), from the White House as a result of their constant “reporting” FAKE NEWS! Media Outlets shouldn’t be able to constantly write or report FICTION and LIES when they’re covering the Pres… America government Related
Professor at Wharton studying how people actually use AI, and author of Co-Intelligence. Writes One Useful Thing, where the claims are dated and testable because the thing they describe keeps changing under them.
17 September
Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.
ZCash is having a governance debate thanks to @maxdesalle, @zooko, @matthuang and others. It's a perennial debate because everything DeSalle says about the weakness of governance institutions is correct and yet when it comes to public goods, externalities and increasing returns--all of which are critical for ZCash-there is very little choice but a governance institution. N.B. All DeSalle says also applies to firms! Firms are islands of central planning. Central planning is inefficient. So shouldn't people who appreciate markets want to get rid of firms?! No. The boundary between firms and the… Quoting @matthuang A few thoughts on ZCash (disclosure: Paradigm is an investor in ZEC and ZODL): - All blockchain ecosystems struggle with long-term funding, especially of public goods, and an inflation-funded developer fund is an elegant mechanism to do so. How this fund is allocated is a fair debate, and we should… Related
Former options market maker who writes Moontower, a newsletter on trading, volatility, decision-making and how to think about risk outside markets too.
Co-sign Dave & Jon are media personalities with pointed views because that travels even though plenty of room for reasonable debate in between. For most of us debate is a waste of time. We have bills to pay not crusades to fight. Pick whatever view makes your life better. Related
Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.
I asked this question as someone I might debate claimed that God existing is an example of an unverifiable fact, for which one needn't have probabilities. Quoting @robinhanson Do you think it is possible, if God exists, that he (or she or whatever) could clearly prove to you that he exists? So that you'd then assign >99.9% chance to his existing? Related
16 September
Psychologist and writer. Author of the memoir Troubled: A Memoir of Foster Care, Family, and Social Class, and of a newsletter on human nature, psychology, social class and what he calls luxury beliefs.
Envy and competition is often disguised as a debate about politics and progress: robkhenderson.com
Quoting @TwinOfTiger The Sydney Sweeney thing is hilarious cos this generation (generation as in current norms not age) uses politics to mask jealousy. Society needs to go back to open hating. Own it and stop tryna trick somebody 😂😂 Related
Writes Slow Boring, a near-daily newsletter on American politics and public policy; co-founded Vox in 2014 and left it in 2020.
15 September
Former option trader and risk analyst, now a distinguished professor at NYU. Author of the Incerto essay series, including The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness.
Zalloua @PZalloua while visiting The Republic of Amioun nervously preparing for the debate. Quoting @nntaleb Preparing for a discussion on the "Evolution of Lebanese Identities" Sept 17, at the Corm Palazzo, with @AlbertKostanian and @PZalloua. @Grok cher ami, please provide a bibliography for the below. Related
14 September
Self-taught home cook and food writer who has run the Smitten Kitchen recipe site since 2006; author of four cookbooks.
This week's Smitten Kitchen Digest celebrates 20 years of SK with a love letter to the people (you, yes you!) who have made it possible and a list of what I consider the 20 most iconic site recipes to date. Tell me if there are any I missed. Cheers! Related
13 September
Web designer and writer; founded A List Apart and Happy Cog, co-founded the An Event Apart conference, and wrote Designing With Web Standards.
The 25 Photos That Changed Fashion Forever Two photographers, a fashion designer, a stylist, a creative director, an editor and a supermodel debate the images that have had an indelible impact on how we dress. nytimes.com
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Co-founder of AngelList. Writes and podcasts at nav.al in short, aphoristic pieces on startups, wealth and judgement rather than long essays.
Their words
Strong liability enforcement could be helpful in the AI debate. If your agent swarm goes rogue, you’re liable. If your weakly protected model gets jailbroken, you’re liable. If you serve a weakly protected OSS model, you’re liable.
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@naval on X x.com
12 September
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.
11 September
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
A propos nothing (or maybe not). First, an oped arguing the earth is flat. Journalists, who smell a good fight, set up a debate. They invite the flat earth guy and find a round earth one willing to come and debate. The flat earth guy explains that, if the earth was round, people on the other side would be walking upward down or would fall. This is just common sense. The round earth guy explains that there is something called gravity, and so this is not what happens. The flat earth guy says that this is all high brow academic stuff, and common sense should rule the day. Anyway, he says, there… Related
Computer science professor who works on fast data processing; co-author of the simdjson parser and a weekly blogger about software performance since 2004.
Mathematicians are unhappy about OpenAI. The gist of their argument is that they form a community that trains young people. When AI started producing breakthroughs on hard mathematical problems, I asked what a very smart 17-year-old would feel. Do you still choose a math major and train yourself to prove difficult results by hand? This crisis has been coming for a long time. When I was a kid, the four-colour theorem was proved by a computer, in 1976. An intense debate followed. Does it count as a proof? I wrote my PhD thesis using symbolic algebra software. To my knowledge, nobody then would… Quoting @TheEconomist 24 Fields Medal winners have written a letter of objection OpenAI Related
Interviewer; the Dwarkesh Podcast runs long, heavily researched conversations with AI researchers, historians and economists.
Writes The Pragmatic Engineer, the software-engineering newsletter, and wrote The Software Engineer's Guidebook. Formerly an engineering manager at Uber, and at Microsoft/Skype and Skyscanner before that.
A couple of trends I'm seeing across the industry. Which ones are you observing that I missed? Related
Machine-learning researcher on open language models; writes the Interconnects newsletter and the RLHF Book, after leading post-training at Ai2.
9 September
Founder of Farnam Street (fs.blog) and host of The Knowledge Project podcast. Writes and curates on decision-making, mental models and rational thinking.
The Bill Gates-Steve Jobs rivalry. "These two guys, they would, they would take a crap on each other at any chance they could." They were polar opposites. The core of the debate was open vs closed systems. "If you were sitting around in 1995 ... You would have thought that the open system makes more sense. Bill Gates and Microsoft are the future. But if you're sitting around in 2026 and looking at all this, it looks more like the closed ecosystem, the Apple ecosystem, is actually the success." Quoting @shaneparrish Steve Jobs almost disappeared from history. After being ousted from Apple, he spent 12 years struggling. He: • Alienated the people closest to him • Blew up deals that could have saved his company • Refused to compromise • Drove away his co-founders and investors • Burned through hundreds of millio… Related
8 September
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
RE: https://social.jvns.ca/@b0rk/117156827501888321 in case you missed it: wizard zines is now shipping European orders from Europe! Europe Related
Australian moral philosopher, Professor of Bioethics emeritus at Princeton University; author of Animal Liberation, Practical Ethics and The Life You Can Save.
Do we need God in order to have objective reasons for acting morally? I discussed this question with Christian thinker Andy Bannister in a wide-ranging debate about ethics, religion and what gives human life value. Watch the full debate, “Do we need God to be good?”: youtube.com
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Writer of the personal-finance blog Of Dollars And Data and author of Just Keep Buying and The Wealth Ladder. Chief Operating Officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management.
Mathematician and Senior Lecturer in the Mathematics department at Columbia University. Author of the book Not Even Wrong and of the long-running physics blog of the same name.
3 September
Builds developer tools — SST, and now OpenCode at Anomaly. Posts constantly on x.com and writes almost never; the blog stopped in 2021.
Their words
muse spark 1.3 reminding me how much i missed fast models
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x.com
1 September
Technical staff at METR, where she works on threat modelling and risk assessment for loss-of-control risks from advanced AI.
Their words
But if there was some amount of cheating that the monitor didn't catch, then those rollouts wouldn't be removed. And it might be like structurally very analogous to just positively reinforcing whatever the cheating rollouts were that happened not to be caught by your monitor.
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youtube.com
30 August
Software engineer at PlanetScale and creator of the vim-go plugin. Writes at arslan.io about Go, tooling, industrial design and books.
It's so great to be back at home! I missed my desk and office. Related
25 August
Essayist; writes Astral Codex Ten, previously Slate Star Codex.
20 August
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
It has been less than four years, since ChatGPT made its public debut, but talk of AI has taken over business, investing and even personal conversations. The AI debate, though, has gone off the tracks as people talk past each other and distractions about. My attempt to make sense of it all: bit.ly
OpenAI Related
18 August
Writes on effective altruism, energy and the arithmetic behind arguments people repeat — including how much electricity a chatbot query actually uses.
15 August
Founder and CEO of Valar Atomics, a nuclear-reactor company founded in 2023.
Their words
what was missing is that people did not realize that you're going to have to pursue that model through hardware iteration. And that's where really where Valor is unique is that yes, we believe in SMRs, we believe in reactors that are manufactured, but we also know that in order to get there, you have to do it through hardware iteration.
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youtube.com
11 August
Web developer and writer; an early GitHub employee, author of speaking.io and of widely read essays on startups and product.
Bluesky MRI results came back today from a human doc: a herniated disc. Obviously I had tossed the raw scans in to LLMs last week; Opus and Fable missed it, Sol caught it. This is now the gold standard in analyzing performance of frontier models. First step: herniate your back. LLMs Related
x.com MRI results came back today from a human doc: a herniated disc. Obviously I had tossed the raw scans in to LLMs last week; Opus and Fable missed it, Sol caught it. This is now the gold standard in analyzing performance of frontier models. First step: herniate your back. LLMs Related
Writer and illustrator behind Wait But Why, a long-form blog of stick-figure-illustrated explainers on science, technology and society, and author of the book What's Our Problem?
Abortion is an eternal debate but can we at least agree that the really extreme positions (“a 15-year-old girl who gets pregnant cannot have an abortion 2 days later” / “a healthy 38-week fetus can be induced and killed instead of given up for adoption”) are just mad? Quoting @LifeNewsHQ Massachusetts Governor Maura Healey signs the bill for abortions up to birth as Democrats celebrate. Related
10 August
Software engineer at PlanetScale and creator of the vim-go plugin. Writes at arslan.io about Go, tooling, industrial design and books.
Their words
Nobody writes the code anymore. Instead you're basically planning, debating, implementing and reviewing with Agents.
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Joining Cursor arslan.io
29 July
Professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M; writes The Climate Brink with Zeke Hausfather.
Founder of Scale AI and, since 2025, Chief AI Officer at Meta, where he leads the company’s superintelligence lab.
AI alignment
Their words
so much of that debate is like I think um in some ways uh a little bit of a waste of time because, you know, I think it's inevitable that we're going to have very powerful models
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youtube.com
28 July
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
I spent the last academic year (Sept 25-June 26) on sabbatical, looking after my baby granddaughter, and I loved every moment. I missed teaching, though, and I will be back in the classroom in spring 2027. In the meantime, I will be on the road in Latin America, Europe and Asia in 2026. bit.ly
Europe America Related
17 July
Climate journalist; founded HEATED in 2019 after reporting on climate at The New Republic and ThinkProgress.
15 July
Swedish open source developer; creator and lead maintainer of curl and libcurl, and a co-founder of the Rockbox project.
Workshop Basel day two If you missed it. I already described day one. Caffeinated and ready, we all gathered in the same spacious room as yesterday, but seated in new places as “suggested” by our captain. Some of us even remembered to move ov…
Related
13 July
Writes Very Serious, a newsletter on politics, the economy and culture, and hosts the podcast of the same name.
1 July
Programmer; wrote Extreme Programming Explained and Test-Driven Development, signed the Agile Manifesto, and writes Tidy First?.
Their words
Then you had code review which gave you another level of feedback. You could roll out internally more frequently. And everybody was using Facebook for all kinds of stuff, personal and internal business stuff. So whatever feature you developed, people would start using it immediately. So you get another round of feedback. Then we had this phased roll out process where you'd start rolling your stuff out. If there was a problem, the blast radius would be limited to a a few million people.
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youtube.com
19 June
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
As the debate about the pricing of SPaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic heats up, there is a parallel debate about whether S&P should be including these companies in the S&P 500 index, with many arguing against inclusion. My thoughts on the topic: bit.ly
Anthropic OpenAI Related
13 June
Co-founder and CTO of Honeycomb; previously an infrastructure engineer at Parse, Facebook and Linden Lab, and co-author of Observability Engineering.
this statement is true, but it all comes down to: "What does quality mean, in this particular circumstance?" talking about "fast" and "slow" is toddler-level reasoning, and it irks me when the AI debate gets so wrapped around that axle. Quoting @awscloud @honeycombio Quality first, quantity second. Hear how @mipsytipsy built it on the AWS for Software Companies podcast. Related
6 June
Writes on effective altruism, energy and the arithmetic behind arguments people repeat — including how much electricity a chatbot query actually uses.
4 May
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
3 May
Cardiologist and founder of the Scripps Research Translational Institute; writes Ground Truths on biomedical research, and wrote Super Agers and Deep Medicine.
7 April
Scientist and writer on quantum computing, memory systems and metascience; co-wrote the standard quantum computation textbook and wrote Reinventing Discovery.
Their words
his expertise seems to be getting in the way. He knows so much, he understands so much, um and then he's not able to let go of these these things.
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youtube.com
20 March
Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla; creator of nanoGPT and the term "vibe coding".
Their words
And I've gotten to a certain point and I thought it was like fairly well tuned and then I let auto research go for like overnight and it came back with like tunings that I didn't see.
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youtube.com
1 March
Researcher of social media, privacy and youth culture; founder of Data & Society and author of It’s Complicated.
Current household debate: Who bullshits more - GenAI or politicians? Related
18 February
Maths educator; writes Mathworlds on how mathematics is taught and why so much of the technology sold to schools does not help.
8 January
Writes jvns.ca, turning "hard and scary" topics — networking, debugging, Linux internals — into plain explanations and hand-drawn comics. Publishes Wizard Zines, illustrated programming zines. Software developer based in Montreal.
1 January
Geneticist and writer on human population genetics, deep history and evolution; author of the Unsupervised Learning newsletter.
Their words
Though written accessibly, Segerstrale’s narrative rewards repeat reading, because it is so dense with historical detail that remains relevant today.
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razibkhan.com
26 November 2025
Australian moral philosopher, Professor of Bioethics emeritus at Princeton University; author of Animal Liberation, Practical Ethics and The Life You Can Save.
Writer and former Substack product manager; publishes essays and interviews on technology, culture and China at jasmi.news.
10 October 2025
Emeritus professor of war studies at King's College London; wrote Strategy: A History and Command, and writes about the wars in Ukraine and Gaza as they happen.
Their words
In all of this what may have been missed is that the plan now connected with a coalition of the willing is not a security guarantee.
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samf.substack.com
23 September 2025
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
https://blippo.plus If you missed it because you don't have a Playdate (I forgive you -- just this once), you can now experience alien channel-surfing sensation Blippo+ on Nintendo Switch, or PC (Steam/Itch). Boing boing! Related
9 September 2025
Machine learning engineer working on recommender systems, personalization and information retrieval. Previously worked on LLMs and LLM infrastructure at Mozilla.ai and on ML and recsys at Duo, Tumblr, Automattic and Comcast; wrote the 'What are embeddings?' text and ran the Normconf conference.
11 August 2025
Deep-learning researcher and Turing Award laureate; founder of the Mila institute.
24 May 2025
Historian of the Second World War; wrote Normandy '44 and Brothers in Arms, and co-hosts the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast.
Their words
I mean, if ever there is, I think, a mistake that’s Britain and France should’ve been a bit more into realpolitiks than they were. It’s such an opportunity to ensure that, to snooker the Third Reich, and they don’t take it.
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youtube.com
17 April 2025
Member of technical staff at Anthropic. He has led ML/AI teams at Amazon, Alibaba and Lazada, and writes about LLMs, recommender systems and engineering at eugeneyan.com.
Had a session with very senior folks on how they build with AI and can’t help thinking there’s no better time to learn, clarify, brainstorm, write, debate, plan, design, code, debug, review, analyze, delegate, play, and in general do more more while doing less with AI—so psyched! Related
21 January 2025
Development economist; writes Global Developments, on growth, history and the numbers behind them.
Their words
Precisely how much the ancient continuity of East Asian states matters for development is still a little murky, and the delineation with colonial legacies is still an area of active debate—but the balance of evidence suggests that the legacies of these pre-colonial states stretched through the colonial period, extending even into the post-independence era.
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global-developments.org
19 January 2025
Historian at Stanford and the Hoover Institution; wrote Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative and Goddess of the Market, on Ayn Rand.
Their words
Milton Friedman, he also does tend to have friends who agree with him, yet he's always willing to debate his opponents, and he's willing to do so with a smile on his face. He's a happy warrior, and he actually will win a lot of debates simply by his emotional affect and his cheerfulness and his confidence, where Rand will lose debates because she gets so angry in the face of disagreement.
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youtube.com
5 December 2024
French software engineer, public speaker and fully remote nomadic worker; writes about frontend development at maxpou.fr.
1 July 2024
Writer living in Brooklyn and former Man Repeller features director; writes the weekly newsletter Maybe Baby on culture and consumption.
Years ago someone told me they were invited to a women's lunch in New York hosted by Jill Biden and ahead of the event they were all told in an email that Jill Biden requested no awkward silences Quoting @AlexThomp Jill Biden is on the July cover of Vogue. Just dropped this AM. Related
16 March 2024
Researcher and science writer. Co-founder and editor at Works in Progress magazine, formerly a researcher at Our World in Data, and author of the Scientific Discovery newsletter on science, global health and medical innovation.
Many great things you missed this year This week: Birth seasonality, causes of death across the lifespan, progress against HIV/AIDS & cystic fibrosis, very rare infectious form of Alzheimer’s, improvements in cholesterol, and more.
Related
26 December 2023
Economic historian writing on the Industrial Revolution, the Great Divergence and the origins of modern growth.
Missed this the first time through, but it's fun to see Oppenheimer thanked in the first paragraph of the acknowledgments to Lawrence Stone's *The Crisis of the Aristocracy*. Related
3 November 2023
Researcher and science writer. Co-founder and editor at Works in Progress magazine, formerly a researcher at Our World in Data, and author of the Scientific Discovery newsletter on science, global health and medical innovation.
26 October 2023
Deep-learning researcher and Turing Award laureate; founder of the Mila institute.
Their words
Despite evaluations, we cannot consider coming powerful frontier AI systems "safe unless proven unsafe". With current testing methodologies, issues can easily be missed. Additionally, it is unclear if governments can quickly build the immense expertise needed for reliable technical evaluations of AI capabilities and societal-scale risks. Given this, developers of frontier AI should carry the burden of proof to demonstrate that their plans keep risks within acceptable limits.
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arxiv.org
2 September 2023
Game designer; wrote A Theory of Fun for Game Design and worked on Ultima Online and Star Wars Galaxies.
9 July 2023
Researcher and science writer. Co-founder and editor at Works in Progress magazine, formerly a researcher at Our World in Data, and author of the Scientific Discovery newsletter on science, global health and medical innovation.
17 February 2023
Writer and illustrator behind Wait But Why, a long-form blog of stick-figure-illustrated explainers on science, technology and society, and author of the book What's Our Problem?
24 January 2023
Researcher and science writer. Co-founder and editor at Works in Progress magazine, formerly a researcher at Our World in Data, and author of the Scientific Discovery newsletter on science, global health and medical innovation.
1 June 2022
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
26 May 2022
Web developer; former head of engineering at Flickr, author of Building Scalable Web Sites, and co-founder and CTO of Slack.
@dunepod Best Dan Ackroyd movies are obviously Dragnet and Grosse Pointe Blank. Not sure how you missed those. Related
28 May 2019
Co-founder, chairman and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Hosts the Masters in Business podcast for Bloomberg and wrote How NOT to Invest.
Their words
Safi Bahcall, Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries: How does group behavior and the science of phase transitions manifest itself? The author, a physicist and entrepreneur, tries to show why some wild new ideas become game changers. I was skeptical, but when someone like Danny Kahneman claims “This book has everything: new ideas, bold insights, entertaining history and convincing analysis. Not to be missed by anyone who wants to understand how ideas change the world,” I pay attention.
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ritholtz.com
27 July 2017
Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge, former president of the Royal Statistical Society, and author of The Art of Statistics.
Nothing matches. Show everything
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