Related posts
Tyler Cowen
Podcast
Jared Diamond on Leaders, Luck, and Irreplaceability
jared diamond luck
The the words it uses that this site has seen
least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone —
nothing here is a summary of this one.
Sources
All Bluesky x.com Podcast Blog Korrents Site YouTube Recommends Mastodon Newsletter
Top people
Kit Yates
Joe Previte
Ted Gioia
Aswath Damodaran
Chamath Palihapitiya
Seth Godin
Andy Burnham
Olivier Blanchard
Susan Kare
Varun Raj Manoharan
Vitalik Buterin
Keir Starmer
Showing Profile →
Show everything
Hiding Show them again
Show them again
Further back ↓
Hiding Show them again
19 September
Mathematical biologist; Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Bath and author of The Maths of Life and Death and How to Expect the Unexpected.
x.com Just arrived at the Royal Institution for my talk on “You don’t know what you’re missing”. Just made it inside before it really started to rain heavily. Wish me luck. Related
Bluesky Just arrived at the Royal Institution for my talk on “You don’t know what you’re missing”. Just made it inside before it really started to rain heavily. Wish me luck. Related
18 September
Founder and CEO of Social Capital, a venture firm; co-host of the All-In podcast and an early Facebook executive. Writes an annual letter and a weekly newsletter on markets and technology.
Marketing author and daily blogger; founder of the altMBA and the Akimbo workshops, and author of books including Purple Cow and This Is Marketing.
A series of bad decisions Sometimes we make poor choices. And, unrelated to that, sometimes bad luck happens. The real problem kicks in after that. One bad decision after another. Choices that compound the problem instead of solving it. Digging…
Related
13 September
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since July 2026 and leader of the Labour Party. MP for Makerfield since a by-election in June 2026; Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 before that.
Wish me luck! If you can spare a few quid, here’s the link to donate to Changing Lives homelessness charity: Related
2 September
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
Dear Helene, you have your job cut for you. :) Hope you know how to monitor the increasingly smart agents. Best of luck. Quoting @helene_rey First day at the @BIS_org in Basel. Very pleased to begin my role as Economic Adviser and Head of the Monetary and Economic Department. It has been great to meet new colleagues and hear about the interesting projects already underway. I look forward to the work ahead. Related
29 August
American software engineer; worked on code-server at Coder and teaches TypeScript and open-source contribution. Publishes at joeprevite.com.
"today your day is going to be full of wins and luck will follow you" been telling myself this yesterday and today - 2 new signups for wellness coaching - finally found solution for treating weeds - found buyer for desk i'm selling - neighbor offered to help fix car (saving +$2k) it works Quoting @thebeautyofsaas reminder on how to get lucky >wake up >before doing anything, walk up to the bathroom (first thing in the morning) >look at yourself in the mirror and tell yourself that your day is going to be full of wins and that luck will follow you >witness things you have never seen before Related
28 August
American software engineer; worked on code-server at Coder and teaches TypeScript and open-source contribution. Publishes at joeprevite.com.
quick friday task for you stop scrolling and tell yourself this "today your day is going to be full of wins and luck will follow you" then see how the day unfolds Quoting @thebeautyofsaas reminder on how to get lucky >wake up >before doing anything, walk up to the bathroom (first thing in the morning) >look at yourself in the mirror and tell yourself that your day is going to be full of wins and that luck will follow you >witness things you have never seen before Related
14 August
Graphic designer and type designer, who created the original Macintosh icons and typefaces at Apple from 1982 and has since designed interface graphics for NeXT, Microsoft, Facebook and Pinterest.
Their words
But what I learned was that cute trumped everything. It just um teddy bears, anything heart-shaped, the kiss mark was the best seller of all time.
Show the whole quote
youtube.com
4 August
Indian software engineer and co-founder of Skcript; builds web apps and writes at varunraj.in.
Migrating to the latest @nextjs. Wish me luck 🤞 Quoting @nextjs Next.js 16.3 is now available! • Up to 90% less memory in dev • Faster builds, type checking, and rendering • Better tooling for AI agents • Custom error boundaries • Instant Navigations for SPA-like responsiveness https://t.co/lNAQqpAKT1 Here's what's new ↓ Related
28 July
Co-founder of Ethereum. Publishes long essays on mechanism design, governance and what cryptography is for, and returns to earlier positions to say which parts they no longer hold.
27 July
Music critic and historian; author of The History of Jazz and Music: A Subversive History. Writes the newsletter The Honest Broker on music and culture.
How business and finance jargon corrupts our creative culture (from my conversation with Jared Henderson). Related
13 July
Music critic and historian; author of The History of Jazz and Music: A Subversive History. Writes the newsletter The Honest Broker on music and culture.
50 people control the culture (from my conversation with Jared Henderson). Related
1 July
Labour politician. Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from July 2024 to June 2026, and MP for Holborn and St Pancras from 2015 until standing down in 2026. Director of Public Prosecutions before entering Parliament.
Short Keir Starmer wishes England good luck in the World Cup Related
24 March
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
Winning is rare for active investors (retail or institutional), and even with the few who win consistently, separating luck from skill is tough to do, and there are broad differences in market views and investing approaches. Related
Winning as an active investor is rare, and even with the few who win consistently, separating luck from skill is tough to do, and there are broad differences in market views and investing approaches. Related
25 January
Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.
13 January
Non-fiction writer, podcaster and occasional TV host. Author of thirteen books including The Ghost Map, Where Good Ideas Come From and Extra Life, host of the PBS series How We Got To Now, and author of the Adjacent Possible newsletter on innovation.
7 January
Executive coach for product leaders. Previously a partner at GV (Google Ventures) and a product manager at Google. Writes at Bring the Donuts, including a standing essential-reading list for product managers.
Their words
Christensen explores one of his approaches to combating the Innovator’s Dilemma:
Show the whole quote
bringthedonuts.com
26 November 2025
Investing columnist for The Wall Street Journal and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor.
What’s Luck Got to Do with It? An interview with Bill Miller In 2007, I sat down for a long interview with Bill Miller, then the manager of Legg Mason Value Trust. Here’s the unedited Q&A. [money.com, July 18, 2007] The streak is over, but Bill Mille…
Related
12 November 2025
Chairman and chief executive of Microsoft since 2014; joined the company in 1992 and ran its cloud business before that.
3 November 2025
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
Started goofing around with mesh radios. Delighted to discover the tech immediately bifurcated into a slapfight between two competing protocols as per the ancient and sacred nerd traditions. Not having much luck with either of them to be honest. I can see lots of #meshtastic nodes from my home, but can't reliably communicate with any of them, and public channel is mostly silent. Not enough #meshcore coverage in my area for a fair try. Anyone else meshing in Portland? Related
5 August 2025
China economy researcher based in Beijing who writes on his personal blog about Chinese political economy, history, books and music.
23 July 2025
Writes Useful Fictions on agency and how to get better at things; a former appellate lawyer and the top-ranked woman in professional poker in 2017.
16 July 2025
Chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, which he has led since 2005 after turning around Bank One.
Their words
And and the thing about financial services, leverage kills you. Aggressive accounting can kill you, which a lot of companies do do.
Show the whole quote
youtube.com
7 June 2025
Cognitive scientist and long-standing critic of deep learning's claims; writes Marcus on AI and wrote Rebooting AI.
6 February 2025
Irish independent game developer, maker of VVVVVV, Super Hexagon and Dicey Dungeons.
26 November 2023
Brazilian-American staff software engineer working on platforms, AI and developer productivity. Writes about engineering and his setup at ivansantos.me.
I am starting a new journey where I play with LLMs while refusing to touch Python. Wish me luck, let’s see how far I can get lol LLMs Related
29 June 2023
Writer of the personal-finance blog Of Dollars And Data and author of Just Keep Buying and The Wealth Ladder. Chief Operating Officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management.
Their words
While not for most people, I find DeMarco's argument compelling for those that want to take more risk trying their luck in the financial fastlane.
Show the whole quote
ofdollarsanddata.com
10 December 2022
Economist; Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard, nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, and Chairman of the US Council of Economic Advisers from 2013 to 2017.
Their words
I have a soft spot for extremely broad histories like Jared Diamond's Guns, Germs and Steel and Joseph Henrich's The WEIRDest People in the World.
Show the whole quote
fivebooks.com
19 August 2022
Economic historian writing on the Industrial Revolution, the Great Divergence and the origins of modern growth.
Their words
and How the World Became Rich by Mark Koyama and Jared Rubin.
Show the whole quote
blog.daviskedrosky.com
9 August 2022
Research psychologist, instrumental in founding the field of naturalistic decision making; developed the recognition-primed decision model, the PreMortem method and the ShadowBox training method, and wrote Sources of Power and Seeing What Others Don't.
Their words
Now, some decisions may have been good decisions that didn't work through no fault of the employee. And some may have been bad decisions that worked because the employee got lucky. So, you can't just look at the outcome, but you have to look at what What was the person thinking about when they made the decision?
Show the whole quote
youtube.com
28 October 2020
Founder and CEO of Get Lighthouse, a management-coaching software company, and previously a product lead at KISSmetrics. Writes about leadership, management and product at jasonevanish.com.
Their words
Sales isn't easy to learn, especially when you have beginners luck and then hit a wall. This book, from the Sandler Sales Method, gives a good overview of the approach, and why it can be easier to sell when you first start, than once you get into it.
Show the whole quote
jasonevanish.com
25 September 2020
Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI; previously president of Y Combinator.
Nothing matches. Show everything
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one
sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at
korrents.com .
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said.
The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in
korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who
else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public
statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
Got it
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they
do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in
this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the
serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to
quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter,
especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked
article and a belief on korrents.com
are left in their original language.
Got it