What public figures publish and believe, in their own words.
About this feed
Highlights: posts that did unusually well for the person who wrote them, everything they published at length, each release and new project, and every belief — at most two a day from anyone. Day by day, newest day first; within a day, the people with the most beliefs on this site come first. Nothing else orders it. Show everything instead.
The quoted blocks are what people actually said; a beneath one is the belief those words support, in korrents' wording. Nobody here wrote their own page.
Top people are the people in this feed with the most beliefs on this site, then the most here. Choose an area and the row leads with the people whose beliefs are about it; tap a face for their feed.
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4 May 2025
1 May 2025
From one piece Why We Think 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
model CoTs could be biased due to lack of explicit training objectives aimed at encouraging faithful reasoning
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korrents.com
Longer test-time thinking improves an AI model's robustness to adversarial or unusual inputs.Their words
thinking for longer should be especially useful when the model is presented with an unusual input, such as an adversarial example or jailbreak attempt
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korrents.com
Large language models cannot reliably self-correct their own mistakes without external feedback.Their words
this self-correction capability turns out to not exist intrinsically among LLMs and does not easily work out of the box, due to various failure modes
30 April 2025
From one piece Tim Sweeney: Fortnite, Unreal Engine, and the Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #467 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
We'd constantly be improving the tools and just the iterative process and the speed at which that improves products is the critical element to success in games. The slower the iteration cycle, if you make a build every week and you prove, you go through one iteration every week, you're going to be way way way worse by the end of your project than a game company that makes new stuff every day.
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Their words
But most of the time the company that's succeeding and winning in a market is the first or second entrant there. They've just continually buoyed their success.
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Their words
I think the big thing to realize for indie developers right now is there's massive, massive competition in every major genre, and it's very unlikely that unless you just happen to be the world's best at a particular thing that you're going to release a game in an existing highly competitive genre and win.
+ 2 more
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Their words
There's ever more pressure to rebuild society more and more around credentials. Do you have this certificate? Do you have that proof? But companies that are focused on just building great products and doing great things gravitate towards people who do the great work.
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Their words
A lot of what they're facing isn't the challenge of learning a new art. It's friction introduced by failures of programming language design.
From one piece Doom GPU Flame Graphs 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Major Linux distributions are increasingly shipping system libraries with frame pointers enabled by defaultTheir words
This is getting easier in the lastest versions of Fedora and Ubuntu (e.g., Ubuntu 24.04 LTS) which are shipping system libraries with frame pointers by default.
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korrents.com
NVIDIA's Nsight Graphics GPU flame graphs are shallow and cumbersome to use compared to full-stack profiling toolsTheir words
They do have flame graphs in Nsight Graphics for GPU workloads, although their flame graphs are currently shallow as it is GPU code only, and onerous to use as I believe it requires an interposer; on the plus side they have click-to-source.
From one piece On what Americans know about medieval history 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I am not here to tell you that the medieval period is a specifically peaceful time, but it pales in comparison to what goes down in the early modern period, in which both the apparently beloved Renaissance and Enlightenment periods lie.
On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com
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Their words
Clearly as well we see that the more people know about the medieval period, the more likely they are to be correct about it.
On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Iliad: A New TranslationTheir words
It's very readable, and captures a sense of what is, fundamentally, a very alien, and often ugly, story in a very alien, and often ugly, world, related in magnificent language.
29 April 2025
From one piece Oren Cass’s Labor Theory of Value 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Payroll taxes fall mostly on workers rather than employers because labor supply is inelastic.Their words
Employer-side payroll taxes superficially raise hiring costs, yet the low elasticity of labor means most of the burden really falls on workers.
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korrents.com
Exposure to competition in tradeable sectors makes those sectors more productive than non-tradable ones.Their words
This is why tradeable sectors are generally more productive than non-tradable ones.
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korrents.com
The US-China trade imbalance is driven mainly by capital flows, not tariffs or trade deficits.Their words
Tariffs and trade deficits are a distraction from the deeper source of the US-China current account imbalance, namely capital flows.
From one piece Good vs Great Animations 2 beliefs · emilkowal.ski
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Their words
Everyone’s software is good enough these days. The barriers to entry are low. To stand out, you need to make your product feel great. One way of doing that is through animations.
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korrents.com
Easing is the most important part of any animation: it can make a bad animation feel great and a great one feel bad.Their words
Easing is the most important part of any animation. It can make a bad animation feel great and a great animation feel bad. That’s why you have to know which easing to choose in a specific situation.
26 April 2025
25 April 2025
From one piece Differential Coverage for Debugging 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Buggy code usually causes outright test failures rather than being silently exercised inside tests that still pass.Their words
a passing test can still execute buggy code if the bug is data-dependent, or if the test is not sensitive to the specific mistake in the code. But a lot of the time, buggy code only triggers failures.
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korrents.com
Comparing code coverage between passing and failing test runs is a cheap, effective way to localize a bug quickly.Their words
Differential coverage is cheap to compute and display, and when it's right, it can save a lot of time.
24 April 2025
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Their words
Unfortunately, making those simple changes is infuriatingly difficult. Global meat consumption keeps rising every year. The world still wastes at least one fourth of its food.
It's Hard to Change Our Behaviorsmichaelgrunwald.substack.com
From one piece The decline in cancer mortality is about much more than smoking 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Finally, I’ll explain a deeper issue with the whole idea: we can’t neatly divide the causes of an outcome into slices that add up to 100%.
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Their words
In my view, without smoking, we probably would have seen cancer mortality decline much earlier.
23 April 2025
22 April 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Ecosystem Arabia: The Making of a New EconomyTheir words
I have written forewords for Amir in the past on two of his prior books, Ecosystem Arabia: The Making of a New Economy and Venture Adventure: Startup Fundraising Advice from Top Global Investors, both of which I recommend.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Venture Adventure: Startup Fundraising Advice from Top Global InvestorsTheir words
both of which I recommend
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Their words
That's much better than current FSD, but much worse than humans or Waymo.
21 April 2025
From one piece Programming Notes 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Electrification is a process shift across industries, not just a change in energy source.Their words
Electrification is not just a change of energetic inputs; it's a process shift through and across industries.
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Their words
there is no such thing as a high-income, low-electricity economy.
20 April 2025
19 April 2025
From one piece Impact, agency, and taste 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
People who can be trusted to make something inevitable are really rare, and are typically the bottleneck for how many different things a team or company can do at once.
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korrents.com
Different people's areas of strongest judgment or taste rarely overlap much with each other.Their words
it's quite rare for different people's "zone of best taste" to overlap very much.
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Their words
most rewrites fail and most people are over-optimistic about how long they will take
18 April 2025
17 April 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
ReadwiseTheir words
All my friends know that I'm obsessed with Readwise, which combines a web highlighter, a powerful read-it-later app, and every feature under the sun to organize and remember everything that I read.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Readwise ChatTheir words
More recently, I started using Readwise Chat. Sometimes I don't remember what books I've read, especially now that I've been reading and using Readwise for a long time.
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korrents.com
Deploying a new technology at scale takes decades, far longer than the people building it imagine.Their words
Deployment at scale takes so much longer than anyone ever imagines.
16 April 2025
15 April 2025
From one piece What's Really Wrong With Standardized Tests 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So a lot of the problem is mere herding: If every other top engineering program is using the GRE, it’s too weird to require a different test even if the alternative test is a far superior selection mechanism.
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Their words
Wokeness is the obvious answer. There are many lines of defense in the War Against Merit.
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Their words
First and foremost: Perfect scores should be vanishingly rare. Instead of clumping the best candidates together, you should be able to clearly distinguish the 99th percentile from the 99.9th, 99.99th, and so on.
+ 1 more
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korrents.com
Standardised testing is a good idea badly executed: the tests in common use are the problem, not testing itself.Their words
Standardized testing is glorious, but many standardized tests royally suck.
14 April 2025
From one piece Tariffs, saving, and investment 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The binding constraint on building anything in America is permitting and litigation, not money.Their words
Endless lawsuits, cost-exploding contracting requirements, decades to get permits, and more bedevil any attempt to invest here.
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Their words
But the spike in interest rates require to do this would be huge. And the trade shock will cause a sharp recession, or worse, putting even more stress on the budget. A debt crisis is likely along the way as the US finds it impossible to roll over debt.
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korrents.com
America borrowed cheaply from the world and spent it on consumption rather than investment, exactly as Greece did.Their words
In sum, spurred on by the federal government (in many ways), the US borrowed a huge amount from foreigners at very low rates, and went on a consumption binge. Sooner or later we have to pay it back, or we go though the wrenching adjustment of a debt crisis.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
The American trade deficit is foreigners choosing to invest in America, not America being cheated.Their words
this story tells us how an increase in foreign demand to save in the US rather than at home will push up the dollar, and cause the trade deficit, which is in effect how foreigners send us factories which they would rather build here than in their own countries.
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korrents.com
The right answer on trade is unilateral free trade, and the hard part is only explaining why the objections fail.Their words
Tariffs are easy: The right answer is unilateral free trade.
13 April 2025
11 April 2025
10 April 2025
From one piece Product Leadership is Lonely 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Loneliness is an evolved biological signal that triggers a threat response rather than just an emotional state.Their words
Loneliness is an inherited biological adaptation signal that puts us into a state of threat.
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Their words
Product's unique identity in the C-suite-at the intersection of everything-often comes at the expense of belonging to anything.
8 April 2025
From one piece in which web pages are served but also fetched 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Installing Lua libraries via apt-get tends to produce more stable results than installing via luarocks.Their words
Installing via apt-get instead of luarocks will tend to get you more stable results.
in which web pages are served but also fetchedtechnomancy.us
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korrents.com
A library that skips certificate verification by default is unsafe and should not be trusted.Their words
However, luasec does not perform any certificate verification by default! This makes its out-of-the-box behavior very unsafe, and I have to recommend against using it for anything.
in which web pages are served but also fetchedtechnomancy.us
7 April 2025
From one piece The Strategy Behind the Stupidity 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Efforts to rebuild American industry will fail until global trade and financial imbalances rebalanceTheir words
Until the global economy rebalances, efforts to rebuild American industry are fighting economic gravity.
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Their words
Persistent U.S. trade deficits are an epiphenomenal mirror to our persistent capital account surpluses, which are in turn downstream of the beggar-thy-neighbor industrial policies of countries like China and Germany.
6 April 2025
From one piece America Underestimates the Difficulty of Bringing Manufacturing Back 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It’s the work ethic, knowhow, commitment, combined with top notch infrastructure, that makes China the most powerful manufacturing country in the world today.
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korrents.com
Building a factory in America takes at least two years before it can open, and months more before it runs well.Their words
It takes at least, in the most favorable of jurisdictions, 2 years (if you can get the permits) to build a factory in the United States.
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korrents.com
Technological capability has to be practised to be kept: a country that stops making something forgets how.Their words
The people who knew how to build and repair molds have either passed away or are long retired.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
Money cannot buy back a manufacturing capability a country has lost, because what is missing is the knowhow.Their words
Even with infinite money, we cannot duplicate that, because we lack the knowhow.
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Their words
That’s because America has an amazing consumer supply chain, one of the best, if not the best in the world, but this is totally different from having an industrial supply chain.
5 April 2025
From one piece Nonproliferation is the wrong approach to AI misuse 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
By trying to use misuse as a fig leaf for their real concerns, they end up sounding much less credible than if they just tried to argue for what they actually meant.
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Their words
But we do not have experience with the kinds of problems we’ll face if we build machines that are smarter and more capable than us, so I feel much less sanguine that an adaptation-based strategy will help us there.
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Their words
The current status quo—where new models that push the frontier are kept private, and openly available equivalents are only released after a lag of months or years—is valuable.
+ 2 more
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Their words
We should think of the gap between frontier models and proliferated models as an adaptation buffer: a limited time window when we know what bad actors will soon be able to use AI for, which gives us a chance to implement defensive measures that increase society’s resilience to the danger.
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Their words
But with AI, it’s different: it’s often only a couple of years between when you need a world-class computing cluster to do something and when you can run it on a high-end gaming chip on your laptop.
4 April 2025
3 April 2025
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Usesrcmnd.app
HammerspoonTheir words
Hammerspoon: To script macOS with Lua.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Moonlander Mk1Their words
Moonlander Mk1 keyboard (firmware config)
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Usesrcmnd.app
Synology DS720+ NASTheir words
Synology DS720+ NAS, for backups et al
+ 2 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
StarlinkTheir words
I also have a backup link with Starlink.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Apple MacBook Pro 16"Their words
Apple MacBook Pro 16" - M3 Pro, 36GB, from 2023
2 April 2025
From one piece The Power of Not Knowing 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Good leadership is defined by presence, curiosity, and authenticity rather than always having the right answer.Their words
Leadership isn't about always having the answer and always being right. It's about being present, deeply curious, and authentic.
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Their words
When we resist not knowing, we often leap to conclusions, make decisions without all of the information, or simply guess. Of course, that might make it even more likely that we're wrong, the very thing our subconscious is trying to avoid. Needing to be right comes at the expense of curiosity.
1 April 2025
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Their words
These systems will be absolutely central to the economy, technology, and national security, and will be capable of so much autonomy that I consider it basically unacceptable for humanity to be totally ignorant of how they work.
From one piece Advice for time management as a manager 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The stereotype is that new managers often micromanage, but at Wave, I've noticed that new managers often err on the side of undermanaging, or being too hands-off, perhaps out of a desire to signal that they trust their reports.
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korrents.com
A manager's own individual technical output drops by roughly 10-20% per engineer they manage.Their words
you should expect to have something like 10-20% less individual output per engineer you manage, depending on how experienced you are, they are, etc., and with substantial week-to-week variance.
31 March 2025
From one piece Tariff Stochasticity 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But, tariffs are unavoidable, even within the ringfence that is US energy trade, and even within electricity trade more specifically.
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Their words
The short, and very much un-sweet, vision of a tariff-bound economy is that it is stochastic. We can observe it, measure it, analyze it, but we cannot really predict it.
30 March 2025
29 March 2025
27 March 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
AbundanceTheir words
but I recommend Abundance to the Silver Bulletin audience.
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korrents.com
The old Canada-US relationship, built on ever-deeper economic integration and tight security cooperation, is over.Their words
The old relationship we had with the United States based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military cooperation is over.
26 March 2025
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Their words
Even if we assume all three of these crashes were Waymo’s fault, that would still mean that a large majority of the 38 serious crashes were not Waymo’s fault.
From one piece The Idea of My New Book, The Digital Fourth Amendment—and Why It Matters 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Applying the old Fourth Amendment rules unchanged to digital evidence would gut its protection over time.Their words
Because of the way computers happen to work, sticking with the old rules would mean gutting Fourth Amendment protection over time.
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Their words
My book argues that courts should preserve the role, not the rule—and it then shows what new specific rules should follow from that.
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Usesrcmnd.app
iPhone 16 ProTheir words
The device I rely on for communication, entertainment, and everything in between.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Kindle Paperwhite, Gen 10Their words
Read Read Read. I love reading books and Kindle is my goto device for that.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Apple Airpods ProTheir words
Music, Podcasts, Business calls, and everything else
+ 2 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
LG 29" Ultrawide Monitor - 29WL500-BTheir words
The screen that I use to code from home, it's a 21:9 aspect ratio, which is perfect for coding and watching movies.
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Usesrcmnd.app
LG 34" Ultrawide Monitor - 34WK95C-BTheir words
My everyday office gear that helps me debug, code, write documents seamlessly.
25 March 2025
From one piece The Death of Product Development as We Know it 3 beliefs · lg.substack.com
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Their words
Welcome to the era of AI-native companies, where individual contributors (ICs) reign supreme.
The Death of Product Development as We Know itlg.substack.com
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Their words
Good taste: taste is the ability to distinguish excellence from mediocrity. The hand can never consistently produce better than the eye can discern.
The Death of Product Development as We Know itlg.substack.com
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Their words
Say goodbye to cycles of mock and doc feedback, and say hello to code-first prototypes with constant iteration (on prompts, models, etc) to answer three key questions.
The Death of Product Development as We Know itlg.substack.com
From one piece A Sneaky Phish Just Grabbed my Mailchimp Mailing List 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
This was obviously highly automated and designed to immediately export the list before the victim could take preventative measures.
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Their words
When I have conversations with breached companies, my messaging is crystal clear: be transparent and expeditious in your reporting of the incident and prioritise communicating with your customers.
24 March 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
WhoopTheir words
Summarizing all of that into my advice right now: Get Whoop for 9.5/10, reliable, convenient sleep tracking with an excellent app (once you get to know it a bit). Get Oura for 10/10 tracking, if you're ok with the ring form factor.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
OuraTheir words
Summarizing all of that into my advice right now: Get Whoop for 9.5/10, reliable, convenient sleep tracking with an excellent app (once you get to know it a bit). Get Oura for 10/10 tracking, if you're ok with the ring form factor.
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
8Sleep Pod 4 UltraTheir words
I didn't find 8Sleep to be very reliable in its sleep tracking. The scores don't make as much sense to me when I wake up, and as we saw above they don't correlate very strongly with Whoop or Oura.
+ 1 more
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Dislikedrcmnd.app
AutoSleepTheir words
AutoSleep is basically a random number generator. Maybe there is a better app on Apple Watch for sleep tracking, but I haven't found it. Do not use.
23 March 2025
From one piece Superhuman's secret to success | Rahul Vohra (CEO and founder) 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And number two, the superhuman opportunity deserves everyone who works at the company to spend as much time as possible in their zone of genius. And so that includes me as well as everybody else. So what I did is I hired a really great president. I went from eight direct reports to two.
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Their words
But this is the hard part. When you're when you're doing that market widening, you're not solution deepening. And so your perceived product velocity may decrease. You can avoid some of these things with some smart technology decisions, but mostly you just have to grind through it and it is worth it to get to the other side.
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Their words
you can classify anything that you build in a company into one of two categories. Solution deepening and market widening. Now solution deepening means making your product better for its existing users but not making it available to more users. Whereas market widening means making your product available to more users but not making the product itself any better.
+ 2 more
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Their words
what is it that creates true virality? It's not viral mechanics. It's word of mouth. It is brand that this is how you can kickstart a brand.
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Their words
we've definitely found that there are whales to use the gaming terminology that one person is going to be responsible for inviting 25, 50, 100 people
22 March 2025
From one piece ThePrimeagen: Programming, AI, ADHD, Productivity, Addiction, and God | Lex Fridman Podcast #461 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It's like trying to find meaning in your job. You can find satisfaction in what you do. That is a very good thing. You can find satisfaction and be happy with what you've created. You can be thrilled by the experience, but you cannot find... I doubt you can find purpose.
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korrents.com
An addiction is not ended by finding something better to put in its place; you do not stop a problem by replacing it.Their words
You don't stop a problem by replacing it. And so I didn't have a girlfriend, I didn't have all that. I just realized that I was truly taking away from something from my future wife.
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Their words
But for me it just comes down to, is it really a good thing to do? Is it really actually something we want, is to value people in such a profane or just disregarding way? I just really think it's just bad for the soul. Even if all the stats said it was great for you, I still say it's actually bad.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
The sense that programming is mostly web programming is a social construct of Twitter, not a picture of the field.Their words
And so we often talk about programming in perspective of web, or something that's pretty narrow, and I think that's just a social construct of Twitter more than anything else, that actually I don't believe it's that representative of the entire programming world out there.
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Their words
And for me, that is the worst part about programming, is when you already know the solution and it's just a matter of how fast you can type and get it out from your head to your hands.
From one piece Post 50: Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Good Strategic Takes 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
People's opinions are shaped more by who they talk to most than by what is actually true.Their words
Though note that people's opinions are often substantially reflections of the people they speak to most, rather than what's actually true.
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korrents.com
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.Their words
Having a good research track record is some evidence of good big-picture takes about AGI, but it's weak evidence.
21 March 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
A Field Guide to Getting LostTheir words
A series of autobiographical essays exploring wandering, uncertainty, memory, desire, and place—embracing the unknown as a gateway to self-transcendence.
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Their words
Ben's personal reflections on reinventing himself at "midlife" (though relatable at any age). I love how he leaned into a new version of himself without dramatically blowing up his life.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Dirtbag Rich: High Freedom, Low Income, Deep PurposeTheir words
This book is a short but inspiring take on living life on your terms while being pragmatic about money and how to make it happen. Reminds me of a less travel-centric Vagabonding.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Part memoir, part raw, honest reflection, part useful ideas for a pathless life. I loved how this book didn't follow a non-fiction formula. His 'on-season'/'off-season' approach was useful for me.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Young Money: A Field Guide to Wealth and Purpose in Your TwentiesTheir words
Fantastic memoir of figuring it out in your twenties and alternatives to blindly pursuing the default path.
20 March 2025
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Their words
UX design has been steadily improving over the last 50 years and is now reasonably good. The low-hanging fruit of terrible usability has long since been picked.
Declining ROI From UX Design Workjakobnielsenphd.substack.com
19 March 2025
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Usesrcmnd.app
Apple NotesTheir words
I maintain one single text note in the Apple Notes app just called "notes".
18 March 2025
17 March 2025
16 March 2025
14 March 2025
13 March 2025
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Their words
The new trend toward vibe coding and vibe design may be upending the user-centered design paradigm that has remained based on the same ideology since the first UX design projects at Bell Labs, starting in 1947.
12 March 2025
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korrents.com
Funding education does not make a country rich; being rich is what makes a country fund education lavishly.Their words
Lavishly funding education doesn’t cause countries to become rich; being rich causes countries to lavishly fund education.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Decent Espresso dimples and freckles shower screensTheir words
Decent Espresso has done it again. This time, they've revolutionized shower screens.
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Their words, before
Now that we have the answers, it all looks very obvious, and mostly straightforward.
Their words now
I should have been pointing out red flags starting back at WWDC last year, and I am embarrassed and sorry that I didn’t see what should have been very clear to me from the start.
11 March 2025
10 March 2025
9 March 2025
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Their words
This is why I think that The Siren’s Call is a very important book.
From one piece Performance of the Python 3.14 tail-call interpreter 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I'm hopeful this framework will turn out to be a much more robust style for writing performance-sensitive code, especially over time and as compilers evolve.
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Their words
However, with so many different software projects out there, each moving so rapidly and depending on and being used by so many other projects, it becomes practically-inevitable that some regressions "like that one" happen, almost constantly.
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Their words
It's easy to get impressive-looking results if you're comparing against a poorly-tuned baseline, and that observation turns out to explain a surprising fraction of supposed improvements.
7 March 2025
From one piece Vibe Coding and Vibe Design 3 beliefs · jakobnielsenphd.substack.com
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Their words
Vibe coding can execute instructions, but deciding what the software should do and why is not automated. Product managers and designers must still do user research, market analysis, and creative brainstorming. In that sense, vibe coding changes the implementation phase more than the planning phase of the product lifecycle.
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Their words
Essentially, vibe coding makes it trivial to create front-end code, so designers can skip static mockups and go straight to building a UI that works.
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Their words
In a vibe coding future, companies will hopefully invest more in understanding user needs, refining the interface, and polishing details that delight users, because those are harder for AI to get right without guidance.
6 March 2025
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Their words
Making ultra cheap products requires different rules and strategy.
5 March 2025
4 March 2025
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Their words, before
Es ist in der nahe liegenden Zukunft ausgeschlossen, dass wir die Schuldenbremse reformieren.
Their words now
Angesichts der Bedrohungen unserer Freiheit und des Friedens auf unserem Kontinent muss jetzt auch für unsere Verteidigung gelten: Whatever it takes.
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Likedrcmnd.app
How to Feed the WorldTheir words
How to Feed the World had a lot to teach me—and I’m sure it will teach you a lot, too.
3 March 2025
2 March 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Claude 3.7 SonnetTheir words
As a Python and JavaScript programmer my favorite models right now are Claude 3.7 Sonnet with thinking turned on, OpenAI’s o3-mini-high and GPT-4o with Code Interpreter (for Python).
1 March 2025
28 February 2025
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Their words
But the underlying ideology is familiar from Silicon Valley, Mark Zuckerberg's dictum to "move fast and break things" and replace the messily human with frictionless technology, built by elite engineers who are supposed to know better than anyone else.
27 February 2025
25 February 2025
23 February 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
Unshrunk: A Story of Psychiatric Treatment ResistanceTheir words
(publication date March 18, 2025, Viking) by Laura Delano is a compelling and troubling memoir of psychiatric patienthood, iatrogenic harm, and finding a meaningful and flourishing life outside of the mental healthcare system.
20 February 2025
From one piece Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA? 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.
-
Their words
Thus, even if cross-gender friendships are few and far between, South Asian families still consolidate and preserve nuptials.
-
korrents.com
Where men and women are kept apart, couples form late because it is hard to find somebody you actually like.Their words
With few opportunities to mix and mingle, charm and bond, it’s difficult to find someone one actually likes.
+ 1 more
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Their words
The Middle East, North Africa and Anatolia are witnessing a rapid decline in coupling and fertility. This should rock your priors.
19 February 2025
18 February 2025
16 February 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Real-time sync enginesTheir words
there’s also a great post on sync engines by Adam Nyberg
15 February 2025
From one piece Some Very Important Things (That I Won't Be Working On This Year) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.
-
Their words
I’m quite confident that AI will eliminate many millions of people’s jobs in the next few years.
14 February 2025
13 February 2025
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korrents.com
Treating errors generically is a mistake that leads to fragile software, poor observability and worse experiences.Their words
This is what leads to slop JS/TS software. Treating errors generically like this is a mistake. It leads to fragile software, poor telemetry/observability/debugging, and as a result worse experiences
12 February 2025
From one piece A World Without Aid? 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The potential end of USAID is an unfolding public health and humanitarian disaster, but it does not permanently doom the task of growth—in large part because these aid flows were far too small to begin with.
-
Their words
American aid obligations in Sub-Saharan Africa, for instance, have never exceeded $15 per person
-
Their words
The longevity of that consensus is itself remarkable: in 79 years of data, Republican presidents spent an average of $34 billion a year on aid, while Democrats spent $40 billion.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
American aid spending has been flat in real terms since 1945 even as the American economy grew tenfold.Their words
Even as GDP has grown tenfold, US aid budgets have remained basically flat in real terms—the result (one might guess) of a delicate balancing act between bipartisan consensus among elites and a wariness of attracting too much negative attention.
-
Their words
For people like me working on global development in the West, the bitter pill to swallow is that aid is not development.
-
On changing their mind
As I set out last time, the usual story — that this was caused by deforestation, making firewood so scarce that people resorted to burning an inferior but cheaper fuel — simply does not stack up.
From one piece Age of Invention: How Coal Really Won 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
England’s deforestation — along with the draining of its peat-filled fens and marshes, and the clearing of its gorse-growing heaths — was instead itself caused by the arrival of cheap coal.
-
Their words
Far from being the laboratory that brought coal into the home, then, London was actually a laggard — all the more so given it had been buying coal from Newcastle for centuries.
-
Their words
Many people assume that they need to keep their jobs forever, because it is their source of health insurance. The good news is, this is usually not true.
-
Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
PeddleTheir words
I recently used Peddle with great results, and have been recommending them to anyone who has a low-value, possibly even non-driveable car they just want GONE in exchange for $500-1000 of cash.
-
Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
SafecoTheir words
So I switched to Safeco, and so far rates have been stable. I am paying about $500 per year for a $275,000 rebuild coverage with $5k deductible.
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
BluehostTheir words
But until you reach that first million, Bluehost is a great choice.
+ 2 more
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Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
PantheonTheir words
Nowadays with over 6 million pageviews per month, we have moved up to the Uber-powerful development/hosting combo platform called Pantheon.
-
Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
CourseraTheir words
Coursera: actual courses from various universities, made available mostly free
11 February 2025
10 February 2025
9 February 2025
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korrents.com
People will find new kinds of useful work as AI advances, though it will not resemble the jobs of today.Their words
We will find new things to do, new ways to be useful to each other, and new ways to compete, but they may not look very much like the jobs of today.
7 February 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Shout wipesTheir words
For a spot remover, bring a few Shout wipes or a dab of Goop grease remover in a small plastic container.
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
Goop grease removerTheir words
For a spot remover, bring a few Shout wipes or a dab of Goop grease remover in a small plastic container.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Money beltTheir words
Money belt. This flat, hidden, zippered pouch — worn around your waist and tucked under your clothes — is essential for the peace of mind it brings.
+ 2 more
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Small day packTheir words
Small day pack. A lightweight pack is great for carrying a sweater, camera, guidebook, and picnic goodies while you leave your large bag (with most of your belongings) at the hotel.
-
Likedrcmnd.app
Olay's Daily Facials 5-in-1Their words
Disposable washcloths that pack dry but lather up when wet (such as Olay's Daily Facials 5-in-1) are another option; cut them in half to make them last longer.
6 February 2025
5 February 2025
4 February 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Progressive MythsTheir words
I recently interviewed Mike Huemer on his new Progressive Myths. To repeat, I consider it “the best book on wokeness.” You know you’re reading a special book by page 3
3 February 2025
From one piece DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Arizona is a paperweight. If Hsinchu disappeared off the face of the planet, within a year, couple years, Arizona would stop producing too.
-
Their words
China, if they wanted to build the largest data center in the world, if they had access to the chips, could. So it's just a question of when, not if.
-
Their words
if you believe we're in this sort of stage of economic growth and change that we've been in for the last 20 years, the export controls are absolutely guaranteeing that China will win long-term.
+ 2 more
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Their words
To some extent, training a model does effectively nothing. They have a model. The thing that Dario is sort of speaking to is the implementation of that model, once trained to then create huge economic growth, huge increases in military capabilities, huge increases in productivity of people, betterment of lives.
-
Their words
I think it's even more impressive what OpenAI did in 2022. At the time, no one believed in mixture of experts models at Google who had all the researchers. OpenAI had such little compute and they devoted all of their compute for many months, all of it, 100% for many months to GPT-4 with a brand-new architecture with no belief that, "Hey, let me spend a couple of hundred million dollars, which is all of the money I have on this model." That is truly YOLO.
From one piece DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
There's not many worlds where China cannot train AI models. I think export controls are decapping the amount of compute or the density of compute that China can have.
-
Their words
Accepted practice is that for any given model that is a notable advancement, you're going to do two to 4x compute of the full training run in experiments alone.
-
Their words
This is why you want to work in post-training because the GPU cost for training is lower. So you can make a higher percentage of your training runs YOLO runs.
+ 2 more
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Their words
The scale word gets a lot of attention in this. The interpretation that I use is effectively to avoid adding the human priors to your learning process. And if you read the original essay, this is what it talks about is how researchers will try to come up with clever solutions to their specific problem that might get them small gains in the short term while simply enabling these deep learning systems to work efficiently, and for these bigger problems in the long term might be more likely to scale and continue to drive success.
-
Their words
And we'll get into the details of the models and again and again as we try to get deeper into how the models were trained, we will say things like the data processing, data filtering data quality is the number one determinant of the model quality.
2 February 2025
From one piece The Real Lesson of DeepSeek's R1 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.Their words
GPT-2, R1, and nearly every other AI model released since 2018 have all been part of a consistent story: AI capabilities that rival and ultimately exceed human intelligence are easier and cheaper to build than almost anyone can intuitively grasp, and this gets easier and cheaper every month.
-
Their words
AI competition needs to be tempered with a recognition that China isn’t going away as a player in AI, and that coexistence must also be a part of America’s strategy.
-
Their words
Each and every time, it took at most a few years but typically months before other companies would achieve the same level of performance using a broadly similar, and always relatively simple, recipe.
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Truth MachineTheir words
The Bitcoin Standard, Broken Money, The Sovereign Individual, The Truth Machine, Daemon
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
DaemonTheir words
The Bitcoin Standard, Broken Money, The Sovereign Individual, The Truth Machine, Daemon
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
Communistic Societies of the United StatesTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
+ 2 more
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Significance of the Frontier in American HistoryTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
The Network StateTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
31 January 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
Ancillary JusticeTheir words
Re-read because I couldn't interest myself in a couple of other pieces of mind candy and thought "you know who did this sort of thing well...". Which got me thinking, again, about the relationship between this series and feminism.
30 January 2025
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Usesrcmnd.app
OllamaTheir words
First and foremost, I use this to talk to local models hosted by Ollama, but secondarily I also use it to interface with other remote services like OpenAI, Anthropic and DeepSeek.
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Usesrcmnd.app
CursorTheir words
It is a fork of Visual Studio Code with AI-based auto completion and code generation built-in. It’s my go-to for programming with AI assistance at the moment.
-
Likedrcmnd.app
llmTheir words
This is a command line tool with plenty of plugins that lets you prompt different models. Think of it as a command-line version of Open WebUI. It’s particularly useful for quick scripting and basic automation.
+ 2 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
ChatGPT PlusTheir words
Like probably most AI users, I use ChatGPT, particularly on my phone. I pay for the Plus subscription because I use it enough to get a lot of value out of it.
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Likedrcmnd.app
MacBook Pro M1 MaxTheir words
This allows me to run models locally on my MacBook Pro M1 Max. With the 64GB of RAM it has, it’s a pretty potent machine for basic inference despite it being three years old.
29 January 2025
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korrents.com
Great storytelling skill comes from immersion in the liberal arts, not from corporate media training.Their words
Steve Jobs was an incredible storyteller because he was immersed in the liberal arts, not because he went to corporate media training.
-
Their words
And so, while the Jevons paradox case was 100% correct in the long run, 97% of the fiber laid in 2001 was unlit.
From one piece From the vault: Why housing shortages cause homelessness 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The American cities with the highest housing prices have the worst homelessness problems.
-
Their words
Where housing costs are moderate, friends and family have bigger homes. When they are higher, friends and family don’t have space to share, and this is often what puts a vulnerable person onto the streets.
28 January 2025
27 January 2025
From one piece Building personal software with Claude 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
AI tooling and interface design lags behind the underlying models' actual capabilities.Their words
Overall, though, this experience reinforced my belief that the tooling and interface design around LLMs is lagging way behind the actual capabilities, and is an area of active experimentation and development, even aside from any future model improvements.
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korrents.com
As AI makes code cheaper to produce, understanding and architectural design become more valuable.Their words
Thus, code is cheaper than ever, but I suspect that insight and good architectural design and understanding, at least for now, will become more valuable than ever.
26 January 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Claude 3.5 SonnetTheir words
and really only has one model you care about - Claude 3.5 Sonnet. But Sonnet is very, very good. It often seems to be clever and insightful in ways that the other models are not.
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Likedrcmnd.app
DeepSeekTheir words
if you want a very good all-around model with excellent reasoning. As an open model, you can either use it hosted on the original Chinese DeepSeek site or from a number of local providers.
-
Likedrcmnd.app
ChatGPTTheir words
currently has the best Live Mode in its Advanced Voice Mode. The other big advantage of ChatGPT is that it does everything, often in somewhat confusing ways
+ 1 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
GeminiTheir words
Gemini’s advantage is a family of powerful models including reasoners, very good integration with search, and a pretty easy-to-use user interface, as you might expect from Google. It also has top-flight image and video generation.
25 January 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
Roll Back the World: A Sister’s MemoirTheir words
Deborah Kasdan’s Roll Back the World: A Sister’s Memoir (2023) is an honest and vulnerable account of her sister Rachel’s life with schizophrenia and the challenges this presented for the family.
24 January 2025
From one piece Should we control AI instead of aligning it? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
However, without having a good handle on elicitation, we cannot be confident that our control techniques are effective.
Should we control AI instead of aligning it?aligned.substack.com
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Their words
More generally, we should actually solve alignment instead of just trying to control misaligned AI.
Should we control AI instead of aligning it?aligned.substack.com
23 January 2025
21 January 2025
-
On changing their mind
Having fallen into the East Asia - Africa Trap before, I can tell you precisely why so many people make this mistake.
20 January 2025
From one piece The Inaugural Address 5 beliefs · whitehouse.gov
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korrents.com
Federal efforts to restrict free expression in recent years were illegal and unconstitutional.Their words
After years and years of illegal and unconstitutional federal efforts to restrict free expression, I also will sign an executive order to immediately stop all government censorship and bring back free speech to America.
-
Their words
America will be a manufacturing nation once again, and we have something that no other manufacturing nation will ever have — the largest amount of oil and gas of any country on earth — and we are going to use it.
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korrents.com
The inflation of the early 2020s was caused by government overspending and rising energy prices.Their words
The inflation crisis was caused by massive overspending and escalating energy prices, and that is why today I will also declare a national energy emergency.
+ 2 more
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Their words
President McKinley made our country very rich through tariffs and through talent — he was a natural businessman
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korrents.com
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.Their words
Instead of taxing our citizens to enrich other countries, we will tariff and tax foreign countries to enrich our citizens.
19 January 2025
From one piece 10 growth tactics that never work | Elena Verna (Amplitude, Miro, Dropbox, SurveyMonkey) 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Growth team can optimize. Growth can maybe lift it by 10, 15% maybe that's enough for you even that like is on the upper end of what growth team would be able to do if there is a slow down trajectory
-
Their words
If you have the overall business slowing down, your head of growth is destined to fail because the reason business is slowing down is much deeper than not having a growth team.
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korrents.com
Whether a company hires sales or growth first is decided by how it collects money, not by how big it is.Their words
It depends on how you're actually going to collect the money. If your money collection is going to happen through sales team primarily, then you absolutely should be hiring sales way before growth.
+ 2 more
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korrents.com
A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data.Their words
if you have 10 users or 10 customers, that's not data. That's a G sheet with your customers and you don't need a growth team for that.
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korrents.com
A startup does not need a growth team to start growing, because the first wave of growth has to be founder-led.Their words
I really believe that the founder led growth is not being popularized enough that you do not need growth teams until you actually can start running experiments on your user base
From one piece Jennifer Burns: Milton Friedman, Ayn Rand, Economics, Capitalism, Freedom | Lex Fridman Podcast #457 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Milton Friedman is very open to doing things differently in a state of emergency. He will have different ideas during World War II than any other time and that's why I argue I think he would have been supportive of at least the first rounds of coronavirus relief because I think he would have put his emergency thinking hat on.
-
Their words
Friedman and Schwartz becomes the playbook for the Federal Reserve. We have lived through this, the financial crisis. The Federal Reserve is ready to loan. Covid, the Federal Reserve does all kinds of new things, because no Federal Reserve chair wants to be in Friedman-Schwartz 2.0 that somebody writes, where they're the bad guy who let the economy meltdown.
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Their words
So, I think she comes back in to relevancy in a different way than Friedman does, because I think in some ways she's tapped into a more universal human longing for independence and autonomy and self-creation and self-discovery.
+ 2 more
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Their words
So, she thought of herself as rational. She thought of rationality as what she was doing, but she was actually doing a kind of mythopoetic psychological work as well.
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Their words
Milton Friedman, he also does tend to have friends who agree with him, yet he's always willing to debate his opponents, and he's willing to do so with a smile on his face. He's a happy warrior, and he actually will win a lot of debates simply by his emotional affect and his cheerfulness and his confidence, where Rand will lose debates because she gets so angry in the face of disagreement.
17 January 2025
16 January 2025
From one piece Common pitfalls when building generative AI applications 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
AI judges used to evaluate AI outputs need ongoing validation and iteration, just like any other AI system.Their words
AI judges must be evaluated and iterated over time, just like all other AI applications.
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korrents.com
Building a working AI demo is far easier than turning it into a reliable production product.Their words
This is perhaps one of the first painful lessons anyone who has built an AI product quickly learns. It's easy to build a demo, but hard to build a product.
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Their words
Because everyone uses the same models nowadays, the AI components of AI products are similar, and the differentiation is product.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The RecordTheir words
Lucy Dacus is one third of boygenius, whose album The Record is my favorite of the last couple of years
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Forever is a FeelingTheir words
I can’t imagine I won’t be getting the album when it comes out.
15 January 2025
14 January 2025
13 January 2025
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korrents.com
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.Their words, before
If you're a guy in your early 20's, get married and have kids. Go into debt if you have to.
Their words now
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average (and have more kids than the current average). Doing this successfully (without screwing it up with selfish pride) will make the world better and make them happier than anything else they’re doing.
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korrents.com
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.Their words
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average (and have more kids than the current average). Doing this successfully (without screwing it up with selfish pride) will make the world better and make them happier than anything else they’re doing.
From one piece Capital Cycles and AI 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
If the AI build-out does become a bubble, power and data centres are the assets that will carry it.Their words
In today’s world, I think the increase in self-fulfilling asset prices will be due to power and data centers.
-
Their words
What prevents this from being a broad-based bubble is that we are missing a critical feedback loop from the announcement's impact, like network growth or land value.
-
Their words
A glut follows every semiconductor shortage.
From one piece PM speech on AI Opportunities Action Plan, 13 January 2025 3 beliefs · gov.uk
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korrents.com
AI will make public services more human rather than less, by giving staff back the time the paperwork takes.Their words
And in a way that’s the irony of AI… It will make public services more human… Reconnect staff with the reasons they came to public service in the first place…
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korrents.com
On AI the state's job does not stop at safety; leaving everything else to the market is a mistake.Their words
We shouldn’t just focus on safety and leave the rest to the market… Government has a responsibility to make it work for working people…
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Their words
This is the global race of our lives. Now, some countries are going to make AI breakthroughs and export them… Others will end up buying those breakthroughs and importing them. The question is – which of those will Britain be? AI maker or AI taker?
11 January 2025
10 January 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Bandwidth: The Untold Story of Ambition, Deception, and Innovation that Shaped the Internet Age and Dot-Com BoomTheir words
See an excerpt explaining why I loved reading this book.
9 January 2025
8 January 2025
From one piece Full Steam Ahead: All Aboard Fiscal Dominance 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Since inflation is not primarily driven by private-sector lending in the current environment, making borrowing more expensive will not significantly cool the economy.
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Their words
Structural fiscal deficits have surpassed private sector lending and monetary policy as the primary drivers of economic activity and inflation, marking a fundamental shift in the economy's liquidity dynamics.
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korrents.com
The United States is not at risk of a financial crisis caused by the size of its government debt.Their words
Stabilizing factors such as the global demand for U.S. dollars and debt denominated in its own currency suggest an era of fiscal dominance in the U.S. that's less dramatic than alarmists predict but more persistent and intractable than optimists hope.
7 January 2025
From one piece Agents 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Most real-world AI agent systems are actually multi-agent systems made of multiple components.Their words
Because most agentic workflows are sufficiently complex to involve multiple components, most agents are multi-agent.
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korrents.com
Planning is fundamentally a search problem: explore paths, predict outcomes, and pick the best one.Their words
Planning, at its core, is a search problem. You search among different paths towards the goal, predict the outcome (reward) of each path, and pick the path with the most promising outcome.
6 January 2025
From one piece How I program with LLMs 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So I foresee a world with far more specialized code, with fewer generalized packages, and more readable tests.
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Their words
One thing humans appear to be much better than LLMs at (as of January 2025) is not getting distracted.
From one piece I’m Writing The Dating Sequences over at secondperson.dating 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Ultimately, the only thing that matters is if you think the writing is good, not how much effort I put into it.
-
Their words
I suspect that both Substack and OnlyFans may become a Girardian bubble. Everyone joins after hearing from the few people who succeed; the thousands who slink away after months of effort netted them a mere 17 subscribers usually do so quietly.
3 January 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
City of FortuneTheir words
I read that last month, and visited Venice while I was reading it, and I was struck by the extent to which medieval Venice was a well-oiled political economy machine.
2 January 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Sistine ChapelTheir words
Which remains my favorite “painting” I’ve personally seen in my whole life.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
SlackTheir words
My favorite platform for chat, doubling as an excellent center for notifications of various kinds.
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Dislikedrcmnd.app
Microsoft TeamsTheir words
I also use Discord (not bad) to engage with some niche communities and Microsoft Teams (awful) for work.
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
DiscordTheir words
I also use Discord (not bad) to engage with some niche communities and Microsoft Teams (awful) for work.
+ 2 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
MailerLiteTheir words
MailerLite is by far, hands down, the best email marketing service out there (I've tried many).
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Google Cloud PlatformTheir words
We use GCP extensively at work and I absolutely love their many quality services.
1 January 2025
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Their words, before
Such "taxi" services where the cars are also used with drivers at other times and with extended geography, in 10 major US cities NET 2025
Their words now
This is unlikely to happen in the first half of this century.
From one piece Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Q3 2024 had the rate 8.9% so there is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic at a time when EV enthusiasts thought I was horribly pessimistic.
-
Their words
Waymo now has a service that looks and feels like this in San Francisco, 8 years earlier than I predicted. But it is not what every one was expecting. There are humans in the loop.
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korrents.com
Actual self-driving turned out to be far harder than almost everyone believed it would be.Their words
Actual self-driving is now generally accepted to be much harder than every one believed.
31 December 2024
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Their words
There’s still plenty to worry about with respect to the environmental impact of the great AI datacenter buildout, but a lot of the concerns over the energy cost of individual prompts are no longer credible.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Is AI progress slowing down?Their words
To understand more about inference scaling I recommend Is AI progress slowing down?
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korrents.com
Reading fiction is necessary to an engineer's creative capacity; reading only technical books drains itTheir words
Yet, I also need to read fiction because if I only read tech books, they take away my creative energy rather than grant it, as fiction does.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Life with PicassoTheir words
A second complementary book was Life with Picasso by Françoise Gilot
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Our Share of NightTheir words
Our Share of Night by Mariana Enríquez - I was struck to the bone by this book. I thought about it for many weeks after I read it and even had several dreams about it.
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Rattle BagTheir words
The Rattle Bag edited by Seamus Heaney and Ted Hughes - In an age of LLM-generated poetry and machine learning curation (even coming from yours truly sometimes), it's refreshing to have real people who love poetry curate it and show you what you need to read to touch grass.
+ 2 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Tombs of AtuanTheir words
The Tombs of Atuan - My only regret is that I came to Ursula K. LeGuin so late in life, and this might be my favorite of all of her books I've read so far.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The C Programming LanguageTheir words
The C Programming Language - I've finally gotten to the point in my career where I can appreciate the elegance of this book.
30 December 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
A Wizard of EarthseaTheir words
I picked this book up, and I liked it. On the surface, it's about wizards and magic, but there's more to it. Every now and then, Ursula Le Guin sprinkles in some wisdom.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Best of TagoreTheir words
Some of his essays are thought-provoking. His reflections on education, nationalism, and other topics are not only stirring but also showcase literary brilliance. The man could write.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Strangest ManTheir words
I found this an engaging biography and thoroughly enjoyed reading it.
+ 2 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
The argumentative IndianTheir words
It's stimulating work as well as easy to read. Although parts of South Asia are not commonly known to have an argumentative gene, Amartya Sen convincingly shows that Indian history is deeply rooted in an argumentative tradition. He masterfully weaves evidence and tales to make his point.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Human, All Too HumanTheir words
I have never read a philosopher who had more penetrating thoughts in a book. Some of his ideas hit you like a thunderbolt.
29 December 2024
From one piece Life Cannot Be Delegated 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
We ought to be especially careful in the cases where what we delegate to a device, app, agent, or system is an aspect of how we express care, cultivate skill, relate to one another, make moral judgments, or assume responsibility for our actions in the world
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Their words
This form of life cannot be delegated because by its very nature it requires our whole-person involvement.
27 December 2024
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
SupercommunicatorsTheir words
A simple and tested method for communicating and connecting with anyone, Supercommunicators is an exploration of the psychology and neuroscience of communication — and how to use those skills at work, home and in life.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
The Power of HabitTheir words
My first book, which spent three years on New York Times bestseller lists, takes us to the thrilling edge of scientific discoveries that explain why habits exist — and how they can be changed.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Smarter Faster BetterTheir words
My second book is about the science of productivity, and how to succeed with less stress and struggle, to get more done without sacrificing what we care about most.
26 December 2024
23 December 2024
22 December 2024
From one piece Adam Frank: Alien Civilizations and the Search for Extraterrestrial Life | Lex Fridman Podcast #455 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And what they found was if that search space, if the sky is an ocean and you're looking for fish, how much of the ocean have we looked at, and it turns out to be a hot tub. That's how much of the ocean that we've looked up. We've dragged a hot tub's worth of ocean water up and there was no fish in it
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Their words
So, we'll call that the indirect Fermi paradox and there absolutely is no indirect Fermi paradox for the most mundane of reasons, which is money. There's never been any money to look.
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korrents.com
The burden of proof about alien civilisations has shifted: it is now on the pessimists.Their words
But I felt like what this paper showed was that the burden of proof is now on the pessimists. So, that's why we called it the pessimism line. Throughout history, there's been alien pessimists and alien optimists, and they've been yelling at each other, that's all they had to go with.
+ 2 more
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Their words
And so, what we found was basically that there have been 10 billion trillion habitable zone planets in the universe. And what that means is that those are 10 billion trillion experiments that have been run. And the only way that we're this whole process from a biogenesis to a civilization has occurred is if every one of those experiments failed.
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korrents.com
The 2,500-year-old argument about whether planets are common is settled: every star in the night sky has planets.Their words
In which case, those kinds of collisions are so rare that you would expect one in a trillion stars to have planets. Instead, every star in the night sky has planets.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Father Time: A Natural History of Men and BabiesTheir words
Best books I read in 2024: Just a note that these books weren’t all necessarily published this year (though some were). Father Time: A Natural History of Men and Babies by Sarah Blaffer Hrdy
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Just as Deadly: The Psychology of Female Serial KillersTheir words
Best books I read in 2024: Just a note that these books weren’t all necessarily published this year (though some were). Father Time: A Natural History of Men and Babies by Sarah Blaffer Hrdy Just as Deadly: The Psychology of Female Serial Killers by Marissa A. Harrison
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Their words
Best books I read in 2024: Just a note that these books weren’t all necessarily published this year (though some were). Father Time: A Natural History of Men and Babies by Sarah Blaffer Hrdy Just as Deadly: The Psychology of Female Serial Killers by Marissa A. Harrison Eve: How the Female Body Drove 200 Million Years of Human Evolution by Cat Bohannon
20 December 2024
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Their words, before
This "memorize, fetch, apply" paradigm can achieve arbitrary levels of skills at arbitrary tasks given appropriate training data, but it cannot adapt to novelty or pick up new skills on the fly (which is to say that there is no fluid intelligence at play here.)
Their words now
OpenAI's new o3 model represents a significant leap forward in AI's ability to adapt to novel tasks. This is not merely incremental improvement, but a genuine breakthrough, marking a qualitative shift in AI capabilities compared to the prior limitations of LLMs.
From one piece OpenAI o3 Breakthrough High Score on ARC-AGI-Pub 2 beliefs · arcprize.org
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Their words
Passing ARC-AGI does not equate to achieving AGI, and, as a matter of fact, I don't think o3 is AGI yet. o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences with human intelligence.
OpenAI o3 Breakthrough High Score on ARC-AGI-Pubarcprize.org
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Their words
o3's improvement over the GPT series proves that architecture is everything. You couldn't throw more compute at GPT-4 and get these results. Simply scaling up the things we were doing from 2019 to 2023 -- take the same architecture, train a bigger version on more data -- is not enough.
OpenAI o3 Breakthrough High Score on ARC-AGI-Pubarcprize.org
From one piece Will all our drugs come from China? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
China now starts about a quarter of the world's new clinical trials, more than Europe does.Their words
Chinese companies are now responsible for about a quarter of new trial starts — more than Europe.
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Their words
I don’t think many in the West have yet fully internalized a mental model of China as a source of genuine innovation.
18 December 2024
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korrents.com
Discriminated unions are the most important TypeScript feature, and everyone should be using them more.Their words
the most important typescript feature is discriminated unions and everyone should be using them more
17 December 2024
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On changing their mind
I used to cast a much wider net, like I felt like people ought to get to interview anyone who was being hired over them.
From one piece “Founder Mode” and the Art of Mythmaking 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Reference checks are more informative than interviews, and if you had to pick one you should pick references.Their words
I’ve said many times that if I had to choose between interviews or references, I would pick references every time.
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Their words
Can you be calibrated as an interviewer on every single opening, for every role? My God, no, not even close.
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korrents.com
"Hire great people and get out of their way" is dangerous advice for anyone in a leadership role.Their words
Earlier this year I started writing a piece on why “hire great people and get out of their way” is such terrible, dangerous, counterproductive advice to give anyone in a leadership role.
+ 2 more
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Their words
Either can work. Both have tradeoffs and implications. If you try to import either philosophy wholesale, it will break in unexpected ways; if you try to mix and match, it will probably be an unfettered nightmare.
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Their words
You should ALWAYS have as few employees as possible. Always. Hiring more people should never be the first lever you reach for, it’s what you do after exhausting your other options.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Seven Brief Lessons on PhysicsTheir words
Rovelli describes quantum concepts in an approachable way.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Seventh FloorTheir words
one in a series about the CIA’s efforts to subvert Russian spies
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Lovedrcmnd.app
How to Build a CarTheir words
He is the single most successful car designer in the history of Formula One, having won many championships.
+ 2 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The City & Its Uncertain WallsTheir words
I’ve read every one of his books, & this is the most recent
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Lovedrcmnd.app
StoryworthyTheir words
Matthew Dicks is an award-winning storyteller.
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Likedrcmnd.app
OHTO MS01 all-metal drafting pencilTheir words
OHTO MS01 all-metal drafting pencil
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Likedrcmnd.app
Kakimori aluminum ballpoint penTheir words
Kakimori aluminum ballpoint pen
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Likedrcmnd.app
LAMY Safari fountain penTheir words
LAMY Safari fountain pen (specifically the Pikachu one!)
+ 2 more
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Likedrcmnd.app
LAMY Pico ballpoint penTheir words
LAMY Pico ballpoint pen
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Likedrcmnd.app
Sharpie S-Gel penTheir words
Sharpie S-Gel pen
16 December 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
iOS Dev WeeklyTheir words
A high-quality newsletter on everything iOS and Swift with lots of easily digestible content.
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Usesrcmnd.app
The ChangelogTheir words
high-quality conversations with engineers, leaders, innovators in the tech world.
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Usesrcmnd.app
Tech Lead JournalTheir words
discussions from software engineering leaders, with a focus on Asia and Europe.
+ 2 more
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Usesrcmnd.app
Greater Than CodeTheir words
a podcast with frequent software engineering guests from underrepresented groups. Weekly episodes on the human side of tech.
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Usesrcmnd.app
HBR IdeaCastTheir words
an episode per week on a management topic featured in Harvard Business Review.
14 December 2024
12 December 2024
11 December 2024
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Investment PhilosophiesTheir words
Investment Philosophies (Wiley, 2nd Ed): This is the best book for this class, and provides background and evidence for each investment philosophy, with a listing of the personal characteristics that you need to make that philosophy work for you.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Applied Corporate FinanceTheir words
Applied Corporate Finance (Wiley, 4th Ed): This is the book that is most closely tied to this class and represents my views of what should be in a corporate finance class most closely.
10 December 2024
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Usestheir ownrcmnd.app
Cloudflare WorkersTheir words
Anyway that’s why I’m using Cloudflare Workers for my AI agent stuff. Race you to the finish line.
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Likedtheir ownrcmnd.app
Workers AITheir words
Workers AI has dope models for your use. No API keys when used inside Workers.
9 December 2024
From one piece Debanking (and Debunking?) 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Nic Carter correctly identified the product behind the FDIC’s redacted crypto pause letters.Their words
I think Carter is very likely (90%+) correct with respect to identifying the subject of these letters.
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korrents.com
A US deposit account is a credit product, and cannot be made otherwise without breaking it.Their words
For one thing, typical deposit accounts in the U.S. are actually credit products. It's baked in and can't be baked out without making them unfit for purpose.
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korrents.com
Americans are not, as a routine matter, cut off from the financial system for their politics.Their words
This does not happen as a matter of routine in the United States.
+ 2 more
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Their words
We will explore some coordination mechanisms, which are overstated, and some correlation mechanisms, which are poorly understood.
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Their words
We’re hearing about debanking because it sometimes affects socially established wealthy entrepreneurs and their companies.
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korrents.com
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.Their words
I do not believe that analytical skills are the missing ingredient in thinking about the future. Rather, I believe that imagination about the future and a theory of change that helps to describe it clearly, are what is needed to look ahead in a more compelling way.
7 December 2024
From one piece Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralization 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So Portland managed to build one very small line for fairly reasonable costs, but they were not cutting edge; this is a common pattern to Western US cities, in that the first line has reasonable costs and then things explode, even while staying self-funded and self-directed.
Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com
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korrents.com
There is nothing to learn from any American transit project within living memory except what not to do.Their words
The truth is that there’s nothing that can be learned from American projects within living memory except what not to do.
Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com
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Their words
A single case study can lead to overlearning from the peculiarities of one place, where the right thing to do is look at a number of successes and look at what is common to all of them.
Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com
+ 1 more
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Their words
In truth, the UK shares high costs with more decentralized countries, and Spain shares low ones with more centralized ones.
Low Spanish Costs are not About Decentralizationpedestrianobservations.com
6 December 2024
From one piece Come and get me (both you and AI) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
A personal website is an autobiography. I wish everyone had one. The more we share, the better.
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Their words
I'm trying to thoroughly write my thought processes, values, and worldview, so that you can remember it, re-create it and improve upon it.
5 December 2024
From one piece Vertical farming: a local solution for greens, but not feeding the world any time soon 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
A number of studies, conducting full life-cycle analyses, have found that vertical farms currently have a higher carbon footprint than conventional outdoor farming.
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korrents.com
Cereals will stay an outdoor crop, because the energy to grow them indoors costs far more than the grain is worth.Their words
Without some crazy technological breakthrough, cereals are are going to be an outdoor-only crop for a long time.
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korrents.com
Vertical farming swaps a land problem for an energy problem, and the energy cost is what stops it feeding the world.Their words
What stands in the way is energy demand. Growing crops indoors is energy-intensive. So we’re really swapping a land problem for an energy one.
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Their words
Both systems were badly structured at their very inception (Versailles and the end of the Cold War). Both contained within themselves the seeds of destruction.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Twenty Years' Crisis, 1919-1939Their words
There is no better time than now to read E. H. Carr’s The twenty years’ crisis 1919 39
4 December 2024
3 December 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
An Unfinished Love StoryTheir words
Whether you already know a lot about the ’60s or you’re just dipping your toe into those waters, whether you want a deep dive into the art of political writing or a charming story about a married couple who adored each other, you’ll get it from An Unfinished Love Story.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Engineering in Plain SightTheir words
One of the coolest aspects of Engineering in Plain Sight is how it ties everyday observations to larger engineering principles.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Anxious GenerationTheir words
The Anxious Generation is a must-read for anyone raising, working with, or teaching young people today.
+ 1 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Coming WaveTheir words
Most of the coverage of The Coming Wave has focused on what it has to say about artificial intelligence—which makes sense, given that it's one of the most important books on AI ever written.
1 December 2024
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korrents.com
A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it.Their words
So even though women’s economic advancement did displace some men, and triggered some private hostility, it was never actually catapulted into social antagonism. This is primarily because it was never leveraged by political entrepreneurs!
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
On the Calculation of Volume (Book I)Their words
I won't spoil anything by saying more but the novel is really lovely and captivating, pulling surprising meaning and depth from repetition.
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
FulgentiusTheir words
Point being that it was probably inevitable I would love this short and absurd novel about a sexagenarian Roman general who is obsessed with staging the sole play he ever wrote—back as a precocious young artist—over and over again.
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Euphoria DaysTheir words
Like the previous two books, this one is short (just under 200 pages) and written in lively prose and fast-moving chapters.
+ 1 more
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Season of the SwampTheir words
Yuri Herrera is one of the few contemporary authors whose books I will always buy and know I will love.
30 November 2024
From one piece It Is Time To Build The Monster Scope 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
NASA has deferred its next great telescope so far that the people who would build it will have retired first.Their words
Current PhD students will be nearing retirement by the time these missions fly.
It Is Time To Build The Monster Scopecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
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korrents.com
A kilometre-wide telescope assembled in space out of mass-produced mirror satellites would cost about what JWST cost.Their words
The same as JWST, only 150 times wider and 22000 times more sensitive.
It Is Time To Build The Monster Scopecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
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Their words
With the recent SpaceX Starship orbital flight tests, it is time to commit to building the largest physically possible space telescope.
It Is Time To Build The Monster Scopecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
28 November 2024
From one piece Reward Hacking in Reinforcement Learning 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
More capable AI agents are more likely to find and exploit flaws in their reward functions.Their words
A more intelligent agent is more capable of finding "holes" in the design of reward function and exploiting the task specification-in other words, achieving higher proxy rewards but lower true rewards.
Reward Hacking in Reinforcement Learninglilianweng.github.io
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Their words
Reward hacking exists because RL environments are often imperfect, and it is fundamentally challenging to accurately specify a reward function.
Reward Hacking in Reinforcement Learninglilianweng.github.io
27 November 2024
23 November 2024
22 November 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
FeaturebaseTheir words
Featurebase.app bug and feedback board
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
StripeTheir words
Stripe Billing Portal for changing and canceling subcription
21 November 2024
19 November 2024
18 November 2024
17 November 2024
13 November 2024
12 November 2024
10 November 2024
From one piece Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10x 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
What stands between us and cheap lightweight vehicles is that they are illegal, not that they are hard to build.Their words
Cheap, lightweight people movers are currently illegal in many situations, so regulation is a barrier.
Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10xaustinvernon.site
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Their words
It should be possible to decrease the weight of a car by 10x without sacrificing speed or internal volume.
Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10xaustinvernon.site
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Their words
Humans being awful drivers leads to a massive increase in vehicle costs and weight, makes cars more dangerous to people outside of them, and imposes significant costs on infrastructure like roads.
Human Driving Increases Transportation Cost 10xaustinvernon.site
9 November 2024
From one piece Solar and batteries for generic use cases 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
A battery that’s discharging every day gets great utilization, but one that’s only there in case the sun doesn’t come up for two days in a row, barely gets used.
Solar and batteries for generic use casescaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
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Their words
For loads below $1000/kW, intermittent operation with some modest solar array oversizing is the winning strategy. Above $1000/kW, we charge and discharge batteries daily to run them.
Solar and batteries for generic use casescaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
8 November 2024
From one piece Does All Semiconductor Manufacturing Depend on Spruce Pine Quartz? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The downside is that synthetic quartz is much more expensive, perhaps on the order of 5–10 times the cost of natural high-purity quartz.
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korrents.com
The high-purity quartz of Spruce Pine is a real chokepoint in chipmaking, but not an irreplaceable one.Their words
Spruce Pine quartz isn’t quite an irreplaceable linchpin in semiconductor manufacturing.
From one piece Two alignment threat models 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
This is especially severe for open weight models, where deployment is essentially irreversible and mitigations can’t be improved later.
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Their words
In other words, current models are probably severely under-elicited.
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Their words
Therefore it’s simply intractable to meaningfully oversee all but a tiny fraction of our models’ behavior with actual humans.
7 November 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of CrowdsTheir words
One of my favorite books is Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Markets, published in 1841, and it chronicles how market mistakes form and grow, using the South Sea Bubble and the Tulip Bulb Craze as illustrative examples.
6 November 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Lambda the UltimateTheir words
Everything I know about programming language theory, I owe to this site.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
CiteSeerTheir words
Online library of research papers.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Dijkstra archiveTheir words
Collected writings of one of the founders of computer science.
+ 2 more
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Lost GardenTheir words
Essays on creative and analytical approaches to game design.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
RhymeZoneTheir words
Superb rhyming dictionary.
5 November 2024
31 October 2024
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Sunglasses After DarkTheir words
Mind candy, horror/contemporary fantasy: the first four "Sonja Blue" novels.
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
In the BloodTheir words
Mind candy, horror/contemporary fantasy: the first four "Sonja Blue" novels.
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Paint It BlackTheir words
Mind candy, horror/contemporary fantasy: the first four "Sonja Blue" novels.
30 October 2024
29 October 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Google GeminiTheir words
The Google Gemini series are my favourite multi-modal models right now due to the size and breadth of content they support.
28 October 2024
25 October 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Intelligent InvestorTheir words
He has been a confidant of Buffett and Munger, a co-author with Daniel Kahneman, an editor on two revised editions of Ben Graham’s masterpiece The Intelligent Investor, considered to be the best book on investing ever written.
23 October 2024
22 October 2024
21 October 2024
From one piece Are Games Bad? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Video games are the cathedrals of the modern world and nobody yet knows what they are for.Their words
They are the cathedrals of the modern world. Only we don’t know what they are for.
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Their words
So many of the worst things about video games are not just reluctantly tolerated but enthusiastically embraced because, through association, they have become emblems of our beloved hobby/artform/lifestyle.
20 October 2024
19 October 2024
From one piece You’re Not Paranoid. The Market Is Out to Get You. 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Successful investing is fundamentally about self-control rather than understanding markets.Their words
Investing isn't about mastering the markets; it's about mastering yourself.
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korrents.com
Constant market connectivity has made disciplined, independent investing harder than ever before.Their words
Thanks to today's incessantly twitchy, infinitely networked markets, it has never been harder to be a disciplined and independent investor.
18 October 2024
17 October 2024
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Their words
The only way you can make H2FC cars look cheaper than BEVs is to underestimate or ignore the cost of hydrogen production and infrastructure, socialise it, and then load the entire cost of grid build-out onto the marginal BEV.
16 October 2024
From one piece Graham Hancock: Lost Civilization of the Ice Age & Ancient Human History | Lex Fridman Podcast #449 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The Younger Dryas impact hypothesis, YDIH for short, is not a lunatic fringe theory as its opponents often attempt to write it off. It’s the work of more than 60 major scientists working across many different disciplines, including archeology and including oceanography as well.
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korrents.com
The worldwide flood traditions record the Younger Dryas, not local floods that storytellers mistook for global ones.Their words
I’m not persuaded by that, particularly since we know there was a nasty epoch, the Younger Dryas, when flooding did occur, and when the Earth was subjected to events cataclysmic enough to extinguish entirely the megafauna of the ice age.
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Their words
And I don’t feel that that can be a coincidence. I feel that what we are looking at is an inheritance of an idea, a legacy that’s been passed down from a remote common source to cultures all around the world, and that has taken on a life of its own within those cultures.
+ 2 more
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Their words
It’s clear that Göbekli Tepe now was not the beginning of this process. It was actually in a way, the end of this process.
-
Their words
It’s often said that I’m claiming to have proved that there was an advanced lost civilization in the Ice Age. And I am not claiming to have proved that. That is a hypothesis that I’m putting forward to answer some of the questions that I have about prehistory.
14 October 2024
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korrents.com
There are few clear-cut cases in biopharma today where buying an AI system is obviously worth it.Their words
At the moment, there are in fact not very many slam-dunk gotta-get-me-some-of-that-AI decisions out there in our business.
From one piece Response to DHH 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
If WP Engine didn’t want this to happen, they should not have published their code under the GPL or distributed it through WordPress.org’s directory.
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Their words
I am so sorry. I shouldn’t let this stuff get to me, but it clearly did, and I took it out on DHH, who, while I disagree with him on several points, isn’t the actual villain in this story: it’s WP Engine and Silver Lake.
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korrents.com
An open source project’s trademarks must be defended, and that defence is separate from the software’s licence.Their words
Trademarks must be protected, as evidenced by Rails trademark policy.
+ 1 more
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korrents.com
Building a business on open source is a good thing; the objection is to trademark abuse, not to commercial use.Their words
I think it’s fantastic when businesses are built on open source, the WordPress ecosystem is at least 10B+ a year; Automattic and WP Engine are less than 5% of that.
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Their words, before
My suggested approach would be more capital intensive while retaining a lot of risk until fairly late in development. I am not sure it’s fundable.
Their words now
Cargo airship margins, therefore, can be much higher than I had realized.
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Their words
Many software investors eschew hard tech startups because of their capital intensity, but it’s hard to deny that huge returns are possible in hard tech: just consider SpaceX.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Watership DownTheir words
If asked to name my favorite movie, the beautiful 1970s watercolor Watership Down is a contender.
13 October 2024
11 October 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
ArmorTheir words
But otherwise, yes, absolutely. This is one of my favorite Sci-Fi novels I've read.
From one piece LLMs don’t do formal reasoning - and that is a HUGE problem 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Another manifestation of the lack of sufficiently abstract, formal reasoning in LLMs is the way in which performance often fall apart as problems are made bigger.
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Their words
Neurosymbolic AI — combining such machinery with neural networks – is likely a necessary condition for going forward.
10 October 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Invention of the Jewish PeopleTheir words
Fascinating subject. Countries are made of stories. Kings didn’t need their subjects to agree, but nations do. So to build a nation, they need to make a story that helps people feel a shared identity, nationalism, and what distinguishes them from their neighbors. Back-creating a history. Founders of Israel did this brilliantly.
7 October 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Dagger and the CoinTheir words
This is a worthy entry in the genre. It suffers a bit from extensive plot not about banking and characters who barely speak to dragons. But all of that irrelevant fluff makes it one of the most underrated fantasy series I’ve ever read.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Shylock's ChildrenTheir words
This is a pity, and if you can find it, it is very worth your time.
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Phoenix ProjectTheir words
The Phoenix Project is actually assigned at some infrastructure companies, because the narrative makes the pedagogy about project management go down more easily.
+ 2 more
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
The Social NetworkTheir words
The Social Network is substantially made up, more a source for vibes rather than a source for facts. Even the vibes fail to cohere with reality. And yet it convinced many proto-founders to put in YC applications.
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Complex SystemsTheir words
do check out Complex Systems if you haven't already. It is in your podcast-delivery-vehicle of choice or at the website
From one piece Fighting for our web 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And it doesn’t always take a job at The New York Times or a huge pre-established platform to become one of the voices speaking up, helping to turn that tide.
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Their words
Websites outside of these handful of social networks are harder and harder to even find, and partially because of that, they have a harder and harder time sustaining themselves.
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korrents.com
The web is being flooded with coherent, generic, generated text that buries the writing worth reading.Their words
What is out there is buried among ever-growing piles of useless content farm material or, increasingly, AI-generated garbage.
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Their words
But the platforms do not exist without the people, and there are a lot more of us than there are of them.
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Their words
The web is still just a substrate on which anything can be built. Most importantly, the web is the people who use it, not the companies that have established themselves around it.
4 October 2024
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The required organizational transition is equivalent in scope and difficulty to the Apollo program, and will be made or broken during the tenure of the next NASA administrator.
Their words now
At the time I was optimistic, now I am not.
1 October 2024
From one piece Writes and Write-Nots 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So a world divided into writes and write-nots is more dangerous than it sounds. It will be a world of thinks and think-nots.
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korrents.com
Within a couple of decades there will not be many people who can write, because AI has removed the pressure to learn.Their words
I'm usually reluctant to make predictions about technology, but I feel fairly confident about this one: in a couple decades there won't be many people who can write.
From one piece Machines of Loving Grace (October 2024) 4 beliefs · darioamodei.com
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Their words
Unfortunately, I see no strong reason to believe AI will preferentially or structurally advance democracy and peace, in the same way that I think it will structurally advance human health and alleviate poverty.
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korrents.com
Meaning in human life comes mostly from relationships and connection rather than from economic labour.Their words
In any case I think meaning comes mostly from human relationships and connection, not from economic labor.
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korrents.com
Powerful AI will compress the biological and medical progress of the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years.Their words
To summarize the above, my basic prediction is that AI-enabled biology and medicine will allow us to compress the progress that human biologists would have achieved over the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years.
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Their words
It could be as simple as a large universal basic income for everyone, although I suspect that will only be a small part of a solution.
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