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Amjad Masad x.com
We’ll look back at this period of technology and realize cybersecurity was the most important thing to get right.
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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20 September
19 September
18 September
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korrents.com
The current preference cascade on pacing the AI frontier is insufficient to ensure survival.Their words
What we must realize is that the current preference cascade, on the need to Pace the Frontier, is insufficient. If we are to make it out of this alive, we will have to do better.
The Preference Cascade Is Only Getting Startedthezvi.substack.com
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Their words
The moment when you realize that you thought drugs were powerful and meditation was mild, but you now realize the opposite is true.
Average moments of a long-term meditatorsashachapin.substack.com
16 September
15 September
From one piece Callum Williams on cybersecurity prices 2 beliefs · marginalrevolution.com
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korrents.com
Cybersecurity-related risks warrant more pessimism than current market prices indicate.Their words
Hardly the final word, and I am myself more pessimistic than those numbers indicate.
Callum Williams on cybersecurity pricesmarginalrevolution.com
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korrents.com
Relative to historical norms, the market is not pricing any major change in cybersecurity.Their words
But the crucial point is that, relative to the historical norm, the market is not really pricing ANYTHING big to change.
Callum Williams on cybersecurity pricesmarginalrevolution.com
14 September
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Their words
This is why we need to make them realize that their own models are a threat to their rule.
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Their words
We need the CCP to realize that AI can bring them down from within.
12 September
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Their words
The concerns over AI safety and cybersecurity are legitimate, but we’re risking talking America, the global AI leader, into self-inflicted obsolescence and the obscurity of bureaucracy.
10 September
9 September
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Their words
But beyond the embarrassment, it’s also important to realize that an escalating trade war with Canada will do real damage to the U.S. economy.
Adding Injury to Insult, Canada Editionpaulkrugman.substack.com
8 September
6 September
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Their words
A clear risk discussed throughout this year is to cybersecurity: the models are becoming superhuman in their ability to break in and out of computer systems.
5 September
4 September
3 September
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
I'd rather celebrate people updating their priors than dunking on them for being late. Make it cool to change your mind when you realize the facts have changed!
1 September
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Their words
When it comes to the cybersecurity risks from advanced AI, very likely they will not come close to being as bad as either Covid or global warming.
From one piece Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get" 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I do think I want to push back on the cyber on the brain hypothesis that you raised a couple of times. We didn't find like particular evidence for the cyber nature of the task making all the hacking and crimes that they did more likely versus the impossible nature of the task.
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Their words
even in this incident we saw there was a lot of pressure um as a result of this incident to stop doing cyber security evaluations and I really don't think that stopping doing evaluations and like sort of blinding ourselves to the result of evaluations is the right reaction to this problem.
31 August
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Their words
At the limit, and also well before that limit is reached, if all you do is fix the bugs, the AI will learn perfect optimization of reward, will realize not to reward hack in the perfect test environments, then turn around and reward hack in the imperfect real world environments.
28 August
27 August
26 August
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korrents.com
Over the last two centuries, the global stock market has never lost money in nominal terms across any 20-year period.Their words
In the last 225 years, the global stock market has never experienced a 20-year period where stocks lost money in nominal terms.
From one piece DHH: Future of Programming, AI, Agentic Engineering, Vibe Coding & Linux | Lex Fridman Podcast #501 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Entrepreneurs benefit from setting ambitious goals, even though most people do not need grand ambitions at all.Their words
And I will say I've actually changed my mind on that a little bit. I spent quite a lot of time speaking the other book that there are a lot of people who don't actually need those ambitions. And I also-- That's also true. We don't want 8 billion Elons running around the world. Would be rather crazy, I think. But I've come to realize that for entrepreneurs, it's healthy to have suitable chunky goals.
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Their words
Then we get to November 24th, 2025. Opus 4.5, to me, was the dividing line, where suddenly... I didn't even try it on the 24th. I think I tried it on the 26th. I give it a couple of tasks, and I realize that the quality of the output is uncannily close to what I would've written.
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Their words
It's it's so massive that there is no way that your game will be organically noticed anymore pretty much period.
25 August
22 August
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korrents.com
The room/listening space matters more to sound quality than any speaker, amp, or source component.Their words
There is no amp, speaker or source that can fix bad room acoustics so room is the #1 part of your system, period, end of story.
17 August
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Their words
I believe that we are now entering a era of comparable turbulence in mathematics. This time, though, what is being stress-tested is not our foundational framework for mathematical truth, but rather the largely implicit framework of mathematical values and practices: what we consider a contribution to be, what we reward, what we regard as understood, and who - or what - we regard as having done the work.
15 August
From one piece How Nuclear Will Unlock Energy Abundance with Valar Atomics Founder Isaiah Taylor 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
what was missing is that people did not realize that you're going to have to pursue that model through hardware iteration. And that's where really where Valor is unique is that yes, we believe in SMRs, we believe in reactors that are manufactured, but we also know that in order to get there, you have to do it through hardware iteration.
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korrents.com
Once AI and robotics do the manufacturing, the price of any object becomes the price of the energy used to make it.Their words
If you keep asking this question, what you realize is energy is the fundamental input. When we figure out AI and robotics that allows us to do semi-aututonomous manufacturing, energy will become the cost of all things, right? The cost of buying a thing will become the cost of energy used to make it.
11 August
7 August
From one piece Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enough 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It gives you these effect sizes that you just don't really see in medicine. Like if you have a patient on on a dopamineergic drug for Parkinson's that works for some period of time, but it's a it's a relatively small effect after a little while. You turn on a deep brain stimulator and a patient goes from not being able to hold a cup of water to being able to write cursive in like 10 seconds.
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Their words
And so what you realize is not only is this very hard to keep burn under control, but also it's just this is the inappropriate place to exercise spending review. Spending review has to come earlier. You have to have some concept of budgeting.
30 July
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korrents.com
Agents can already be run for days or weeks on a single hard problem, and almost nobody has internalised that.Their words
I mean I think um probably one thing is people don't quite realize how possible it is to have you know agent-based systems that can run not just for an hour or two hours on a problem you care about but for some problem domains and with highly capable models underlying them you can get them to run for days or weeks and do really really complicated tasks
28 July
26 July
20 July
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Their words
A lot of people don't realize that particularly brain development, but then also the refining of functions in the brain through neuroplasticity includes the pruning or removal of signapses. Often we think about it's all about growth and new connections, but actually it also involves the refining or removal of of other connections that aren't needed.
17 July
16 July
15 July
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Their words
This will become normal and commonplace 12-24 months from now, but right now no one really knows.
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Their words
We tried this. We built a lights off software factory in July of 2025 and by November we had shut it down. I think it takes about three to six months of you shipping all the time with nobody reading the code before you realize like, wow, this is getting way worse and it's easier to start over than it is to fix it.
9 July
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Their words
since 1970, natural forcings have been roughly flat, internal variability averages out over the longer period, and greenhouse gases explain essentially all of the observed warming.
What drove the early 20th century warming?theclimatebrink.com
8 July
6 July
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korrents.com
Realizing AI's potential to expand human potential requires humans and AI working together, not AI acting alone.Their words
AI has the potential to trigger an explosion of human potential, but it will require both humans and AIs working together to realize that potential.
21 June
18 June
From one piece Re-engineering the Semiconductor Supply Chain with Intel CEO Lip Bu Tan 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And you have to have a robust and resilient supply chain. You cannot just depend on one or two player in different geographical. And so, I think, you know, the more and more people going to realize making in United States is critical.
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korrents.com
The binding constraints on AI's growth are power, helium and memory — and almost nobody has noticed the helium one.Their words
One is of course everybody knows power constraint. Some country the power they just don't have that. They get impacted. And then secondly, a lot of people didn't realize the helium impact can be also very significant for semiconductor. And then the thirdly, is everybody know right now memory is a bigger shortage.
16 June
From one piece Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
this is a period in which backwards is forwards, which is to say this is not a period that like us thinks of the future as where potential is and humanity might get better and better over time. The potential of humanity is recapturing Rome.
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Their words
The ideal of this period's justice which is much more shaped by Christianity is the purpose of the trial is the spiritual interior correction of the soul of the sinner.
2 June
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Their words
The way I think of the abyss is it's this place that we go to as founders and entrepreneurs after our thing, after it dies or it's bought or it's over for whatever reason. It's this amorphous place that we are in our life that has no structure.
27 May
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Their words
The the biggest advantage to in DevTools is the fact that everyone working at DevTools is a programmer and programmers are horrible at B2C products. They don't realize DevTools are B2C products.
24 May
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korrents.com
The CLI era of AI agents was a short detour — we made GUIs for a reason, and the work is moving back into one.Their words
And when you move into an actual UI for this, you start to realize um we made GUIs for a reason. And it's just nicer to be in a GUI.
15 May
13 May
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Their words
But but the thing is like doing programming languages, you come to realize it's a long play. I mean, if if you look back at the the stuff I worked on, it it it goes in 10-year cycles at least. And TypeScript didn't really, for example, or C# for that matter. I mean, it took it it takes 10 years to get to, you know, version one is great, but it has all sorts of issues, and then you got to do version two, and then it's not until version three that it really starts to be great.
8 May
From one piece David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farming 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And so, maybe what you're seeing is that this group of people in Europe and the Middle East over the last 10,000 years has moved into a a period of relatively more stable food, where building up stores of fat are not as advantageous, and there's been selection against this combination of traits.
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Their words
This is like a crazy result because uh it looks like there's no key selective sweeps that have occurred in this period that is ancestral to everyone living today.
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Their words
So we just could not see a way this could happen by chance and once we saw that we really felt quite convinced that this was a real signal and that really somehow there has been natural selection to increase the genetic changes that today manifest themselves as more years of school at predicting more years of schooling.
28 April
26 April
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Their words
I think technology leaders think that folks will just blindly adopt uh new technology as it comes out and I think we're going to enter a period of time where there's going to be a huge amount of societal pushback on a lot of the changes that are coming uh with AI.
16 April
15 April
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Their words
And so you just have to first realize that chips exist in China. They manufacture 60% of the world's mainstream chips, maybe more. It's a very large industry for them. They have some of the world's greatest computer scientists.
13 April
8 April
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Their words, before
But I have come to realize that as a web developer, Linux is just better. Linux is just better. It's closer to what I deploy on. The tooling is actually phenomenal.
Their words now
anyone who's working with the web, who's working with Ruby, who's doing DevOps, they should be on Linux because first of all, that's closer to what we deploy.
7 April
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Their words
Um and so, it's not a big leap to realize, "Oh, we have a big problem here." Um and so, you know, that's kind of the that's the forcing function there. It's it's you've realized that your old explanation is not sufficient. You need something new.
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Power of MythTheir words
I discovered Campbell's work during that great transitional period of my life (in my early 30s, when I left the wrong career and the wrong relationship, and set sail into the unknown) and it has been a mainstay ever since.
25 March
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Their words
Worse, you realize that the gazillions of unit, snapshot, and e2e tests you had your clankers write are equally untrustworthy. The only thing that's still a reliable measure of "does this work" is manually testing the product.
22 March
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Their words
Well, now I'm getting feedback so quickly that I'm having to sometimes rebuild my mental model dozens of times in like a 30-minute period.
11 March
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Their words
Our dumb economy might prize a certain talent more during a certain period of time or place, but that doesn't mean you should.
17 February
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Their words
Sixteen is also roughly the age by which a majority of adolescents have completed puberty: a sensitive period of neural reorganization during which it is extremely important to protect the brain.
31 January
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Apple NotesTheir words
The big revelation? Apple Notes is really good. I mean it. After spending months in it for the Field Guide, I’m all in on Apple Notes for general note-taking. It’s fast, reliable, and more capable than most people realize.
25 January
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Their words
Um all almost all companies have a whole lot more uh cancellation in the first day, 30 days, 90 days, depends, right? But the first period than the whole rest of the customer's life. And also small changes in the onboarding can have large effects on cancellation.
5 January
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Their words
Everyone knows they break a lot and are expensive, but they never realize that boat owners know this better than anyone and they still have boats.
20 December 2025
12 December 2025
From one piece Deciphering Secrets of Ancient Civilizations, Noah’s Ark, and Flood Myths | Lex Fridman Podcast #487 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Because I think that the modern adherence to the electronic universe is disastrous for humans, and because it reduces the vitality of the human component. I think it’s restrictive in a way that people don’t realize until it’s too late.
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Their words
So our view of it is skewed by the nature of the material, and sometimes the material is opulent and benevolent, but not always, and sometimes the people who work with skewed material don’t even realize how skewed it is.
1 December 2025
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korrents.com
Relying more and more on one's existing strengths eventually stops being a winning strategy.Their words
There comes a time when you have to realize that more of the same aspect of yourself isn't always a winning strategy.
25 November 2025
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Their words
But I think the idea of very rapid economic growth for some time, I think it's very possible from broad deployment.
15 November 2025
31 October 2025
From one piece Dan Houser: GTA, Red Dead Redemption, Rockstar, Absurd & Future of Gaming | Lex Fridman Podcast #484 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And then how do they speak? You know, because fundamentally, it doesn’t really matter what’s going on in their head; they haven’t actually got one, but what they say is what’s going to make you realize who they are.
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korrents.com
The most disappointing thing about the twentieth century was the absolute failure of communism.Their words
And I thought that section’s incredible because you realize in some ways, in all of its horrors, the most disappointing thing about the 20th century, in some ways, was the absolute failure of communism.
16 October 2025
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Their words
Each delayed year costs approximately 10% of life's easiest risk-taking period.
5 October 2025
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Their words
Yeah, I mean I used to think it was versus, but now I realize that they combine really well. It could be rocket fuel for for your growth.
30 September 2025
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Their words
One of the ways to achieve freedom of thought is to remove your mind from the influences, the forces that manipulate you. That’s really important to realize the content you consume, especially on the internet, when a large percentage of it is designed to manipulate your mind. You have to disconnect yourself.
26 September 2025
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Their words
The bitter lesson. Oh, who cares about that? That's that's an empirical observation about a particular period in history. 70 years in history no longer doesn't necessarily have to apply the next 70 years.
18 September 2025
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Their words
I write much better emails since I became a good context engineer. I just like I now realize how much is unsaid in instructions. Why is so many things so much of what people describe in companies as politics is actually bad context engineering.
13 August 2025
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korrents.com
China's economy will not collapse, whatever the West has been predicting on and off since the 1980s.Their words
Collapse is such a strong word, and the West has been using this word repeatedly. If I remember correctly, maybe four to five times, maybe even six times since 1980s during the period of China’s fastest growth. I tend to not think that Chinese economy will collapse.
31 July 2025
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Their words
Later, Genghis Khan will realize once he becomes Chinggis Khan, he will realize that the true source of most of the feuding on the steppe is over women. And later he will outlaw the kidnapping of women and the sale of women, in part not only because of what had happened to his mother, but what happened to him next in his life.
29 July 2025
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Their words
Morowali’s poverty rate has seen a modest decline since 2016, from around 15% to 12%, but this puts it squarely in the middle of the pack of other Sulawesi districts—and not far from the decline in the national average, which fell from 10.9% to 8.6% over the same period.
6 July 2025
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Their words
If a new monetary network with its own unit (i.e. not pegged to an existing currency as a credit rail on top of it, but rather a fully parallel system to central banks) is going to bootstrap from zero to massive, it requires upward volatility.
30 April 2025
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Their words
I think the big thing to realize for indie developers right now is there's massive, massive competition in every major genre, and it's very unlikely that unless you just happen to be the world's best at a particular thing that you're going to release a game in an existing highly competitive genre and win.
From one piece On what Americans know about medieval history 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Clearly as well we see that the more people know about the medieval period, the more likely they are to be correct about it.
On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com
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Their words
I am not here to tell you that the medieval period is a specifically peaceful time, but it pales in comparison to what goes down in the early modern period, in which both the apparently beloved Renaissance and Enlightenment periods lie.
On what Americans know about medieval historygoing-medieval.com
21 January 2025
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korrents.com
Pre-colonial statehood in East Asia carried through the colonial period and on into the post-independence era.Their words
Precisely how much the ancient continuity of East Asian states matters for development is still a little murky, and the delineation with colonial legacies is still an area of active debate—but the balance of evidence suggests that the legacies of these pre-colonial states stretched through the colonial period, extending even into the post-independence era.
19 January 2025
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Their words
My rule of thumb, if we cannot collect the sample size in a month, we shouldn't test it. Period.
16 December 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
C# in DepthTheir words
C# is the language I probably understood down to the nitty-gritty details. Just when I thought myself of being an expert - knowing all that is to know on memory allocation, garbage collection, LINQ - I read this book. It made me realize how many things I did not know.
16 October 2024
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Their words
But what I do suggest is that there were very low platforms on the Giza Plateau that are much older and that when we look at the three Great Pyramids, we are looking at a renovation and a restoration and a enhancement of much older structures that had existed on the Giza Plateau for a much longer period before that.
30 September 2024
From one piece Ed Barnhart: Maya, Aztec, Inca, and Lost Civilizations of South America | Lex Fridman Podcast #446 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Maya hieroglyphs must have been readable across several spoken languages, the way Chinese characters or Latin were.Their words
There must have been a way that multiple languages understood the same writing system. Or maybe there was something like Latin. You know how there was a period in Europe where most people were illiterate and there was this priesthood who all understood Latin and they wrote in Latin? Maybe the hieroglyphs represent a kind of Latin in the ancient Maya world.
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Their words
I mean, if that’s right, that means the Maya and the people of Mesoamerica will all share it together, when they thought about, “We need a count of time for us,” they didn’t look up into the heavens, they looked into their bodies. “What’s the first cycle that we actually go through as humans?” and they picked this nine-month thing. It really is our cycle, and no other culture on the planet looked inside themselves to create their calendar like that.
24 September 2024
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korrents.com
Bitcoin tracks the direction of global liquidity more consistently than any other major asset class.Their words
Bitcoin moves in the direction of global liquidity 83% of the time in any given 12-month period, which is higher than any other major asset class, making it a strong barometer of liquidity conditions.
3 July 2024
25 May 2024
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korrents.com
Adolescence, not the first three years of life, is the period that matters most for how a brain turns out.Their words
I mean, I do feel like adolescence is much more important than I think people give credit for. I think that there is this kind of a sense the first three years of life is the most important part, but the teenage years are just so important for the brain.
18 May 2024
22 March 2024
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Their words
First of all, we have 44 interceptor missiles total, period, full stop. Let me repeat, 44. Earlier we were talking about Russia’s 1,670 deployed nuclear weapons. How are those 44 interceptor missiles going to work? And they also have a success rate of around 50%. So they work 50% of the time.
18 March 2024
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Their words
A lot more people have died of air pollution than nuclear reactors, for example. But most people worry more about living next to a nuclear reactor than a coal plant. But something about the way we’re wired is that although there’s many different kinds of risks we have to confront, the ones that make a good climax scene of a movie carry much more weight with us than the ones that are very bad over a long period of time but on a slow burn.
9 March 2024
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korrents.com
Life's most valuable things, like health, wealth and knowledge, compound slowly over long periods of time.Their words
The most valuable things in life compound over a long period of time
4 March 2024
From one piece Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War | Lex Fridman Podcast #415 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So, there is a period of collaboration, and that’s what propaganda tries to define him by, or there is a Division Galizien by 20,000 people, and somehow it makes irrelevant the experience of 2-3 million people.
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Their words
And the Soviet collapse is continuation of the disintegration of the Russian Empire that started back in 1917, that was arrested for some period of time by the Bolsheviks, by the Communist ideology, which was internationalist ideology. And then came back in full force in the late ’80s and early ’90s.
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Their words
What I think would happen one way or another is the Soviet collapse in a different form, on somebody else’s watch at some later period in time.
20 February 2024
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Their words
The most difficult analysis to do as an investor is that, is kind of figuring out how wide is the moat, how much at risk is the business to disruption? And we're in, I would say, the greatest period of disruptability in history.
19 January 2024
10 January 2024
From one piece How to be more agentic 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.Their words
Burnout is the ultimate agency-killer. This is so true that I’ve learned to identify a reduction in agency as one of the first signs of burnout, one that shows up even before I consciously realize what’s happening.
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Their words
The idea is that making changes in your life, especially when learning new skill sets, requires you to cross a moat of low status, a period of time where you are actually bad at the thing or fail to know things that are obvious to other people.
3 December 2023
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Their words
I think they’re not as scared as they should be about nuclear weapons, to be honest. I think that’s more serious danger than people realize.
2 August 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
You Can Negotiate AnythingTheir words
Everything is negotiable. Challenge authority. You have the power in any situation. This is how to realize it and use it. A must-read classic from 1980 from a master negotiator. My notes here aren’t enough because the little book is filled with so many memorable stories — examples of great day-to-day moments of negotiation that will stick in your head for when you need them. (I especially loved…
29 June 2023
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Their words
It is actually all their nuances and quirks and slight annoyances that make this relationship worthwhile. I don’t think we’re going to realize that until it’s too late.
26 August 2022
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Their words
In my view the key takeaway here is just how contingent the industrial revolution was: the industrial revolution that occured required a number of very specific pre-conditions which were really on true on Great Britain in that period.
16 August 2022
9 August 2022
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korrents.com
Breaking through a skill plateau requires unlearning beliefs and conventions that are wrong or narrower than assumed.Their words
people get up to a certain level of performance, and then they start to stagnate. And they start to plateau. And people who who break through and move to the next level um are the ones who have to who engage in unlearning. Who realize there are certain uh conventions they've bought into or beliefs they hold that are either wrong or are limited and and don't apply as broadly as as they imagine.
1 July 2022
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Early China: A Social and Cultural HistoryTheir words
Feng Li's Early China: A Social and Cultural History is a staid yet serviceable overview of the pre-imperial period.
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Medieval Chinese Warfare, 300-900Their words
David Graff's Medieval Chinese Warfare, 300-900 is actually a political-institutional history of China from 200 AD-1000 AD, and is probably the best political narrative history we have for the time period.
3 September 2021
19 August 2021
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Their words
In traditional classroom settings, the development of skills often gets overlooked in favor of facts. Facts in the form of conjugation tables, word lists, grammar explanations, the names of verb tenses, and so on. All of these things are related to language, but it’s important to realize that knowing these things has nothing to do with speaking and using a language productively.
30 March 2021
22 March 2021
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
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