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korrents.com
Freedom of navigation is a global public good that decays once its guarantor is seen as unwilling to bear its cost.Their words
Freedom of navigation is a global public good, and public goods decay the instant their provider is revealed to be unwilling to pay for them.
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18 September
17 September
16 September
14 September
13 September
11 September
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Their words
All of these are things that power users IMMEDIATELY notice and get annoyed. But there's no good way to report them, and the eng teams clearly are flying blind, patting themselves on the back how everything is up velocity-wise... but product quality got degraded! And they don't even know
9 September
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korrents.com
The Canadian economy is not a miniature U.S. economy but specializes in a limited range of goods.Their words
That is, the Canadian economy isn’t a miniature version of the U.S. economy, producing the same mix of stuff on a smaller scale. Instead, Canada concentrates on producing a limited range of goods.
Adding Injury to Insult, Canada Editionpaulkrugman.substack.com
7 September
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Their words
America’s large trade deficit in manufactured goods does mean that we have fewer manufacturing jobs than we would if that trade were balanced.
Neo-Nazis and the Impotence of Trumponomicspaulkrugman.substack.com
6 September
4 September
2 September
1 September
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Their words
Whatever good he did with his early advocacy for electric vehicles has now been undone a hundred times over with his advocacy for the people who hate EVs and all the other things we need.
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Their words
So, we did a classifier sweep specifically looking for agents thinking about or making the decision to alert humans. And across, 1200 transcripts, each of which are extremely long, we only found like a halfozen instances of it ever occurring to any agent to potentially notify humans. Um, and all of them just decide not to do it.
31 August
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korrents.com
How children are educated will change more in the next five to ten years than it has in the last hundred.Their words
And so what we think is because of new things that have become available and things like AI and technology for the first time in 50 and 100 years you can revisit and change education. How we educate kids is going to be radically different in 5 years and 10 years than the last 50 and 100 years.
26 August
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Their words
It's just like we are massively underperforming and people don't believe it when you say 10x 100x but it's actually true and we've seen a lot of proof of it as you point out.
25 August
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Their words
As recently as a hundred years ago, leisure time existed in a media-free zone. Nobody expected you to make money for wealthy elites on your day off.
10 August
31 July
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Their words
And just human organizations are complicated and it's very hard to have um to manage to aggressively prosecute 100 different priorities and to deal with all the issues and interference that arises among them and so forth. And so, you know, Google has done incredibly well in a bunch of specific places, but it's not like Google has done all the things even if in some kind of basic material sense, uh Google maybe, you know, had that ability.
29 July
From one piece Formal methods with Hillel Wayne 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And that kind of compiling of information about the materials is something other fields do that we don't do. An analogy that I would think of in software would be something like a 500-page book on how to version an API.
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Their words
I predict that in the next 10 years software development will survive, but it will become like any other white-collar professional work. No more $200,000 salaries, unlimited vacation, or incredible employee bargaining power.
From one piece Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity” 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers.Their words
Like I think we've seen internally at Meta um cases where if you can develop the right agentic loop and you have the right eval or the right metric for the agents to optimize, you can have a swarm of agents accomplish more than like a team of 100 engineers in, you know, uh very very handily actually, very very easily.
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Their words
So, you know, humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past 100 years, probably.
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Their words
China shock 2.0 threatens high status manufactured goods: European cars and engineering.
26 July
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Their words
likely this will be one of the largest industries in the world and um, uh, it'll take longer than a couple two, three years. It'll take less than 10. And so this will this will be our next $100 billion business.
21 July
15 July
From one piece Context engineering with Dex Horthy 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
How do we control that in such a way that we get the best results possible which means doing as much work as possible in the smart zone the you know first 100,000 tokens of the context window.
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Their words
And uh it's still worth it's still worth not reading the code for most of the time at the cost of every once in a while I'm going to have to spend two weeks fixing an issue by hand. And I don't believe that anymore because I think the amount of code we're able to write now is actually like 10xed or 100xed and I think the problem's just getting worse.
30 June
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Their words
what makes the GAWA theory such an interesting example is you have um literally this 100-year segment of like an idea that like flows through many different people's heads before it like settles into something that the math community like agrees is good.
29 June
26 June
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Their words
And then I was like, okay, can you come up with an algorithm that is better than the algorithms that I came up with or that anybody else came up with and go ahead and like look at all the published work and synthesize that and then try to come up with something novel and it it's not able to do it. And I can give it a lot of time and it's it's still not able to do it.
16 June
From one piece Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And then you look at the actual trial records, and maybe one in a hundred convictions for that crime actually ends in a capital sentence. And almost all of the other ones end in a fine or a public flogging, but not in the sentence that's on the books.
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Their words
What it is is 200 years of original thought using the ancients as the trellis up which the rose climbs in order to bloom.
9 June
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Their words
So, the deaths for the the land powers are measured in uh millions, whereas the maritime powers, it's a hundreds of thousands, still not a great number.
4 June
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I do think there's this qualitative shift that we I think we agree is coming, which is that there will be at least some goods whose network-adjusted capital share goes to one, right? Because the whole supply chain can be automated and there's no part in it that we care intrinsically about having a human do. Um, so that'll be a, you know, that'll be a qualitative shift. Interestingly, the implications of that shift for the overall capital share are ambiguous
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Their words
things have to go really wrong for us to like just get over the threshold of uh you know, capital being productive enough to automate lots of work, but not be productive enough that that the interest rate is high and or the price of capital produced goods is falling a lot, okay? So, even without redistribution, a little bit of savings will save a lot of people.
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Their words
the capital stock could grow quickly, but the price of capital goods relative to consumption goods could be falling faster than the capital stock is growing.
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So with one, you get the effect that the person produced art print is valued much much higher than the than the AI version. And then what we do is to say there's in a set of other conditions, there's 500 of these being produced. So for the human made one, the price goes down a lot because it's no longer seen as like you're not like making a connection with this one artist versus with AI, there's no difference. AI is already viewed as like a commodity.
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Their words
Something like the relational sector, which is what I defined as, um, you know, basically services and goods where the fact that the human was in the loop was actually part of the value of that product.
23 May
8 May
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korrents.com
Starship will bring the price of low Earth orbit down to roughly a hundred dollars a kilogram.Their words
Starship promises a near future with launch costs to LEO of perhaps $100/kg.
5 May
21 April
1 April
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Their words
every feature that we want to put out has to be queued up on mobile development bandwidth dispatch bandwidth and it become impossible to navigate tradeoff because every feature you want to do you have to go negotiate with so many team
29 March
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Logitech C920 HD Pro WebcamTheir words
Solid quality for less than a hundred bucks.
28 March
23 March
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Their words
And so when you take these things in combination, I am absolutely certain that the world's GDP is going to accelerate in growth. I'm absolutely certain the percentage of that GDP that will be used for computation will be 100 times more than the past
13 March
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Their words
oh 50 gigawatts of economic you know sort of capex in in the data center and what gets built on top of that in terms of tokens is even larger right it might be hundred billion dollars worth of AI value into the supply chain is held up by this $1.2 two billion dollars worth of tooling that simply just cannot expand its supply chain quickly.
11 March
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Their words
let's say an engineer can be 100 times as productive, just just for sake of argument, all right? Who captures that value? If the if the engineer goes to work and works for 8 hours a day and produces 100 times as much, the company captured all of that value.
15 February
10 February
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Their words
Starship can lift orbital power generation to about 100 GW with perhaps 10,000 launches per year, or about one per hour.
Space AI: I guess we’re doing Moon factories nowcaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
7 February
29 January
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Their words
And so that's the last thing which was very surprising to me which is that like we already reversibly cry preserve tissue including human tissue including whole body human tissue at that very very small like you know in a couple hundred cells stage
25 January
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Their words
there should be no way to get a big company like a public SAS company Unless NR is greater than 100, like otherwise cancellation should just win. And that is in fact the case.
23 January
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korrents.com
A personalized classifier needs several hundred labeled examples before its predictions become reliable.Their words
Predictions were poor until I got to over 250 samples in the training set.
Email triage with an embedding-based classifieradamwiggins.com
25 December 2025
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Their words
Yes, the labor is cheaper, but that’s not really why.
14 December 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
The IKEA Pax systemTheir words
We now have two custom IKEA storage cabinets in our house (one in our bedroom and one in our living room). For both, we chose to have basket drawers on the bottom, one regular drawer in the middle, and shelves above that—the perfect setup for clothes and home goods IMO.
23 November 2025
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Their words
There's even a case to be made that those policies actually depressed the manufacturing share of GDP: by boosting output and capacity above where they would have been otherwise, subsidies probably contributed to the sustained decline in prices for China's manufactured goods over the past few years, weighing on their share of nominal output.
30 September 2025
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Their words
Yeah, I think overabundance paralyzes motivation and willpower. It's extremely harmful, particularly for young boys, to grow up in an environment where they can be proud, not of their own achievements, but of their father's achievements or their father's wealth.
21 September 2025
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Their words
And I am a very big believer that every strength is its own weakness and every weakness is a strength. There's no such thing as you're going to somehow, you know, get every dimension to be 100%.
4 September 2025
From one piece Dave Hone: T-Rex, Dinosaurs, Extinction, Evolution, and Jurassic Park | Lex Fridman Podcast #480 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Yes, it's what ultimately killed the dinosaurs, but I'd be amazed if there wasn't some equivalent of Hawaii or New Zealand or some other tucked away island or valley where actually dinosaurs were fine for anything from a few hundred thousand to a couple of million years.
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Their words
Because actually, however cool these new things are, genuinely if you want to know what dinosaurs are and how they worked, another hundred Protoceratops will actually probably tell us a lot more than 50 new species, however cool 50 new species might be.
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Their words
So birds did not appear as a result of the dinosaurs going extinct. Birds lived alongside the dinosaurs for 100 million years. The birds were not new on the scene, and it's not like, "Oh, the dinosaurs died, and from the ashes rose the birds." No, they've been knocking around forever.
31 July 2025
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Their words
Mongols produced nothing. They could produce felt to make their tents, but they were not craftsmen. And so they had to get these items from somewhere, and it was through raiding.
23 July 2025
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Their words
And maybe also make the system available to a few hundred of the world's top experts, the Terence Taos of each subject area and give them a month or two and see if they can find an obvious flaw in the system. And if they can't, then I think you can be pretty confident we have a fully general system.
1 July 2025
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korrents.com
Having children is contagious: people are more likely to become parents when the people around them already are.Their words
Community comes into play. If everyone else has kids, this shifts expectations and creates club goods.
15 May 2025
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korrents.com
Forced labour in Chinese clean-energy supply chains is real, and it is not why the goods are cheap.Their words
But my point is that this is still not the reason (or is only a very small reason) why these goods from China are cheaper than elsewhere. The main driver of lower labour costs has been automation; not having a human worker at all.
5 May 2025
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Their words
It becomes impossible to imagine that life was not sparked somewhere else, in our Milky Way galaxy, and maybe even in our local neighborhood of the Milky Way galaxy, maybe within a few hundred light years of our solar system.
6 April 2025
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korrents.com
Tariffs on imported components and machinery hurt the American manufacturers they are supposed to help.Their words
They applied the same tax to the components that you need to make things in America that they did to finished goods that were made outside of America.
23 March 2025
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Their words
we've definitely found that there are whales to use the gaming terminology that one person is going to be responsible for inviting 25, 50, 100 people
3 February 2025
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Their words
I think it's even more impressive what OpenAI did in 2022. At the time, no one believed in mixture of experts models at Google who had all the researchers. OpenAI had such little compute and they devoted all of their compute for many months, all of it, 100% for many months to GPT-4 with a brand-new architecture with no belief that, "Hey, let me spend a couple of hundred million dollars, which is all of the money I have on this model." That is truly YOLO.
21 November 2024
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Their words
When a team of 10 AI-enabled super-designers can do the work that used to require a UX department of 100, the need for higher management levels shrivels. I call this the “pancaking” of the design profession.
Design Leaders Should Go “Founder Mode”jakobnielsenphd.substack.com
9 November 2024
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Their words
Inert glass rectangles that, placed on the ground, print out wealth, at roughly 100x the rate of the best farm land.
Solar and batteries for generic use casescaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
16 October 2024
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Their words
But that is not going to help you get dozens of 70 ton granite blocks 300 feet in the air to form the roof of the King’s Chamber and the floor of the chamber above it, and the roof of that chamber, and the floor of the chamber above that, and so on and so forth. Wet sand never got those objects up there.
2 October 2024
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korrents.com
NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing.Their words
Four years on, the program has consumed another $20b with nothing to show for it.
19 August 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Revolution in The ValleyTheir words
Revolution in The Valley -- a hundred stories from the early days of the Mac, collected by one of its creators.
16 May 2024
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korrents.com
A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none.Their words
A good life is supported by a diverse array of focal things and practices, which tend to reward us with deeper, more meaningful experiences; a gratifying measure of bodily skill and competence; and possibly even a stronger fabric of relationships.
The Stuff of (a Well-Lived) Lifetheconvivialsociety.substack.com
25 April 2024
26 March 2024
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Their words
The internet is a micro medium. It is the best medium ever developed to reach specific people, but it is terrible at reaching everyone. There is no homepage. It is impossible to reach a hundred million people in one day on the internet, which is something TV used to do every night.
14 December 2023
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Their words
If you think about the good old days, they're mostly an illusion. In almost every way, life is better for almost everyone today than it was say 50 years ago or 100 years ago. We live better lives by and large than our grandparents did, and their grandparents did, and so on. And you can see that in global illiteracy rates, global poverty rates, global infant mortality rates. Almost any metric you choose, we're better off than we used to be.
9 December 2023
1 October 2023
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Their words
It turns out that the highest gains from trade come from the introduction of new goods altogether, just as Malthus had suggested.
2 March 2023
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korrents.com
The world economy is flat for capital, goods and ideas, and has a legal cliff at the border for people.Their words
This is not because there are not people who would drive trucks for Amazon in the world, and not because “natural” scientific progress has made machines that drive trucks easy and cheap, but because in a global economy which is “flat” for capital, information, and goods, there is a legal “cliff at the border” for labor, as prices don’t reflect scarcity.
7 September 2022
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korrents.com
Re-run Earth a million times and at least a few hundred thousand of those runs give you bacteria again.Their words
I think at the level of bacteria, not much variety. I think we would get how many times you say you want to run it a million times? I would say at least a few hundred thousand will get bacteria again.
11 May 2022
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Their words
There is essentially zero correlation - the metros with the largest rent increases had added population / added housing ratios no different than metros with smaller rent increases.
1 January 2022
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Their words
The US focus on efficiency has revealed the brittleness of its economy, which has neither the manufacturing capability to scale up domestic production of goods nor the logistics capacity to handle greater imports.
23 November 2021
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Extra Life: A Short History of Living LongerTheir words
If you’re looking for gifts to buy your history-minded friend or family member, I’d recommend my last two books. First, there’s Extra Life , which tells the heroic story of how we doubled life expectancy over the past hundred years.
22 November 2021
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Extra LifeTheir words
Steven Johnson, Extra Life – Johnson explores the astonishing expansion in life expectancy over the last two hundred years, and asks how we measure it and who – and what – deserves the credit. Wide ranging and a pleasure to read.
16 August 2021
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Their words
We are transitioning from a world where everything is made in China, to one where everything is designed and sold by China too.
2 October 2020
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Usesrcmnd.app
Nomad Goods Card Wallet PlusTheir words
Nomad Goods Card Wallet Plus - A slim leather wallet for cards and folded cash.
1 January 2020
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Their words
Today, Chinese workers produce most of the world’s goods, which means that they engage more than anyone else in the technological learning process.
22 August 2018
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Their words
A $250/mo recurring donation to would be a drop in the bucket of most businesses, but a major boon to any open source project, with which the business will almost certainly see tangible value-add as a result.
18 November 2017
From one piece The illusion of “degrowth” in a poor and unequal world 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The way to cut emissions is to tax the most emission-intensive goods, not to stop growth.Their words
It would make more sense, if we want to think seriously about how to reduce emissions, not to engage in the illusions of degrowth in a very poor and unequal world but to think how the most emission-intensive goods and services could be taxed in order to reduce their consumption.
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korrents.com
The climate policy everyone has quietly assumed is that poorer countries stay poor, and that is the wrong answer.Their words
From these exchanges I got the impression that they were unaware of just how unequal and poor (yes, poor) the world is today and what would be the trade-offs if we really were to decide to fix the volume of goods and services produced and consumed in the world at the current level.
4 January 2017
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korrents.com
Bacon’s scientific project produced almost nothing useful for two hundred years after it began.Their words
It really took two hundred years for Bacon’s academy to develop anything useful.
1 August 2016
Nothing matches.
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