Related posts
Scott Sumner Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
Top people
Showing Profile →
Hiding
Hiding
20 September
18 September
16 September
15 September
-
korrents.com
The path to efficient processes is person to agent to software, and stopping before software costs money and time.Their words
You ➡️ agent ➡️ software This is the path to efficient processes and too many of you stop on the first two steps costing money and time.
14 September
10 September
9 September
-
korrents.com
Governments running pressure campaigns tend to wishfully overestimate how close the adversary is to collapse.Their words
A second pathology is the administration's wishcasting that Iran is just days away from collapsing.
The Trump Administration Strategy Faildanieldrezner.substack.com
8 September
5 September
1 September
-
Their words
In this case, however, the agents did not copy their weights, attempt to procure replacement compute, or take other steps that would be rational to take if their objective was to survive shutdown. So while the agents in the OpenAI-Hugging Face Incident were rogue, they were not truly sovereign.
27 August
24 August
-
Their words
Embracing an approach to religious renewal by encouraging fertility doesn’t seem like a strategy that will move the needle in a significant way.
Do Religious Families Actually Have More Kids?graphsaboutreligion.com
20 August
From one piece We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline 4 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
The main cause of falling fertility globally over the last 200 years has been declining child mortality.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
-
Their words
within societies, more gender-egalitarian people almost never have more kids than less gender-egalitarian people, and in a panel model, changes in the mismatch rate have no relationship to fertility
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
-
Their words
we really do have a good causal model of how to think about fertility decline!
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
+ 1 more
-
Their words
The demand for explanations of low fertility is entirely a demand for variables which will reduce these technical trends to near zero.
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
19 August
13 August
10 August
3 August
31 July
29 July
22 July
20 July
12 July
11 July
30 June
-
Their words
Know where the money is coming from. Know where you plug into that. And like if you're just asking those questions, you're actually already like steps ahead of all of the other like fledgling perspective mathematicians.
31 May
28 May
-
Lovedsponsoredrcmnd.app
W.Steps Prime telescoping ladderTheir words
I pulled out my W.Steps Prime telescoping ladder test sample today, and realized that I've grown to really like it.
27 May
-
Their words
You probably only have one good idea in your whole product. Get the user to experience that as fast as possible. Well, it sounds so easy, but if you go try every single product out there, you will see a million accidental steps they introduced from the user hearing about your product to like seeing the value in it.
26 May
-
Their words
It just is marriage. Turkish fertility started falling super fast after 2013 because Turkish marriage rates started falling super fast after 2013.
12 April
19 March
-
Their words
Why would I use a date picker library where I'd have to customize it when I could have Claude write me the exact date picker that I want.
5 February
1 February
26 December 2025
23 November 2025
26 September 2025
-
Their words
when you learn to play chess you have the grand the long-term goal is winning the game and yet you you can't you um you want to be able to learn from shorter term things like you know taking the your opponent's pieces um and so you do that by having a value function which predicts the long-term outcome
23 July 2025
-
korrents.com
The last steps to AGI should be taken by a CERN-style international research project, not a Manhattan Project.Their words
I hope we'll end up with something more collaborative if needed, more like a CERN project where it's research-focused and the best minds in the world come together to carefully complete the final steps and make sure it's responsibly done before deploying it to the world.
1 July 2025
-
Their words
Once women are in control of their fertility, they only procreate if they expect rewards - whether that is personal fulfillment or social approval.
26 May 2025
-
Their words
It's a lot easier for someone to engage with an argument if they generated the key steps themselves by answering my questions - if imposed by me, it sparks contrarianism and defensiveness
15 April 2025
16 March 2025
20 February 2025
From one piece Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.
-
Their words
The Middle East, North Africa and Anatolia are witnessing a rapid decline in coupling and fertility. This should rock your priors.
22 December 2024
-
korrents.com
The hard steps model of intelligent life is suspect: none of the steps it names turn out to be hard.Their words
But what we actually found was that none of those are actually hard. The whole idea of hard steps, that there are hard steps, is actually suspect. What's amazing about this model is it shows how important it is to actually work with people who are in the field.
1 November 2024
From one piece Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
From the 1960s, US fertility fell primarily due to fewer births among couples. In that context, baby bonuses might raise fertility. But today, the major contributing factor is the decline of coupling.
-
Their words
Nicolas Eberstadt speculates that it’s all about rising autonomy. But that can’t explain why fertility has also plummeted in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and India, where women are often heavily restricted.
30 September 2024
-
korrents.com
Responsible scientists try to disprove their own theories, and archaeology keeps stepping out of that box.Their words
And as responsible scientists, we’re trying to disprove our theories. We are not supposed to be trying to prove our theories. That’s one more foot out of the science box that archeology often steps.
17 September 2024
-
Their words
Another challenge for Class II biotechs is that even if you have a nifty computational drug discovery platform, you are still often bottlenecked by the rest of the drug development process. It takes 1,000 (or more!) small steps to advance a drug through discovery, development, and past the regulators.
13 June 2024
-
korrents.com
Past roughly fifteen assembly steps, the only molecules we ever observe are ones that life made.Their words
And what Lee’s been able to show in the lab with his team is that for organic chemistry, it’s about 15 steps. And then you only see molecules that the only molecules that we observe that are past that threshold are ones that are in life.
17 January 2024
-
Their words
Similarly, most recent discussions of how to promote fertility discuss how we might promote housing, inequality, schooling, day-care, etc., but few consider directly paying parents big amounts to have kids. As indirect approaches require us to guess what are the actual main obstacles to fertility, they are more likely to fail.
20 November 2023
-
Dislikedrcmnd.app
MemTheir words
I liked Mem’s editing experience within notes because it resembled word processing, without extra steps getting in the way. But I found the app otherwise surprisingly lacking in basic functionality, despite its polished appearance.
26 October 2023
-
Their words
Society's response, despite promising first steps, is incommensurate with the possibility of rapid, transformative progress that is expected by many experts. AI safety research is lagging. Present governance initiatives lack the mechanisms and institutions to prevent misuse and recklessness, and barely address autonomous systems.
25 October 2023
-
Their words
The Dutch Republic’s Golden Age did not fail because it lacked energy sources.
Age of Invention: Lessons from the Rise of Coalageofinvention.xyz
3 October 2023
-
Their words
the most likely identifiable scenario by which fertility will rise again is via the growth of currently-small insular high-fertility subgroups like the Amish and Orthodox Jews
11 August 2023
22 June 2023
-
Their words
The third UI paradigm, represented by current generative AI, is intent-based outcome specification. The user tells the computer the desired result but does not specify how this outcome should be accomplished, such as the steps to be executed. Compared to traditional command-based interaction design, this completely reverses the locus of control.
AI Is First New UI Paradigm in 60 Yearsjakobnielsenphd.substack.com
11 October 2022
From one piece Review of DeLong's "Slouching Towards Utopia" 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
What I’m nitpicking here is that this decline in fertility deserves equal billing with the research lab, corporation, and globalization.
-
Their words
Without this anti-Malthusian response the research lab, corporation, and globalization cannot provide sustained growth.
26 August 2022
-
Their words
Roman economic growth, because it was a product of institutions instead of technologies, was not durable in the face of those institutions collapsing.
22 November 2021
-
korrents.com
Chips are getting more expensive mainly because they take more process steps, not because the tools got dearer.Their words
The primary driver is not only the rising costs of tools such as EUV, but the rising number of steps to make a chip.
The Rising Tide of Semiconductor Costfabricatedknowledge.com
11 September 2021
-
korrents.com
Falling fertility is transmitted by the values that mass media spread, not by how rich any individual is.Their words
It seems to be correlated strongly with societal (not individual) wealth, and mediated by norms transmitted via mass media.
28 October 2020
-
Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Four Steps to the EpiphanyTheir words
This is the book that started the Lean Startup movement. While it is not an easy read, it is packed full of good information and helpful charts and guides.
-
Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Selling to Big CompaniesTheir words
Selling to big companies is a different process than selling to an individual. If you're new to sales, this book is a great way to understand the added steps and what to do. I loved how actionable the book was. You can literally open it up and know the tactic to use, the questions to ask, or pitfalls to avoid for each step in the process.
-
Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Buy This Book Before You Buy Facebook: A PandoDaily Expert Guide To The Internet's Biggest IPOTheir words
If you don't know how Facebook became what it is today, this is an interesting account of many of the key steps along the way.
+ 1 more
-
Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
The Startup Owner's ManualTheir words
This is Steve Blank's textbook to starting a company. It's the Four Steps to the Epiphany, expanded and much more readable. If you want to deep dive into the Lean methodology, this is the book to read.
12 May 2020
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter, especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked article and a belief on korrents.com are left in their original language.