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Nick was skeptical about paying for an AI Second Brain course, until he saw the results
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20 September
18 September
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Their words
The bargain is, in any meaningful sense, moribund. The state retained the monopsony. It stopped paying out the gold.
17 September
14 September
12 September
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korrents.com
Neo-feudalism will mean AI companies at the top and everyone else as serfs paying them to use AI for everything.Their words
Neo feudalism will mean AI companies at the top and the rest of us as serfs paying them to use AI for literally everything
11 September
10 September
9 September
5 September
4 September
31 August
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Their words
these kids have a block that they can't do it. You do whatever you can including paying them to break through the block. they then see themselves as a different person
26 August
21 August
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Their words
As the context grows, a model starts paying less attention to instructions in the middle of the context in favor of what is at the beginning and the end.
My agent.md to improve LLM-assisted code qualityfabiensanglard.net
20 August
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korrents.com
Legislators generally lose interest in an issue once the political work of passing a law is finished.Their words
our lawmakers tend to stop paying attention once the political work is done.
19 August
18 August
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Their words
This will likely serve as a wake-up call to those not paying attention to the US-China space race—which, to be clear, is the vast majority of Americans.
17 August
13 August
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Their words
It would of course make great sense to tax these windfall profits, earned entirely on the back of dead Iranians and Americans, and everyone who's paying $4.50 a gallon at the pump.
12 August
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Their words
What I was saying in that piece though was, I think we were right to be skeptical that time. But now, I see the same thing playing out with would you be willing to ship it some code you didn't read? There's no point in arguing about if it will happen or when it will happen. Talk about what it would take.
10 August
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Their words
this is one reason why I'm skeptical of outsourcing your creativity to LLMs.
8 August
6 August
4 August
2 August
31 July
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Their words
And so, every, you know, every week, we had actual customer feedback, requests, new users coming in. We're learning things from reality as opposed to our own kind of hypothesized or extrapolated conception of it.
29 July
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Their words
I think a lot of the reason people are skeptical of these is because they've been burned by things like case and UML and all these other miracle solutions that were forced on them by people who wanted them to use it no matter what.
15 July
14 July
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Readaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
How NOT to InvestTheir words
Ritholtz does exactly that, running through such surefire ways to wreck your wealth as ignoring taxes, paying excessive fees, misinterpreting data, overreacting to short-term trends, and trading too much.
29 June
9 June
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Their words
And then for those of you who are skeptical about international organizations, here's one you've never heard of. The International Organization for Standardization then standardized these container sizes to fit one if by truck, two if by railway cars, and thousands if by sea. And this just plummets transport costs.
3 June
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Their words
So launches is we ship the thing, people have a big celebration. I know that doesn't matter as much as the landing. People are actually paying for it.
30 May
28 May
27 May
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Their words
there is a world where the net result of all these AI coding tools is the same amount of work gets done, but all the engineers are happier because their job is easier. That's not good enough for a lot of companies. So, they're just going to say go back to typing out the code.
9 May
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Their words
The necessary tax rates depend on how big a government you want, but all these systems rely on people paying taxes.
1 May
7 April
From one piece Martin Fowler & Kent Beck: Frameworks for reinventing software, again and again 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I am very much concerned we're going to have some really bad security incidents um over this year because people are just not paying attention.
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Their words
My skepticism has to be absolute and total, which means I have to be skeptical about my skepticism. And that requires that curiosity.
23 March
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Their words
You know, the idea that somebody's willing to pay $1000 per million tokens is just around the corner. It's not if, it's only when.
18 February
7 January
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
How to Lie with StatisticsTheir words
Product managers need a solid foundation in statistics to be metrics-driven. This classic book is a lively and fun book will leave you smarter and more skeptical.
29 December 2025
9 December 2025
From one piece Marketing Expert: The Playbook Behind Every Great Campaign | Rory Sutherland 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
probably 50% of the time, I would advise to a client, take 10 to 20% of your marketing budget and spend it on upgrading the call center. Pay the people too much. Get the best practitioners.
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Their words
the reason it's a catastrophic way to be paid my argument is that marketing is actually fat tailed so is innovation R&D pharmaceutical research science okay in other words 5 to 10% of what you do delivers perhaps 110% of the value
1 December 2025
From one piece get good 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Americans tend to be aggressive yet thin-skinned, sure of their own rightness while doubting everyone else.Their words
Americans are mean, but fragile. Bullies, but babies. They are right, always, but also skeptical of every one else.
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korrents.com
Coaches who depend on clients paying them repeatedly avoid the corrections that might drive those clients away.Their words
American tennis coaches do not want to get fired. They want you to continue to pay them.
16 November 2025
30 October 2025
14 October 2025
7 October 2025
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Their words
Good software requires maintenance and ongoing attention, which is why most people will still prefer to pay to use something someone else is maintaining.
5 October 2025
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Their words
I think if you have especially a B2B feature where you may have some lock in reverse trials can be super powerful. You just want to get people in there. You don't need to ask for their credit card because they're using your CRM or they're investing quite a lot of time in like building out, you know, material and content. And so by the time that window drops, you actually like feel, oh man, I probably should keep this and and start paying. I think for a lot of consumer products, it's a little bit harder for that to work. And so I've typically seen more just normal free trials be be the norm.
26 September 2025
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Their words
Why are you trying to distinguish humans? Humans are animals. What we have in common is more interesting. What distinguishes us, we should be paying less attention to.
15 August 2025
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Their words
You you also don't know like in order to make that money back, you have to then operate that plant at that capacity for 20 years, right? And if I was looking at the same charts as they're looking at right now, I'd say what are the odds that in 25 years time we can produce gas turbines at a price that is relevant in a world where solar is already at its current price and batteries at a price where they're already like you cannot win.
13 August 2025
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Their words
Industrial policy was heavily criticized and again, if I talk to my Harvard professors, they’ll be very, very, very skeptical about the role of the state, especially in such a major way. But if you look at the Chinese experience, the evidence for success is all there. The cities that have pushed the most on supporting that particular sector ultimately did the best in terms of production, but also in terms of innovation, measured by patents. It’s all in the data.
29 July 2025
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korrents.com
Pollution is a price worth paying for escaping poverty only if the people breathing it are the ones who escape.Their words
It’s one thing if residents of Sulawesi like Mr. Jamal and his family have had to risk exposure to toxic pollutants in a successful escape from poverty. It’s another thing entirely if those bearing most of the burden see few of the benefits.
12 July 2025
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Their words, before
it's a luxury good like you're not paying the penalty for that the people who embrace it and think that they can just ask AI for everything or they can just look everything up but they don't have to understand the copy pasta that they slam into their project they're the ones who going to suffer
Their words now
Where I get fired up, and this ties back to the AI discussion, is when that's turned into this meme, that programmers no longer have to be competent. I mean the AI is gonna figure it out. The generators is gonna figure it out. I don't need to know SQL, active record is gonna abstract it away from me. No, no, no dude, hold up. The path here is competence.
12 February 2025
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Usesaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
SafecoTheir words
So I switched to Safeco, and so far rates have been stable. I am paying about $500 per year for a $275,000 rebuild coverage with $5k deductible.
29 October 2024
22 August 2024
29 June 2024
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Blade Runner 2049Their words
one of the best movies I’ve seen all year, well worth paying to see on the big screen
20 February 2024
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Their words
You want to buy a company at a price that if you're wrong about what you think it's worth and it turns out to be worth 30% less, you paid a deep enough discount to your estimate that you're still okay. A big part of investing is not losing money.
2 February 2024
25 January 2024
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Their words
The Spotlight Effect says that we all tend to assume that people are paying far more attention to us than they actually are.
17 January 2024
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Their words
Similarly, most recent discussions of how to promote fertility discuss how we might promote housing, inequality, schooling, day-care, etc., but few consider directly paying parents big amounts to have kids. As indirect approaches require us to guess what are the actual main obstacles to fertility, they are more likely to fail.
28 November 2023
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Their words
These skewed priorities are the exact problem that effective altruism exists to solve - or the exact inefficiency that effective altruism exists to exploit, if you prefer that framing.
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruismastralcodexten.com
1 October 2023
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Their words
I am myself skeptical that there is a clearly defined notion of who “the right people” might be, and thus I am on public choice grounds far more skeptical of government than Keynes was.
12 August 2023
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Their words, before
Reading the book had not changed my fundamental belief that, in balance, we were on a good trajectory with AI research: good for science and good for society with expected positive impacts in many domains.
Their words now
I now believe that I was wrong and short-sighted to ignore that dual-use nature. I also think I was not paying enough attention to the possibility of losing control to superhuman AIs.
2 August 2023
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korrents.com
The way to tell legal analysis from partisan lying is to distrust absolute certainty and to trust conceded ambiguity.Their words
Be skeptical of absolute certainty not backed up with proof. Be skeptical of pronouncements that there’s only one way a court will ever possibly interpret something.
29 June 2023
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korrents.com
Charging users money is the fix for social media, because a paying user is the customer rather than the product.Their words
As soon as you charge people money, they’re no longer the product, they’re the customer. And then they can start building something that’s good for the customer, and not good for the other customer, which is the ad agencies.
20 April 2023
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korrents.com
The more your target audience does not look like you, the more you should be skeptical of your design intuition.Their words
The more your target audience does not look like you, the more you should be skeptical of your design intuition. Despite having seen thousands of a/b test results for minor design details, I am still regularly surprised and humbled by my intuition being wrong.
31 December 2022
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Their words
But to do that, I am going to have to become a supplier. Which means you are going to have to start to pay me. A fair price, that we can negotiate. Under a different license.
13 September 2022
30 June 2022
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Their words
I generally come down on the side of ‘no, it’s part of the job,’ just like it is for doctors.
1 June 2022
From one piece Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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inflationinterest ratesgovernment
Their words
Governments have not been bailed out by their central banks. As I discussed earlier, central bank intervention does not reduce the overall liabilities of the consolidated government, just their composition. And it does not automatically lead to more inflation: It increases the size of the balance sheet of the central bank, but it does not increase the size of the non-interest-paying money stock.
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korrents.com
Quantitative rules are not a reliable tool for ensuring government debt sustainability.Their words
I am skeptical of the use of quantitative rules to ensure debt sustainability.
17 March 2022
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Their words
Governance is a delicate and complex topic, and you want to leave it as orthogonal as possible to funding.
2 February 2022
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Their words
Indeed, I think some of the best opportunities to do good in the world come from working on issues that aren't yet widely recognized as huge moral issues of our time.
3 June 2021
23 January 2021
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On changing their mind
When I first heard the stagnation hypothesis, I was skeptical. The arguments weren’t convincing to me.
20 August 2019
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Mixed onaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Apple Pro Display XDRTheir words
The display is absolutely gorgeous and has all the space I need so I love it, but this thing is designed for professional film production so a lot of the features I'm paying for with this thing are totally unnecessary for me.
28 May 2019
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform IndustriesTheir words
Safi Bahcall, Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries: How does group behavior and the science of phase transitions manifest itself? The author, a physicist and entrepreneur, tries to show why some wild new ideas become game changers. I was skeptical, but when someone like Danny Kahneman claims “This book has everything: new ideas, bold insights, entertaining history and convincing analysis. Not to be missed by anyone who wants to understand how ideas change the world,” I pay attention.
14 March 2019
From one piece Making money with licenses 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
As for my personal feelings on the matter, however, I’m skeptical that new licenses are the right approach on a systemic level, both in terms of feasibility, as well as where I think the world is going.
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Their words
Information, once freely shared, is a Pandora’s box that cannot be closed again. It is very hard for me to imagine a world where we transition back to paying for access to information; these are pre-digital solutions to modern problems.
17 June 2018
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Their words
People are not fungible, and generally folks end up in useful places, so I’m skeptical of reassigning existing folks to drive optimality.
5 June 2018
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korrents.com
Substack's platform design emphasizes paid subscriptions so strongly that it obscures the option to sign up for free.Their words
Substack is focused mainly on generating paying subscribers, rather than just subscribers, and so it can be hard for people to realize that it's entirely possible (and welcome!) to sign up for free.
22 December 2016
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Lovedtheir ownrcmnd.app
TransistorTheir words
Transistor - my podcasts have been one of the biggest ways I've built authority and reputation. Transistor is dead simple, and has great analytics. Plus, it's cheaper than what I was paying Amazon S3 to host them!
1 August 2016
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