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Their words
I predict that, over time, the focus will move away from "papers as the final output."
Related posts
M.G. Siegler Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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20 September
19 September
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Their words
The most obvious problem is that Marco Rubio continues to hold both the Secretary of State and national security advisor positions. This has been going on for nearly 18 months now and it's obviously not working well at all.
18 September
16 September
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korrents.com
Lowe's expanded workwear aisles reflect a lasting shift, unlike its seasonal promotional displays.Their words
I expect to see the promo displays rotated out for holiday season tool deals, but the workwear aisles are less likely to change.
15 September
14 September
13 September
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Their words
Strong liability enforcement could be helpful in the AI debate. If your agent swarm goes rogue, you’re liable. If your weakly protected model gets jailbroken, you’re liable. If you serve a weakly protected OSS model, you’re liable.
11 September
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korrents.com
Professionals across many fields will adapt to working with AI, and that shift cannot be reversed.Their words
Mathematicians, software developers, engineers, lawyers, physicians will all learn to work with AI. You cannot put the genie back in the bottle.
10 September
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Their words
Resources that are currently dedicated to A.I. would not otherwise sit idle.
9 September
8 September
7 September
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Their words
Yea video game gfx pipelines will now just visually prompt neural renderers.
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Their words
Crude economic factors don’t explain the fascist shift in Germany. And Trumponomics, even if it worked (which it doesn’t) wouldn’t end the resentment feeding our own authoritarian movement.
Neo-Nazis and the Impotence of Trumponomicspaulkrugman.substack.com
6 September
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korrents.com
The fundamental challenge of alignment is generalization: holding values in situations the training never covered.Their words
The fundamental challenge of AI alignment is generalization.
5 September
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korrents.com
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.Their words
If either country opens up a large, sustained lead in AI capabilities, it might upend the balance of power between the two.
America is still beating China in the AI racenoahpinion.blog
4 September
3 September
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Their words
This is playing with fire and potentially extremely bad news, both that OpenAI found the technique effective, and that OpenAI chose to use it.
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open sourceAnthropicOpenAIChina
Their words
in this whole USA vs China thing OpenAI and Anthropic aren't relevant because they're positioned differently them building better models doesn't hurt china at all the competitor has to be - american - open source - enough compute to do inference at scale that can shift things
2 September
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Their words
I worry a lot about reliances on continuity failing at exactly the most dangerous time.
1 September
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Their words
The electric revolution is the first major technological revolution that America has just completely whiffed on.
30 August
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Their words
But physics is giving us very little time now, and so the next set of elections in this country will be, I think, our last real chance to make the sea change-replacing oil and gas with sun and wind-that is our best hope for limiting warming.
27 August
21 August
11 August
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Their words
This helped the leader shift from wanting to change Jacob-something they couldn't control-to taking responsibility for changing the relationship-something they could.
3 August
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Their words
Turns out, the task of driving is not that dissimilar from the task of modeling language uh because of the social aspects of driving. You're kind of having a conversation with other dynamic actors in the world, but you're doing that in the space kind of body language of your agent, your car, as opposed to just the language of words.
2 August
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Their words
absolutely agree that product skills are probably the most durable. My build would just be there's a lot of people who have the title PM who haven't spent a lot of time building those skills in the last 5 years, but have gotten really good at communicating frameworks to leadership.
1 August
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Their words
Low corrosion resistant steels like K390 are great at holding an edge but only look nice and stay rust free in the driest of environments.
23 July
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korrents.com
Changing your own behavior can shift a relationship or household atmosphere and lead others to change too.Their words
But it's also true that when I change, a relationship changes; when I change, the atmosphere of my household changes; when I change, others may imitate me.
16 July
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korrents.com
A shift toward faster media formats changes how people read rather than ending reading altogetherTheir words
Faster formats don't automatically destroy reading. They change it.
8 July
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Their words
We argue that the next leap in AI4Math systems requires a decisive shift from predefined problem-solvers to research agents that can address frontier mathematical challenges with rigorous formal mathematical reasoning.
7 July
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Their words
Without a move away from fossil fuels, future heatwaves will keep testing the limits of public health systems and more people will die.
1 July
30 June
From one piece Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) – AI disproved a famous math conjecture. Now what? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I think the way that you'd measure conjecture generating ability is going to be more subjective on like that tone shift where um it'll be mathematicians saying they're not just using it to like solve their problems, but as they step back and decide what their research field should even be that a conversation with such and such model like was genuinely helpful for that.
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Their words
So my role and arguably that of like other mathematicians might actually just shift subtly into that curation direction of what ideas are are worth displaying.
15 June
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Likedrcmnd.app
Laravel ShiftTheir words
I've only used Laravel Shift a few times, but each time I did it saved a lot of time upgrading my Laravel projects.
10 June
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korrents.com
There will be no central superintelligence that solves science; a good future is many people holding powerful tools.Their words
We don't believe in this like very centralized future where there should be a small number of institutions that um that basically are are advancing all this stuff. Our vision is not that there's going to be like some central super intelligence that solves all of science.
4 June
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I do think there's this qualitative shift that we I think we agree is coming, which is that there will be at least some goods whose network-adjusted capital share goes to one, right? Because the whole supply chain can be automated and there's no part in it that we care intrinsically about having a human do. Um, so that'll be a, you know, that'll be a qualitative shift. Interestingly, the implications of that shift for the overall capital share are ambiguous
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Their words
Then the person who doesn't satiate in capital is going to have if they're being rational they're going to have a higher savings rate.
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Their words
They just recently released a report, and I think like you really have to squint to see anything happening. Like basically, if you want to take kind of like uh an an approach across the entire economy and looking at even looking at like software engineering, like the most exposed sort of sectors, there's just like not really anything going on. There might be a little bit of a signal about like junior developers getting jobs less than before, and that but that's like a less than before rather than a level shift.
3 June
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Their words
we went from infrastructure is code to infrastructure is data and infrastructure is code is like if this do that um bring in this module for loops all this stuff and Kubernetes is like no no no you have to specify exactly the containers you want how much memory that they need and then we have the status field to tell you if they were running or not
27 May
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korrents.com
The Gulf conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz will accelerate the global shift away from fossil fuelsTheir words
What the current conflict in the Gulf - in particular the closure of the Strait of Hormuz - is going to do is to provide a further push to global attempts to reduce dependence on fossil fuels.
13 May
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Their words
In a sense, we're all turning into project managers, right? And and we can have an army of junior programmers called agents that will just spit out reams of code, but someone's got to have the big picture and review all of that. And so, increasingly our craft is going from one of writing the code to one of of reviewing the code and and building the architecture of the code and overseeing the work, if if you will.
12 May
3 May
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korrents.com
Software development will shift from centralized systems to highly personalized, proliferating software abundance.Their words
Going forward, I think the future will be filled with software abundance, or, more accurately, I'd call it "software proliferation". That is, centralized development will be history. Software will be highly personalized, especially for open source software.
8 April
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Their words, before
I love chiseling my code and the way I use AI is in a separate window. I don't let it drive my code. I've tried that. I've tried the cursors and the wind surfaces and I don't enjoy that way of writing. And one of the reasons I don't enjoy that way of writing is I can literally feel competence draining out of my fingers.
Their words now
I will now start any project I'm starting with. I'm starting agent first and that's a massive shift
7 April
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Their words
and part of it is just power, I think. Like, once there's a sufficiently large power imbalance, um, very often, not always, but very often groups of people seem to to sort of shift into this other mode where they just seek to dominate.
26 March
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Their words
frontier model capabilities are always so clustered together as opposed to any one model having an unassailable edge.
8 February
7 January
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Immunity to Change: How to Overcome It and Unlock the Potential in Yourself and Your OrganizationTheir words
. Understanding how we grow and develop will help you become a better leader and a more empathetic colleague. More accessible than his academic work, this book also provides a framework for understanding underlying beliefs and motivations that might be holding you back.
2 January
10 December 2025
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Their words
The goal is not perfect enforcement. Some kids will still find workarounds. The goal is to shift the environment so children are not pressured into digital spaces they don’t want, simply to avoid being left out.
20 November 2025
16 November 2025
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Their words
Making licenses suddenly commercial for big entities? You are forcing people to go back through the Procurement process. They will shift over time back to a FOSS solution, even if it is less good.
17 October 2025
From one piece Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals” 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But I guess like the notion of culture and of written record and of like passing down notes between each other. I don't think there's an equivalent of that with LM right now. So LM don't really have culture right now and it's kind of like one of the I think uh impediments I would say.
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Their words
And actually, you don't actually need or want the knowledge. I actually think that's probably actually holding back the neural networks overall because it's actually like getting them to rely on the knowledge a little too much sometimes.
14 October 2025
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Their words
the shift from 50th to 99th percentile earnings has no negative effect on women’s fertility, and unearned income for women has a neutral-to-positive effect
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
16 September 2025
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Their words
Reading is attentional, not just informational.
2 September 2025
From one piece Why Everyone Is Wrong About AI (Including You) | Benedict Evans 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
My sort of base case is to say this is kind of another platform shift and all the new stuff will be built around this for the next 10 or 15 years and then there'll be something else and so the impact on employment will be kind of like the impact on employment from the other platform shifts
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korrents.com
Incumbents have looked unbeatable at the start of every previous platform shift and have still lost.Their words
I'm pretty sure people thought Microsoft had an advantage on the internet and Google and um Meta had an advantage on mobile and everyone thought IBM was going to win PCs. Like once IBM made a PC, that was it. It's all over now. And we kind of forget that like there were PCs before and then IBM made one and that kind of became the standard but then IBM lost it.
14 June 2025
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Their words
And that's a phase shift, because suddenly it makes sense when you write a paper to write it in Lean first, or through a conversation with AI, which is generally on the fly with you, and it becomes natural for journals to accept.
5 June 2025
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korrents.com
AR is the next paradigm shift in computing, the way the GUI, multi-touch and voice were.Their words
The best innovations in computing have come through a paradigm IO change, right? When with GUI, and then with a graphical user interface, and then with multi-touch in the context of mobile voice later on. Similarly, I feel like AR is that next paradigm.
4 June 2025
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Their words, before
The problem is that the conversational interface is potent and that the AI is trained on a lot of human text input which unfortunately is probably enough to do real damage if that conversational interface is hooked up with something that has real world consequences.
Their words now
While all this is happening, I’ve found myself reflecting a lot on what AI means to the world and I am becoming increasingly optimistic about our future. It’s obvious now that we’re undergoing a tremendous shift.
14 May 2025
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Their words
The point is that if you think that money is the only thing holding you back from what you want to do, you're not thinking very clearly. There's always a way around it.
12 May 2025
21 April 2025
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korrents.com
Electrification is a process shift across industries, not just a change in energy source.Their words
Electrification is not just a change of energetic inputs; it's a process shift through and across industries.
24 March 2025
21 February 2025
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Their words
Once, humans navigated the web manually. In the future, AI agents will act on our behalf, browsing, clicking, and deciding. This shift marks the end of traditional UI design and accessibility, ushering in a future where agents are the primary users of digital services.
12 February 2025
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
BettermentTheir words
With Betterment, you still end up holding mostly Vanguard index funds, but they handle automatic rebalancing and minimizing your tax costs. I'm very happy with the service.
3 February 2025
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Their words
I think that they're trying to shift the narrative. They're trying to protect themselves. We saw this years ago when ByteDance was actually banned from some OpenAI APIs for training on outputs. There's other AI startups that most people, if you're in the AI culture, were like they just told us they trained on OpenAI outputs and they never got banned.
8 January 2025
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Their words
Structural fiscal deficits have surpassed private sector lending and monetary policy as the primary drivers of economic activity and inflation, marking a fundamental shift in the economy's liquidity dynamics.
7 January 2025
20 December 2024
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Their words, before
This "memorize, fetch, apply" paradigm can achieve arbitrary levels of skills at arbitrary tasks given appropriate training data, but it cannot adapt to novelty or pick up new skills on the fly (which is to say that there is no fluid intelligence at play here.)
Their words now
OpenAI's new o3 model represents a significant leap forward in AI's ability to adapt to novel tasks. This is not merely incremental improvement, but a genuine breakthrough, marking a qualitative shift in AI capabilities compared to the prior limitations of LLMs.
7 October 2024
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Their words
And it doesn’t always take a job at The New York Times or a huge pre-established platform to become one of the voices speaking up, helping to turn that tide.
30 September 2024
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korrents.com
Every paradigm-shifting idea began as heresy, so outlandish ideas have to be kept on the table.Their words
But I do also try to always remind myself that every paradigm shifting idea that humans have ever had began as heresy and lunacy. That guy was crazy up to the second. He was brilliant. And so we got to keep our minds open to the things that sound outlandish, because one of them eventually is going to lead us to the big paradigm shift.
27 September 2024
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Their words
Each shift takes its toll, and everyone has a limit of how much energy they’re willing to expend on a new platform that will eventually, like its predecessors, join the graveyard of defunct websites.
24 August 2024
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Their words
If you buy a handful of index funds, sit on them for decades and never do another thing, you're likely to outperform nearly everyone who tries to beat the market by trading-including most professionals.
3 March 2024
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Their words
They will shift what cash they generate to HBM capacity, which will keep supply growth in DRAM and NAND low.
Why HBM is the Hottest Thing in Memoryfabricatedknowledge.com
31 December 2023
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Their words
In a subtle but very real sense, every Lua function is an anonymous function.
14 December 2023
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Their words
I would love to see a trillion humans living in the solar system. If we had a trillion humans, we would have, at any given time, 1,000 Mozarts and 1,000 Einsteins. That our solar system would be full of life and intelligence and energy.
30 November 2023
23 February 2023
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Their words
But modularity may also facilitate a shift away from a concentration of model development in a few institutions and to distributing the development of modular components across the community.
31 December 2022
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Their words
In a world of automated intelligence, our goalposts for intelligence will shift. We’ll raise our quality bar for what we expect from humans.
14 August 2022
9 August 2022
From one piece Insights for Making Better Decisions | Gary Klein | Knowledge Project 144 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So we we want people, that's the way we break out of fixation, is we notice the anomalies. The way we get stuck in fixation and making fixation errors is we explain away the anomalies, hold on to the original wrong impression until it's far too late.
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Their words
But the researchers who have investigated this find that scientists do the same thing. They have something that's called knowledge shields, the way all of us do, that that a a a variety of techniques for explaining away inconvenient data and anomalies. But what we're effectively doing is we're holding on to our story.
24 July 2022
20 February 2022
19 June 2021
5 May 2021
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