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Addy Osmani Blog
Human judgment doesn't leave the software factory. It relocates.
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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20 September
19 September
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korrents.com
Fear of Satanic symbolism in policymakers predicts poor judgment on Middle East policy.Their words
Such people are unlikely to make good judgments about Middle East issues.
16 September
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korrents.com
Forecasting can turn subjective regulatory judgment calls into objectively observable bets about the future.Their words
Forecasting could fill this role, turning subjective judgment calls into objectively observable bets about the future.
AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDAastralcodexten.com
15 September
14 September
12 September
8 September
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korrents.com
In an age of abundant information, a person's judgment, taste and perspective are their primary value as a writer.Their words
Information is ridiculously abundant. Your judgment, taste, and perspective are literally all you have to work with now.
6 September
5 September
4 September
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Their words
The cultural prohibition on micromanagement is harmful Great individuals should be fully empowered to exercise their judgment
3 September
1 September
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Their words
To be clear, I am not saying the arrival of self-sovereign AI is a good thing. Indeed, I believe there is a chance that the deliberate acts I referenced above will one day be considered crimes, or at least grave sins. Instead, I am saying it is an inevitable thing.
28 August
26 August
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Their words
it was actually being damaged by overly prescriptive humans. And any programmer who's had a pointy-haired boss knows exactly what that is like. When the boss walks into the room, doesn't know anything, starts telling you how to program, how to code. What do you do? You sulk. You write shittier code if you're mandated to do things that are against your better judgment. Why would an agent not be the same?
20 August
14 August
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korrents.com
Once mining is automated end to end, a mining company is nothing but the owner of some real estate.Their words
Will mining get automated? And if it does, not just the movement of the materials, but every part of mining. Then what is a mining company? It just owns real estate.
12 August
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korrents.com
There is no human in the loop: you own the loop, and what comes out of it is your work rather than the model's.Their words
Another another thing we point out is just there is no human in the loop. You own the loop. The loop is yours. The loop is mine. It would not exist if it was not for me. So I am the owner, right?
10 August
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Their words
AI sucked it all up without discernment, because AI cannot discern.
7 August
From one piece Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enough 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And so um in order to succeed your judgment has to be differentiatedly good. Now the reality might be that you don't know if your judgment is good yet. And so um one way or another you will have to find out and that means making decisions that make sense to you even when you are totally alone in that realization.
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Their words
And one of the harder lessons as a startup founder, one of the harder things I think to to really deal with is the fact that you cannot delegate your judgment. As as the CEO, you must always make decisions that make sense to you, no matter how much momentum or inertia alternatives seem to have.
20 July
19 July
From one piece Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It was instead a very strongly held opinion that that you get to excellence by giving people a lot of agency and accountability. By pushing decisions as deep in the organization as possible, hiring great people who can be trusted to have good judgment and make good decisions.
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Their words
So, the most useful thing is not to make it level specific or role specific, but to encourage everyone towards the expectation on AI fluency, which doesn't mean use it as a tech for the sake of tech. It's tech where it's useful, to have good judgment about that, and to have the mindset to be open-minded to explore and try new things.
15 July
From one piece Context engineering with Dex Horthy 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
if you want to do loops engineering, you should build one loop at a time and you should keep them small and contained. Basically, I think everything except stop reading the code is really good advice.
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Their words
And so it's like I mean getting into Eli Goldrat and the goal is like optimizing for utilization and efficiency of one node in your factory rather than the end to end goal of like how do we ship value and things that people like that are stable and like will last a long time. But that's my idea of token harder
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Their words
We tried this. We built a lights off software factory in July of 2025 and by November we had shut it down. I think it takes about three to six months of you shipping all the time with nobody reading the code before you realize like, wow, this is getting way worse and it's easier to start over than it is to fix it.
14 July
13 July
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Their words
They get women to sleep with them, but they attract both men and women and cause them to surrender their better judgment and make bad choices in a variety of contexts, including the voting booth.
8 July
5 July
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korrents.com
Taste is not about consensus or criticism, but the courage to value what genuinely resonates with you.Their words
Taste isn't consensus. It's not judgment first, either. It's easy to be a critic. Curiosity has to come first, because without curiosity you never broaden your horizons.
30 June
From one piece Saving the world from bad ideas: the continuing failure of food ecomodernism 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
To meet the global population’s protein needs through factory-produced bacterial protein in 2024 would have used more than the total global electricity generated using renewable (hydro, photovoltaic and wind) energy
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Their words
Agriculture is the only major sector that at present is significantly energised directly by zero cost and zero carbon sunlight.
27 June
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korrents.com
Fear of others' negative judgment is a significant risk factor for anxiety and depression.Their words
And this fear of judgment is a significant risk factor for anxiety and depression.
23 June
18 June
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Their words
And then in terms of the capital intensive like AI in a factory and also the foundry and then you really need to tap either government funding or some sovereign fund
17 June
14 June
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Their words
if if I got to pick one if I get to pick one thing that you do as CEO, I'm going to pick that you're right. So even if you don't, you know, even if you don't operate the ship or the factory that well, I'd rather that you picked the right product, the right strategy than you were phenomenal at execution or inspiring people or managing because, you know, being in the right body of water matters more than the right boat.
10 June
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Their words
it's not just like there's some factory somewhere that you can pay to produce the the data like you actually need to invent new novel scientific approaches
4 June
2 June
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Their words
In the same way we owe our you we have a responsibility to our users we have a responsibility to our engineers or our builders people who are in the factory building and so I said there there should be a moral contract if you're going to take that hill I'm going to show you that I am going to work just as hard to unlock value out of the work you did
27 May
From one piece Building OpenCode with Dax Raad 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That prickle that feeling that you get, it's like muted now cuz someone else it's kind of like you've made someone else deal with the problem. The problem is still there and the the landmines are still going to blow up on you eventually, but like you're not you don't feel that bad feeling as much anymore. So your judgment is skewed. You're not getting that feedback loop.
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Their words
That judgment, that ability to have that judgment is so distorted right now because the agent will just do the hacky thing for you. The agent will kind of deal with the hacky problems that come down the road. And it's way easier just to be like, "Oh yeah, it's a temporary fix."
14 May
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Their words
I wish Tensor the best, but I think this is going to be a hard sell.
28 April
16 April
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korrents.com
Cheap delivery turned the roadmap-of-features model into a feature factory that produces bad products faster.Their words
Much of the product world now recognizes the project model as a turbo-charged feature factory, capable of producing more bad products, faster, than ever before.
14 April
2 April
23 March
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Their words
And so when you take these things in combination, I am absolutely certain that the world's GDP is going to accelerate in growth. I'm absolutely certain the percentage of that GDP that will be used for computation will be 100 times more than the past
20 March
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Their words
And I think if you're outside of that frontier lab, your your judgment fundamentally will start to drift because you're not part of the you know, what's coming down the line. And so I feel like my judgment will inevitably start to drift as well.
11 March
3 March
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Unbeatable: The Brutally Honest Case for Free MarketsTheir words
It is definitely my broadest and least inhibited book — and in my judgment, the best-written and the best overall.
9 February
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korrents.com
Craftsmanship, taste, and human judgment remain valuable in software development despite AI-assisted coding tools.Their words
There is value in good taste, there is value in craftsmanship, and there is value in human judgment.
4 February
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Their words
As high-level programming cedes way to the prose compiler, making your goals and specs well understood to the ambiguity loop and showing good judgment is going to matter more than ever.
20 January
25 December 2025
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Their words
Between 2015 and 2025 US manufacturing wages rose 40%, while the cost of purchasing a home rose 93%.
11 December 2025
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Their words
Sweden, for instance, is often praised for its high adoption of prefabricated construction, but since the 1990s Sweden has had roughly flat construction labor productivity, even as it has made more extensive use of prefabrication.
9 December 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Dyson vacuumTheir words
Dyson vacuum. The laser light thing makes me happy. I never vacuumed before I got this, which meant my apartment was constantly in dire straits since I am the proud owner of two extremely fluffy dogs. I love it.
12 November 2025
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korrents.com
Coding is a software-factory category that may end up bigger than knowledge work itself.Their words
this fundamentally this category of coding and AI is probably going to be one of the biggest categories right it is a software factory category in fact it may be bigger than knowledge work
26 October 2025
25 October 2025
16 October 2025
From one piece Figma’s CEO: Why AI makes design, craft, and quality the new moat for startups | Dylan Field 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
we're looking for high judgment individuals, people that are going to roll up their sleeves and do a lot, whether they're IC's or managers, and people that are going to get the details and perfect their craft, because we know that's how we're going to win is by having the best craft, the best design.
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Their words
And there is something about judgment in there too. you know, uh, implied in taste is that some things are good and some things are bad. So, I think you have to be willing to lean into that yourself in terms of uh, being high judgment.
19 September 2025
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Their words
One thing that changed was that Eukodal was not available anymore, so the drug that Hitler actually had become physically addicted to was suddenly not available anymore. This had to do with the bombardment of the Merck company, the factory in December 1944. British bombers destroyed the production facilities.
2 September 2025
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Their words
The interesting Tesla point is people always looked at it and said, "It's the iPhone of cars." No, it's not. What's happening is that cars are becoming Android with no iPhone. And then Tesla is just selling and is is in that metaphor Tesla is just another android phone maker
15 August 2025
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Their words
They're focused on the chips, right? Because they understand like the key bottleneck is the chips, not the solar power, right?
19 April 2025
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korrents.com
Different people's areas of strongest judgment or taste rarely overlap much with each other.Their words
it's quite rare for different people's "zone of best taste" to overlap very much.
6 April 2025
From one piece America Underestimates the Difficulty of Bringing Manufacturing Back 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A humanoid robot is the wrong tool on a factory floor, because a machine specialised in the task beats it.Their words
They are not useful in industrial environments where, if a humanoid robot can do it, an industrial machine which is specialized in the task can do it even better.
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korrents.com
Building a factory in America takes at least two years before it can open, and months more before it runs well.Their words
It takes at least, in the most favorable of jurisdictions, 2 years (if you can get the permits) to build a factory in the United States.
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korrents.com
Uncertainty about how long a tariff will last, not the rate itself, is what stops anyone from building a factory.Their words
The tariffs have frozen business activity because no one wants to take a big risk dependent on a policy that may change next week.
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korrents.com
Innovation depends on being near the factory floor; you cannot improve what is thirty hours of travel away.Their words
When the factory floor is down the hall, instead of 30 hours of travel away, it’s easier to make improvements and invent.
22 March 2025
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korrents.com
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.Their words
Having a good research track record is some evidence of good big-picture takes about AGI, but it's weak evidence.
19 January 2025
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Their words
And Friedman advanced a policy that was really abstract and really it was devoid of judgment. It was pure and beautiful in that way but utterly impractical.
1 January 2025
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Their words, before
Such "taxi" services where the cars are also used with drivers at other times and with extended geography, in 10 major US cities NET 2025
Their words now
This is unlikely to happen in the first half of this century.
20 December 2024
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Their words
If you can’t control where AI weights go (i.e., prevent leaking or theft), you can’t govern the technology.
19 August 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Idea FactoryTheir words
The Idea Factory -- sets the context for the hardware inventions that directly led to Silicon Valley.
3 May 2024
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Their words
The second is that producing semiconductors requires almost unfathomable levels of precision.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
22 March 2024
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Their words
Because why on earth there would be two candidates, one of whom has cognitive problems and the other of whom has judgment problems? These are the two biggest issues with the nuclear launch, judgment and cognition. And so where’s the young-ish, thoughtful, forward looking, wise, dedicated civil servant running for president? I know that sounds fantastical, but I wish it weren’t.
20 February 2024
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korrents.com
A large, respected owner on the board is what buys a CEO the time to make decisions that only pay off years later.Their words
That large owner on the board can help buy the time necessary for management to behave in a longer term way. And that's, I think, good for all the shareholders.
3 January 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Mirage FactoryTheir words
Nice history of Los Angeles starting from 100+ years back
14 December 2023
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korrents.com
Building a factory that turns out rockets at rate is at least as hard as designing the rocket in the first place.Their words
So you need to have all of your manufacturing facilities and processes and inspection techniques and acceptance tests and everything operating at rate. And rate manufacturing is at least as difficult as designing the vehicle in the first place
20 November 2023
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korrents.com
Refusing to advertise on a platform is protected expression, not an attack on the platform owner's free speech.Their words
Elon Musk’s sullen yawp amounts to a claim that he has a right for companies to sponsor his speech, no matter what he says. That’s nonsense, both legally and philosophically.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
13 September 2023
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Their words
Moreover, model exfiltration is likely impossible to reverse.
Self-exfiltration is a key dangerous capabilityaligned.substack.com
23 April 2023
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Their words
Manage projects according to the owner's level of task-relevant maturity.
25 January 2022
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Their words
we built that system and then we set it on autopilot um and it's been on autopilot for 100 years and here we are and it doesn't fit at all to the world we live in today.
31 August 2021
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korrents.com
Boeing's decline began when its management moved away from the factory and the engineers stopped running it.Their words
The changes separated its management and board from the day-to-day processes at the heart of its business.
America's Aerospace Industry is Regeneratingaustinvernon.site
15 December 2020
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