Related posts
Ray Dalio Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
Top people
Showing Profile →
Hiding
Hiding
20 September
17 September
-
Their words
I don’t know what odds I’d give, but I’m probably bullish on the odds of substantive regulation passing relative to the conventional wisdom.
16 September
-
korrents.com
Large national investments in girls' athletic opportunities translate into better international sports results.Their words
America has made unusually large investments in athletic opportunities for girls and it pays off.
14 September
11 September
10 September
9 September
8 September
5 September
4 September
3 September
-
korrents.com
Saving dominates returns early in a career and returns dominate saving later, because compounding is back-loaded.Their words
How much you save has a far greater impact than your investments early on in your career. But as your portfolio grows, investment returns swamp your savings because of the wonders of compounding.
How to Invest When Your Portfolio Gets Biggerawealthofcommonsense.com
25 August
20 August
-
korrents.com
Legislators generally lose interest in an issue once the political work of passing a law is finished.Their words
our lawmakers tend to stop paying attention once the political work is done.
17 August
-
Their words
But passing an automatic filter is not a substitute for community acceptance; I do not believe that human referees can be removed from the publication process.
-
Their words
open models are still incredibly useful, but fill a long-tail ecosystem relative to the closed counterparts that have monopoly ownership stakes in the most valuable areas like knowledge work collaboration, drug discovery, SWE, etc.
14 August
13 August
11 August
3 August
-
Their words
in the areas where we operate, the Waymo driver is about 17 times better than human drivers when it comes to crashes uh that cause serious injury.
23 July
20 July
-
Their words
This is one of the main arguments against online or you know digital brain training is that you get very good at doing that one specific thing but it doesn't transfer over to other areas of your life.
15 July
-
Their words
And at the end of the day, they're all like different ways to pass tokens into a model and ask it to produce usually some structured output. And understanding that is a lot more powerful than trying to learn memory and trying to pick some agent framework off the shelf and some memory framework off the shelf.
-
Their words
the explicit purpose of corridor zoning is to concentrate both air pollution and the perceived social pollution of apartment dwellers in quarantine zones that single-family homeowners can avoid
30 June
-
Their words
what makes the GAWA theory such an interesting example is you have um literally this 100-year segment of like an idea that like flows through many different people's heads before it like settles into something that the math community like agrees is good.
19 June
2 June
-
Their words
it's this nonscalable way to scale your organization and it's through like passing your vampire blood. That's what inside Zinga they called it, Pinkis' vampire blood. What he did that I started to do is you pick someone from the organization who's promising. I usually pick the people who didn't fit in the smart misfits and they become your tech assistant which is not your chief of staff, not your executive assistant.
20 May
18 May
15 April
-
Their words
Now why are they willing to make the investments for me and not someone else and the reason for that is because they know that I have the capacity to buy it buy their supply and sell it through my downstream.
7 April
19 March
-
Their words
just cuz the test suite passes doesn't mean that the web server will boot. You know, there's there's always a chance that when you actually try in the real world, something's not going to work.
26 February
24 February
13 February
29 January
-
Their words
I think longevity is interesting because it feels like an area where there's a social blind spot around something and I find those very interesting.
27 January
25 January
-
Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Outcome Rating Scale (ORS)Their words
The ORS is a brief, 4-item measure designed to assess areas of life functioning known to change as a result of therapeutic intervention. It takes less than one minute to complete and score.
31 October 2025
-
Their words
I also think that they’ve done the sort of first 90% of the work to sound human, 95% possibly in some areas. The last 5% is going to end up being about 95% of the work.
17 October 2025
-
Their words
But I guess like the notion of culture and of written record and of like passing down notes between each other. I don't think there's an equivalent of that with LM right now. So LM don't really have culture right now and it's kind of like one of the I think uh impediments I would say.
9 October 2025
11 September 2025
22 August 2025
11 August 2025
2 August 2025
-
Their words
Rapid AI progress does not automatically mean rapid medical progress. If the point of AI progress is human flourishing, we must make other complementary investments too.
What does AI progress mean for medical progress?blog.jacobtrefethen.com
12 May 2025
-
Their words
Conversational UIs are great at quickly getting to the first 70%, but suck at offering easy controls over narrower areas for iteration.
25 April 2025
From one piece Differential Coverage for Debugging 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Comparing code coverage between passing and failing test runs is a cheap, effective way to localize a bug quickly.Their words
Differential coverage is cheap to compute and display, and when it's right, it can save a lot of time.
-
korrents.com
Buggy code usually causes outright test failures rather than being silently exercised inside tests that still pass.Their words
a passing test can still execute buggy code if the bug is data-dependent, or if the test is not sensitive to the specific mistake in the code. But a lot of the time, buggy code only triggers failures.
19 April 2025
-
korrents.com
Different people's areas of strongest judgment or taste rarely overlap much with each other.Their words
it's quite rare for different people's "zone of best taste" to overlap very much.
20 December 2024
-
Their words
Passing ARC-AGI does not equate to achieving AGI, and, as a matter of fact, I don't think o3 is AGI yet. o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences with human intelligence.
OpenAI o3 Breakthrough High Score on ARC-AGI-Pubarcprize.org
25 May 2024
From one piece Charan Ranganath: Human Memory, Imagination, Deja Vu, and False Memories | Lex Fridman Podcast #430 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
about this idea that really when you’re older in most societies, your job is no longer to form new episodic memories, it’s to pass on the memories that you already have, this knowledge about the world, what we call semantic memory, to pass on that semantic memory to the younger generations, pass on the culture.
-
Their words
Almost everyone in the class said that the days were moving by slower. Then I would say, “Okay, so do you feel like the weeks are passing by slower, faster, or the same?” The majority of them said that the weeks were passing by faster. According to the laws of physics, I don’t think that makes any sense, but according to memory, it did because what happened was people were doing the same thing over and over in the same context.
28 April 2024
2 April 2024
-
Their words
It’s only in dense urban areas that the cost of land begins to dominate the cost of new housing, driven by regulatory and zoning restrictions that limit how much housing can be built in a given area.
13 March 2024
-
Their words
Claims to the contrary could lead to a misallocation of investments and, consequently, worse environmental (and social) outcomes.
20 February 2024
From one piece Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Investing well requires reversing the human instinct to grow excited as prices rise and fearful as they fall.Their words
People tend to get excited about investments when stocks are going up and they get depressed when they're going down. And I think that's just inherently human. You have to reverse that. You have to get excited when things get cheaper and you got to get concerned when things get more expensive.
-
korrents.com
Most investments are really speculations, because only a handful of businesses can be predicted with any confidence.Their words
And very few businesses that you can have a really high degree of certainty about. And as a result, many investments are speculations because it's really very difficult to predict the future.
21 December 2023
From one piece How Effective Altruism Lost Its Way 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
Unlike other interventions EA has sponsored, there are scant metrics for tracking the success or failure of investments in existential risk mitigation.
-
Their words
While there are interesting theoretical arguments for these causes, there’s a disconnect between an almost-neurotic focus on hard evidence of effectiveness in some areas of EA and a willingness to accept extremely abstract and conjectural “evidence” in others.
18 January 2023
1 December 2022
9 October 2021
-
korrents.com
Passing tasks to a team without the context behind them tells them they are the doers and the manager is the decider.Their words
When you don’t give your team the context for the work and just pass on tasks and work items to them, you make it clear that they are simply “doers” and your job is the job of “decider.”
How New Managers Fail Individual Contributorselidedbranches.com
14 May 2020
-
Their words, before
And beyond that, by the time solar scale has doubled 4 more times, to the equivalent of 16% of today’s electricity demand (and somewhat less of future demand), we should see solar at 3 cents per kwh in the sunniest areas, and 4.5 cents per kwh in moderately sunny areas.
Their words now
Both of those forecasts were wrong. Solar has plunged in price faster than anyone – including me – predicted.
17 January 2020
-
Their words
Rather than hard, difficult country being the breeding ground for the state, it is in fact the richest, softest areas that were (for those who have been to Mesopotamia and are wondering why it doesn’t seem quite so rich and soft anymore, the word you want to look up is salinization).
16 September 2019
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Creativity Code: Art and Innovation in the Age of AITheir words
It's increasingly coming to the fore and Marcus deals with it in a really interesting way. He takes us through lots of different areas where AI is being used to mimic creativity, which some people would argue is the essence of being human. It's interesting to see how close to being human AI is getting.
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Art of Statistics: Learning from DataTheir words
The Art of Statistics is a really accessible and comprehensive introduction to statistics. It's not only about the tools of statistics, but it also goes through lots of interesting and relevant areas where statistics can help us make important decisions.
30 August 2018
-
Their words
The likelihood that someone is providing high-quality information in these domains is lower than in less controversial areas like physics or neuroscience.
9 July 2018
-
Their words
And just as a tornado cannot assemble a Boeing 747 by passing through a junkyard, functional institutions are not spontaneously generated. The machinery, if it functions, was assembled by someone with good judgment: the institution’s founder.
31 January 2018
-
Likedrcmnd.app
SuperforecastingTheir words
Lots of interesting learnings and relevant to those making startup investments also!
15 November 2017
4 January 2017
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter, especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked article and a belief on korrents.com are left in their original language.