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20 September
19 September
From one piece What I believe about the future of software development 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
The difference between software engineering at large corporations and small ones will increase. Start-ups adopting practices of Google will look even sillier than before, because they can now build so much faster and with so much less constraints.
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Their words
And what we consider a smart model today will be considered very dumb in the future. But a smarter model makes less mistakes, needs fewer turns.
18 September
17 September
16 September
15 September
13 September
11 September
10 September
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korrents.com
Gay men average more sexual partners than straight men, while lesbians average fewer partners than straight women.Their words
Gay men tend to rack up many more sexual partners than straight men. On the other side, lesbians tend to have fewer partners than straight women, despite the fact that lesbians don't have to worry about accidental pregnancies.
9 September
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Their words
the largest tech companies (at the top 1%) aren't using fewer tokens, they're just being cost conscious and moving to cheaper, still very capable open models running vs SOTA model usage
8 September
7 September
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America’s large trade deficit in manufactured goods does mean that we have fewer manufacturing jobs than we would if that trade were balanced.
Neo-Nazis and the Impotence of Trumponomicspaulkrugman.substack.com
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Their words
All those things you can easily measure in isolation, and you can also optimize for them quite locally. But these local optimizations do not produce global optimums, and the fewer of us are looking at the output, the less it matters.
Astra for Coding: Why Are We Doing This Again?lucumr.pocoo.org
4 September
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korrents.com
Smaller teams are betterTheir words
Smaller teams are better Faster decisions, fewer meetings, more fun No need to chop up work for political reasons
2 September
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Their words
While it was routine for companies going public in the 1980s to be profitable (>80% were), less that a quarter of the companies that have gone public in the last decade have been profitable.
31 August
30 August
29 August
28 August
27 August
26 August
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This is very important because in the abstract, I think everyone says, "Yay, productivity. That's good." What did you think, this was all just vibes? No. Productivity means fewer people to do the same number or the same job. Now, the amount of job you want done may increase, and therefore you get more people, but it also may not.
25 August
19 August
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Their words
AI is an incredible technology, probably the most powerful of our lifetimes.
12 August
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Uh and this means that they're going to be far more useful when they're operating fully autonomously. And as a result, this requires us to develop physical AI systems that make far fewer mistakes than the machine learning systems that have been deployed thus far.
11 August
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korrents.com
The current AI data-center buildout is the biggest and fastest-growing infrastructure project in living memory.Their words
This is the biggest and fastest-growing infrastructure project of our lifetimes.
7 August
From one piece Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enough 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It gives you these effect sizes that you just don't really see in medicine. Like if you have a patient on on a dopamineergic drug for Parkinson's that works for some period of time, but it's a it's a relatively small effect after a little while. You turn on a deep brain stimulator and a patient goes from not being able to hold a cup of water to being able to write cursive in like 10 seconds.
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Their words
I think one of the things that makes science the company very special is that it has both of those cultures and is able to integrate them and we're able to simultaneously do some really cool research that I think is really at the edge of the Overton window while simultaneously running clinical trials in six countries now with an approved medical device in Europe and clinical trial results in the New England Journal of Medicine.
2 August
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korrents.com
Needing fewer people per unit of output does not mean a company ends up employing fewer people.Their words
if you are using these systems right you can just grow more quickly you can build more things you can take on more stuff so you know I would be surprised actually if we ended up with like net fewer
29 July
27 July
26 July
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Their words
likely this will be one of the largest industries in the world and um, uh, it'll take longer than a couple two, three years. It'll take less than 10. And so this will this will be our next $100 billion business.
24 July
23 July
21 July
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Their words
I told him what I believe: that in the age of AI, medicine will be bottlenecked more than ever by regulation and the grind of clinical trials, and that billions poured into faster pre-clinical research won’t touch that problem, unsexy as it is.
Intelligence is not the main bottleneckwritingruxandrabio.com
20 July
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Their words
but I mean in reality when you look at the data on sleep loss and dementia risk The cut off is really around 6 hours. So if you're consistently sleeping fewer than 6 hours, that's where risk starts to increase.
19 July
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Their words
But as a general rule, uh compared to 5 or 10 years ago, I I would believe we have fewer specialists and more people who are generalists or adaptable in multiple directions.
15 July
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korrents.com
AI's transformation of society will unfold gradually over decades, not in a single moment of takeoff.Their words
AI will take many decades to ripple through society. We won't see the end of it in our lifetimes.
12 July
9 July
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Their words
But they just by virtue of having less people to coordinate they can often move faster and make um better decisions a little bit less design by committee.
27 June
24 June
From one piece Tech interviews with NeetCode 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
It's an interesting trade-off where like engineer like the engineer in me hates that because it's like there's an issue. Like fix it. But the business value makes no difference. Like there there has been practically zero outages. I have less outages than LeetCode and I'm like like a couple people doing it.
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Like every single time there's just like the big innovation like cloud computing, like higher level programming languages, for whatever reason things do not like it doesn't lead to fewer programmers. And I would have expected it would have.
17 June
9 June
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Their words
It was a miracle of your lifetimes. It lifted hundreds of millions of people out of poverty. The problem for the likes of Putin is that this wealth producing trade was not happening at his house, but the houses of those vested in the trading order, not in extortion.
4 June
27 May
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korrents.com
Gamified learning is medicine wrapped in candy, and in practice children eat the candy and throw the medicine away.Their words
Gamified learning is a bit like wrapping medicine in candy. Yes, it may help some students swallow some instruction they otherwise find bitter, but in practice it’s easy to pull off the candy, consume it, and throw the medicine away.
26 May
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Their words
It just is marriage. Turkish fertility started falling super fast after 2013 because Turkish marriage rates started falling super fast after 2013.
14 May
20 March
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Their words
Um we are seeing a lot fewer sort of pure AI solutions now where um they are just one shots the problem. Um so so there was there was a month where that happened and and that has stopped.
12 March
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Their words
But if you know anything about my obsession with selection bias, you can predict the outcome: when you expand access from a population that excludes more students to one that excludes fewer, you’re very likely to see declining performance.
19 February
13 February
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Their words
But but that's actually a very weak criterion, right? People thought I was saying like we won't need 90% of the software engineers. Those things are worlds apart, right?
29 January
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Their words
But right now like there's no way to press pause on their biological time. So like what if you had an ambulance of the future, right? Like what if you could take someone who is on their deathbed and um you know find some way to you know just sort of hibernate them basically until um the sort of critical cure for their disease comes online.
15 January
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Their words
Scrutiny applied to AI is way below other technologies that - even if you totally ignore the doomers - could put far fewer lives at risk than AI in a single incident.
21 December 2025
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Their words
It had the best opening sentence of any nonfiction book I read this year: "In 2012, 146 million children were born. That was more than in any prior year. It was also more than in any year since. Millions fewer will be born this year. The year 2012 may well turn out to be the year in which the most humans were ever born—ever as in ever for as long as humanity exists." Such a simple and obvious fact but I had not known it before. I had to keep reading.
27 November 2025
17 October 2025
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Their words
and we'll gradually layer all this stuff everywhere and there will be fewer and fewer people who understand it and that there will be a sort of this like scenario of a gradual loss of control and understanding of what's happening that to me seems most likely outcome of how all this stuff will go down.
14 October 2025
From one piece Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Cost 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
immigration is mathematically irrelevant to the central policy problem of low fertility
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
I don’t see population collapse or lack of workers as the central policy problem: the central policy problem is human happiness, human flourishing, and the freedom to live life well.
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
Although the cross-sectional relationship between national income and fertility is negative, the longitudinal relationship between national income and fertility is positive: economic booms create baby booms, economic busts create baby busts.
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
2 October 2025
25 September 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Being Right or Making MoneyTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Silver BearsTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Triumph of the OptimistsTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
+ 2 more
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrowTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Art of the MarketTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
2 August 2025
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Their words
Some models could be used both for good and ill, yes. Diffusion models in particular could be used by bad actors to hallucinate toxins or other harmful proteins.
AI could help lead to an Alzheimer's cureblog.jacobtrefethen.com
11 July 2025
24 May 2025
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Their words
Whereas, there’s also another point, which is having large armies is actually inherently impractical and inefficient, because the larger the army, the more people you’ve got to feed, the more barracks you’ve got to have, the more space you’ve got to have for training, the more people you’re taking out of your workforce to produce tanks and shells, and all the rest of it, because they’re tramping around with rifles.
22 March 2025
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Their words
there's been no computer improvement up to this date that did not result in more jobs.
20 February 2025
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Their words
But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.
6 January 2025
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Their words
So I foresee a world with far more specialized code, with fewer generalized packages, and more readable tests.
1 November 2024
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Their words
From the 1960s, US fertility fell primarily due to fewer births among couples. In that context, baby bonuses might raise fertility. But today, the major contributing factor is the decline of coupling.
1 October 2024
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korrents.com
Powerful AI will compress the biological and medical progress of the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years.Their words
To summarize the above, my basic prediction is that AI-enabled biology and medicine will allow us to compress the progress that human biologists would have achieved over the next 50-100 years into 5-10 years.
13 September 2024
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Their words
If running a server is hard, fewer people are going to do it, and the power is going to be concentrated in the hands of a technical elite.
8 July 2024
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Their words
From the onset, I envisioned small firms of professional maintainers with thematic portfolios, accommodating diverse maintainers and project sizes, just like the specialized firms of other professionals.
13 June 2024
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Their words
So death is a way to make room in the universe for other things to exist that wouldn’t be able to exist otherwise.
2 June 2024
8 May 2024
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Their words
Our experiment demonstrates that the immense potential benefits of biotechnology are profoundly vulnerable to misuse.
3 May 2024
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Their words
But as fab costs increased, it became more and more burdensome for manufacturers to operate cutting edge manufacturing facilities due to the high costs, and fewer manufacturers had the production volume to spread those costs over.
How to Build a $20 Billion Semiconductor Fabconstruction-physics.com
22 April 2024
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Their words
If you think about how we teach quantum mechanics to our students, the Copenhagen interpretation, it’s a God-awful mess. No one’s going to accuse that of being very beautiful. I’m a fan of the many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics, and that is very beautiful in the sense that fewer ingredients, just one equation, and it could cover everything in the world.
5 January 2024
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korrents.com
A few larger teams under experienced engineering managers outperform many tiny teams each led by a working tech lead.Their words
But everything I have ever experienced leads me to believe that a fewer number of larger teams, each helmed by an experienced engineering manager, should way outperform this gaggle of tiny groups.
23 December 2023
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Their words
Biology is unpredictable, especially when the immune system is involved, and there is no guarantee that a drug that appears safe in animals will be safe in humans.
12 December 2023
29 November 2023
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Their words
According to my numbers, in the United States there will be a net of 3.24 million new low-skill jobs, but there will also be 4.7 million fewer people in the labor force.
16 October 2023
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Their words
We believe technology is a lever on the world – the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth: How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth, and the creation of new industries and new jobs, as people and capital are continuously freed to do more important, valuable things than in the past.
28 September 2023
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Their words
So it's like, is that problematic? I don't think so because fundamentally you're not causing harm in that world. So I think that part of the question that I think we need to figure out is what are the ways where things could have been harmful in the physical world that we'll now be freed from that? And therefore there should be fewer restrictions in the digital world.
21 September 2023
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korrents.com
Grinders that produce fewer fines (more unimodal) also tend to produce more uniform particle sizes.Their words
Contrary to popular hearsay, more unimodal grinders appear to also be more uniform on average.
1 June 2023
1 May 2023
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Their words
I want to see more tools and fewer operated machines - we should be embracing our humanity instead of blindly improving efficiency. And that involves using our new AI technology in more deft ways than generating more content for humans to evaluate. I believe the real game changers are going to have very little to do with plain content generation.
7 September 2022
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Their words
Well, the universe is very big, but not as many as most people would like to think is my view, because the idea that there is a trajectory going from simple cellular life like bacteria, all the way through to humans, seems to me there’s some big gaps along that way, that the eukaryotic cell, the complex cell that we have is the biggest of them.
22 June 2020
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