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Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Receivers, not quarterbacks, deserve the blame for dropped passes.

  Their words

  We are quite confident that drops should be attributed to the WR, not the quarterback.

  QBERT 2026 NFL quarterback ratingsnatesilver.net

Economist specialising in global income inequality; formerly lead economist in the World Bank research department, now at the CUNY Graduate Center and author of the Global Inequality and More newsletter.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  The Coming Storm: Power, Conflict, and Warnings from History

  Their words

  It is a quick read, an excellent book whose main virtue is not, in my opinion, direct analogy with the World War I, but a treatment of how in a multipolar world relatively small international events, misunderstandings, idiosyncratic fits of leaders, “hubris and fear” (as Westad often writes), resentment of the elite and of the public prodded by the media, can produce colossal miscalculations which then produce even more colossal wars and, in the era of the weapons of mass destruction, may end the civilization.

  branko2f7.substack.com

Professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M; writes The Climate Brink with Zeke Hausfather.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The same global average temperature can arise from greenhouse warming or from El Niño and still produce very different regional climate impacts.

  Their words

  The catch is that the future world that has been warmed by greenhouse gases and a present-day world that has been temporarily warmed by El Niño can have the same global-average temperature while having significant differences in the impacts of this warming.

  theclimatebrink.com

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  Newly discovered, costly climate impacts like wildfire smoke should strengthen the case for cutting greenhouse gas emissions.

  Their words

  This should turbocharge our resolve to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases.

  ♫ Smoke Gets in Your Eyes ♫theclimatebrink.com

Co-founded Neuralink and founded Science Corp, which is building a retinal implant; writes about neural interfaces and biology.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The best companies come out of scenes: a moment and a community that nucleate the founding team, and once that moment passes it is hard to get back.

  Their words

  I think the best companies in my experience come from what might be characterized as scenes. There's like a moment that enables a new company to be born and there's a bunch that comes together that really creates this like unique nucleation for the new company.

  Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enoughyoutube.com

Chief product officer at the live-shopping marketplace Whatnot, previously chief product officer at Twitch and a product lead on growth at Twitter.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Deciding on averages is how product teams destroy the small group for whom a barely-used feature is everything.

  Their words

  there are real downstream impacts to people's businesses that often come from just like a lack of nuance in understanding metrics, particularly averages.

  youtube.com

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  Climate change's effects will unfold as sudden catastrophic events rather than as steadily accumulating small changes.

  Their words

  The transformation to come will be decidedly nonlinear, meaning it will not occur as small impacts over many years but rather a series of infrequent, huge events of enormous destructive power.

  Wildfires are remaking the worldtheclimatebrink.com

Creator of the iPod and co-creator of the iPhone at Apple, founder of Nest, and author of Build.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Agent-written code that runs and passes its tests is not enough: security, maintainability and being able to roll it back still need humans in the loop.

  Their words

  you can have an agent make code for you and it could work and it could test, but is it secure? Is it maintainable? If there's something going wrong, can you roll things back and understand what's going on?

  youtube.com

Freelance climate and energy analyst in Oslo, writing on Europe, the US and Australia; worked in the Australian renewables industry before that.

From one piece Why Anthropic’s ultra-dirty deal shouldn’t surprise you at all 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  The environmental harm caused by data centres comes from how the industry chooses to build them, not from anything inherent to computing infrastructure.

  data centers

  Their words

  there is nothing fundamentally inherent to the concept of a building full of computers that causes choking air pollution, water impacts and climate change.

  ketanjoshi.co

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  Panic and impatience in the industry, not the technology itself, are what drive the worst environmental harms of the data centre boom.

  data centers

  Their words

  The fundamental drivers of this change are panic and impatience, and that is what is behind the worst impacts of data centre growth, including a material risk to decarbonisation and climate action.

  ketanjoshi.co

Writer and former Substack product manager; publishes essays and interviews on technology, culture and China at jasmi.news.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  People who regulate, protest, or talk about AI are mostly driven by pre-existing political agendas rather than AI itself.

  Their words

  From now until forever, most people regulating, protesting, and talking about AI will not be interested in AI per se, but rather how it impacts their preexisting belief systems and political agendas.

  🌻 AI populism's warning shotsjasmi.news

Co-creator of Django and creator of Datasette; writes daily at simonwillison.net.

From one piece Simon Willison: Engineering practices that make coding agents work - The Pragmatic Summit 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  A language-agnostic conformance suite is the most powerful thing you can hand a coding agent, because the whole instruction becomes: write code until these tests pass.

  Their words

  And what you can do if you've got one of these conformance suites is you can give it to a a good agent and say, "Write code until this test suite passes." And it kind of will.

  youtube.com

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  A passing test suite is not evidence that the software works, so an agent must also be made to start the thing and exercise it the way a person would.

  Their words

  just cuz the test suite passes doesn't mean that the web server will boot. You know, there's there's always a chance that when you actually try in the real world, something's not going to work.

  youtube.com

Data scientist at Our World in Data and author of Not the End of the World. Writes By the Numbers, working through energy and climate questions with the numbers in front of them, and revising in public when they say something unexpected.

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  Meat: How the Next Agricultural Revolution Will Transform Humanity’s Favorite Food—and Our Future

  Their words

  If you’re interested in the environmental impacts of our current food system and want to dig into the opportunities for meat-like products without the animals (and their impacts), I really recommend it.

  hannahritchie.substack.com

Software entrepreneur who bootstrapped and sold FeedbackPanda and now builds Podscan; writes The Bootstrapped Founder.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Advice to never give up becomes dangerous once a venture passes an unknowable tipping point.

  Their words

  "Don't give up" is really, really useful advice-until a certain point. After that, it becomes extremely dangerous.

  Don’t Give Up… Your Assumptionsthebootstrappedfounder.com

Writer and researcher on China, technology and industry; author of Breakneck, research fellow at Stanford, known for a widely read annual letter.

• Likedrcmnd.app

  1913: The Year Before the Storm

  Their words

  1913: The Year Before the Storm presents a whimsical slice of Central Europe. Art historian Florian Illies collates fragments of leading figures month by month, diary-entry style.

  danwang.co

Astrophysicist and coffee researcher; author of The Physics of Filter Coffee and The Physics of Espresso, and writer of the Coffee ad Astra blog on brewing science and equipment.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Coffee bed depth, unlike bed width, significantly affects flavor in a way other brew variables cannot easily compensate for.

  Their words

  the depth of a coffee bed, contrary to the width of the coffee bed, is a variable that impacts the flavor of the coffee being brewed significantly, and in a way that you cannot easily compensate for by changing other brew variables.

  The Importance of Bed Depthcoffeeadastra.com

Co-founder and CEO of Shopify; long-time Linux user and Omarchy contributor.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The one thing no science-fiction writer dared predict is that the Turing test would be passed and nobody would notice.

  Their words

  And you know what no sci-fi author dared to predict is that the Turing tests just passes by.

  youtube.com

Machine learning engineer working on recommender systems, personalization and information retrieval. Previously worked on LLMs and LLM infrastructure at Mozilla.ai and on ML and recsys at Duo, Tumblr, Automattic and Comcast; wrote the 'What are embeddings?' text and ran the Normconf conference.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  Cathedral of the Sea

  Their words

  Cathedral of the Sea by Ildefonso Falcones - One of the biggest recent creative impacts of my life was a trip I took to Barcelona in 2023.

  vickiboykis.com

Writer on a lost civilisation of the Ice Age; wrote Fingerprints of the Gods and presented Ancient Apocalypse. Archaeologists reject the claims, which he disputes at length.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The Younger Dryas was triggered not by one impact but by hundreds of airbursts from a fragmenting comet whose debris stream the Earth still crosses twice a year.

  Their words

  So the suggestion is that it wasn’t one impact, it wasn’t two impacts, it wasn’t three impacts, it was hundreds of air bursts all around the planet.

  youtube.com

• Usesrcmnd.app

  PHPStorm

  Their words

  These are integrated directly into my IDE (I use PHP Storm).

  thebootstrappedfounder.com

Founded SpaceX in 2002, joined Tesla's board in 2004 and became its chief executive in 2008; later founded Neuralink, The Boring Company and xAI. Bought Twitter in 2022 and renamed it X, where he now posts many times a day.

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  The Wages of Destruction

  Their words

  Some audiobook recommendations: The Story of Civilization by Durant Iliad (Penguin Edition) The Road to Serfdom by Hayek American Caesar by Manchester Masters of Doom by Kushner The Wages of Destruction by Tooze The Storm of Steel by Junger The Guns of August by Tuchman

  x.com

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  The Iliad

  Their words

  Some audiobook recommendations: The Story of Civilization by Durant Iliad (Penguin Edition) The Road to Serfdom by Hayek American Caesar by Manchester Masters of Doom by Kushner The Wages of Destruction by Tooze The Storm of Steel by Junger The Guns of August by Tuchman

  x.com

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  The Guns of August

  Their words

  Some audiobook recommendations: The Story of Civilization by Durant Iliad (Penguin Edition) The Road to Serfdom by Hayek American Caesar by Manchester Masters of Doom by Kushner The Wages of Destruction by Tooze The Storm of Steel by Junger The Guns of August by Tuchman

  x.com

+ 2 more

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  Storm of Steel

  Their words

  Some audiobook recommendations: The Story of Civilization by Durant Iliad (Penguin Edition) The Road to Serfdom by Hayek American Caesar by Manchester Masters of Doom by Kushner The Wages of Destruction by Tooze The Storm of Steel by Junger The Guns of August by Tuchman

  x.com

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  American Caesar

  Their words

  Some audiobook recommendations: The Story of Civilization by Durant Iliad (Penguin Edition) The Road to Serfdom by Hayek American Caesar by Manchester Masters of Doom by Kushner The Wages of Destruction by Tooze The Storm of Steel by Junger The Guns of August by Tuchman

  x.com

Theoretical physicist and philosopher, Homewood Professor of Natural Philosophy at Johns Hopkins and fractal faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. Writes the Preposterous Universe blog and hosts the Mindscape podcast.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Listening for alien radio is the wrong search: a probe that sits and waits beats a signal that passes you by, so an artifact in our solar system is likelier than a message.

  solar

  Their words

  This is the 2001 monolith hypothesis. I would be less surprised to find a quiescent alien artifact in our solar system than I would to catch a radio signal from an intelligent civilization.

  youtube.com

• Our reading nowkorrents.com

  AI research is on a good trajectory overall — good for science and good for society — and existential concerns will only become relevant in the distant future.

  Their words, before

  Reading the book had not changed my fundamental belief that, in balance, we were on a good trajectory with AI research: good for science and good for society with expected positive impacts in many domains.

  Their words now

  I now believe that I was wrong and short-sighted to ignore that dual-use nature. I also think I was not paying enough attention to the possibility of losing control to superhuman AIs.

Economist and journalist; Financial Times columnist as The Undercover Economist, author of How to Make the World Add Up, and presenter of the Cautionary Tales podcast.

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  Anthro-Vision

  Their words

  Gillian Tett, Anthro-Vision – my colleague Gillian Tett makes the case for thinking like an anthropologist in business and in life. The description of how KitKats took Japan by storm is a particular delight.

  timharford.com

Writer and researcher on how people organise online; wrote Working in Public, on the maintenance of open-source software, and Antimemetics.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  A project that skips forming a foundation still has to formalise its governance, or it drifts into a tyranny of structurelessness.

  Their words

  On the other hand, by avoiding foundations, projects also avoid the question of how to formalize their governance, thus risking a “tyranny of structurelessness” that might range from projects living inside a company forever, to disorganized chaos that negatively impacts project velocity.

  Governance without foundationsnadia.xyz