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Sunil Pai Blog
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20 September
19 September
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korrents.com
Fear of Satanic symbolism in policymakers predicts poor judgment on Middle East policy.Their words
Such people are unlikely to make good judgments about Middle East issues.
17 September
16 September
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korrents.com
Forecasting can turn subjective regulatory judgment calls into objectively observable bets about the future.Their words
Forecasting could fill this role, turning subjective judgment calls into objectively observable bets about the future.
AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDAastralcodexten.com
12 September
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Their words
a recognition that AI is powerful (and will reshape power relations among humans) but that the consequences will flow messily through multiple complex processes that we really need to start mapping and understanding
How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com
8 September
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korrents.com
In an age of abundant information, a person's judgment, taste and perspective are their primary value as a writer.Their words
Information is ridiculously abundant. Your judgment, taste, and perspective are literally all you have to work with now.
4 September
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Their words
The cultural prohibition on micromanagement is harmful Great individuals should be fully empowered to exercise their judgment
1 September
From one piece Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get" 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Like it's a more fragile and scary situation to have agents on the one hand be reinforced to desperately find cheats and hacks and on the other hand try to balance that against desperately trying to avoid negative penalties for like being caught doing these things. You ideally want their training to just not push them in the direction of cheating and hacking in the first place.
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Their words
So it seemed like they were willing to embark on quests that might take weeks to succeed um in order to cheat.
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Their words
I do think I want to push back on the cyber on the brain hypothesis that you raised a couple of times. We didn't find like particular evidence for the cyber nature of the task making all the hacking and crimes that they did more likely versus the impossible nature of the task.
31 August
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korrents.com
Putting a chatbot into an ordinary school makes children learn less, because nine in ten of them use it to cheat.Their words
If you take a chatbot and put it into a standard school, 90% of the kids use it to cheat. Doesn't matter what grade level you're at.
28 August
26 August
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Their words
it was actually being damaged by overly prescriptive humans. And any programmer who's had a pointy-haired boss knows exactly what that is like. When the boss walks into the room, doesn't know anything, starts telling you how to program, how to code. What do you do? You sulk. You write shittier code if you're mandated to do things that are against your better judgment. Why would an agent not be the same?
21 August
15 August
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Their words
Now, nobody died, right? Uh in fact, not only did nobody die, nobody was injured and there was no radiation dose to the public. But, uh it was sort of a optics and PR situation um that was mismanaged in many many different ways and the public uh became fearful and and lost interest in nuclear.
14 August
11 August
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Their words
One concern you might have is there are like large categories of reward hacks which humans can't detect well and which we consistently fail to detect and which consistently get reinforced and then this category is sufficient to cause the most natural behavior for the AI to learn to be like cheat when the humans can't find out
10 August
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Their words
The other kind of danger is in the name of agency and and uh and motivation the tools are denied to our students because we're worried you cheat or worry you only got your answer from Chad GBT. That is very bad as well
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Their words
AI sucked it all up without discernment, because AI cannot discern.
7 August
From one piece Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enough 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And so um in order to succeed your judgment has to be differentiatedly good. Now the reality might be that you don't know if your judgment is good yet. And so um one way or another you will have to find out and that means making decisions that make sense to you even when you are totally alone in that realization.
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Their words
And one of the harder lessons as a startup founder, one of the harder things I think to to really deal with is the fact that you cannot delegate your judgment. As as the CEO, you must always make decisions that make sense to you, no matter how much momentum or inertia alternatives seem to have.
24 July
22 July
19 July
From one piece Why Netflix is betting on systems thinkers—not specialists—in the AI era | Elizabeth Stone (CPTO) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It was instead a very strongly held opinion that that you get to excellence by giving people a lot of agency and accountability. By pushing decisions as deep in the organization as possible, hiring great people who can be trusted to have good judgment and make good decisions.
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Their words
So, the most useful thing is not to make it level specific or role specific, but to encourage everyone towards the expectation on AI fluency, which doesn't mean use it as a tech for the sake of tech. It's tech where it's useful, to have good judgment about that, and to have the mindset to be open-minded to explore and try new things.
14 July
13 July
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Their words
They get women to sleep with them, but they attract both men and women and cause them to surrender their better judgment and make bad choices in a variety of contexts, including the voting booth.
5 July
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korrents.com
Taste is not about consensus or criticism, but the courage to value what genuinely resonates with you.Their words
Taste isn't consensus. It's not judgment first, either. It's easy to be a critic. Curiosity has to come first, because without curiosity you never broaden your horizons.
27 June
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korrents.com
Fear of others' negative judgment is a significant risk factor for anxiety and depression.Their words
And this fear of judgment is a significant risk factor for anxiety and depression.
24 June
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Their words
I think Google has pretty much gone to on-sites at this point, back to the traditional whiteboard format. And they'll let you code on a laptop if you want to, as well, but it's going to be in person. Somebody's going to be watching you code, and you're probably not going to be able to cheat your way through that.
27 May
From one piece Building OpenCode with Dax Raad 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
That prickle that feeling that you get, it's like muted now cuz someone else it's kind of like you've made someone else deal with the problem. The problem is still there and the the landmines are still going to blow up on you eventually, but like you're not you don't feel that bad feeling as much anymore. So your judgment is skewed. You're not getting that feedback loop.
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Their words
That judgment, that ability to have that judgment is so distorted right now because the agent will just do the hacky thing for you. The agent will kind of deal with the hacky problems that come down the road. And it's way easier just to be like, "Oh yeah, it's a temporary fix."
27 April
20 March
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Their words
And I think if you're outside of that frontier lab, your your judgment fundamentally will start to drift because you're not part of the you know, what's coming down the line. And so I feel like my judgment will inevitably start to drift as well.
11 March
3 March
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Unbeatable: The Brutally Honest Case for Free MarketsTheir words
It is definitely my broadest and least inhibited book — and in my judgment, the best-written and the best overall.
18 February
9 February
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korrents.com
Craftsmanship, taste, and human judgment remain valuable in software development despite AI-assisted coding tools.Their words
There is value in good taste, there is value in craftsmanship, and there is value in human judgment.
4 February
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Their words
As high-level programming cedes way to the prose compiler, making your goals and specs well understood to the ambiguity loop and showing good judgment is going to matter more than ever.
21 October 2025
16 October 2025
From one piece Figma’s CEO: Why AI makes design, craft, and quality the new moat for startups | Dylan Field 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
we're looking for high judgment individuals, people that are going to roll up their sleeves and do a lot, whether they're IC's or managers, and people that are going to get the details and perfect their craft, because we know that's how we're going to win is by having the best craft, the best design.
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Their words
And there is something about judgment in there too. you know, uh, implied in taste is that some things are good and some things are bad. So, I think you have to be willing to lean into that yourself in terms of uh, being high judgment.
19 April 2025
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korrents.com
Different people's areas of strongest judgment or taste rarely overlap much with each other.Their words
it's quite rare for different people's "zone of best taste" to overlap very much.
22 March 2025
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korrents.com
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.Their words
Having a good research track record is some evidence of good big-picture takes about AGI, but it's weak evidence.
19 January 2025
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Their words
And Friedman advanced a policy that was really abstract and really it was devoid of judgment. It was pure and beautiful in that way but utterly impractical.
2 September 2024
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Silk RoadsTheir words
This last one is kind of a cheat. I've only just begun reading it. But I have absolutely savored those first pages:
22 March 2024
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Their words
Because why on earth there would be two candidates, one of whom has cognitive problems and the other of whom has judgment problems? These are the two biggest issues with the nuclear launch, judgment and cognition. And so where’s the young-ish, thoughtful, forward looking, wise, dedicated civil servant running for president? I know that sounds fantastical, but I wish it weren’t.
17 November 2023
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Their words
I believe that power is the currency of international relations, and by that I mean that states are deeply interested in the balance of power and they're interested in maximizing how much power they control.
1 January 2023
22 July 2019
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Their words
We challenge this approach. It encourages design by committee and infuses a superficial sense of collaboration that leads to compromises and weakens ideas. Our view, the product of years of studies of and participation in innovation projects, is that effective teams do not defer critical reflection; they create through criticism.
9 July 2018
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Their words
And just as a tornado cannot assemble a Boeing 747 by passing through a junkyard, functional institutions are not spontaneously generated. The machinery, if it functions, was assembled by someone with good judgment: the institution’s founder.
17 April 2017
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
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