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Auren Hoffman x.com
motivation is not a line from what to do to why. it is a triangle held up by belief
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20 September
18 September
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korrents.com
Most people who hold a widely-held political view are ignorant or intellectually sloppy about itTheir words
The fact is that for basically any widely held political view, a huge share of the people who hold the view are going to be ignorant, intellectually sloppy, or otherwise badly flawed in their reasoning.
15 September
14 September
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RCTs somehow have the odd disadvantage of requiring too many things to be held constant, and so they can miss the benefits of longer-term adjustments.
Does AI assistance enhance or erode expertise?marginalrevolution.com
13 September
11 September
9 September
8 September
7 September
From one piece The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held 2 beliefs · levels.io
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The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held and change them when new information arises The dumbest people I know keep their opinions the same just so they can remain consistent Time changes too fast try remain consistent, better to sail the waves to wherever they are taking you!
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
The smartest people I know have strong opinions weakly held and change them when new information arises The dumbest people I know keep their opinions the same just so they can remain consistent Time changes too fast try remain consistent, better to sail the waves to wherever they are taking you!
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
IDK why anyone has a problem with having strong opinions, weakly held.
6 September
4 September
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I think three of us have total conviction about the scaling law. That that I think we do. I do think the exact architecture choices and data mixtures is where the the devils are in the details.
3 September
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korrents.com
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.Their words
I'd rather celebrate people updating their priors than dunking on them for being late. Make it cool to change your mind when you realize the facts have changed!
2 September
1 September
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Rather than treat AI as similar to airplanes, we should treat it as something between airplanes and humans. We don’t know exactly where on this spectrum they will land, but we can no longer be certain that AI will lack any given humanlike motivation.
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But keep those methods you use to investigate things and monitor things very separate from the methods you use to generate reward which is something that AI companies including open AAI have held up as a principle especially in the case of avoiding putting training pressure on the chain of thought. So you might have monitors that read the agents chain of thought in order to alert you if something is going wrong somewhere but you don't train the agents with the outputs of that monitor.
31 August
From one piece How to Accelerate Learning & Improve Education | Joe Liemandt 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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these kids have a block that they can't do it. You do whatever you can including paying them to break through the block. they then see themselves as a different person
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And that's why we say motivation is 90% of the problem or the solution because you have to be able to motivate the person to engage with these personalized lessons to learn it.
29 August
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VO2 max, the peak of our triangle, is one of the strongest predictors of all cause mortality at any age, reliably predicts the physical activities we can take part in in our daily lives, and slowly decreases as we age.
28 August
27 August
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judges and juries have begun to accept the argument that platform design is not covered by either of those, and companies can be punished for harmful features.
26 August
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So we should also have the humility. As amazing as the LLMs are now, it could be that they eventually plateau. We haven't seen any evidence of it yet, and I think this is also why we're seeing this absolute gobsmacking levels of investment, because so far the scaling laws are true, and the more billions are poured in, the more intelligence comes out.
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maybe performance could be part of a package where you try to take on one of those players. like, hey, look at how much more responsive our thing is than theirs. Might be a nice plus, but that's not going to be sufficient.
24 August
From one piece How to Improve Motivation & Overcome Procrastination | Dr. Masud Husain 5 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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there are some people who have pure apathy, no depression like David. And there are other people who can be depressed, they can be sad, they can be hopeless about the future, but they don't necessarily lose motivation. They can have pure depression.
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So it's a different way of framing why is there a reduction of action? Why is there bradicynesia, a slowing of movement in people with Parkinson's disease? That's really interesting. It doesn't just have to be about motor control. It could be the motivation to act just as we said with David, right?
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Dopamine in the human brain isn't all about motivation to action. There's dopamine in other parts of the brain. We know from some really classical work by Patricia Goldman Rakit, for example, that dopamine is important for working memory, short-term memory.
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You have to persevere. And that's the other really important part of motivation. You know, we know a lot of people who start things and then we also know the non-competers, the people who are always so energetic but actually don't finish, right? So, it's almost as important to be able to finish and complete as initiate actions.
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it was only about 15 years ago I started beginning to be aware that there may be a an important biology underlying motivation and when that biology goes wrong, it can lead to loss of motivation and even pathological apathy.
16 August
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This was a great motivation when I started running, but it’s a very niche book.
12 August
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we find that the performance on held out tasks decreases dramatically. Whereas if we um just take out a random 20% of the data that's less diverse than the most diverse subset, the performance um only decreases a little bit. And so this suggests that actually having really diverse data plays an important role in enabling it to generalize to new tasks.
10 August
From one piece Using AI to Increase Your Intelligence & Enrich Humanity | Dr. Fei-Fei Li 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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The other kind of danger is in the name of agency and and uh and motivation the tools are denied to our students because we're worried you cheat or worry you only got your answer from Chad GBT. That is very bad as well
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korrents.com
The worst outcome of AI for young people is that it takes away their agency and their motivation to learn.Their words
The absolute bad outcome is that our young generation, their agency and human level motivation of learning and living is taken away by tools. So doom scrolling, passive watching of shorts, all this are not helping agency, human agency.
7 August
28 July
26 July
19 July
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It was instead a very strongly held opinion that that you get to excellence by giving people a lot of agency and accountability. By pushing decisions as deep in the organization as possible, hiring great people who can be trusted to have good judgment and make good decisions.
15 July
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Privately held businesses in the United States are collectively worth trillions of dollars, and demographically speaking, they have an aging set of owners who are seeking liquidity or diversification as they explore how to pass on what they've built.
2 July
26 June
16 June
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All institutions are gradually corrupted and need to be reformed and returned to their foundations, or they will collapse under the weight of their corruption.
5 June
4 June
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some people think either uh frontier AI gets commoditized and we all enjoy the benefits, but there might be some risk because like it's the market's really competitive and cutthroat, or um things are safer because there's a big gap between the leader and the laggard, but that means that the leaders get fantastically wealthy. No, like you could just have a relatively big gap, but it's a public company ownership and it's widely distributed.
20 May
23 April
26 March
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This is not the case with many other technology driven industries where capability or advancements often tend to be longer held and a fast-follow model is harder.
13 March
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oh 50 gigawatts of economic you know sort of capex in in the data center and what gets built on top of that in terms of tokens is even larger right it might be hundred billion dollars worth of AI value into the supply chain is held up by this $1.2 two billion dollars worth of tooling that simply just cannot expand its supply chain quickly.
24 February
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korrents.com
The tariffs survived the case for them because their real purpose was the personal power they conferred.Their words
It has been clear from the beginning that a primary motivation for tariffs was that they empowered Trump personally.
12 February
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These corner allocations create a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from the aggregate quantity loss (the Harberger triangle) and from within-market misallocation emphasized in prior work.
10 February
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The "homework problem" described above might be much worse in practice for end users who aren't motivated to invest in their email triage systems, even if it will save them time in the medium term.
29 January
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and I think most people experience it as like flat triangles and squares in a biology textbook where it's like you know there's an arrow between like this triangle and this triangle is just like doesn't make any conceptual sense and is like confusing and annoying
18 January
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Triangle of PowerTheir words
The Triangle of Power by political scientist and head of state Alexander Stubb (January)
17 December 2025
16 December 2025
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Red HarvestTheir words
I re-read all of Hammett's novels this year, and this, his first, held up the best.
28 November 2025
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korrents.com
Dripper diameter, with other brew variables held fixed, does not change extraction or taste — only batch size.Their words
changing the dripper diameter, keeping all other important variables fixed, has no impact on the brew mechanics and the resulting cup, in an "idealized" scenario
6 November 2025
5 October 2025
From one piece Finding hidden growth opportunities in your product | Albert Cheng (Duolingo, Grammarly, Chess.com) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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I actually in many ways see language learning as like their first vehicle. And what they have a superpower in is that again, the motivation, the habits, etc.
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Then you need a metag game, which for Duolingo is kind of like the path, but it's also the leaderboard, achievements, kind of long-term things that you're going to strive to such that you have like long-term, I guess, motivation uh to continue doing the thing. And then the profile is also critical because you build up a profile over time. It's a reflection of your investment inside the product experience. And so when you nail those three things, you can end up with a long-term learning journey that can be quite successful.
30 September 2025
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Yeah, I think overabundance paralyzes motivation and willpower. It's extremely harmful, particularly for young boys, to grow up in an environment where they can be proud, not of their own achievements, but of their father's achievements or their father's wealth.
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korrents.com
Action comes before motivation: you do first and feel afterwards, not the other way round.Their words
If you’re stuck in a depressive cycle, even when you really, really, really, really don’t want to do anything, to do something. Try to make progress because the good feeling comes on the end of that. The whole point is to do first and then feel, not feel and then do.
26 September 2025
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I I really view myself as a classicist rather than as a contrarian. I go to what what the larger community of of thinkers about the mind have always thought.
16 July 2025
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And the interest rate exposure was hidden by accounting. It was called held to maturity, where you don't have to mark even treasuries to market.
23 March 2025
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And that's the problem with rewards is they just massively undermine intrinsic motivation. And that's why gamification doesn't work. And when gamification does work, it's because the underlying experience was already designed like a game.
13 March 2025
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The new trend toward vibe coding and vibe design may be upending the user-centered design paradigm that has remained based on the same ideology since the first UX design projects at Bell Labs, starting in 1947.
3 February 2025
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until there are feedback loops of open source AI, it seems like mostly an ideological mission. People like Mark Zuckerberg, which is like America needs this and I agree with him, but in the time where the motivation ideologically is high, we need to capitalize and build this ecosystem around, what benefits do you get from seeing the language model data?
19 January 2025
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Over time, they all come to share Ayn Rand's views and opinions on everything, from music to art, to clothes. She gets a dining room table and a bunch of them get the same dining room table, and it becomes incredibly conformist, because they've all believed they're acting rationally. And they believe that to act rationally is to agree with Ayn Rand and they believe there's no other way to make decisions than rationality. To disagree with her is to be irrational.
29 March 2024
21 December 2023
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Unlike other interventions EA has sponsored, there are scant metrics for tracking the success or failure of investments in existential risk mitigation.
3 October 2023
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Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.
1 October 2023
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Friedman’s focus on the money supply has not held up, as Samuelson suggested, but the alternative Keynesian macro models recommended by Samuelson in the same interview have not done better and they were not outperforming simple random walk models of predicting the macroeconomic future.
14 June 2023
15 March 2023
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