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19 September
Mathematical biologist; Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Bath and author of The Maths of Life and Death and How to Expect the Unexpected.
x.com Just arrived at the Royal Institution for my talk on “You don’t know what you’re missing”. Just made it inside before it really started to rain heavily. Wish me luck. Related
Bluesky Just arrived at the Royal Institution for my talk on “You don’t know what you’re missing”. Just made it inside before it really started to rain heavily. Wish me luck. Related
18 September
Marketing author and daily blogger; founder of the altMBA and the Akimbo workshops, and author of books including Purple Cow and This Is Marketing.
A series of bad decisions Sometimes we make poor choices. And, unrelated to that, sometimes bad luck happens. The real problem kicks in after that. One bad decision after another. Choices that compound the problem instead of solving it. Digging…
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13 September
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since July 2026 and leader of the Labour Party. MP for Makerfield since a by-election in June 2026; Mayor of Greater Manchester from 2017 before that.
Wish me luck! If you can spare a few quid, here’s the link to donate to Changing Lives homelessness charity: Related
9 September
Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
2 September
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
Dear Helene, you have your job cut for you. :) Hope you know how to monitor the increasingly smart agents. Best of luck. Quoting @helene_rey First day at the @BIS_org in Basel. Very pleased to begin my role as Economic Adviser and Head of the Monetary and Economic Department. It has been great to meet new colleagues and hear about the interesting projects already underway. I look forward to the work ahead. Related
29 August
American software engineer; worked on code-server at Coder and teaches TypeScript and open-source contribution. Publishes at joeprevite.com.
"today your day is going to be full of wins and luck will follow you" been telling myself this yesterday and today - 2 new signups for wellness coaching - finally found solution for treating weeds - found buyer for desk i'm selling - neighbor offered to help fix car (saving +$2k) it works Quoting @thebeautyofsaas reminder on how to get lucky >wake up >before doing anything, walk up to the bathroom (first thing in the morning) >look at yourself in the mirror and tell yourself that your day is going to be full of wins and that luck will follow you >witness things you have never seen before Related
28 August
American software engineer; worked on code-server at Coder and teaches TypeScript and open-source contribution. Publishes at joeprevite.com.
quick friday task for you stop scrolling and tell yourself this "today your day is going to be full of wins and luck will follow you" then see how the day unfolds Quoting @thebeautyofsaas reminder on how to get lucky >wake up >before doing anything, walk up to the bathroom (first thing in the morning) >look at yourself in the mirror and tell yourself that your day is going to be full of wins and that luck will follow you >witness things you have never seen before Related
12 August
Professor at Stanford working on robot learning and meta-learning; co-founded Physical Intelligence.
Their words
So, you might be surprised to hear that most state-of-the-art foundation models for robotics have no memory or no context. They're just operating on the current sensor observations, the current camera readings, uh, and predicting actions based off of that.
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4 August
Indian software engineer and co-founder of Skcript; builds web apps and writes at varunraj.in.
Migrating to the latest @nextjs. Wish me luck 🤞 Quoting @nextjs Next.js 16.3 is now available! • Up to 90% less memory in dev • Faster builds, type checking, and rendering • Better tooling for AI agents • Custom error boundaries • Instant Navigations for SPA-like responsiveness https://t.co/lNAQqpAKT1 Here's what's new ↓ Related
1 August
Software engineer and engineering leader at Canonical, working on Ubuntu; writes about his homelab, Nix and tooling at jnsgr.uk.
22 July
Economic historian at Columbia; writes Chartbook on economics, geopolitics and history, and wrote Crashed and The Deluge.
Europe
Their words
And this in turn means that if we really want to find a way out of the impasse, advocacy for protection and support should be tied to demands for systematic reform.
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adamtooze.substack.com
19 July
Lawyer and everyday-carry gear reviewer who publishes scored knife, flashlight and multitool reviews at Everyday Commentary.
Tool Box in a Milk Crate and Bonus As I wrote in the review of the Systematic Tools Knipex Multitool Sheath 2.0, Todd Parker’s obsessive kit overviews on his Youtube page inspired me to not just make a kit of my one, but make the toolbox too. This, in tu…
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1 July
Labour politician. Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from July 2024 to June 2026, and MP for Holborn and St Pancras from 2015 until standing down in 2026. Director of Public Prosecutions before entering Parliament.
Short Keir Starmer wishes England good luck in the World Cup Related
7 June
Lawyer and everyday-carry gear reviewer who publishes scored knife, flashlight and multitool reviews at Everyday Commentary.
24 March
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
Winning is rare for active investors (retail or institutional), and even with the few who win consistently, separating luck from skill is tough to do, and there are broad differences in market views and investing approaches. Related
Winning as an active investor is rare, and even with the few who win consistently, separating luck from skill is tough to do, and there are broad differences in market views and investing approaches. Related
20 March
Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.
Their words
Uh but whenever we do a systematic study, um any given problem, an AI tool has a success rate of maybe 1 or 2%. Uh it's just that it's just that they can apply at scale and and you just pick the winners, it looks great.
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19 February
Founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975 and led it until stepping back from control in 2022. Author of Principles, The Changing World Order and How Countries Go Broke; publishes economic analysis at economicprinciples.org.
2025 Naturally, as a systematic global macro investor leaving 2025, I reflected on the mechanics of what happened, particularly in the markets.
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7 January
Executive coach for product leaders. Previously a partner at GV (Google Ventures) and a product manager at Google. Writes at Bring the Donuts, including a standing essential-reading list for product managers.
Their words
Christensen explores one of his approaches to combating the Innovator’s Dilemma:
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bringthedonuts.com
26 November 2025
Investing columnist for The Wall Street Journal and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham's The Intelligent Investor.
What’s Luck Got to Do with It? An interview with Bill Miller In 2007, I sat down for a long interview with Bill Miller, then the manager of Legg Mason Value Trust. Here’s the unedited Q&A. [money.com, July 18, 2007] The streak is over, but Bill Mille…
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12 November 2025
Chairman and chief executive of Microsoft since 2014; joined the company in 1992 and ran its cloud business before that.
3 November 2025
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
Started goofing around with mesh radios. Delighted to discover the tech immediately bifurcated into a slapfight between two competing protocols as per the ancient and sacred nerd traditions. Not having much luck with either of them to be honest. I can see lots of #meshtastic nodes from my home, but can't reliably communicate with any of them, and public channel is mostly silent. Not enough #meshcore coverage in my area for a fair try. Anyone else meshing in Portland? Related
23 July 2025
Writes Useful Fictions on agency and how to get better at things; a former appellate lawyer and the top-ranked woman in professional poker in 2017.
16 July 2025
Chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, which he has led since 2005 after turning around Bank One.
Their words
And and the thing about financial services, leverage kills you. Aggressive accounting can kill you, which a lot of companies do do.
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7 June 2025
Cognitive scientist and long-standing critic of deep learning's claims; writes Marcus on AI and wrote Rebooting AI.
25 May 2025
Psychiatrist and clinical assistant professor at Case Western Reserve University. Writes Psychiatry at the Margins on the philosophical and scientific arguments inside psychiatry and the psy-sciences.
Their words
Recently I reviewed Adrian Kind’s 2025 book, “How Does the Psychiatrist Know?: On the Epistemology of Psychiatric Diagnostic Reasoning,” on this substack. I had mentioned that Kind’s book is the first systematic, in-depth, book-length philosophical investigation into how psychiatrists arrive at their diagnostic conclusions.
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psychiatrymargins.com
6 February 2025
Irish independent game developer, maker of VVVVVV, Super Hexagon and Dicey Dungeons.
6 November 2024
Interface designer and researcher, known for the talks Inventing on Principle and Media for Thinking the Unthinkable and for essays on dynamic representations of ideas. Founder of Dynamicland, where he is building a communal computer.
Their words
A delightfully insane introduction to systematic invention.
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worrydream.com
26 November 2023
Brazilian-American staff software engineer working on platforms, AI and developer productivity. Writes about engineering and his setup at ivansantos.me.
I am starting a new journey where I play with LLMs while refusing to touch Python. Wish me luck, let’s see how far I can get lol LLMs Related
29 June 2023
Writer of the personal-finance blog Of Dollars And Data and author of Just Keep Buying and The Wealth Ladder. Chief Operating Officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management.
Their words
While not for most people, I find DeMarco's argument compelling for those that want to take more risk trying their luck in the financial fastlane.
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ofdollarsanddata.com
9 August 2022
Research psychologist, instrumental in founding the field of naturalistic decision making; developed the recognition-primed decision model, the PreMortem method and the ShadowBox training method, and wrote Sources of Power and Seeing What Others Don't.
Their words
Now, some decisions may have been good decisions that didn't work through no fault of the employee. And some may have been bad decisions that worked because the employee got lucky. So, you can't just look at the outcome, but you have to look at what What was the person thinking about when they made the decision?
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youtube.com
1 July 2022
Essayist, journalist and independent researcher on Chinese politics, strategy and cultural history; author of the blog The Scholar's Stage.
Their words
Mark Edward Lewis' The Early Chinese Empires: Han and Qin is probably the best companion piece to your Sima Qian readings
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scholars-stage.org
28 October 2020
Founder and CEO of Get Lighthouse, a management-coaching software company, and previously a product lead at KISSmetrics. Writes about leadership, management and product at jasonevanish.com.
Their words
Sales isn't easy to learn, especially when you have beginners luck and then hit a wall. This book, from the Sandler Sales Method, gives a good overview of the approach, and why it can be easier to sell when you first start, than once you get into it.
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jasonevanish.com
25 September 2020
Co-founder and CEO of OpenAI; previously president of Y Combinator.
15 July 2020
Machine-learning researcher on open language models; writes the Interconnects newsletter and the RLHF Book, after leading post-training at Ai2.
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