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Thoughts on “The Advantage” by Patrick Lencioni A skeptical reader’s notes on The Advantage, including what held up, what didn’t, and the leadership ideas worth carrying forward.
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20 September
18 September
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korrents.com
Most people who hold a widely-held political view are ignorant or intellectually sloppy about itTheir words
The fact is that for basically any widely held political view, a huge share of the people who hold the view are going to be ignorant, intellectually sloppy, or otherwise badly flawed in their reasoning.
17 September
15 September
14 September
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Their words
RCTs somehow have the odd disadvantage of requiring too many things to be held constant, and so they can miss the benefits of longer-term adjustments.
Does AI assistance enhance or erode expertise?marginalrevolution.com
13 September
11 September
10 September
9 September
7 September
From one piece The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held 2 beliefs · levels.io
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Their words
The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held and change them when new information arises The dumbest people I know keep their opinions the same just so they can remain consistent Time changes too fast try remain consistent, better to sail the waves to wherever they are taking you!
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held and change them when new information arises The dumbest people I know keep their opinions the same just so they can remain consistent Time changes too fast try remain consistent, better to sail the waves to wherever they are taking you!
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
IDK why anyone has a problem with having strong opinions, weakly held.
6 September
5 September
4 September
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Their words
I think three of us have total conviction about the scaling law. That that I think we do. I do think the exact architecture choices and data mixtures is where the the devils are in the details.
3 September
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
I'd rather celebrate people updating their priors than dunking on them for being late. Make it cool to change your mind when you realize the facts have changed!
2 September
1 September
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Their words
But keep those methods you use to investigate things and monitor things very separate from the methods you use to generate reward which is something that AI companies including open AAI have held up as a principle especially in the case of avoiding putting training pressure on the chain of thought. So you might have monitors that read the agents chain of thought in order to alert you if something is going wrong somewhere but you don't train the agents with the outputs of that monitor.
28 August
27 August
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Their words
judges and juries have begun to accept the argument that platform design is not covered by either of those, and companies can be punished for harmful features.
26 August
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Their words
So we should also have the humility. As amazing as the LLMs are now, it could be that they eventually plateau. We haven't seen any evidence of it yet, and I think this is also why we're seeing this absolute gobsmacking levels of investment, because so far the scaling laws are true, and the more billions are poured in, the more intelligence comes out.
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Their words
maybe performance could be part of a package where you try to take on one of those players. like, hey, look at how much more responsive our thing is than theirs. Might be a nice plus, but that's not going to be sufficient.
24 August
19 August
12 August
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Their words
we find that the performance on held out tasks decreases dramatically. Whereas if we um just take out a random 20% of the data that's less diverse than the most diverse subset, the performance um only decreases a little bit. And so this suggests that actually having really diverse data plays an important role in enabling it to generalize to new tasks.
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Their words
What I was saying in that piece though was, I think we were right to be skeptical that time. But now, I see the same thing playing out with would you be willing to ship it some code you didn't read? There's no point in arguing about if it will happen or when it will happen. Talk about what it would take.
10 August
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Their words
this is one reason why I'm skeptical of outsourcing your creativity to LLMs.
8 August
4 August
29 July
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Their words
I think a lot of the reason people are skeptical of these is because they've been burned by things like case and UML and all these other miracle solutions that were forced on them by people who wanted them to use it no matter what.
19 July
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It was instead a very strongly held opinion that that you get to excellence by giving people a lot of agency and accountability. By pushing decisions as deep in the organization as possible, hiring great people who can be trusted to have good judgment and make good decisions.
15 July
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Their words
Privately held businesses in the United States are collectively worth trillions of dollars, and demographically speaking, they have an aging set of owners who are seeking liquidity or diversification as they explore how to pass on what they've built.
26 June
16 June
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Their words
All institutions are gradually corrupted and need to be reformed and returned to their foundations, or they will collapse under the weight of their corruption.
9 June
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Their words
And then for those of you who are skeptical about international organizations, here's one you've never heard of. The International Organization for Standardization then standardized these container sizes to fit one if by truck, two if by railway cars, and thousands if by sea. And this just plummets transport costs.
4 June
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Their words
some people think either uh frontier AI gets commoditized and we all enjoy the benefits, but there might be some risk because like it's the market's really competitive and cutthroat, or um things are safer because there's a big gap between the leader and the laggard, but that means that the leaders get fantastically wealthy. No, like you could just have a relatively big gap, but it's a public company ownership and it's widely distributed.
28 May
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Their words
We are advancing a potential pipeline that would carry at least one million barrels of low-emission Alberta oil per day to Asian markets, while creating a new industry of large-scale carbon capture and storage.
20 May
3 May
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Victorinox CompactTheir words
There is no perfect SAK, but the Compact is the best SAK. And this is not a "smartest Kardashian" scenario. Over the years I have genuinely loved carrying the Compact. Adding the pocket clip and the excellent PDW scales has made it one of my most frequently carried items.
10 April
7 April
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Their words
My skepticism has to be absolute and total, which means I have to be skeptical about my skepticism. And that requires that curiosity.
26 March
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Their words
This is not the case with many other technology driven industries where capability or advancements often tend to be longer held and a fast-follow model is harder.
13 March
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Their words
oh 50 gigawatts of economic you know sort of capex in in the data center and what gets built on top of that in terms of tokens is even larger right it might be hundred billion dollars worth of AI value into the supply chain is held up by this $1.2 two billion dollars worth of tooling that simply just cannot expand its supply chain quickly.
7 January
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
How to Lie with StatisticsTheir words
Product managers need a solid foundation in statistics to be metrics-driven. This classic book is a lively and fun book will leave you smarter and more skeptical.
16 December 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Red HarvestTheir words
I re-read all of Hammett's novels this year, and this, his first, held up the best.
9 December 2025
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korrents.com
Rachel Cusk's prose imitates the surface techniques of W.G. Sebald without adopting his underlying artistic aims.Their words
I believe that Cusk's own style apes the externalities of W.G. Sebald's style without carrying over his internals.
1 December 2025
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korrents.com
Americans tend to be aggressive yet thin-skinned, sure of their own rightness while doubting everyone else.Their words
Americans are mean, but fragile. Bullies, but babies. They are right, always, but also skeptical of every one else.
28 November 2025
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korrents.com
Dripper diameter, with other brew variables held fixed, does not change extraction or taste — only batch size.Their words
changing the dripper diameter, keeping all other important variables fixed, has no impact on the brew mechanics and the resulting cup, in an "idealized" scenario
26 September 2025
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I I really view myself as a classicist rather than as a contrarian. I go to what what the larger community of of thinkers about the mind have always thought.
15 August 2025
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one square meter of silicon like like the thickness of a sheet of paper floating in space that's a future human form that's that's my final form
13 August 2025
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Industrial policy was heavily criticized and again, if I talk to my Harvard professors, they’ll be very, very, very skeptical about the role of the state, especially in such a major way. But if you look at the Chinese experience, the evidence for success is all there. The cities that have pushed the most on supporting that particular sector ultimately did the best in terms of production, but also in terms of innovation, measured by patents. It’s all in the data.
16 July 2025
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Their words
And the interest rate exposure was hidden by accounting. It was called held to maturity, where you don't have to mark even treasuries to market.
13 March 2025
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Their words
The new trend toward vibe coding and vibe design may be upending the user-centered design paradigm that has remained based on the same ideology since the first UX design projects at Bell Labs, starting in 1947.
7 February 2025
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Small day packTheir words
Small day pack. A lightweight pack is great for carrying a sweater, camera, guidebook, and picnic goodies while you leave your large bag (with most of your belongings) at the hotel.
19 January 2025
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Their words
Over time, they all come to share Ayn Rand's views and opinions on everything, from music to art, to clothes. She gets a dining room table and a bunch of them get the same dining room table, and it becomes incredibly conformist, because they've all believed they're acting rationally. And they believe that to act rationally is to agree with Ayn Rand and they believe there's no other way to make decisions than rationality. To disagree with her is to be irrational.
24 November 2024
29 October 2024
13 June 2024
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Their words
It’s the fact that you’re a deterministic structure living in a random background. And also, all of that selection bundled in you allows you to select on possible futures. So that’s where your will comes from.
24 May 2024
21 December 2023
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Their words
Unlike other interventions EA has sponsored, there are scant metrics for tracking the success or failure of investments in existential risk mitigation.
20 November 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Not the End of the WorldTheir words
His life and work have influenced my own tremendously—and just a few pages into Ritchie’s essential and hopeful new book, Not the End of the World: How We Can Be the First Generation to Build a Sustainable Planet, it became clear that she was carrying on his tremendous legacy.
3 October 2023
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Their words
Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.
1 October 2023
From one piece GOAT: Who is the Greatest Economist of all Time and Why Does it Matter? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Friedman’s focus on the money supply has not held up, as Samuelson suggested, but the alternative Keynesian macro models recommended by Samuelson in the same interview have not done better and they were not outperforming simple random walk models of predicting the macroeconomic future.
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I am myself skeptical that there is a clearly defined notion of who “the right people” might be, and thus I am on public choice grounds far more skeptical of government than Keynes was.
2 August 2023
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korrents.com
The way to tell legal analysis from partisan lying is to distrust absolute certainty and to trust conceded ambiguity.Their words
Be skeptical of absolute certainty not backed up with proof. Be skeptical of pronouncements that there’s only one way a court will ever possibly interpret something.
11 May 2023
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Their words
Ships are great at carrying bulky and heavy stuff with minimal cost and energy usage. We need a battery chemistry that leans into that and sacrifices performance to reduce cost.
Why Battery Powered Cargo Ships are Compellingaustinvernon.site
20 April 2023
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korrents.com
The more your target audience does not look like you, the more you should be skeptical of your design intuition.Their words
The more your target audience does not look like you, the more you should be skeptical of your design intuition. Despite having seen thousands of a/b test results for minor design details, I am still regularly surprised and humbled by my intuition being wrong.
15 March 2023
7 March 2023
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Their words
But power is ultimately held by those with the will to power. That will does not grow in decoupled idea labs, and would immediately corrupt them if it did.
1 January 2023
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korrents.com
A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done.Their words
In 2023, we simply take it for granted that if a rocket goes up carrying passengers, it’s not going to get any work done.
19 September 2022
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Their words
Drag and tire friction dominate energy expenditure. Engineering effort to improve drag is worth so much more with electric vehicles.
13 September 2022
15 July 2022
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Their words
So there are sharp limits to how much extra range an army can get by adding carrying capacity; in practice about a month and a half’s logistics buffer is the maximum that’s possible and even doing that is expensive.
12 July 2022
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Their words
The students who ultimately succeed in learning R are not the ones who force themselves to memorize functions or do a bunch of coding drills.
1 June 2022
From one piece Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Rates 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Quantitative rules are not a reliable tool for ensuring government debt sustainability.Their words
I am skeptical of the use of quantitative rules to ensure debt sustainability.
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Their words
The proposition is that the cancellation of the bonds held by the central bank would decrease the amount of interest payments and thus the debt service of governments. And indeed, it would. But it would have another effect—namely, to decrease the revenues of the central bank and thus the profits that the central bank turns in to the government. This second effect would be exactly of the same size as the first, and the net effect on the government budget constraint would be equal to zero.
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Their words
The main challenge in discussing fiscal policy is the widely held and nearly religious belief that public debt is very bad.
3 December 2021
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Lovedrcmnd.app
RelicTheir words
One of the best thrillers of the 1990s. I re-read this book in honor of Halloween this year (but didn't finish until November) and was pleased to find that it held up.
23 January 2021
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On changing their mind
When I first heard the stagnation hypothesis, I was skeptical. The arguments weren’t convincing to me.
28 October 2020
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Work Rules!: Insights from Inside GoogleTheir words
If you're curious how Google built it's culture and the processes thanks to their extremely data & engineering driven nature, this is a great book. What held it back was being ~100 pages too long and Bock didn't always understand where what they did only fit at a $100Bn+, mega-profitable company. Still, the insights on the studies on their 50,000+ employees is well worth the read since so few of us can get similar statistical significance to apply to our teams.
28 May 2019
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform IndustriesTheir words
Safi Bahcall, Loonshots: How to Nurture the Crazy Ideas That Win Wars, Cure Diseases, and Transform Industries: How does group behavior and the science of phase transitions manifest itself? The author, a physicist and entrepreneur, tries to show why some wild new ideas become game changers. I was skeptical, but when someone like Danny Kahneman claims “This book has everything: new ideas, bold insights, entertaining history and convincing analysis. Not to be missed by anyone who wants to understand how ideas change the world,” I pay attention.
14 March 2019
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Their words
As for my personal feelings on the matter, however, I’m skeptical that new licenses are the right approach on a systemic level, both in terms of feasibility, as well as where I think the world is going.
30 August 2018
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
Inability to change one’s mind is a hallmark of an irrational belief system.
17 June 2018
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Their words
People are not fungible, and generally folks end up in useful places, so I’m skeptical of reassigning existing folks to drive optimality.
13 April 2018
26 July 2017
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Their words
In some cases, this has led to once-held "truths" about how we create and manage accounts to be totally flipped on their head, yet we still see modern organisations applying the patterns of yesterday to the threats of today.
1 August 2016
Nothing matches.
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