Daniel W. Drezner
Political scientist writing Drezner's World on international relations, American politics and the marketplace of ideas; author of The Ideas Industry.
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What they believe
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There is no common foreign policy consensus in America.
The truth is that the Trump years have torn asunder America’s foreign policy community. There is no common foreign policy consensus.
danieldrezner.substack.comSaid 1 Nov 2026This on korrents
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Changed their mind Donald Trump will not bomb Iran; his threat to join Israel's attack is a bluff
Before Trump is not gonna bomb Iran. This is a bluff.
Now But the most important takeaway from this post should be that I was wrong in my prediction about what Donald Trump would do about Iran.
Said 23 Jun 2025This on korrents
The bold line is korrents’ wording; the quote is theirs. These one: what they wrote before what they said aloud, one per source, newest first.
Feed
As its own page →Hiding
4 November
2 November
1 November
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Their words
The truth is that the Trump years have torn asunder America’s foreign policy community. There is no common foreign policy consensus.
31 October
From one piece Marco Rubio’s Ongoing Devolution 2 beliefs · danieldrezner.substack.com
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korrents.com
Marco Rubio is politicizing the State Department.Their words
As Rubio continues to politicize the State Department, the Washington Sun’s Eric Katz reports that the State Department is attempting to force out senior foreign service officers viewed as political questionable
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korrents.com
Marco Rubio's stewardship of the State Department is continuing in a negative direction.Their words
As the Trump administration staggers towards its midterm reckoning, it is worth taking yet another look at Marco Rubio’s stewardship of the State Department in particular and American foreign policy more generally. Because, unfortunately, the trendline is continuing in a negative direction.
30 October
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Their words
Stewart portrayed a different, more cerebral model of leadership than William Shatner’s more erratic and impulsive James T. Kirk without sacrificing anything in the way of charisma.
27 October
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korrents.com
It is entirely acceptable to have a rooting interest in the elections of other countries.Their words
My earnest take, as someone who strongly prefers democracy to the alternative, is that it is entirely acceptable to have a rooting interest in the elections of other countries.
Do Other Countries’ Elections Matter?danieldrezner.substack.com
26 October
From one piece American Foreign Policy Horror Story 2 beliefs · danieldrezner.substack.com
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Their words
Furthermore, even a strong midterm performance from Democrats will not necessarily constrain a determined Donald Trump from wreaking even more carnage.
American Foreign Policy Horror Storydanieldrezner.substack.com
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Their words
Unfortunately, U.S. foreign policy right now is a complete shitshow.
American Foreign Policy Horror Storydanieldrezner.substack.com
22 October
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Their words
Economically, the tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit.
Has America Hit Peak Protectionism?danieldrezner.substack.com
20 October
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Their words
Universities are too busy scrapping diversity statements, funding centers for conservative thought, and appeasing conservative trustees to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology.
18 October
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korrents.com
Trump will not be able to claw back control over Congress using extralegal means if Democrats win decisively.Their words
If the Democrats shellack the Republicans in a few weeks, will Trump be able to claw back control over Congress using more extralegal means? Nah. Maybe they will try — but they will not succeed.
Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Threedanieldrezner.substack.com
15 October
From one piece Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio! 2 beliefs · danieldrezner.substack.com
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korrents.com
The culture of the Trump administration guarantees that special envoys will not be constrained.Their words
But the story also reveals why the culture of the Trump administration guarantees that this will not happen: The secretary of state is not managing anything at Foggy Bottom so he can stay close to the president; The deputy secretary of state is an insecure martinet who would never have been placed in such a high position in any competent administration; The special envoys appointed by Trump will either leak to the press or complain to the White House if anyone tries to rein in their activities.
Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio!danieldrezner.substack.com
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Their words
The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing.
Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio!danieldrezner.substack.com
12 October
From one piece Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Notice 2 beliefs · danieldrezner.substack.com
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korrents.com
As the leaks regarding Kimberly Guilfoyle multiply, she will not remain in the current administration.Their words
Make no mistake, however, as the Guilfoyle leaks multiply, she’s not long for this administration.
Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Noticedanieldrezner.substack.com
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Their words
Maybe it will not formally happen until after the midterms but Kimberly Guilfoyle’s time as an ambassador is nearing its end.
Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Noticedanieldrezner.substack.com
10 October
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Their words
All of the trendlines for Democrats look really good for November 3rd being a good night.
Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Twodanieldrezner.substack.com
9 October
8 October
Nothing matches.
Beliefs
Korrents What they believe 47 beliefs, 2 changed minds — each backed by an exact quote.
Each is a — compiled by korrents.com, not by them: the one-line wordings are korrents', the quotes are theirs.
Recent
There is no common foreign policy consensus in America.
The truth is that the Trump years have torn asunder America’s foreign policy community. There is no common foreign policy consensus.
The Blob, R.I.P. Said 1 Nov 2026
Marco Rubio's stewardship of the State Department is continuing in a negative direction.
As the Trump administration staggers towards its midterm reckoning, it is worth taking yet another look at Marco Rubio’s stewardship of the State Department in particular and American foreign policy more generally. Because, unfortunately, the trendline is continuing in a negative direction.
Marco Rubio’s Ongoing Devolution Said 31 Oct 2026
Marco Rubio is politicizing the State Department.
As Rubio continues to politicize the State Department, the Washington Sun’s Eric Katz reports that the State Department is attempting to force out senior foreign service officers viewed as political questionable
Marco Rubio’s Ongoing Devolution Said 31 Oct 2026
Show 44 more
Patrick Stewart's portrayal of Captain Jean-Luc Picard offered a more cerebral model of leadership than William Shatner's James T. Kirk without sacrificing charisma.
Stewart portrayed a different, more cerebral model of leadership than William Shatner’s more erratic and impulsive James T. Kirk without sacrificing anything in the way of charisma.
Make It Not So Said 30 Oct 2026
It is entirely acceptable to have a rooting interest in the elections of other countries.
My earnest take, as someone who strongly prefers democracy to the alternative, is that it is entirely acceptable to have a rooting interest in the elections of other countries.
Do Other Countries’ Elections Matter? Said 27 Oct 2026
U.S. foreign policy is currently a complete shitshow.
Unfortunately, U.S. foreign policy right now is a complete shitshow.
American Foreign Policy Horror Story Said 26 Oct 2026
Even a strong midterm performance from Democrats will not necessarily constrain a determined Donald Trump from wreaking even more carnage.
Furthermore, even a strong midterm performance from Democrats will not necessarily constrain a determined Donald Trump from wreaking even more carnage.
American Foreign Policy Horror Story Said 26 Oct 2026
The tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit.
Economically, the tariffs have accomplished very little beyond a moderate increase in inflation and a moderate increase in the trade deficit.
Has America Hit Peak Protectionism? Said 22 Oct 2026
Universities are too busy accommodating conservative interests to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology.
Universities are too busy scrapping diversity statements, funding centers for conservative thought, and appeasing conservative trustees to be able to indoctrinate anyone into Marxist ideology.
The Op-Eds About Higher Education Need to Stop Until We Figure Out What the Hell Is Going On With the Op-Ed Contributors Said 20 Oct 2026
Trump will not be able to claw back control over Congress using extralegal means if Democrats win decisively.
If the Democrats shellack the Republicans in a few weeks, will Trump be able to claw back control over Congress using more extralegal means? Nah. Maybe they will try — but they will not succeed.
Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Three Said 18 Oct 2026
The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing.
The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing.
Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio! Said 15 Oct 2026
The culture of the Trump administration guarantees that special envoys will not be constrained.
But the story also reveals why the culture of the Trump administration guarantees that this will not happen: The secretary of state is not managing anything at Foggy Bottom so he can stay close to the president; The deputy secretary of state is an insecure martinet who would never have been placed in such a high position in any competent administration; The special envoys appointed by Trump will either leak to the press or complain to the White House if anyone tries to rein in their activities.
Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio! Said 15 Oct 2026
Kimberly Guilfoyle's time as an ambassador is nearing its end.
Maybe it will not formally happen until after the midterms but Kimberly Guilfoyle’s time as an ambassador is nearing its end.
Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Notice Said 12 Oct 2026
As the leaks regarding Kimberly Guilfoyle multiply, she will not remain in the current administration.
Make no mistake, however, as the Guilfoyle leaks multiply, she’s not long for this administration.
Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Notice Said 12 Oct 2026
All trendlines for Democrats look good for November 3rd being a good night.
All of the trendlines for Democrats look really good for November 3rd being a good night.
Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Two Said 10 Oct 2026
The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats.
The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats.
The Lousiest Adults in the Room Said 8 Oct 2026
Rubio’s speeches are dime-store rhetoric grasping at profundity and failing.
Let’s be clear: Rubio’s speeches are dime-store rhetoric grasping at profundity and failing.
The Lousiest Adults in the Room Said 8 Oct 2026
There are no adults in the White House right now.
To repeat a theme: there are no adults in the White House right now.
The Lousiest Adults in the Room Said 8 Oct 2026
The public mood on Trump will become even more sour after a bad midterm performance.
The public mood on Trump is already historically sour. It will only get more so after a bad midterm performance, as Republicans disillusion in their standard-bearer kicks in.
The Post-Midterms Scenario No One Believes Will Happen... But I Kinda Sorta Think Maybe It Will Happen Said 7 Oct 2026
Trump's trade agenda is alienating allies and angering the American public.
So, on the whole, Trump’s trade agenda is alienating allies and angering the American public.
So How is the Trump Trade Agenda Going? Said 5 Oct 2026
There is always a tradeoff between a system's efficiency and its resilience.
Of course, pledges and plans do not always bear fruit. And Canada’s geography cannot be changed; no matter how much Carney tries to diversify Canada’s economy away from the United States, there will always be some asymmetric dependence.
Worthwhile Canadian Initiative? Said 2 Oct 2026
Trump's administration has been steered off a political cliff, and while his advisers might sense it, Trump himself remains unaware.
The thing is, while Trump’s staffers and advisers might be aware of the effect of political gravity, Trump himself remains unaware that he and his feckless subordinates have steered his administration off of a political cliff.
Welcome to the Wile E. Coyote Moment Said 22 Sept 2026
Simultaneously holding the Secretary of State and National Security Advisor roles prevents either job from being done well.
The most obvious problem is that Marco Rubio continues to hold both the Secretary of State and national security advisor positions. This has been going on for nearly 18 months now and it's obviously not working well at all.
The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apace Said 19 Sept 2026
The Trump administration's recent foreign policy failures have significantly eroded U.S. deterrent power.
the steady accumulation of humiliating defeats that have badly eroded U.S. deterrent power.
The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apace Said 19 Sept 2026
Trump's foreign policy and national security team is staffed with incompetent people at every level.
Remember: when it comes to Trump's foreign policy and national security team, it's incompetents all the way down.
The Beclowning of the State Department Continues Apace Said 19 Sept 2026
Trump is globally hated but not feared, the opposite of where Machiavelli said a prince should be.
In Machiavellian terms, Trump is no longer feared, and he's definitely no longer liked. Instead, he is hated - which is the one thing Machiavelli stressed should be avoided at all costs.
Donald Trump Is No Longer Feared Said 17 Sept 2026
Failed U.S. attempts to secure its preferred outcomes in the Persian Gulf will keep energy prices elevated.
So it does not seem as though U.S. preferences in the Persian Gulf will be achieved - which means prices in general and energy prices in particular are likely to stay high.
Donald Trump Is No Longer Feared Said 17 Sept 2026
Trump's tariffs and his war in Iran are contributing to current U.S. inflation.
The current problem with prices might be one part AI construction boom, but it is one part Trump's tariffs and one part Trump's war in Iran as well.
Donald Trump Is No Longer Feared Said 17 Sept 2026
The U.S. dollar's continued global dominance is a lagging indicator, not proof that American hegemony remains intact.
the dollar's status is not a harbinger of U.S. hegemonic decline - it's a lagging indicator.
The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Fall Said 14 Sept 2026
Overusing financial statecraft, allying with overseas populists, or prolonged anti-immigrant policy will push even close U.S. allies toward alternatives to dollar- and Wall Street-centered systems.
Excessive use of financial statecraft, alliances with overseas populists, or prolonged bouts of anti-immigrant hysteria, however, will force even close allies to start thinking about alternatives.
The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Fall Said 14 Sept 2026
The Trump administration is accelerating the decline and fall of American global hegemony.
I honestly do not know if the Trump administration will be able to completely eviscerate American power over the next two year - but damn they sure seem to be accelerating the decline and fall of American hegemony.
The Dollar Will Be the Last Pillar To Fall Said 14 Sept 2026
Universities and their administrations should remain ideologically neutral toward faculty's political views
An institution must remain neutral with regard to the ideological beliefs of its faculty.
That’s Not How Academic Freedom Works, Vanderbilt Trustees!! Said 10 Sept 2026
Teaching that reflects political commitments is a legitimate part of intellectual diversity, not a violation of academic norms
There is nothing wrong with promoting perspectives that have political commitments; in fact, intellectual diversity requires this, because some viewpoints include political commitments.
That’s Not How Academic Freedom Works, Vanderbilt Trustees!! Said 10 Sept 2026
Sustaining collective action against the federal government is difficult
a hard-earned lesson of the past few months is that mobilizing collective action against the federal government is hard.
That’s Not How Academic Freedom Works, Vanderbilt Trustees!! Said 10 Sept 2026
A leader too impatient to sustain a waiting game will undermine strategies built on economic pressure and waiting out an adversary.
Trump is lousy at playing a waiting game, and that's what this strategy entails
The Trump Administration Strategy Fail Said 9 Sept 2026
Governments running pressure campaigns tend to wishfully overestimate how close the adversary is to collapse.
A second pathology is the administration's wishcasting that Iran is just days away from collapsing.
The Trump Administration Strategy Fail Said 9 Sept 2026
A government's foreign-policy failures often stem from its policymakers' laziness rather than strategic miscalculation.
the Trump administration's foreign policymakers are so lazy that they keep self-sabotaging.
The Trump Administration Strategy Fail Said 9 Sept 2026
The Trump administration is replacing professional bureaucracy with a corrupt, personalist system that extracts rents through force.
In practice, Hochman's hire is another nauseating sign that the Trump administration is destroying the bureaucracy in favor of some corrupt, neo-royalist husk of an apparatus that mostly posts memes and occasionally deploys the 82nd Airborne to extract rents.
The Devolution of the Policy Planning Staff Said 8 Sept 2026
Marco Rubio is struggling to hire talented staff and is settling for loyalists who follow his instructions instead.
This suggests that Rubio is having some difficulties hiring anyone with talent and is settling for a putz who will do what Rubio tells him to do on Latin America.
The Devolution of the Policy Planning Staff Said 8 Sept 2026
For a mystery-box TV show to work, its world-building must be imaginative and believable and its characters compelling.
For them to work, the world-building has to be imaginative and believable, and the characters have to be compelling.
My Frustration With Puzzlebox Television Said 7 Sept 2026
Fully revealing a mystery-box show's central plot often disappoints viewers, flattening everything that happened before it.
Once the entire plot is revealed in shows like this one, it can be a letdown, flattening what has happened previously.
My Frustration With Puzzlebox Television Said 7 Sept 2026
A superpower's deferential posture toward rival great powers can alienate its allies while yielding no strategic payoff in return.
the Trump administration's deferential posture towards Russia and China has alienated allies. But on the other hand, it has gained the United States nothing in the way of strategic stability.
So How Is The Concert of Trump Going? Said 2 Sept 2026
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Clearly the link between actual records of accomplishment and political success has been weakened just a wee bit.
Pete Hegseth is Losing His Grip Said 31 Aug 2026
The U.S. military campaign against Iran is failing and has imposed massive strategic costs on the United States.
the United States is not winning that war and the strategic costs have been massive.
Pete Hegseth is Losing His Grip Said 31 Aug 2026
Many professors do not write their own newspaper op-eds themselves.
The dirty secret is that many professors do not write their own op-eds.
The Professor and the Plutocrat and AI Said 29 Aug 2026
AI output quality is mixed at best without strong underlying critical thinking skills.
Without a well-developed set of critical thinking skills, AI outputs will yield variegated results at best
The Professor and the Plutocrat and AI Said 29 Aug 2026
Eliminating paper-writing as a student assignment would remove a core skill needed for most professions requiring a graduate degree.
I am extremely concerned that this trend will eliminate paper-writing as an assignment, and that is a core function of most professions requiring a graduate degree.
The Professor and the Plutocrat and AI Said 29 Aug 2026
Beliefs others hold too
There is always a tradeoff between a system's efficiency and its resilience. 2 hold this
Of course, pledges and plans do not always bear fruit. And Canada’s geography cannot be changed; no matter how much Carney tries to diversify Canada’s economy away from the United States, there will always be some asymmetric dependence.
Worthwhile Canadian Initiative? Said 2 Oct 2026
Trump is globally hated but not feared, the opposite of where Machiavelli said a prince should be. 2 hold this
In Machiavellian terms, Trump is no longer feared, and he's definitely no longer liked. Instead, he is hated - which is the one thing Machiavelli stressed should be avoided at all costs.
Donald Trump Is No Longer Feared Said 17 Sept 2026
Trump's tariffs and his war in Iran are contributing to current U.S. inflation. 2 hold this
The current problem with prices might be one part AI construction boom, but it is one part Trump's tariffs and one part Trump's war in Iran as well.
Donald Trump Is No Longer Feared Said 17 Sept 2026
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
Recommends rcmnd
rcmnd What they recommend 8 things — each backed by an exact quote.
Compiled by rcmnd.app, not by them: the quotes are theirs, and each links to the post it was copied from.
Recent
Loved The Elephants in the Room: How Trump Voters Seized the Party from Republican Leaders
Masket provides an excellent, concise, data-driven explanation. Much of the data from repeated surveys of GOP local leaders, along with Masket’s on-the-ground field research in Iowa and New Hampshire. The sweat equity on display in the book is impressive.
danieldrezner.substack.com 18 Jun 2026
Loved How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy
First, it is incredibly accessible to anyone who is well-versed about the international political economy — no mean feat, as someone who has to teach this stuff. Second, it is forthright in explaining, kinda like an IPE Dalton from Road House, that nobody wins a trade war but sometimes they are gonna be fought no matter what, so it’s good to go in fully informed. Third, it contains bits and pieces that even policy wonks will find new and interesting.
danieldrezner.substack.com 18 Jun 2026
What others say about How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy →
Loved The Mercy of Gods
I read the first book, The Mercy of Gods, way back in March and enjoyed it immensely. I say this even though it was intense book, beginning with a plot about the politics of science labs and ending somewhere rather different and dark — about the politics of survival under occupation and captivity.
danieldrezner.substack.com 18 Jun 2026
Show 5 more
Liked This Is Not About Us
A collection of interconnected short stories about three generations of a “strange and estranged family—their unspoken expectations, silent feuds, exhausting birthdays” that is also riotously funny — at least it is to me.
danieldrezner.substack.com 16 Mar 2026
Liked The Little Friend
As a completist, I am now reading her middle book, which reads an awful lot like a gender-flipped updating of To Kill A Mockingbird so far. It’s chock-full of Tartt’s exquisite prose, and that is what I need on my vacation.
danieldrezner.substack.com 16 Mar 2026
Loved The Goldfinch
I enjoyed her third book The Goldfinch so much that I felt sad as I was approaching its ending.
danieldrezner.substack.com 16 Mar 2026
Loved The Secret History
Tartt’s first book, The Secret History, is one of my favorite novels ever.
danieldrezner.substack.com 16 Mar 2026
Mixed on Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests
The result is something of a muddle, however. Demarais claims in the preface that “this book is not for or against sanctions (xii)” but declares in the conclusion that “the time of peak US sanctions has passed (200).”
danieldrezner.substack.com 20 Dec 2024
What others say about Backfire: How Sanctions Reshape the World Against U.S. Interests →
Where they publish
Newsletter Drezner's World His newsletter on international relations and American politics. Has a feed.
Open danieldrezner.substack.com
Recent
- American Foreign Policy For the Next Two Years 4 Nov 2026 I co-wrote a little something for Foreign Affairs in the wake of the midterms
- Pre-Registering My 2026 Midterms Take 2 Nov 2026 This take may age horribly. Or it could age well. I guess we’ll see!
- The Blob, R.I.P. 1 Nov 2026 A decade ago it was a fuzzy concept. Now it’s useless.
Show 17 more
- Marco Rubio’s Ongoing Devolution 31 Oct 2026 He keeps debasing himself and the State Department.
- Make It Not So 30 Oct 2026 R.I.P. Patrick Stewart
- Do Other Countries’ Elections Matter? 27 Oct 2026 My earnest response to Matthew Yglesias
- American Foreign Policy Horror Story 26 Oct 2026 How low has American fallen under Trump 2.0? How low can Trump go?
- Has America Hit Peak Protectionism? 22 Oct 2026 Not until Democratic and GOP elites walk away from what they have been saying for the last decade.
- The Op-Eds About Higher Education Need to Stop Until We Figure Out What the Hell Is Going On With the Op-Ed Contributors 20 Oct 2026 A modest proposal....
- Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Three 18 Oct 2026 Democrats continue to sit pretty as the midterms near. Will Trump attempt to use extralegal means to block a blue wave?
- Heckuva Job You’re Doing, Marco Rubio! 15 Oct 2026 The devolution of the State Department shows no signs of slowing. The guy in charge is to blame.
- Kimberly Guilfoyle’s Two Weeks Notice 12 Oct 2026 Maybe it will not formally happen until after the midterms but Kimberly Guilfoyle’s time as an ambassador is nearing its end.
- Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part Two 10 Oct 2026 The Democrats are sitting pretty with just a few weeks left before Election Day. Will they collapse before the finish line? Can Republicans spend their way to victory?
- In Case I Win A Nobel.... 9 Oct 2026 Anne Carson shows how it’s done.
- The Lousiest Adults in the Room 8 Oct 2026 The cabinet officials valorized as the adults in the room are acting like brats.
- The Post-Midterms Scenario No One Believes Will Happen... But I Kinda Sorta Think Maybe It Will Happen 7 Oct 2026 Call me crazy, but I think this this scenario has a chance.
- So How is the Trump Trade Agenda Going? 5 Oct 2026 The past week reveals another area in which the Trump administration’s efforts collapse under the weight of contradictions.
- Exposure Therapy for Democrats, Part One 3 Oct 2026 Democrats are rolling towards the midterms right now. Is it a mirage? Could it change? Assessing the worst-case scenarios for November.
- Worthwhile Canadian Initiative? 2 Oct 2026 How Mark Carney’s bid for economic and strategic resilience is playing out.
- I’m a College Professor. Writing is Pretty Damn Important. 30 Sept 2026 It’s hardly the only thing -- but it’s a very important thing!
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