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20 September
11 September
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korrents.com
People can appreciate others' contributions in certain domains without agreeing with them on everything.Their words
You don't have to agree with everyone about everything to appreciate their contributions in certain domains.
9 September
7 September
1 September
27 August
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Their words
In verifiable domains, model capability scaling should remain unbounded. Models will simply keep improving by "absorbing more and more of the computational universe", which is infinite by construction.
26 August
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Their words
And this was with models we had six months ago. At this point, 100% in the majority of domains we work in today, agents are better at finding bugs.
24 August
23 August
21 August
17 August
15 August
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korrents.com
Once AI and robotics do the manufacturing, the price of any object becomes the price of the energy used to make it.Their words
If you keep asking this question, what you realize is energy is the fundamental input. When we figure out AI and robotics that allows us to do semi-aututonomous manufacturing, energy will become the cost of all things, right? The cost of buying a thing will become the cost of energy used to make it.
14 August
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Their words
you know Elon buying Twitter is like the beginning of us being able to speak our minds and for disagreeing to not be illegal. That's a big deal. We should all thank Elon for that.
12 August
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korrents.com
In California, lack of money is not what stops public beautification projects from getting built.Their words
The client was hoping for an instruction manual on buying beauty, but at least in California, money isn't the bottleneck.
11 August
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korrents.com
AI agents will soon reach superhuman, AlphaZero-like performance across a wide range of domains.Their words
we should therefore expect AI agents to achieve AlphaZero-like, superhuman performance in a wide and expanding variety of domains.
From one piece Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I think most domains are fundamentally pretty shallow where like a very smart generalist who's good at like a a limited subset of core skills can like get going pretty quickly.
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korrents.com
The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run.Their words
Like the thing that I think is most likely to be sort of the bottleneck in terms of like the AI are really good at verifiable domains but not not at doing the actual thing is just like big experiments. You only get a few tries um well a few is maybe a bit understated but like basically like historically R&D has been driven by doing near frontier scale experiments and that has been pretty important and like actually doing the one big training run where you decide exactly what to include in that.
10 August
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Their words
But if you zoom out, it becomes clear that almost every “breakthrough” since last summer has concerned the narrow domains of computer code and math, which are defined by highly structured languages and come accompanied by massive amounts of specialized training data.
9 August
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korrents.com
Consistent roast color in sample roasting is essential for making fair, informed green-coffee buying decisions.Their words
Roast quality and color can have a big impact on perceived cup score and buying decisions, so if you are serious about choosing the right green for your company, it is a good idea to do your own sample roasting, using a system that yields your preferred roast level consistently.
6 August
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korrents.com
The "private equity is buying up all the houses" argument is both wrong and an excuse for deferring zoning reform.Their words
Progressive slopulism really fucked us with this "Private equity is buying up all the houses" argument. It's a fractally stupid concern AND an excuse for deferring zoning reform.
3 August
31 July
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Their words
Um in our domain, to answer your last question, because we had to do so much stuff around security and partners and money movement and infrastructure and reliability and you know, all the things. We just we didn't feel like we could scale a really good self-serve experience without getting a lot of the kind of the preconditions um and the infrastructure in place.
30 July
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korrents.com
Buying beyond what you can comfortably afford leaves people financially weaker and stuck living paycheck to paycheck.Their words
Buying from a position of weakness keeps people in debt and living pay check to pay check.
From one piece Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AI 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Agents can already be run for days or weeks on a single hard problem, and almost nobody has internalised that.Their words
I mean I think um probably one thing is people don't quite realize how possible it is to have you know agent-based systems that can run not just for an hour or two hours on a problem you care about but for some problem domains and with highly capable models underlying them you can get them to run for days or weeks and do really really complicated tasks
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Their words
I mean I think like if you look at uh my colleagues work on say alpha fold that was a very specific model for uh protein folding and it was highly successful um and was able to really handle that domain quite well so that all of a sudden you now have this amazing tool and model that can give you answers to questions about proteins and their structure um really effectively um but it's not a general model it's a very specific one and there are other I domains where that kind of approach can work really well. Uh maybe in material science or chip design or things like that that uh will enable you to leverage the capabilities of a very accurate but but niche model uh to do things that are hard today.
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Their words
And I think there's a lot of room in a lot of domains for much faster validation models, possibly learned valu validation models that can uh you know get you a a approximation to the true answer much much more rapidly. And that changes how those experimental loops can be thought of and how quickly you can go around those loops.
29 July
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Their words
I think the case of TLA+ and most, not all, but most formal methods, they shine the most in highly computational domains, where most of the problems are highly technical and not like business embedded.
26 July
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korrents.com
The simple work gets automated away, but the hard sciences and the places where they intersect never will.Their words
I think the simple stuff is going to get automated away, but the hard problems, the hard sciences, um physics, chemistry, biology, uh you know, computer science, uh computer engineering, systems thinking, uh you know, all and and particularly the domains that are intersecting, uh those hard problems will never go away.
23 July
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korrents.com
Higher-priced AI subscription tiers mainly buy more hours of agent usage rather than a smarter underlying modelTheir words
The more expensive plans are mostly buying you more hours of AI labor, not smarter AI.
19 July
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Their words
So, we are hiring more people who can look across all the business domains and abstract that to here's the building blocks we're going to need in a world with AI.
14 July
12 July
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Their words
I would suggest not buying any of these tests.
Medicine is Moving From Calendars to Clockserictopol.substack.com
6 July
2 July
26 June
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korrents.com
Running a model five times and keeping the best answer buys a higher benchmark score without buying a better model.Their words
Um so if you say okay well we're going to instead of just running this model once we're going to run it five times and take the best of the five responses or like ask a judge which one it thinks is best then you can get much higher scores than that model. And so it's really easy to make something that looks a lot better on paper but is actually not better once you control for the amount of test time compute.
24 June
18 June
29 May
18 May
20 March
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Their words
And so you're kind of like you're either on rails and you're part of the super intelligence circuits or you're not on rails and you're outside of the verifiable domains and suddenly everything kind of just like meanders.
15 March
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Dislikedrcmnd.app
Dell G15 7588Their words
Never buying a gaming laptop again, use it for hosting home media server
19 February
13 February
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Their words
I actually think profitability happens when you underestimated the amount of demand you were going to get and loss happens when you overestimated the amount of demand you were going to get because you're buying the data centers ahead of time.
12 February
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Their words
If you get really good at coding that means you have to be really good at general purpose problem solving. So that's a skill, right? And that just maps into other domains.
15 December 2025
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korrents.com
An audience is not buying the subject you cover; it is buying your interest in the subject.Their words
They learn to trust you that if you're interested, they'll be interested. That what in fact what they're buying into is not the subject, but your interest in the subject.
14 December 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
See's Bridge MixTheir words
See's Bridge Mix. My parents had this at their house when we visited in January and we've been buying them throughout the year whenever we come across a See's. The best box to have around the house.
8 December 2025
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Their words
While heat pumps can achieve higher efficiency, consumer uptake has been much lower than expected because fundamentally, a heat pump is a 20 year bet on future power prices that most homeowners are unwilling to make.
18 November 2025
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Their words
Thus my personal prediction is that in domains that are already largely under the powers of modern AI, such as languages, programming or chess, we’re going to see a divergence in human abilities.
11 October 2025
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Their words
This is intentional and I believe good AI drivers are experts in their domains and utilize AI as an assistant, not a replacement.
30 September 2025
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Their words
I believe this is the right answer. We're often being manipulated by politicians, by corporate leaders to make a choice from two suboptimal options. And then when we are forced to make this choice and we make this choice, it's almost as if it's something that we have to assume responsibility for. I don't think we should be buying into that.
12 September 2025
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Their words
but something to remember is that when a pilot is using a simulator to learn to fly an airplane, they're extremely goal- directed. So, their goal in life is not to learn to use a simulator. Their goal in life is to learn to fly the airplane.
2 September 2025
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Their words
But you're still going to buy a smartphone. You're still going to buy the nice one with a good battery and the fast chip to run the models and the good screen and the best camera, which will still be an iPhone because Apple still has the best chip team and a whole bunch of other hardware advantages. But everything you do on it will be from someone else.
18 August 2025
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Their words
And in contrast to software as a service or software you'd buy off a shelf at, you know, Fry Electronics, you know, decades ago, which might help you be marginally more productive, help you get a job done. Agents, in contrast, are actually getting the job done for you. And so you're in essence hiring software to accomplish a task and get it done well.
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Their words
When new technologies come out, this pendulum swings from best of platform towards best of breed. And the reason for that is incumbents typically aren't that great at these new technologies.
23 July 2025
From one piece Demis Hassabis: Future of AI, Simulating Reality, Physics and Video Games | Lex Fridman Podcast #475 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And Meta right now are not at the frontier. Maybe they'll manage to get back on there and it's probably rational what they're doing from their perspective because they're behind and they need to do something. But I think there's more important things than just money.
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Their words
Including things like universal basic provision or something like that where a lot of the increased productivity gets shared out and distributed to society and maybe in the form of services and other things where if you want more than that, you still go and get some incredibly rare skills and things like that and make yourself unique. But there's a basic provision that is provided.
13 June 2025
10 April 2025
19 March 2025
17 March 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
NextDNSTheir words
You can block ads by blocking entire domains at the DNS level. I like and use NextDNS
12 February 2025
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Their words
Far from being the laboratory that brought coal into the home, then, London was actually a laggard — all the more so given it had been buying coal from Newcastle for centuries.
3 February 2025
From one piece DeepSeek, China, OpenAI, NVIDIA, xAI, TSMC, Stargate, and AI Megaclusters | Lex Fridman Podcast #459 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And the history of NLP and language processing instruction, tuning and tasks per language model used to be like one language model did one task, and then in the instruction tuning literature, there's this point where you start adding more and more tasks together where it just starts to generalize to every task. And we don't know where on this curve we are.
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Their words
I think my personal definition of AGI is much simpler. I think language models are a form of AGI and all of this super powerful stuff is a next step that's great if we get these tools. But a language model has so much value in so many domains that it's a general intelligence to me.
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Their words
But what happens when every company can just invent their own business logic really cheaply and quickly? You stop using platform SaaS, you start building custom tailored solutions, you change them really quickly.
16 January 2025
13 January 2025
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Their words
This is the global race of our lives. Now, some countries are going to make AI breakthroughs and export them… Others will end up buying those breakthroughs and importing them. The question is – which of those will Britain be? AI maker or AI taker?
14 October 2024
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korrents.com
There are few clear-cut cases in biopharma today where buying an AI system is obviously worth it.Their words
At the moment, there are in fact not very many slam-dunk gotta-get-me-some-of-that-AI decisions out there in our business.
24 August 2024
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Their words
If you buy a handful of index funds, sit on them for decades and never do another thing, you're likely to outperform nearly everyone who tries to beat the market by trading-including most professionals.
18 April 2024
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Their words
Installed generators cost ~$800/kW, and the data center capital cost, including servers, is ~$40,000/kW, so adding 1% more makeup compute capacity is money ahead of purchasing generators.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
16 March 2024
20 February 2024
From one piece Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund.Their words
There are very few that earn their keep in terms of the fees they charge. They tend to be too diversified and too short-term. And you're often much better off just buying an index fund.
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Their words
Price matters a lot. You can buy the best business in the world and if you overpay, you're not going to earn particularly attractive returns.
12 January 2024
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korrents.com
A book you want is always worth buying: never let time or money stop you from having itTheir words
I promised myself a long time ago that if I saw a book that interested me I’d never let time or money or anything else prevent me from having it. This means that I treat reading with a certain amount of respect.
1 October 2023
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korrents.com
Returns for performance are superlinear rather than proportional across most domains that matter.Their words
One of the most important things I didn't understand about the world when I was a child is the degree to which the returns for performance are superlinear.
12 August 2023
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Their words, before
Reading the book had not changed my fundamental belief that, in balance, we were on a good trajectory with AI research: good for science and good for society with expected positive impacts in many domains.
Their words now
I now believe that I was wrong and short-sighted to ignore that dual-use nature. I also think I was not paying enough attention to the possibility of losing control to superhuman AIs.
29 June 2023
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
Just Keep BuyingTheir words
My own book, Just Keep Buying , which expands upon many of these ideas.
29 May 2023
27 April 2023
Nothing matches.
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