Related posts
Miles Brundage Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
Top people
Showing Profile →
Hiding
Hiding
20 September
19 September
18 September
16 September
From one piece Destroying women’s sports in order to save it 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Large national investments in girls' athletic opportunities translate into better international sports results.Their words
America has made unusually large investments in athletic opportunities for girls and it pays off.
-
korrents.com
In the Title IX debate, conservatives are the side seeking to shrink funding and opportunities for girls' sports.Their words
And the broader Title IX fight is a classic left/right political battle, where conservatives just want to shrink opportunities and funding for girls' sports.
13 September
12 September
11 September
8 September
6 September
-
korrents.com
No lab has solved alignment and monitoring well enough to keep scaling at maximum speed much longer.Their words
Currently I believe that no lab has solved alignment and monitoring to a sufficient degree to continue responsibly scaling at maximum speed for much longer.
5 September
-
korrents.com
Quarterback sneak touchdowns mainly reflect the offensive line and opportunity rather than quarterback skill.Their words
Sneaks are almost purely a result of the offensive line and/or opportunities.
4 September
3 September
-
korrents.com
A crisis is defined not by how severe a problem is but by whether it hits people powerful enough to force change.Their words
Crises aren't defined by how bad a problem is. They're defined by when the bad outcomes hit people with the ability to make a stink.
1 September
-
Their words
This is the sole intrinsic thing about AI that prevents agents from truly infinite self-replication. They will be constrained by the need to find and pay for sufficient compute to run themselves.
28 August
-
Their words
I think the fact that the government took on debt during two crises to help households was a good trade-off.
My Most Contrarian Opinion Right Nowawealthofcommonsense.com
26 August
-
Their words
maybe performance could be part of a package where you try to take on one of those players. like, hey, look at how much more responsive our thing is than theirs. Might be a nice plus, but that's not going to be sufficient.
20 August
-
Their words
within societies, more gender-egalitarian people almost never have more kids than less gender-egalitarian people, and in a panel model, changes in the mismatch rate have no relationship to fertility
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
19 August
-
Their words
By 2027, almost every country-and every non-state group with sufficient computing power-will have the ability to download open-weight models even more powerful than the ones that attacked Hugging Face and use them for whatever they like.
-
Their words
you want to get to a point where you know, your your machine, your org is self-sufficient enough that you know, you just need to occasionally tap the blimp, make sure that things are working. You can course correct if it's not, but that frees you up to then focus on the next important sets of problems that the org needs to, you know, tackle heads on.
11 August
From one piece Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
And so basically everything that we can verify reasonably well with some feedback loop, the AIS are doing pretty well on. And that's sufficient to make AR and D go quite fast and to continue. But there's some parts of of developing uh aligned and safe AIs that are more subtle, hard to check, depend on, you know, detailed in the weeds things.
-
Their words
One concern you might have is there are like large categories of reward hacks which humans can't detect well and which we consistently fail to detect and which consistently get reinforced and then this category is sufficient to cause the most natural behavior for the AI to learn to be like cheat when the humans can't find out
31 July
-
korrents.com
Startup opportunities are not fleeting; Silicon Valley has reliably had a surfeit of them for decades.Their words
You know, in hindsight, I think that um that was a a poor intuition. Uh it's been pretty robustly and reliably the case over many decades in Silicon Valley has a surfeit of opportunities.
29 July
27 July
-
Their words
And my hypothesis is there's probably dozens, hundreds of opportunities like this with the models of today that no one has yet realized.
21 June
-
Their words
They are none of these things. All three were predictable and overdetermined.
Chartbook 452 Europe's Machiavellian moment?adamtooze.substack.com
2 June
-
Their words
Most business advice is necessary but not sufficient on its own to achieve success.
16 May
-
korrents.com
Larger language models already have enough capacity that extra per-layer embedding tricks add little benefit to them.Their words
However, larger models already have sufficient capacity where these extra embeddings may not help that much.
3 May
26 April
From one piece How to win when software is not a moat | Evan Spiegel (Snapchat CEO) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Network effects are not a sufficient moat, because software features get copied however many patents you hold.Their words
network effects are certainly an important piece of the puzzle for sure, um but I don't think they're enough when it comes to these sorts of software uh you know, software cloning.
-
Their words
as we look forward to, you know, sort of these next generation form factors, things like glasses, there's going to be a whole new set of opportunities and a whole new surface for people to build generational consumer companies.
7 April
-
Their words
Um and so, it's not a big leap to realize, "Oh, we have a big problem here." Um and so, you know, that's kind of the that's the forcing function there. It's it's you've realized that your old explanation is not sufficient. You need something new.
1 April
-
Their words
if you try to do a really good job at every company you've been working well with all the people that you work with, including your own team, your peer, whatever it is. Over time, very slowly, you accumulate a decent reputation in people's mind.
9 February
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
Meat: How the Next Agricultural Revolution Will Transform Humanity’s Favorite Food—and Our FutureTheir words
If you’re interested in the environmental impacts of our current food system and want to dig into the opportunities for meat-like products without the animals (and their impacts), I really recommend it.
23 January
-
korrents.com
Over-indexing on small daily improvements causes a business to miss bigger, more impactful opportunities.Their words
if you over-index on the idea of small improvements, then you stop seeing the pivotal, critical mass movements that you might make.
1 January
-
Their words
we will always have salespeople, but being a people person is not enough anymore.
22 August 2025
19 August 2025
-
Their words
I'm more agnostic about the best techniques, things like sparse autoencoders are a useful tool, but easy to waste effort using when a simpler method is sufficient or better - start by doing the obvious thing!
18 June 2025
-
Their words
the current situation in Iran shows that even if an "IAEA for AI" is necessary for some purposes, it won't be sufficient for resolving the tricky geopolitical issues raised by AI.
29 May 2025
-
Their words
Our punchline is that R&D spending varies by 10X+ across diseases for no good reason. I've been poking at that punchline for the last six or so years, from different directions, and I am confident it's true.
A Quantitative Approach to Vaccine Fundingblog.jacobtrefethen.com
21 May 2025
-
korrents.com
Remote workers are often passed over for opportunities in favor of less-qualified local colleaguesTheir words
Opportunities can be given to local workers despite the remote worker being more qualified, or even number one in the world in that area.
20 February 2025
-
korrents.com
Where men and women are kept apart, couples form late because it is hard to find somebody you actually like.Their words
With few opportunities to mix and mingle, charm and bond, it’s difficult to find someone one actually likes.
15 February 2025
-
Their words
Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.
22 December 2024
-
korrents.com
A Mars base is not a backup plan for climate change or nuclear war, because self-sufficiency there is centuries away.Their words
So, trying to establish a base on Mars it's going to be so hard that it is not even going to be close to being self-sufficient for a couple a century at least. So, it's not like a backup plan now, we have to solve the problem of climate change, we have to deal with that.
13 June 2024
-
Their words
I think for me, the frontier in modern physics, where the new physics lies is not in high energy particle physics, it’s not in quantum gravity, it’s not in any of these sort of traditionally sold, “This is going to be the newest deepest insight we have into the nature of reality.” It is going to be in studying the problems of life and intelligence and the things that are sort of also our current existential crises as a civilization or a culture that’s going through an existential trauma of inventing technologies that we don’t understand right now.
13 May 2024
-
korrents.com
A compound's AI origin story is not by itself a reason to expect it to do better in the clinic.Their words
For now, I am not convinced that issuing press releases about your compounds that talk about their discovery through AI techniques is sufficient to expect greater things from them.
10 January 2024
-
Their words
What I discovered by casting a wide net was that I have very little ability to predict how useful a call will be in advance.
28 November 2023
-
Their words
These skewed priorities are the exact problem that effective altruism exists to solve - or the exact inefficiency that effective altruism exists to exploit, if you prefer that framing.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
17 November 2023
-
Their words
I'm not a defensive realist, I'm an offensive realist. And my argument is that states look for opportunities to gain more power, and every time they see, or almost every time they see an opportunity to gain more power, and they think the likelihood of success is high and the cost will not be great, they'll jump at that opportunity.
26 October 2023
-
Their words
Without sufficient caution, we may irreversibly lose control of autonomous AI systems, rendering human intervention ineffective. Large-scale cybercrime, social manipulation, and other harms could escalate rapidly. This unchecked AI advancement could culminate in a large-scale loss of life and the biosphere, and the marginalization or extinction of humanity.
29 August 2023
-
Their words
But I’ve become increasingly worried that science’s replication crises might pale in comparison to what happens all the time in history, which is not just a replication crisis but a reproducibility crisis.
21 August 2023
31 August 2022
1 July 2022
2 February 2022
-
Their words
Indeed, I think some of the best opportunities to do good in the world come from working on issues that aren't yet widely recognized as huge moral issues of our time.
11 January 2021
-
Their words
Not only are the traditional staples of classic value investing (readily discernable quantitative measures of cheapness in the here-and-now) no longer likely to produce a sustainable edge on their own, but the world has gotten more complex, with many more dynamics that can drive a decoupling of near-term metrics from valuation, both to the positive and negative.
Something of Value (memo to Oaktree clients)oaktreecapital.com
28 October 2020
-
Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Thank You EconomyTheir words
Is there a financially justifiable reason to send a customer an exorbitant gift like a football jersey? Gary makes a very compelling case for such a move and others like it. It's a great exercise in thinking about unconventional marketing opportunities.
-
Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The MeshTheir words
If you're interested in understanding the collaborative consumption movement (ie- car sharing, AirBnb, city bike sharing, etc), this book gives a great overview of the trends and opportunities.
14 March 2019
-
korrents.com
The thing open source can actually sell is not the code but access to its maintainers’ attention and expertise.Their words
While everyone is focused on putting up tollbooths, opportunities to “price” maintainer attention, and access to maintainers, remain undervalued.
30 January 2019
-
Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Principles for Navigating Big Debt CrisesTheir words
His book Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises is an important read for investors that want to protect themselves from or benefit from recessions and other financial crises.
13 November 2017
12 December 2015
-
Their words
These studies also hammer home the point that conventional testing isn't sufficient.
2 September 2014
-
korrents.com
Asian languages are hard enough that arriving without preparation and refusing to speak English will not work.Their words
The main takeaway I made from all of this was: Asian languages are hard, and attempting full-immersion without sufficient preparation is usually not going to work.
Looking Back at a Year (Almost) Without Englishscotthyoung.com
28 October 2011
-
Their words
You really want to be attached to Profit Centers because it will bring you higher wages, more respect, and greater opportunities for everything of value to you.
1 June 2009
-
Their words
We hope that the scale, accuracy, diversity and hierarchical structure of ImageNet can offer unparalleled opportunities to researchers in the computer vision community and beyond.
1 January 1998
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter, especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked article and a belief on korrents.com are left in their original language.