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David Crawshaw Blog
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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19 September
14 September
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korrents.com
The more one believes AI may cause unspecified unpredictable problems, the stronger the case for state control of it.Their words
The more we believe that IA may cause non-specified and unpredictable problems, the stronger the argument for its control by the state.
12 September
9 September
1 September
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Their words
Writing is thinking, and we are interested in your own thoughts and observations, not a sharp, one-sentence observation turned into three paragraphs of blob text by an LLM.
24 August
20 August
19 August
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Their words
Incredible watering down -- the Singularity is now redefined to mean "the rate of new firm creation has increased somewhat" Vernor Vinge described the Singularity as an event horizon past which everything (e.g. what happens tomorrow) becomes entirely unimaginable and unpredictable to human understanding
15 August
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Their words
The alternative way that you can reduce risk is actually just reducing consequence, right? And we would argue that that's a much better way to reduce risk. Odds uh are stochastic, right? Even if you do an enormous amount of risk reduction on odds and you do all this engineering, something's still going to happen, right? like just something's going to come out of left field and you can't predict everything.
7 August
29 July
13 July
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korrents.com
Superagers are not extremists, and that is the point: what keeps them sharp is ordinary enough for anyone to copy.Their words
these super aes are not extremists. They're not like running marathons and eating, you know, only blueberries.
9 July
8 July
30 June
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korrents.com
Writing well means knowing the exact moment to be unpredictable, which is not the same as raising the temperature.Their words
like when you're writing you sort of you sort of know in order for it to be good, you have to have an element of the unpredictable. And it's it's not just like increasing temperature in your mind or something, right? It's like knowing exactly the correct point when you want to make an unpredictable move.
8 May
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Lovedrcmnd.app
CannonTheir words
The result is something that's beautiful, sharp, critical and lingering. Long after I closed the cover, I found myself mulling over the delicate ways that Lai raised the contradictions, sorrows and beauty of queer love, racial identity, camaraderie, self-control, and self-indulgence. Lai's characters have no answers, only questions that can never be fully resolved. Instead, these questions are the defining puzzles, defeats and triumphs of their lives.
20 March
13 February
From one piece Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential” 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
on the basic hypothesis of you know, as you put it, within 10 years we'll get to, you know, you know, what I call kind of country of geniuses in a data center. I'm at like 90% on that. Um and it's hard to go much higher than 90% cuz the world is so unpredictable.
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Their words
on the basic hypothesis of you know, as you put it, within 10 years we'll get to, you know, you know, what I call kind of country of geniuses in a data center. I'm at like 90% on that. Um and it's hard to go much higher than 90% cuz the world is so unpredictable.
5 October 2025
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Their words
I mean in my experience the typical win rate and I hate to use that term for experiments is is often something like 30 to 50%. Like usually you're not actually get like you're trying a bunch of things a lot of hypotheses turn out not to be true. you know, consumer products are very unpredictable like that.
28 May 2025
14 April 2025
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Their words
But the spike in interest rates require to do this would be huge. And the trade shock will cause a sharp recession, or worse, putting even more stress on the budget. A debt crisis is likely along the way as the US finds it impossible to roll over debt.
31 March 2025
23 March 2025
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Their words
basically everything I thought would work out well, people use it less than I thought they did. And everything where I was like, I don't know, but let's build the thing. People love that.
3 July 2024
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Coup de ChanceTheir words
Coup de Chance (France) 3.0 Full of tastefully done scenes filmed by Vittorio Storaro, but somewhat inert and lifeless. For a major director, Woody Allen has surprisingly little feel for the art of cinema—a fact that is usually covered up by his clever dialogue. Working in French he seems out of his comfort zone (or is it the subtitles?) The dialogue seems less sharp, more predictable.
18 May 2024
26 March 2024
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Their words
reassurance is futile. Reassurance that we seek is like a warm bath, it feels great, and then you need more of it. Because the future is unpredictable, and when the future doesn't match what you hoped for, the reassurance you used to have isn't enough. You need more reassurance.
16 January 2024
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
CommuniquéTheir words
David Adeleke's dispatches from the African tech scene introduce me to companies and entrepreneurs who are as fascinating as they are unfamiliar. The sharp analysis and quality-over-quantity approach to newslettering makes it stand out.
23 December 2023
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Their words
Biology is unpredictable, especially when the immune system is involved, and there is no guarantee that a drug that appears safe in animals will be safe in humans.
10 December 2023
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Likedrcmnd.app
Starter VillainTheir words
These are blasts of pure fun, with razor-sharp dialog
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Likedrcmnd.app
The Kaiju Preservation SocietyTheir words
These are blasts of pure fun, with razor-sharp dialog
28 November 2023
6 November 2023
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Their words
It is fair to say that, while economists expected the short end of the yield curve to reflect the higher rates needed to win the fight against inflation, the sharply steeper long end of the yield curve in the last few months has come as a surprise. I shall freely admit that I did not predict it.
1 October 2023
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Their words
As it turns out, after Schumpeter wrote most recessions were caused by either the bursting of asset price bubbles, monetary policy mistakes (unnecessary deflations), or sharp increases in the price of oil.
12 October 2022
26 August 2022
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Their words
As much as we might want to imagine that the greater currents push historical events largely on a predetermined path with but minor variations from what must always have been, in practice events are tremendously contingent on unpredictable variables.
15 July 2022
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Their words
So there are sharp limits to how much extra range an army can get by adding carrying capacity; in practice about a month and a half’s logistics buffer is the maximum that’s possible and even doing that is expensive.
8 February 2022
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korrents.com
Relying on metatables for method lookup tends to produce surprising, unpredictable behavior.Their words
This is a common problem with using metatables; they can lead to surprising, unpredictable behavior.
11 January 2022
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The World-Ending FireTheir words
After years of people recommending him to me, I finally took the plunge into the literary world of Wendell Berry. Now I can't help but wonder what took me so long. This 2018 collection of Berry's best essays is a fantastic introduction into his genre-defining polemic style, which mixes razor-sharp commentary with a poetry grounded in lived experience, to argue on behalf of land, the environment, and a slower, richer approach to life.
20 January 2021
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korrents.com
Software is not uniquely unpredictable; other engineering disciplines are hit by the same surprises and overruns.Their words
To assume that software is uniquely unpredictable is a special kind of arrogance.
Nothing matches.
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