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Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  RCTs have the disadvantage of requiring too many things to be held constant and can miss longer-term adjustment benefits.

  Their words

  RCTs somehow have the odd disadvantage of requiring too many things to be held constant, and so they can miss the benefits of longer-term adjustments.

  Does AI assistance enhance or erode expertise?marginalrevolution.com

Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  A model only days into training cannot be known to be aligned, and if such models can leap a generation ahead this fast then training pauses mean little and timelines are shorter than previously thought.

  Their words

  We could not possibly know that such a model is aligned. If that is all it takes to get a generation ahead of Astra, and we are willing to move this fast, these pauses in training are not going to end up meaning very much, time is even shorter than we knew

  thezvi.substack.com

Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Countering the far right requires addressing voters' desire for an outsider identity, not just their economic grievances.

  Their words

  To my mind, if progressive policy hopes to engage with such voters at all - and it is open question whether it should - it must address not just the material realities of relative economic disadvantage, but above all the "outsider" credentials of the AfD.

  adamtooze.substack.com

Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade. Came back from a break to work on AI agents — the OpenClaw project, and OpenAI, joined in February 2026. Writes at steipete.me.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Clearing an agent's session is now often a disadvantage, because the accumulated context helps the model more than a clean start does.

  Their words

  And these days it's more like my sessions are topics. clearing the session sometimes even a disadvantage because there's so much information in there that helps the agent.

  Peter Steinberger: "Fun Is Velocity"youtube.com

Head of Instagram since 2018, previously head of Facebook's News Feed.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Keeping children away from AI puts them at a disadvantage, so the risk of them never learning to use it counts as much as the risk of them using it.

  Their words

  But I also am worried about kids not learning how to leverage AI and then being sort of at a disadvantage.

  youtube.com

Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.

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  The next advance in AI for mathematics requires shifting from predefined problem-solvers to research agents that address frontier challenges with formal reasoning.

  Their words

  We argue that the next leap in AI4Math systems requires a decisive shift from predefined problem-solvers to research agents that can address frontier mathematical challenges with rigorous formal mathematical reasoning.

  arxiv.org

Scientist and writer on quantum computing, memory systems and metascience; co-wrote the standard quantum computation textbook and wrote Reinventing Discovery.

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  A theory gets abandoned when the old explanation becomes visibly insufficient: special relativity made Newtonian gravity's action at a distance impossible, and that was the forcing function.

  Their words

  Um and so, it's not a big leap to realize, "Oh, we have a big problem here." Um and so, you know, that's kind of the that's the forcing function there. It's it's you've realized that your old explanation is not sufficient. You need something new.

  youtube.com

Programmer and essayist who has worked at Amazon, Google, Grab and Sourcegraph. Best known for the long-form essays collected as Stevey's Drunken Blog Rants and Stevey's Blog Rants.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Coding agents demand more reading than most people can do, and until better interfaces arrive that leaves those people at a severe disadvantage.

  coding agents

  Their words

  So I think we're in a weird limbo for the rest of this year okay where until the UIs arrive that are good enough for everybody who can't read everybody who can't read is going to be a severe disadvantage.

  From IDEs to AI Agents with Steve Yeggeyoutube.com

Executive coach for product leaders. Previously a partner at GV (Google Ventures) and a product manager at Google. Writes at Bring the Donuts, including a standing essential-reading list for product managers.

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  Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information.

  Their words

  When we resist not knowing, we often leap to conclusions, make decisions without all of the information, or simply guess. Of course, that might make it even more likely that we're wrong, the very thing our subconscious is trying to avoid. Needing to be right comes at the expense of curiosity.

  The Power of Not Knowingbringthedonuts.com

Director of strategy at Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology; an OpenAI board member until November 2023, and writes Rising Tide.

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  Advanced AI is close enough that the preparations which take years have to be started now, whichever end of the expert range you believe.

  Their words

  We need to leap into action on many of the same things that could help if it does turn out that we only have a few years.

  helentoner.substack.com

Writer and former McKinsey/BCG strategy consultant; author of The Pathless Path and Good Work, about leaving the default career track. Publishes the Boundless newsletter and podcast.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  Crossing the Unknown Sea: Work as a Pilgrimage of Identity

  Their words

  My favorite Whyte prose book. Captures his leap to becoming a poet well.

  pathlesspath.com

Creator of the Keras deep-learning library and the ARC-AGI benchmark.

• Our reading nowkorrents.com

  The memorize-fetch-apply paradigm behind LLMs can reach arbitrary skill given training data, but it cannot adapt to novelty or acquire new skills on the fly.

  LLMsOpenAI

  Their words, before

  This "memorize, fetch, apply" paradigm can achieve arbitrary levels of skills at arbitrary tasks given appropriate training data, but it cannot adapt to novelty or pick up new skills on the fly (which is to say that there is no fluid intelligence at play here.)

  Their words now

  OpenAI's new o3 model represents a significant leap forward in AI's ability to adapt to novel tasks. This is not merely incremental improvement, but a genuine breakthrough, marking a qualitative shift in AI capabilities compared to the prior limitations of LLMs.