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21 September
20 September
16 September
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Dalio Market Principles OnlineTheir words
especially in the "Dalio Market Principles Online" course I built with great partners at Singapore's Wealth Management Institute (WMI). The course has been completed by thousands of online learners around the world and has gotten great reviews. If you’re interested in joining its next cohort which is starting soon, you can learn more here.
15 September
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7 September
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3 September
2 September
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Their words
If the completed book is 427 and you’ve written 426, you haven’t got 426/427ths. You’ve got nothing.
30 August
28 August
24 August
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Their words
Embracing an approach to religious renewal by encouraging fertility doesn’t seem like a strategy that will move the needle in a significant way.
Do Religious Families Actually Have More Kids?graphsaboutreligion.com
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Their words
But when they looked at the happiness levels of these people, it was the average person who actually would self-report the highest levels of happiness. So ambition doesn't necessarily equate with happiness, which I think many people would agree with with that.
20 August
From one piece We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The main cause of falling fertility globally over the last 200 years has been declining child mortality.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
within societies, more gender-egalitarian people almost never have more kids than less gender-egalitarian people, and in a panel model, changes in the mismatch rate have no relationship to fertility
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
we really do have a good causal model of how to think about fertility decline!
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
The demand for explanations of low fertility is entirely a demand for variables which will reduce these technical trends to near zero.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
18 August
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31 July
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31 May
26 May
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Their words
It just is marriage. Turkish fertility started falling super fast after 2013 because Turkish marriage rates started falling super fast after 2013.
14 May
13 May
17 February
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Their words
Sixteen is also roughly the age by which a majority of adolescents have completed puberty: a sensitive period of neural reorganization during which it is extremely important to protect the brain.
7 December 2025
1 July 2025
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Their words
Once women are in control of their fertility, they only procreate if they expect rewards - whether that is personal fulfillment or social approval.
20 February 2025
From one piece Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.
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Their words
The Middle East, North Africa and Anatolia are witnessing a rapid decline in coupling and fertility. This should rock your priors.
5 December 2024
1 November 2024
From one piece Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
From the 1960s, US fertility fell primarily due to fewer births among couples. In that context, baby bonuses might raise fertility. But today, the major contributing factor is the decline of coupling.
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Their words
Nicolas Eberstadt speculates that it’s all about rising autonomy. But that can’t explain why fertility has also plummeted in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and India, where women are often heavily restricted.
16 July 2024
17 January 2024
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Their words
Similarly, most recent discussions of how to promote fertility discuss how we might promote housing, inequality, schooling, day-care, etc., but few consider directly paying parents big amounts to have kids. As indirect approaches require us to guess what are the actual main obstacles to fertility, they are more likely to fail.
23 December 2023
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Their words
Because patents have fixed term lengths, with small extensions to compensate for the year or so when the drug is under regulatory review, drug developers are incentivized to go after conditions where clinical trials can be completed quickly, all else being equal.
3 October 2023
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Their words
the most likely identifiable scenario by which fertility will rise again is via the growth of currently-small insular high-fertility subgroups like the Amish and Orthodox Jews
11 October 2022
From one piece Review of DeLong's "Slouching Towards Utopia" 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
What I’m nitpicking here is that this decline in fertility deserves equal billing with the research lab, corporation, and globalization.
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Their words
Without this anti-Malthusian response the research lab, corporation, and globalization cannot provide sustained growth.
15 September 2022
11 September 2021
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korrents.com
Falling fertility is transmitted by the values that mass media spread, not by how rich any individual is.Their words
It seems to be correlated strongly with societal (not individual) wealth, and mediated by norms transmitted via mass media.
20 October 2020
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