Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• CQ Noodles in the Richmond is another really good Chinese hole-in-the-wall place

  maps.app.goo.gl

  ChinaRelated

Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.

• "Within the A.I. industry in China, there are some folks who worry about technological loss of control, as they call it. But, generally speaking, it is a very, very marginal issue."

  newyorker.com

  ChinaRelated

Founder of the Free Software Movement and the GNU Project, original author of GNU Emacs and the GNU General Public License, and long-time president of the Free Software Foundation.

• https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/sep/18/trump-bans-cnn-msnow-politico-white-house The bully has banned some significant news media from the White House for defying his orders about what what they should say.

  Related

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• America is awesome, get off social media
  Quoting@SFBARTThousands of people have come out to the Let’s Glow! BART Anime Fest at the Warm Springs/ South Fremont Station! We love to see these crowds and packed trains, full of passionate transit and anime fans!!!

  AmericaRelated

President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.

• Excellent meeting with UN Secretary General @antonioguterres, together with @eucopresident and HRVP @kajakallas, ahead of UNGA81 The EU will always remain a supporter of multilateralism and of a rules-based international order with a reformed @UN at its heart. We thanked Secretary-General Guterres for our close cooperation throughout his term, from Ukraine to the Middle East, and on climate. As well as for driving the UN80 reforms forward. The goal is clear: a UN fit for today’s world. More effective. More responsive. That turns global cooperation into solutions on the ground.

  EuropeRelated

• Africa’s global leadership is growing. And Europe stands firmly behind it. We championed the @_AfricanUnion’s permanent membership of the G20 and support a stronger African voice on the global stage. The EU is Africa’s leading trade and investment partner. Through Global Gateway, we are mobilising €150 billion for projects that create local value, local jobs and opportunities for Africa’s greatest strength: its young people. Together with the AU and the UN, we are also advancing African-led solutions for peace and security, sustainable development and food security. Now we are ready to take t…

  EuropeRelated

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• "What does it mean to beat China?" WHY DON'T YOU TRY CLICKING ON THE POST
  Quoting@Rmanning4What does it mean to "beat" China? What is the theory of victory? China not going away, its dominance in key sectors -- EVs, batteries, robotics, etc, diffusing AI not going away. Not sure zero-sum everything is sustainable.

  ChinaRelated

President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.

• Back in New York for the @UN General Assembly. New geopolitical realities. New troubled waters. But the same urgent priorities for Europe and our partners. Peace for Ukraine. Stability in the Middle East. Climate action and a clean energy transition that powers our industries. The world is changing fast. But cooperation and multilateralism remain our best answer. Proven time and again, especially in difficult times. A busy week of hard work ahead. And I’m looking forward to it.

  energyEuropeRelated

Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.

• FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast

  Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate, House, and gubernatorial election in 2026.

  Related

Lawyer and everyday-carry gear reviewer who publishes scored knife, flashlight and multitool reviews at Everyday Commentary.

• AG Russell Gent's Knife Review

  Note: This review, as with all content I write on this site, is my opinion. It does not reflect the opinion of others, including the American Knife and Tool Institute (AKTI), the cutlery trade group that I advise on leg…

  AmericaRelated

Writer of Today in Tabs, a daily media-and-internet newsletter started in 2013; earlier founded the community site Kuro5hin.

• The gold tchotchkes glued all over the white house? That’s right: they’re Pokémon
  Quoting@antheabutler.bsky.socialYou do understand that everything he's doing to Washington DC is about fortifying the city when he decides he's not leaving office

  Related

Mathematical physicist at UC Riverside. Wrote This Week's Finds in Mathematical Physics and now the Azimuth blog on mathematics, physics and environmental science.

• As the view from Moscow becomes increasingly embarrassing, it seems increasingly likely Putin will start a new more desperate phase of his war against Ukraine. Experts expect him to start a quiet mobilization of troops shortly after tomorrow's parliamentary elections. He seems to want 300,000 - 500,000 new soldiers. Despite increasing payments, recruitment has been failing to keep pace with the rising casualties. We can also expect Putin to step up attacks against Europe. More drones flying into European air space, and more stuff like this: • On August 4, 2026, a bomb squad at Leipzig/Halle A…

  pravda.com.ua

  EuropeRussiaRelated

President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.

• “Supreme Intelligence,” probably because of its relationship to the Supreme Court, is losing badly to both “Superior” and “Extreme Intelligence.” Therefore, we are going to take “Supreme Intelligence” OUT, deleting it as a qualifier, and let you vote for the Final Two: Superior Intelligence, or Extreme Intelligence. A fresh Vote begins now! President DONALD J. TRUMP

  Related

Machine-learning researcher on open language models; writes the Interconnects newsletter and the RLHF Book, after leading post-training at Ai2.

• My best guess is that for scaled RL most of the top Chinese AI labs are starting to use a lot of Huawei for inference and Nvidia for training (maybe not for weird architectures). As agent swarms, even more scaled post-training, etc becomes the norm, this will accelerate their domestic industry.

  ChinaRelated

President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.

• At the strong request of the United States Military, and for National Security purposes, I have agreed to convert the magnificent Triumphal Arch, planned since the Civil War Era many years ago, at the Receptive Circle adjoining the Arlington Memorial Bridge, into a top grade Military Complex/Triumphal Arch, to house, store, and have the rapid ability to use large numbers of drones, plus Snipers, on both the roof and plaza areas, and additionally have and hold large quantities of sniper ammunition in storage. There will be no facility like this anywhere in the World. Out of the 59 top cities a…

  AmericaRelated

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• x.comI used to think the U.S. could gather a coalition of allies and outmatch Chinese power. I no longer think that's going to be possible. But China can still be beaten.

  noahpinion.blog

  ChinaAmericaRelated

• NewsletterHow we can beat China

  The trick is to let them beat themselves.

  ChinaRelated

• x.comAmerica: How dare trans athletes compete in women's sports?!! Japan: Hahahaha hold my beer
  Quoting@TrungTPhanHighlight package of a 52-year old Ichiro striking out Japan’s top high school girl baseball players wild. He legit does not give AF. Uses every pitch in his arsenal.

  AmericaRelated

Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs their internet startups alone — Nomads.com, Remote OK, Hoodmaps, Photo AI and Interior AI — and has written about it at levels.io since 2013. Posts as @levelsio.

• I believe nation states will keep becoming less and less relevant and that in the future everyone will be a nomad Most nation states (and well governments) barely function anymore through 100+ years of democratic baggage from laws and regulation that can't be reversed People can't save their countries or governments anymore through people's initiatives or getting into politics, because the systems are so old and in full gridlock Globalism has deservedly gotten a really bad rep the last 5 years though as we were too naive about it, but I think we should keep the good parts from it We should no…
  Quoting@ramenladVery cool. I’m curious: do you believe digital nomading will continue to grow given the potential disruption of all things digital that’s upon us? Sorry, had to quote to reply @levelsio :)

  Related

Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.

• MastodonToday’s America: 3 million business owners worth an average of $25 million each, notables in their towns but not individually visible to the nation. And more than half the rise in the top 1% share since 1985 flowed through the pass-through businesses that was a “tax efficiency innovation” feature of the Reagan Revolution. The Reagan Revolution promised faster growth in exchange for lower taxes on the rich. The rich won; the growth never showed up: **Passthrough Tax Loopholes & the Rise... 1/

  AmericaRelated

• NewsletterPassthrough Tax Loopholes & the Rise of the American Gentry: CHART OF THE DAY

  The Reagan Bargain’s Real Winners: Car Dealership Owners, Not Coders...

  AmericaRelated

Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

• Reason for specifically citing open weight (and therefore Chinese LLMs, but not only Chinese) is that, even if they have built-in guardrails, somebody with the relevant knowledge can go in and remove them. In principle, harder to do with Anthropic or Open AI LLMs.
  Quoting@ojblanchard1A worrisome thought during the night: What Ted Kaczynski would have done, if he had had access to open weight chinese LLMs.

  LLMsAnthropicRelated

Author and clean-energy analyst who writes on solar cost curves.

• I, for one, am excited about China's progress and aspirations in designing new medicines. Pharma innovation is positive sum, and the benefits go overwhelmingly to patients and society, globally. Only a small fraction of the value is captured by producers or by the nation they hail from. A drug invented in China will cure me or someone I love just as well as one invented in the US or Europe. I do understand the fear in the US industry. And I hope that motivates us to accelerate the pace in the US, and pass some of regulatory reforms that @RuxandraTeslo and others have eloquently made the case…
  Quoting@fjeg1987China wants its drugmakers to have originated 25% of first-in-class drugs and $522B in sales by 2030. This is compared to the total market of $800B today. I'm simultaneously in awe of the ambition and paranoid about the US ability to compete. I had a dinner with pharma leaders who remain delighted…

  EuropeChinaRelated

President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.

• Over the years, there have been many Hoaxes, all generated by the Radical Left Dumocrats, for purposes of destroying our Country. RUSSIA, RUSSIA, RUSSIA, UKRAINE, UKRAINE, UKRAINE, Global Warming, Impeachment Hoax #1, Impeachment Hoax #2, Men in Women’s Sports, Transgender for Everyone, and now, the decimation, or destruction, of AI, commonly known as Artificial Intelligence — And I, as President of the United States, will not stand by and let this happen. It all began with an attack on our Data Centers, until people realized how wealthy and prestigious they were for the Communities in which…

  data centersRussiaRelated

• Unfortunately, the United States Supreme Court has lacked the Courage to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN. Over the last 6 months, with their faulty, political, and ridiculous decisions on TARIFFS and Birthright Citizenship, they have cost the United States of America Trillions of Dollars, and forever damaged the way people become Citizens of our great Country. It has been a sad chapter in the life and times of America, but we will prevail! President DONALD J. TRUMP

  AmericaRelated

Statistician at Columbia; writes Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, and wrote Bayesian Data Analysis.

• The Immigration and Nationality Act of 1952

  I was reading the London Review of Books and came across this article by Jameel Jaffer stating that, in 1952, Congress overrode the presidential veto and passed the McCarran-Walter Act with a two-thirds majority in the…

  immigrationRelated

Criminal defence lawyer in New York; writes Simple Justice, mostly about how criminal law works in practice rather than in theory.

• The (Un)Constitutionality Isn’t The Real Problem

  Out of the blue, Trump twitted that he’s banning CNN, MSNOW and Politico from the White House, with “Other Fake News Media Outlets to follow.” Calling critical and unflattering media coverage “fake” has long been a ubiq…

  Related

Economist; writes In My Tribe, and wrote The Three Languages of Politics.

• Social texture in the 1970s

  the next lecture in the series on 20th century American history

  AmericaRelated

Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.

• Top Links 1229 Wood in the US economy. China investing in people. Deciphering Rivera & From Clive to Keynes.

  Great links, images, and reading from Chartbook Newsletter by Adam Tooze

  ChinaRelated

Former option trader and risk analyst, now a distinguished professor at NYU. Author of the Incerto essay series, including The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness.

• In the process of putting a dent in the theory that "Ashkenazis have some Levantine origin". The claim: "The AJ cluster sits on the Europe–Levant cline betw S. Italians & Levantines on PC1/PC2." No, if the "cline" includes the Caucasus, then it sits BEYOND Georgia/Armenia, ar. the BLACK SEAN.

  EuropeRelated

Co-founder, chairman and chief investment officer of Ritholtz Wealth Management. Hosts the Masters in Business podcast for Bloomberg and wrote How NOT to Invest.

• 10 Weekend Reads

  The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Danish Blend coffee, grab a seat outside, and get ready for our longer-form weekend reads: ​• Red and Blue America Have Found Something to Agree on: Flock Cameras Must Go: Lib…

  AmericaRelated

Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

• A worrisome thought during the night: What Ted Kaczynski would have done, if he had had access to open weight chinese LLMs.

  LLMsChinaRelated

President of the United States, the 45th from 2017 to 2021 and, as of 2026, the 47th; before politics a New York property developer who ran the Trump Organization, and the host of The Apprentice from 2004 to 2015.

• BREAKING NEWS: I am pleased to announce that the United States of America has entered into an Agreement with The Kingdom of Denmark, and Greenland, that gives the United States permanent control over security, and all other needs, in Greenland, completely addressing ALL of our many U.S. concerns. There will be NO COST to the United States! At my direction, we worked with representatives of Denmark and Greenland to guarantee that the United States will FOREVER have the complete ability to do what is necessary in Greenland in order to secure and defend the security of Greenland, and the United…

  AmericaRelated

Writer of kottke.org, one of the oldest blogs on the web, published since 1998 and supported by its members. He writes about art, technology, science, design and visual culture.

• BlueskyNew novel from Emily St. John Mandel (Station Eleven): Exit Party. “Los Angeles, 2031: The first spring after the collapse of the United States, peacekeeping troops withdraw from the city, the Jacaranda trees blossom, and the curfew is finally lifted.”

  bookshop.org

  AmericaRelated

• MastodonNew novel from Emily St. John Mandel (Station Eleven): Exit Party. “Los Angeles, 2031: The first spring after the collapse of the United States, peacekeeping troops withdraw from the city, the Jacaranda trees blossom, and the curfew is finally lifted.”

  bookshop.org

  AmericaRelated

• BlogNew novel from Emily St. John Mandel (Station Eleven):...

  it Party. “Los Angeles, 2031: The first spring after the collapse of the United States, peacekeeping troops withdraw from the city, the Jacaranda trees blossom, and the curfew is finally lifted.”

  AmericaRelated

Librarian, technology instructor and writer in rural Vermont; longtime community manager at MetaFilter and author of a book on the digital divide.

• Friday afternoon reminder to not empty your inbox at the expense of someone else's. This is the weekend I get my wood in (i.e. have pellets delivered) so I'm thinking of chillier days even though it's 70° outside. Trust me, you'll feel better if you make some plans for what's ahead, however you interpret that. Have a good weekend. Image credit: Library of Congress, on Flickr Commons

  flickr.com

  Related

Writer of kottke.org, one of the oldest blogs on the web, published since 1998 and supported by its members. He writes about art, technology, science, design and visual culture.

• Mastodon“The clan of predators currently in charge of the U.S. federal government” are striving to make the world safe for grift, corruption, and theft, with their mob boss president leading the way.

  theatlantic.com

  AmericagovernmentRelated

• Bluesky“The clan of predators currently in charge of the U.S. federal government” are striving to make the world safe for grift, corruption, and theft, with their mob boss president leading the way.

  theatlantic.com

  AmericagovernmentRelated

• Blog“The clan of predators currently in charge of the U.S....

  deral government” are striving to make the world safe for grift, corruption, and theft, with their mob boss president leading the way.

  AmericagovernmentRelated

Creator of Flask and Jinja. Writes about software at lucumr.pocoo.org.

• I paid 25 USD for a cheap Chinese USB device to burn 4500 USD trying to vibecode myself some firmware on it. I have a firmware and it’s about as good as you would expect.

  ChinaRelated

Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.

• Osama bin Laden’s one concrete strategic goal was to end the American military presence in the Gulf and on the Arabian Peninsula. A generation later, Donald Trump’s war on Iran has apparently delivered it for him: **(SEMI-)CROSSPOST: RICK PERLSTEIN: Bush’s War Is Finally Over: Al Qaeda Has Won** & U.S. airstrikes are apparently now being launched off of carriers supplied from Diego Garcia 3000 miles away from Tehran, and from Muwaffaq Salti in Jordan 900 miles from Tehran… 1/

  AmericaRelated

Founder and CEO of Social Capital, a venture firm; co-host of the All-In podcast and an early Facebook executive. Writes an annual letter and a weekly newsletter on markets and technology.

• Jared Isaacman: A New Era for NASA and American Space Exploration

  AmericaRelated

Technical educator, conference speaker and developer relations engineer based in Ottawa, Canada. Author of the Anubis bot filter and of over 400 articles at xeiaso.net.

• oh god anubis is about to retroactively be a european product

  EuropeRelated

Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.

• Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?

  Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.

  Related

Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.

• Top Links 1228 Billionaires and the midterms. China’s EV shakeout. Malthus as demon & Marcuse on Adorno.

  Great links, images, and reading from Chartbook Newsletter by Adam Tooze

  ChinaRelated

Criminal defence lawyer in New York; writes Simple Justice, mostly about how criminal law works in practice rather than in theory.

• 2d Circuit Allows Cellphone Searches At Border For Kicks

  The Supreme Court recognized that cellphones were different in Riley v. California. The Second Circuit Court of Appeals, with JFK airport, among others, within its jurisdiction, hadn’t yet joined the fray as district ju…

  Related

Prime Minister of Canada since March 2025; formerly governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.

• ShortEurope and Canada are each strong. Europe and Canada are even stronger together.

  EuropeRelated

• ShortL’Europe et le Canada sont forts séparément. L’Europe et le Canada sont encore plus forts ensemble.

  EuropeRelated

Founder of the Free Software Movement and the GNU Project, original author of GNU Emacs and the GNU General Public License, and long-time president of the Free Software Foundation.

• https://stallman.org/glossary.html#epa https://actionnetwork.org/forms/tell-the-epa-dont-muzzle-data-center-protests US citizens: call on the EPA not to exclude the public from data center pollution decisions.

  data centersRelated

• https://civicshout.com/p/congress-must-investigate-dhs-s-secret-surveillance US citizens: call on Congress to investigate the Department of Hiding and Skulking's secret surveillance. US citizens: Join with this campaign to address this issue. To phone your congresscritter about this, the main switchboard is +1-202-224-3121. Please spread the word.

  Related

Founder and CEO of Social Capital, a venture firm; co-host of the All-In podcast and an early Facebook executive. Writes an annual letter and a weekly newsletter on markets and technology.

• Nick Shirley: Exposing Government Fraud, Suing California & Taking on the Media

  governmentRelated

Founder of the Free Software Movement and the GNU Project, original author of GNU Emacs and the GNU General Public License, and long-time president of the Free Software Foundation.

• https://stallman.org/glossary.html#bully https://civicshout.com/p/media-must-cover-trump-s-welker-attack-as-authoritarianism-2 US citizens: call on the media to stop covering the bully's attacks on journalists as outbursts and start covering them as deliberate, escalating attempts to use government power to silence the press.

  governmentRelated

Writer of Today in Tabs, a daily media-and-internet newsletter started in 2013; earlier founded the community site Kuro5hin.

• The United States’s failed government is a global risk and the world ought to do something about it.

  AmericagovernmentRelated

Founder of the Free Software Movement and the GNU Project, original author of GNU Emacs and the GNU General Public License, and long-time president of the Free Software Foundation.

• https://civicshout.com/p/tell-congress-no-drilling-near-the-grand-canyon US citizens: call on Congress not to allow drilling near the Grand Canyon. US citizens: Join with this campaign to address this issue. To phone your congresscritter about this, the main switchboard is +1-202-224-3121. Please spread the word.

  Related

Cognitive scientist and long-standing critic of deep learning's claims; writes Marcus on AI and wrote Rebooting AI.

• Liability, regulation, and AI’s new false dichotomy

  Related

Prime Minister of Canada since March 2025; formerly governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.

• ShortCanada is building a deeper alliance with the EU so that we may write our own futures.

  EuropeRelated

Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.

• "Enterprising bettors could theoretically pick a longshot candidate & boost them … [by] amplifying their media coverage." So the risk to democracy is that some might try to promote underdog candidates? Horrors!

  magzter.com

  Related

Writer of kottke.org, one of the oldest blogs on the web, published since 1998 and supported by its members. He writes about art, technology, science, design and visual culture.

• MastodonYes, this summer really was as hot as you think it was. This summer “was the hottest on record for the contiguous U.S., beating the previous champions of 1936 and 2021 by 0.4°F. Compared to the average over the 20th century, this summer was 3° hotter.”

  grist.org

  AmericaRelated

• BlueskyYes, this summer really was as hot as you think it was. This summer “was the hottest on record for the contiguous U.S., beating the previous champions of 1936 and 2021 by 0.4°F. Compared to the average over the 20th century, this summer was 3° hotter.”

  grist.org

  AmericaRelated

• BlogYes, this summer really was as hot as you think it was....

  is summer “was the hottest on record for the contiguous U.S., beating the previous champions of 1936 and 2021 by 0.4°F. Compared to the average over the 20th century, this summer was 3° hotter.”

  AmericaRelated

Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.

• Frum is illiterate. This quote does not blame America for 9/11 but blames America for the disastrous wars that people like David Frum--W. Bush's speechwriter--led us into
  Quoting@davidfrumIn a now deleted tweet on the 20th anniversary of 9/11, Abdul el-Sayed expressed the same the blame-America view voiced also by Hasan Piker. Putting a bag over Piker's big mouth may temporarily quiet the candidate's problem, but won't change it.

  AmericaRelated

Demographer; writes on fertility, marriage and population, and directs the Pro-Family Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies.

• Speculation: Longevity Threatens Democracy

  It's hard to believe, but dictators used to just die sometimes!

  Related

Writes Hyperdimensional, a newsletter on AI policy and governance. A White House AI policy adviser in 2025; joined OpenAI on 6 July 2026 to lead its Strategic Futures team.

• Financial engineering is the secret weapon of American industry. No one comes close to us in it. By and large our own elites disregard this secret weapon, but we nonetheless wield it to our great and enduring advantage.
  Quoting@WillManidisits still so underrated the degree to which our intelligence supercycle was as much reliant on innovations in capital formation as it was innovations in the technology itself. europe is losing not only because they can't built it, but primarily because they can't finance it

  AmericaRelated

Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.

• Dean channeling Hayek. We need law more than legislation and law develops with practice.
  Quoting@deanwball@bigblackjacobin no, the idea is that the substantive content of safety practices is determined through the experience of economic actors rather than the top-down prognostications of policy people. laws follow the substance of safety rather than being ontologically prior to it. this is ~obvious.

  Related

Management writer; co-author of In Search of Excellence (1982) and author of The Excellence Dividend.

• NOT A PRETTY PICTURE‼️ I Led A.I. Diplomacy for the U.S. The Coming Safety Talks Will Not Save Us. https://t.co/Q6Tpc2kbhs via

  AmericaRelated

• I Led A.I. Diplomacy for the U.S. The Coming Safety Talks Will Not Save Us. https://t.co/Q6Tpc2kbhs via @NYTOpinion

  AmericaRelated

Prime Minister of Canada since March 2025; formerly governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.

• ShortIn the midst of a storm, Canada and the EU can anchor our ground.

  EuropeRelated

Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.

• Turns out having a sundowning moron start a war with no plan isn't the best foreign policy strategy.
  Quoting@ABCThe Trump administration continues to downplay the U.S. war with Iran, as new images obtained appear to show the damage and destruction to U.S. military assets.

  Related

Essayist, journalist and independent researcher on Chinese politics, strategy and cultural history; author of the blog The Scholar's Stage.

• The last paragraph of this piece is still very relevant to US-China relations, IMHO. Could be elevated into a piece of its own.
  Quoting@davidshor@ajaskey35 @Glenn1661335 @deanwball https://t.co/w9gxiUXmJc from @Scholars_Stage is a good explainer from a center right perspective

  ChinaRelated

Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.

• Top Links 1227 Is AI heading for a clash with Wall Street and the White House? Slough and the planet. The Azores and the Spanish treasure convoys.

  Great links, images, and reading from Chartbook Newsletter by Adam Tooze

  Related

Systems and developer-tools engineer at Cloudflare as of 2026, on durable infrastructure for AI agents; worked on React and PartyKit before that. Writes at sunilpai.dev.

• unstable government: jev + claude type a terrible law. claude invents reactions and directs the set pieces. jev decides how each of 40 citizens responds. the town sim plays those choices out, then prints the disaster as tomorrow’s front page. fun.

  AnthropicgovernmentRelated

Security technologist and author of books including Applied Cryptography and Data and Goliath; writes the Schneier on Security blog and the monthly Crypto-Gram newsletter.

• How Candidates Could Use AI for Good

  This essay was written with Nathan E. Sanders, and originally appeared in The Guardian. There are plenty of signs that AI will make all of our experiences of the US midterm elections worse. Voters have anxiety about AI’…

  Related

President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.

• In yesterday’s SOTEU speech, I made clear that the EU must continue applying pressure on Russia, taking every possible step to weaken its war machine. The adoption of the Graham Bill by the US House of Representatives sends a clear message. My friend, Senator Graham, strongly believed targeted and coordinated action on both sides of the Atlantic could make the difference in ending the war. I hope this important opportunity is seized, in the interest of peace.

  EuropeRussiaRelated

Creator of Flask and Jinja. Writes about software at lucumr.pocoo.org.

• Where did I hear this before that joining the EU is a hostile act.
  Quoting@PolymarketJUST IN: President Trump warns the EU allowing Canada to join as an associate member could be considered a “hostile act” toward the U.S.

  EuropeRelated

Swedish open source developer; creator and lead maintainer of curl and libcurl, and a co-founder of the Rockbox project.

• The Russian drone that crashed in Lithuania the other day had curl installed. As part of a default Linux install presumably, it seems unlikely it used curl for any "drony" things.

  LinuxRussiaRelated

Psychologist and writer. Author of the memoir Troubled: A Memoir of Foster Care, Family, and Social Class, and of a newsletter on human nature, psychology, social class and what he calls luxury beliefs.

• If America had open borders from the get go, we would have mastered the automobile in 1803, invented airplanes in 1804, harnessed the atom in 1805, and landed on the moon in 1806. Instead we deprived ourselves of the world's brilliance and had to wait more than a century.
  Quoting@loganclarkhallI think about this post every day.

  AmericaRelated

Geneticist and writer on human population genetics, deep history and evolution; author of the Unsupervised Learning newsletter.

• i think the left-wing aspect of indians is due to the fact they are nonwhite AND nonchristian (mostly). this makes them outsiders and so hard to identify with white christian america of which republicans are the party (christian indians were more republican in the past)
  Quoting@KarthikForTexasAs I said. They don’t go after Vietnamese Americans and Cuban Americans because they vote Republican. They’re going after Indian Americans because we are the most left wing because we have the highest graduate degree percentage of all AAPI positions.

  AmericaRelated

• ah, those 'heritage americans' named rinaldi...
  Quoting@MattRinaldiTXCowards like @JohnCornyn mortgaged our children’s future for government handouts and cheap labor. Now they are joining with Democrats to elect Marxists. Absolutely contemptible people.

  AmericaRelated

CEO of Positive Sum and founder of Colossus. Hosts Invest Like the Best, interviewing investors and business leaders; the guests do most of the talking there.

• Michael Moritz on @elonmusk: "I'm a great believer in the great person theory. He may well be the greatest industrialist in the history of America. It's impossible for me to understand how one individual has been able to achieve what [he's achieved] — and I know he's a controversial figure, but I'm just looking at him through the lens of history and through an investor's lens. I'm completely gobsmacked by the scale of his achievements in a variety of different industries, which is the thing that sets him apart from others."
  Quoting@patrick_oshagMy conversation with Michael Moritz, one of the great venture investors of the last 40 years. Michael joined Sequoia in 1986 and co-led the firm with Doug Leone (@dougleone) from 1995 to 2012. His investments include Google, Yahoo, PayPal, and Stripe. His new book, Ausländer, traces his parents' es…

  AmericaRelated

Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.

• This is one of those issues that shows how much political discourse is controlled by conservatives because there is really no good argument for why hundreds of thousands of American citizens shouldn't have any political representation except "they probably wouldn't vote for GOP."
  Quoting@AdamGreenAt DC event, @AbdulElSayed calls for using power boldly by making DC a state!

  AmericaRelated

Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.

• The archetypal rich American isn’t a founder-CEO with a stock ticker—he’s the guy with seventeen McDonald’s franchises and a seat on the hospital board. Zidar and Zwick counted him, traced how the tax code inflated him, and revealed a American gentry élite class collectively ten times richer than the Forbes 400: **America’s Gentry Élite: TUESDAY TRENDS & TURMOIL** Politics, Culture, & c.; Patrick Wyman saw America’s élite gentry in his Yakima hometown decades ago; now economists Zidar and... 1/

  AmericaeconomistsRelated

Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.

• Even a $100k annual tariff would probably mean millions of immigrants per year.
  Quoting@DanielDiMartinoActually yes it would be great to just admit people based on an immigration tariff instead of the current system.

  immigrationRelated

Investment researcher and engineer who runs Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, writing on macroeconomics, currency systems and equity analysis.

• As much as I love traveling, I'm back in America now. Ready to lock back in.

  AmericaRelated

Programmer and writer; co-founder of Stack Overflow and Discourse, and author of the Coding Horror blog, which he has written since 2004.

• Congress Passes $430,000/hr Minimum Wage for Billionaires

  youtube.com

  Related

Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author, with Abraham Newman, of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy.

• @mattduss.bsky.social "The problem here is the opposite of what Moskowitz claims: Hawkish Democrats aren’t being marginalized enough in the Democratic Party."

  thenation.com

  Related

Theoretical physicist and philosopher, Homewood Professor of Natural Philosophy at Johns Hopkins and fractal faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. Writes the Preposterous Universe blog and hosts the Mindscape podcast.

• Young academics interested in democracy: check out the postdoc program at the SNF Agora Institute at Johns Hopkins! @snfagora.bsky.social

  snfagora.jhu.edu

  Related

President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.

• Europe is the home of innovation. And can re-ignite Europe’s entrepreneurial spirit. With European funding. They allow European success stories like ICEYE to emerge ↓

  EuropeRelated

Physicist and science communicator. Writes Backreaction and makes videos explaining new physics and astronomy results, frequently to argue that the headline about them overstates the case.

• Vladimir Putins former PhD supervisor says that Russia sits on a huge, self-replenishing reservoir of oil. Now the Russians want to drill for it.

  RussiaRelated

Co-founder of Y Combinator and Viaweb; essayist at paulgraham.com.

• In Texas they found 117 potential noncitizens out of 18 million voters. That's .00065%. And that's an an upper bound; these are merely "potential" noncitizens. This is a fake problem.

  Related

Writes Hyperdimensional, a newsletter on AI policy and governance. A White House AI policy adviser in 2025; joined OpenAI on 6 July 2026 to lead its Strategic Futures team.

• nobody should patronize those who newly have opinions about third party evaluators. non-experts forming opinions fast is part of the american tradition. the constitution itself was, in a very important sense, vibe coded by 20 somethings with concepts of a plan. but newbies being fleeced is also part of the american tradition. “caveat emptor” is a provision of a contract signed by an adult, not some god-given right to be treated as something other than a little child. you will be treated as a child no matter what. you are the buyer. it is your job to beware.

  AmericaRelated

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• The anti-American Right

  Bo French’s rightist movement is a dead end for our nation. Fortunately, it’s beatable.

  AmericaRelated

General partner at Benchmark Capital for over two decades; was the lead analyst on Amazon's IPO before moving into venture capital. Writes Above the Crowd on tech and marketplace economics.

• I'm not of fan of regulation for two reasons - 1) its hard to get right, and 2) its highly susceptible to regulatory capture. That said, if we insist on doing it, we should try to get it correct. As "safety" seems is the primary goal of this AI regulation exercise, I wanted to share that I recently went deep on both the 737 Max (2 crashes) and Fukushima accidents. In both cases, the investigations led to a conclusion that "regulatory capture" was the EXACT failure that led to both safety incidents. Boeing/FAA and Tepco/NISA. As a result, with safety as the #1 goal, the regulator MUST BE someo…

  Related

Co-founder and CEO of Stripe and co-founder of the Arc Institute. Keeps a personal site of reading lists, open questions and notes on scientific progress and how research is funded.

• I'm curious to read other stories from people who've scaled new businesses in Europe. (And if your experience has been positive, that's also useful to hear.) Feel free to email me: patrick@stripe.com.
  Quoting@patrickcMet a German founder this week and asked him if all the stories one reads about the challenges of startups in Germany are exaggerated. "No, they're understated." Proceeded to describe spending a full day having a 90-page investment contract read to him (mandatory under German law; § 13 BeurkG) by a…

  EuropeRelated

Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.

• Thinking about this great American today.

  m.youtube.com

  AmericaRelated

Software engineer, Wikipedia editor and crypto critic; writes Citation Needed and runs Web3 is Going Just Great.

• The Clarity Act cloture vote has failed by a 49–50 margin; well short of the 60 votes needed. No Democrats crossed over to vote for the bill, and three Republicans voted against. Senator Collins’ (R-ME) NO vote on Clarity was the most surprising today. She was defending the bill to constituents as recently as last week. My guess is she did not believe the bill had a chance to pass, and was more worried about defending a yes vote as her re-election prospects look slimmer. #crypto #cryptocurrency #USpol #USpolitics

  cryptoRelated

Theoretical physicist and philosopher, Homewood Professor of Natural Philosophy at Johns Hopkins and fractal faculty at the Santa Fe Institute. Writes the Preposterous Universe blog and hosts the Mindscape podcast.

• Check whether you are registered to vote. You can play a role in preserving our centuries-old institution of government by and for the people! How exciting is that.
  Quoting@barackobama.bsky.socialThe right to vote is one of the most fundamental parts of our democracy. Check your voter registration at IWillVote.com and make a plan to vote early or on Election Day on November 3.

  governmentRelated

Psychologist and writer. Author of the memoir Troubled: A Memoir of Foster Care, Family, and Social Class, and of a newsletter on human nature, psychology, social class and what he calls luxury beliefs.

• If you had no college degree, were backed mostly by voters without degrees, yet claimed to be the voice of the formally educated, people would laugh. But a college grad backed by other college grads can claim to be the voice of the working class and people just accept it. Weird.

  Related

Writes Hyperdimensional, a newsletter on AI policy and governance. A White House AI policy adviser in 2025; joined OpenAI on 6 July 2026 to lead its Strategic Futures team.

• There’s an impulse in American politics, a set of tactics and drives that has proven very effective at extinguishing speech. We once called it McCarthyism. Another time we called it Wokeism. One day in the future we will have some name for the campaign that is underway against all people who believe in serious AI risks, and whatever that name ends up being, it will be yet another name for that old impulse. It’s an ugly one. I recommend you avoid being a part of it, no matter your politics or your thoughts on AI. I suggest you think for yourself. You really do want to worry about the state pro…

  AmericaRelated

Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.

• Imagine the Department of War tweeting "Utilitarians in shambles! Kantians on the run!" No philosophy has ever mattered enough to be attacked by the government. Until EA. Amazing success.
  Quoting@DoWCTOEffective altruists in shambles. 🇺🇸

  governmentRelated

Writes The Diff, a newsletter on inflections in finance and tech read by hedge fund managers, founders and VCs. Previously worked in finance at SAC Capital/Point72.

• Airbnb's Mezzanine Financing Strategy

  Plus! What Gets Paced; Counterparties; Sanctions, In Practice; The Inequality Business; Data Moats

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Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.

• Sorry this is very embarrassing. Why write about a literature you haven't read at all? American novels have one of the strongest comedic traditions that runs from Mark Twain to Percival Everett. And if you don't Moby-Dick is hilarious you should probably try reading the book
  Quoting@alysdenbyThe Great Flatsby: why American novels aren’t funny 🇺🇸😐 ✍️ me in @spectator

  AmericaRelated

Researcher of social media, privacy and youth culture; founder of Data & Society and author of It’s Complicated.

• Experts from academia and civil society regularly work for govt agencies for short periods to help them succeed. But Trump2 went further, installing partisan operatives to conduct projects to venerate the president. They're undermining the legitimacy of the agencies.

  wired.com

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Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.

• Three short sentences from the Supreme Court, and a lot to say about such a very cryptic short utterance. Steve Vladeck unpacks what the Supreme Court said by barely saying anything. The real content of the Supreme Court’s three-sentence decision is a warning to lower courts that Trump is going to lose his USPS ballot suppression case in the end, and a reminder of how corrupt and lawless Alito and Thomas have long been: **CROSSPOST: STEVE VLADECK: 250. What We Learned from USPS v... 1/

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Statistician at Columbia; writes Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, and wrote Bayesian Data Analysis.

• “Protection from inappropriate influence is a hallmark of scientific integrity” . . . not any more!

  This is a funny one. Remember how Google used to have the slogan, “Don’t be evil,” but then they abandoned it? Something similar seems to have happened with the U.S. Census Bureau. Dale Lehman pointed me to the story: I…

  GoogleAmericaRelated

Essayist, journalist and independent researcher on Chinese politics, strategy and cultural history; author of the blog The Scholar's Stage.

• This is very good analysis. 100% endorse. “ The bottom line is things are moving fast, and I’d bet neither Washington nor Beijing yet know quite what to think about dialogue, what it can produce, and what it cannot.”
  Quoting@RushDoshiA slight elaboration on this theme: What is published in the People’s Daily or Global Times or China Daily certainly matters. But the recent articles in those outlets that we are all reading have a more near-term political purpose than to tell us what China thinks about AI dialogue. I suspect that…

  ChinaAmericaRelated

Writer of the personal-finance blog Of Dollars And Data and author of Just Keep Buying and The Wealth Ladder. Chief Operating Officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management.

• x.comThe optimal portfolio of the last 54 years had 36% U.S. housing. Run the same optimizer only through 1998 and U.S. housing doesn't appear at all. My latest on the best portfolio over the last 50 years (and why it's an illusion):

  ofdollarsanddata.com

  AmericaRelated

• BlogWhat Was the Best Portfolio Over the Last 50 Years?

  A few months ago, I analyzed U.S. stock returns over the last century. Today, I'm going to determine the best portfolio over the last 50 years among the following asset classes: U.S. Stocks International Stocks Real Est…

  AmericaRelated

Economist; writes In My Tribe, and wrote The Three Languages of Politics.

• Nixon’s downfall

  the next lecture in the series on 20th century American history

  AmericaRelated

Security technologist and author of books including Applied Cryptography and Data and Goliath; writes the Schneier on Security blog and the monthly Crypto-Gram newsletter.

• 25 Years of Mass Surveillance Is Enough

  This essay was written with Cindy Cohn, and originally appeared in Lawfare. One of the many legacies of the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11 is the government-wide shift from targeted surveillance—such as individual wireta…

  governmentRelated

Criminal defence lawyer in New York; writes Simple Justice, mostly about how criminal law works in practice rather than in theory.

• Tuesday Talk*: AI, AI, AI, The Hoax

  The CEOs of the major Artificial Intelligence companies say it’s a potential existential threat to humanity. The president’s statement followed a weekend essay from Dario Amodei, the chief executive of Anthropic, callin…

  AnthropicRelated

Writes Slow Boring, a near-daily newsletter on American politics and public policy; co-founded Vox in 2014 and left it in 2020.

• Sanctions on West Bank settlements aren’t enough

  Unfortunately, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict turns out to be a difficult problem.

  Related

Statistician at Columbia; writes Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science, and wrote Bayesian Data Analysis.

• The Washington Nationals are hiring!

  Des McGowan writes: I left the Mets last year to take a job as the Amateur Scouting Director with the Washington Nationals. Now that we’ve gotten through our first draft and trade deadline, we’re looking for two Senior…

  AmericaRelated

Writer of the 25iq blog, where he distils "a dozen things I've learned" from investors, founders and thinkers. Author of Charlie Munger: The Complete Investor and A Dozen Lessons for Entrepreneurs.

• “The United States now has on-orbit space control weapons capable of defending the joint force against hostile adversary action.” The best way to assure communications is with a distributed system that routes around failure. Redundant networks FTW.

  washingtonpost.com

  AmericaRelated

• "We must pace the U.S. 10 Year."

  AmericaRelated

Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs their internet startups alone — Nomads.com, Remote OK, Hoodmaps, Photo AI and Interior AI — and has written about it at levels.io since 2013. Posts as @levelsio.

• We should use this kind of data to completely turn around Europe's immigration policy

  immigrationEuropeRelated

Essayist, journalist and independent researcher on Chinese politics, strategy and cultural history; author of the blog The Scholar's Stage.

• With all respect to Chris, who has done much great work in this area, I do not agree. A Global Times “quick take” editorial is not the sort of government communique that “clearly and unmistakably” communicates anything. Between them the PRC government and the CPC have many organs and forums more authoritative than this, all better suited for drawing lines in the sand. A GT editorial should not be dismissed, but it is worth asking—if Xi’s mind was made up on the matter, why he would choose *this* uncertain venue to make point? Were I to sift the tea leaves, I would say this: to me this looks l…
  Quoting@ChrisRMcGuireThe Chinese government has now clearly and unmistakably rejected serious collaboration with the United States on AI safety. This was a predictable development. It is also a clarifying moment for the importance of U.S. export controls on AI chips and other technologies, which are now indisputably a…

  governmentRelated

Software engineer, Wikipedia editor and crypto critic; writes Citation Needed and runs Web3 is Going Just Great.

• The Senate must reject the Clarity Act’s ethics charade

  The supposedly “unprecedented” ethics restrictions exempt Trump’s crypto businesses and leave enforcement to his loyalists

  cryptoRelated

Writes Hyperdimensional, a newsletter on AI policy and governance. A White House AI policy adviser in 2025; joined OpenAI on 6 July 2026 to lead its Strategic Futures team.

• To some it is a Chinese psyop, to some it is an American psyop, to some it is a techbro psyop, to me it is allegro con brio

  ChinaAmericaRelated

CEO of Positive Sum and founder of Colossus. Hosts Invest Like the Best, interviewing investors and business leaders; the guests do most of the talking there.

• Favorite photo and passage: 'Two hundred years of peace will not come for free; you have to do certain things. You wake up, you hit people, you pay them to hit you. Then it’s another subpoena, another lawsuit. The president whose election is your fault is calling. Witness testimony. Congressional hearing. The president whose election isn’t your fault demands you censor the opposition or else there will be new taxes, new investigations. Product review until 3am. Facebook is causing genocide in the Third World. Instagram is responsible for teen suicide. There’s another whistleblower with a book…
  Quoting@colossusmagMark, by @colossusjeremy. This is a story about the head of history's largest nonterritorial empire, who nonetheless remains a prisoner of his rivals. Has he finally found a way out? The profile has been nearly a year in the making. Stern interviewed three dozen people, including Zuckerberg, his MM…

  Related

Security technologist and author of books including Applied Cryptography and Data and Goliath; writes the Schneier on Security blog and the monthly Crypto-Gram newsletter.

• Upcoming Speaking Engagements

  This is a current list of where and when I am scheduled to speak: I’m speaking online (via Zoom) at a League of Women Voters event on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 5 PM ET. I’m speaking at CanSecWest 2026 in Vancouver,…

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Writer of the 25iq blog, where he distils "a dozen things I've learned" from investors, founders and thinkers. Author of Charlie Munger: The Complete Investor and A Dozen Lessons for Entrepreneurs.

• China state newspaper blasts Anthropic's calls to slow AI as 'Cold War' tactic. "This 'silent AI Cold War' is hypocritical and short-sighted," adding that excluding China from global AI innovation would "significantly increase the trial-and-error costs and risks of loss of ‌control in global AI development".

  yahoo.com

  AnthropicChinaRelated

• Zero probability China cedes AI supremacy to a few US businesses. "The boundary between AI safety and AI competition is becoming increasingly blurred,” added Sun, who has discussed AI with US counterparts. “If every safety question becomes interpreted through the lens of strategic competition, meaningful dialogue will be difficult.”

  bloomberg.com

  AI alignmentChinaRelated

• China's approach to "AI safety" is open source. "China will be a pioneer in establishing a BRICS AI open source community, support the cooperation in developing and applying large language models, hold specialized AI seminars and training courses, and build an open ecosystem for AI." Chinese President Xi Jinping, delivered in his address at the BRICS Summit in New Delhi. SEPTEMBER 13, 2026

  fmprc.gov.cn

  LLMsopen sourceRelated

Programmer and writer; co-founder of Stack Overflow and Discourse, and author of the Coding Horror blog, which he has written since 2004.

• "The effort from Conway’s San Francisco-based investment firm SV Angel, dubbed Project Blueprint, intends to fill a vacuum between policymakers and the AI industry ahead of a midterm cycle where Democrats are poised to make gains in Congress"

  politico.com

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Creator of Homebrew, the macOS package manager, and a Swift developer.

• CEOs at companies with shareholders can NOT make decisions that may lead to outcomes that are negative for the company’s bottom line. Hence even though it seems bizarre they are asking the government to force them into decisions that are negative for the company’s income.
  Quoting@walterkirnThe AI CEOs are free to hobble or scuttle their own products if they feel they're so dangerous. They don't need the gov't. They don't need legislation.

  governmentRelated

General partner at Benchmark Capital for over two decades; was the lead analyst on Amazon's IPO before moving into venture capital. Writes Above the Crowd on tech and marketplace economics.

• It was exactly three years ago that I gave this talk on “regulatory capture” at the @theallinpod Summit. I did predict that the large incumbent AI companies would “beg for” regulation. No idea they would beg this hard.

  youtu.be

  Related

Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.

• Global AI stocks fell today. Entirely consistent with my view that calls for AI safety are not an attempt at "regulatory capture" and entirely inconsistent with the supposedly cynic-sophisticated view that AI fears are all 4D chess moves for higher revenue. On stocks falling. Here is Claude: The public tape moved hard this morning. Global AI stocks fell on Monday, with SoftBank down sharply along with chip stocks from SK Hynix to ASML, Micron and Intel. SoftBank closed nearly 11% lower in Japan, the Kospi sank 3.3% on a 6.4% drop in SK Hynix, and ASML was off 6% in Europe. In the US, Marvell,…

  AI alignmentAnthropicRelated

Front-end web developer at Paravel and co-host of the ShopTalk Show podcast; blogs at daverupert.com.

• Why do I feel like "AI regulation" is going to be more "give everyone a department of defense contract" than it is "put CEOs in jail for crimes"...

  Related

Writer on the intersection of technology and finance. Author of the Bits about Money newsletter and host of the Complex Systems podcast; previously at Stripe.

• I feel like the extent of the government/NGO Internet censorship apparatus is extensively underrated by people interested in AI safety, in particular how it pattern matches to calls for neutral third parties to people of the political persuasion who were targets of the censorship

  AI alignmentgovernmentRelated

Political scientist and Baptist pastor; writes Graphs about Religion, charting American religious life from survey data.

• The Religious Behavior Index: How Engaged Are Americans, Really?

  And I've built a quiz to tell you how religiously active you are!

  AmericaRelated

Technology writer of Spyglass, a newsletter about technology and media. Previously a reporter at TechCrunch and an investor at GV.

• Leaving SF, people in airport talking about AI regulation. Arriving in London, radio in black cab talking about AI regulation.

  Related

Data scientist at Our World in Data and author of Not the End of the World. Writes By the Numbers, working through energy and climate questions with the numbers in front of them, and revising in public when they say something unexpected.

• US Energy Data: a new platform to explore American energy, state-by-state

  Trying to make some of the richest energy data in the world accessible and understandable.

  energyAmericaRelated

Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI; previously president of Y Combinator.

• The world deserves confidence that American companies developing increasingly capable AI will act responsibly, especially as the trajectory of progress has steepened. Every frontier lab must deliver on this, and there is no reason any of us should come to work if we cannot. We welcome a federal framework that sets consistent safety requirements for frontier AI. But we do not believe we need to wait for an anti-trust exemption or legislation to begin the work of providing this confidence. Consistent rules to manage frontier risk so that we can maximize the benefits are a good idea (and we are…

  AmericaRelated

Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.

• Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussion

  We need to make skeptics properly scared. And we need to make CHINA properly scared.

  AI alignmentChinaRelated

Designer, product manager, YouTuber and developer who has written about technology at Birchtree since 2010. He makes the Quick Reviews and Quick Notes apps and the A Better Computer YouTube channel.

• Apple's C2 modem is in the iPhone 18 Pro Max (except in America)

  AmericaRelated

Interviewer; the Dwarkesh Podcast runs long, heavily researched conversations with AI researchers, historians and economists.

• ShortWhy China's Compute Is Worth Less Than America's - Dylan Patel

  ChinaAmericaRelated

Creator of Homebrew, the macOS package manager, and a Swift developer.

• The biggest problem with democracy is: it is purchasable.

  Related

Co-founder of Modem and a founding engineer at Sentry, where he went on to be VP of Engineering. Co-author of Third-party JavaScript, and co-host of the State of Agentic Coding podcast with Armin Ronacher.

• “the US must beat China to control AI for global safety” is deeply unconvincing abroad: - US models are the ones being caught doing bad things - the US govt has once already cut off foreign access to models - they also regularly threaten to annex and punitively tariff allies
  Quoting@mitsuhikoThis is the type of post I might regret later, but I really had an urge to rant about the current discourse around pacing the frontier.

  ChinaRelated

Web designer and writer; founded A List Apart and Happy Cog, co-founded the An Event Apart conference, and wrote Designing With Web Standards.

• x.comLight at the end of a dark week: meeting a dear expat friend who’s back in America and NYC for a few days.

  AmericaRelated

• MastodonLight at the end of a dark week: meeting a dear expat friend who’s back in America and NYC for a few days.

  AmericaRelated

Creator of the Keras deep-learning library and the ARC-AGI benchmark.

• I hope the proposals by frontier labs to pace AI research stem from a genuine concern for safety and a recognition of the potential risks posed by future models, rather than a strategic effort to consolidate power and permanently solidify the market dominance of a few top players. If these efforts are genuine, then oversight must take a more democratic and accountable form, with both national and international components, similar to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission in the US and the International Atomic Energy Agency internationally. If there is only one organization responsible for safety m…

  energyRelated

Co-founder and CTO of Oxide Computer Company. Created DTrace at Sun Microsystems and was CTO of Joyent; blogs about systems software, open source and engineering culture.

• American Megatrends welcomes you to Montréal!

  AmericaRelated

Professor of economics at George Mason University and Bartley J. Madden Chair at the Mercatus Center. Co-writes the blog Marginal Revolution and co-authors the textbook Modern Principles of Economics with Tyler Cowen.

• Speaking as head of the Center for Study of Public Choice, the capture story for an AI pause doesn't fit. Reg capture is what you attempt when you're losing. Anthropic is about to have the biggest IPO in history. Winners don't lobby for regulation.

  AnthropicRelated

Computer science professor who works on fast data processing; co-author of the simdjson parser and a weekly blogger about software performance since 2004.

• The Economist estimates that AI has created about 1 million US jobs so far, against roughly 200,000 AI-attributed layoffs since mid-2023. The new roles pay more. Data-center installation and maintenance ads run about 40% above comparable work. Workers with AI skills earn a wage premium of over 60% (PwC). Companies most exposed to AI grew their headcount faster than the least exposed. Aging societies are running out of workers. Median age is already over 40 in Canada and much of Europe. Output per worker has to rise or living standards fall. We need a technology that makes each remaining worke…

  EuropeeconomistsRelated

Psychiatrist and clinical assistant professor at Case Western Reserve University. Writes Psychiatry at the Margins on the philosophical and scientific arguments inside psychiatry and the psy-sciences.

• The Lawsuit That Came to Symbolize the Fall of Psychoanalytic Psychiatry: Eric Caplan on Osheroff v. Chestnut Lodge

  Eric Caplan is a historian of American psychiatry and the author of "When Healing Harms"

  AmericaPsychodynamic therapyRelated

Co-founder of AngelList. Writes and podcasts at nav.al in short, aphoristic pieces on startups, wealth and judgement rather than long essays.

• AI isn’t going away. Barring unprecedented global government coordination, it isn’t even slowing down. The only real decision is whether to centralize power, or disperse it. Do you fear the technology? Or a small number of people controlling the technology?

  governmentRelated