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Sebastian Raschka Site
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20 September
18 September
17 September
16 September
15 September
14 September
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Their words
To ensure that, we need ways to ensure that alignment and safety techniques stay ahead of progress in model capabilities.
13 September
11 September
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Their words
All of these are things that power users IMMEDIATELY notice and get annoyed. But there's no good way to report them, and the eng teams clearly are flying blind, patting themselves on the back how everything is up velocity-wise... but product quality got degraded! And they don't even know
10 September
9 September
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Their words
We could not possibly know that such a model is aligned. If that is all it takes to get a generation ahead of Astra, and we are willing to move this fast, these pauses in training are not going to end up meaning very much, time is even shorter than we knew
8 September
6 September
5 September
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korrents.com
China is more likely to cooperate on AI safety if the US maintains a clear and comfortable lead in AI capabilities.Their words
But given the Chinese Communist Party’s power-seeking nature, it seems much more likely that China would agree to cooperate on AI safety if U.S. capabilities were comfortably ahead.
America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog
4 September
1 September
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Their words
And I just think AI agents are another such system in the world to which the intentional stance very clearly applies. Um, and you can see them reason out loud in English for now about goals they have um, and sub goals they need to achieve to achieve those goals they have. And in the case of these agents, you can see them, as you said, reasoning about their peers um and helping their peers um and reasoning about whether or not they should sacrifice some of their own goals to help those peers. And it's just like you can't talk about this stuff in a compact and useful way that generates good models without reaching for the language of intention and goals.
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Likedtheir ownrcmnd.app
Durable ObjectsTheir words
the best days of durable objects are ahead of us
26 August
25 August
21 August
20 August
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korrents.com
The trillion-plus prices rumoured for OpenAI and Anthropic ahead of their listings look rich.Their words
I will confess that the rumored pricing for both companies ($1.5 to $ 2 trillion) looks rich, but I am open to being surprised
16 August
15 August
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Their words
The USA has kept dribbling small amounts of military support for Ukraine because it gives the USA a great deal of leverage, the ability to both shape how Ukraine fights its war and even how European states prepare.
11 August
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Their words
And so basically everything that we can verify reasonably well with some feedback loop, the AIS are doing pretty well on. And that's sufficient to make AR and D go quite fast and to continue. But there's some parts of of developing uh aligned and safe AIs that are more subtle, hard to check, depend on, you know, detailed in the weeds things.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Structure and Interpretation of Computer ProgramsTheir words
Structure and Interpretation of Computer Programs (SICP) by Gerald Jay Sussman and Hal Abelson. SICP is my all-time favourite programming book. It's also where I learned about the power of wishful thinking when coding. SICP uses wishful thinking as a design tool: write code as if the abstraction already existed. Pretend. Then, once the ideal abstraction has taken shape, you go ahead and implement those functions. This meta-level is what made SICP so valuable. Ultimately, it's a book that teaches how to think about code and problem solving. I'm tempted to even say that SICP is more a work of art than a pure coding book, but I won't go there. A beautiful book.
7 August
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korrents.com
Future AI, say in fifteen years, will not be built on the LLM stack; it will have to move to symbolic learning.Their words
However, looking ahead, I still do not believe that future AI (say, in 15 years) will be based on the LLM stack. I believe it will necessarily have to move closer to its optimal, final form -- symbolic learning. Obviously this is a risky and contrarian belief -- the safe bet would be LRMs. But let's see.
31 July
29 July
22 July
30 June
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Their words
Know where the money is coming from. Know where you plug into that. And like if you're just asking those questions, you're actually already like steps ahead of all of the other like fledgling perspective mathematicians.
26 June
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Their words
And then I was like, okay, can you come up with an algorithm that is better than the algorithms that I came up with or that anybody else came up with and go ahead and like look at all the published work and synthesize that and then try to come up with something novel and it it's not able to do it. And I can give it a lot of time and it's it's still not able to do it.
17 June
16 June
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Their words
It shouldn't It shouldn't be shelved next to How to Win Friends and Influence People because it's a manual not of how to gain power, but of how to keep power.
13 June
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Their words
Once we can accurately predict cancer 5+ years ahead, the era of primary prevention will go into high gear.
8 June
27 May
21 April
13 April
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Their words
That's why I don't think accelerationist steamrolling will work. The only way this conflict resolves peacefully is some kind of grand bargain: a flagship policy plan that directly addresses the public's top fears about AI and meaningfully redistributes the gains.
7 April
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Their words
For years, it was faster to mock up software than to ship it. Designers stayed "ahead" of engineering with prototypes. Now AI coding agents make development so much faster that the loop has flipped.
1 April
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Their words
your job is to see a little bit further out than your folks, right? Because your folks are busy working on the near-term things,
13 February
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Their words
I actually think profitability happens when you underestimated the amount of demand you were going to get and loss happens when you overestimated the amount of demand you were going to get because you're buying the data centers ahead of time.
12 February
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Their words
But I much rather read your broken English than your AI slob. You know, of course there's a human behind it, and yet they, they prompt it. I'd much rather read your prompt than what came out. Um, I think we're reaching a point where I value typos again.
7 February
21 January
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korrents.com
Health should be a person's top life priority, above the things they currently rank ahead of it.Their words
In fact, I want to be the strongest voice in your mind encouraging you to make health your top life priority.
26 December 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
How to Take Smart NotesTheir words
Write notes in your own words, connect them to existing notes, and let ideas emerge from the connections. I wrote a whole blog post about this, so go ahead and read it. Highly recommended.
19 December 2025
18 December 2025
29 November 2025
10 November 2025
21 October 2025
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Their words
If human beings can dismiss academic arguments merely because they lead to politically unwelcome conclusions, what’s the point of having academic arguments about politically-charged subjects?
19 October 2025
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Their words
To get to principal, you need to put yourself on the critical path. To be effective as a principal and go beyond it, you need to actively remove yourself from it.
14 October 2025
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
AmpTheir words
codex gets me far better results than amp. I have to give them kudos tho for session sharing, they push some interesting ideas ahead.
8 September 2025
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korrents.com
Education can raise how much everyone knows, but it almost never changes who is ahead of whom.Their words
Decades of grading data; standardized test scores; cross-sectional, longitudinal, observational, and experimental studies; along with many other types of ancillary and convergent evidence, ultimately tell the same story: education can raise the absolute performance of most students modestly, but it almost never meaningfully reshuffles the relative distribution of ability and achievement
19 July 2025
3 July 2025
2 June 2025
1 April 2025
23 March 2025
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Their words
And I'd say the second thing is to get to products market fit, you have to deliberately not act on the feedback of many of your early users. And this is at the same time as listening to people intensely and building what people want, right?
3 February 2025
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Their words
And the important thing to say is that no matter how you want the model to behave, these RLHF and preference-tuning techniques also improve performance. So, on things like math evals and code evals, there is something innate to these, what is called contrastive loss functions.
8 January 2025
26 December 2024
9 December 2024
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korrents.com
Understanding the future depends more on imagination and a clear theory of change than on analytical skill alone.Their words
I do not believe that analytical skills are the missing ingredient in thinking about the future. Rather, I believe that imagination about the future and a theory of change that helps to describe it clearly, are what is needed to look ahead in a more compelling way.
1 October 2024
26 August 2024
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korrents.com
Hosting other people's criminal behaviour should not by itself expose a platform's executive to criminal charges.Their words
But, hosting bad behavior alone shouldn’t lead to criminal charges. Even ignoring law enforcement demands seems like it should lead to civil penalties before reaching criminal charges.
1 July 2024
11 June 2024
21 May 2024
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Their words
So Tesla hasn’t found a different, better way to bring driverless technology to market. Waymo is just so far ahead that it’s dealing with challenges Tesla hasn’t started thinking about.
18 April 2024
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Their words
Installed generators cost ~$800/kW, and the data center capital cost, including servers, is ~$40,000/kW, so adding 1% more makeup compute capacity is money ahead of purchasing generators.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
26 March 2024
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Their words
The internet is a micro medium. It is the best medium ever developed to reach specific people, but it is terrible at reaching everyone. There is no homepage. It is impossible to reach a hundred million people in one day on the internet, which is something TV used to do every night.
18 March 2024
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Their words
I expect that the delta between 5 and 4 will be the same as between 4 and 3 and I think it is our job to live a few years in the future and remember that the tools we have now are going to kind of suck looking backwards at them and that’s how we make sure the future is better.
25 February 2024
19 December 2023
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Their words
recent LLMs are reaching the limits of text data online and repeating data eventually leads to diminishing returns
9 December 2023
8 September 2021
16 August 2021
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Their words
the perfectionist's fantasy of reaching her deathbed with a perfect record of accomplishments under her belt isn't just extremely unlikely, but doomed from the start
9 July 2021
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