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korrents.com
Safely routing AI tasks to cheaper models requires accumulated observation of many prior task outcomes.Their words
Routing to a cheap model is only safe if you know which tasks it clears, & that knowledge comes from watching ten thousand versions of the same work.
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17 September
16 September
15 September
12 September
11 September
6 September
1 September
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Their words
Yet each time, we drastically overreacted, letting ourselves get swept up in a climate of fear after one emotionally vivid incident
31 August
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Their words
Mastery is actually the part everybody forgets about on that. If you have a tutor that's not mastery based, you won't get the top 2%. One sigma came from the tutor. One sigma comes from mastery, which once again we'll talk about we all accept mastery in in athletics, but we reject it explicitly reject it in education.
29 August
28 August
21 August
20 August
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Their words
All the evidence, both ancient and modern, points to a tiny non-African ancestry population between 50 and 60,000 years ago, a few thousand individuals at most
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Their words
within societies, more gender-egalitarian people almost never have more kids than less gender-egalitarian people, and in a panel model, changes in the mismatch rate have no relationship to fertility
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
18 August
17 August
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Their words
This is not to be complacent about the risks, but it is to urge caution when assuming that shifting the perceptions of other societies will ever be straightforward.
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korrents.com
The most fertile way to study neuroscience today is to work on AI models rather than on brains.Their words
I'd bet we learn more about our own brains from building a thousand AIs under a real theory of intelligence than we've learned from a century of neuroscience.
16 August
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Their words
Ignorance is not a temporary defect that we will eventually eliminate. It's the permanent burden of increasing specialisation and living in a complex world.
15 August
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Their words
I know that nuclear fision will make energy a thousand times cheaper than it is today. somebody will do that and it's really up to us as a team whether or not that's going to be in the future decades or the future centuries
14 August
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Their words
usually I think you can be creative in any constraints. You can make some pretty fun art with beach trash while you're walking around. And this you can be creative, but it's good to understand what the constraints are, and then be excited about that as opposed to being upset that you don't have a thousand colors.
13 August
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korrents.com
As societies rely more on coordination than coercion, the power to shape beliefs and knowledge grows in importance.Their words
If anything, I think that the book has gained very substantially in relevance, as more of our social structures have come to rely on coordination rather than violence.
12 August
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Their words
I mean, if you if you think about it, you could generate 10,000 variants of a function faster than you could write it once.
7 August
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Their words
It's like it's it's uncommon that these deep tech companies that fail because the technology doesn't work. They fail because once you end up with this organization of hundreds of people and thousand hundreds of thousands of square feet of physical infrastructure, you haven't built the systems to manage that.
30 July
From one piece Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AI 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Batching exists only because moving data costs about a thousand times more energy than computing on it.Their words
Um because if you didn't have that thousandx difference then you know you wouldn't have to do batching but you have to do batching of you know many examples or maybe many tokens at once in order to amortize that data movement
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Their words
If you think about our large scale models today, they probably see a thousand times as much data as a human does by the age of 18. Yet, the human by the age of 18 is better in a lot of things and, you know, on par uh with those frontier models that have seen way more data. So could you come up with much more data efficient systems that can learn continuously learn from their own actions?
29 July
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Their words
I predict that in the next 10 years software development will survive, but it will become like any other white-collar professional work. No more $200,000 salaries, unlimited vacation, or incredible employee bargaining power.
24 July
15 July
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Their words
How do we control that in such a way that we get the best results possible which means doing as much work as possible in the smart zone the you know first 100,000 tokens of the context window.
12 July
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korrents.com
Movements built around a shared moral cause outcompete purely profit-driven ones, in practice as well as in theory.Their words
missionary societies outcompete mercenary ones, not just in theory but in practice.
1 July
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Their words
You look under the underneath though at the code and it was just a horrible unmaintainable mess. But the fact that people could program the programs that they wanted was a a significant step forward as opposed to I'm going to write a thousandpage requirements document and then wait 8 years and not get what I want which was the alternative that we were offering at the at the time.
30 June
29 June
16 June
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Their words
What it is is 200 years of original thought using the ancients as the trellis up which the rose climbs in order to bloom.
9 June
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Their words
So, the deaths for the the land powers are measured in uh millions, whereas the maritime powers, it's a hundreds of thousands, still not a great number.
4 June
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Their words
It might be that every robot now can turn into, you know, 100 robots next year, right? So, in units of robots the interest rate is 10,000%.
2 June
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Their words
know your goal or suffer a death by a thousand compromises. Because what I had done my whole career and most of us do is compromise to get that next engineer, CTO, investor. You put a jerk on your board because you impressed with their firm name and the valuation and all your friends are going to be impressed and it's going to be so much easier. We make all these compromises and contort ourselves and eventually we wake up and it's company we don't want to work at.
27 May
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Their words
If you add that up, you think, "Oh, we shipped a thousand features. Now that adds it to a good product." It actually adds it to a horrible product.
25 May
8 May
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Their words
So we're talking about strong measurable selection coefficients on the order of half a percent or more in this study and all of those are going to work in small populations or large populations. It's not going to be affected by the population size.
26 April
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Their words
when you're creating a thousand new ideas, who cares if most of them are not great ideas? That's totally fine, right? What we want to get rid of is that sense of, you know, preciousness that people have around ideas
7 April
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Their words
and I don't think it's possible for one person to understand everything in depth. Lots of people understand broadly a lot of these ideas but they don't understand sort of everything in in the depth that is actually utilized. That's why there's these, you know, papers with with well over a thousand authors.
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Their words
Yeah, what what's the smallest experiment I can run to verify to my own satisfaction and everybody's level of satisfaction is going to be different whether or not this claim is true. That's That's the skill that is suddenly in the last year become a thousand times more valuable is that skill of saying, "What's the least I can do to validate for my to my own satisfaction whether this claim is true?
23 March
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Their words
You know, the idea that somebody's willing to pay $1000 per million tokens is just around the corner. It's not if, it's only when.
19 March
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Their words
I think that might be what saves us. I think the fact that no, you can't have one engineer and have him do a thousand projects because after three hours of that he's going to literally pass out in a corner.
2 March
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Their words
That now ubiquitous timeline names eras after the inorganic materials that happened to survive in the dirt.
25 January
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Their words
just think about a company with a thousand employees and 400 million in revenue or whatever. And um if they see a product that's, you know, $2 a month or even $100 a month, their thought is like, well, that can't be good enough. They're not mature enough. It's not going to do enough.
21 December 2025
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
BreakneckTheir words
Breakneck by Dan Wang Wong does an excellent job at objectively looking at the pros and cons of the Chinese and American societies. The engineering state versus lawyerly society as a way to explain each nation is brilliant.
18 December 2025
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korrents.com
Oil-rich Gulf monarchies are effectively post-scarcity societies, with institutions adapted to match that condition.Their words
oil-rich Gulf monarchies are the closest thing to post-scarcity societies on earth today, with the institutional adaptions to match
15 December 2025
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korrents.com
Raw pageview or reader counts are not actionable information for a writer's editorial decisions.Their words
analytics is not actionable: what difference does it make if a thousand people saw my article or ten thousand?
5 October 2025
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Their words
And a thousand experiments by itself, like if you just did that, but you didn't learn, you didn't make an impact, and that's kind of a waste of time, right? The whole point of setting a goal is that you can have conversations about what would need to be true to actually hit that goal.
18 September 2025
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Their words
I I think this is golden age of humanity right now. It's the I think it's the end of the beginning. And and so I think we will um I think people in 1,000 years will um study these times uh the way we are studying um Cicero's times of the end of the Roman Republic
4 September 2025
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Their words
Yes, it's what ultimately killed the dinosaurs, but I'd be amazed if there wasn't some equivalent of Hawaii or New Zealand or some other tucked away island or valley where actually dinosaurs were fine for anything from a few hundred thousand to a couple of million years.
1 September 2025
15 August 2025
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Their words
well their cost of serving it is is like maybe a buck per million tokens or something like that and the cost of electricity is about 10% of that. So it's like 10 cents of electricity is generating $1,000 worth of economic value.
13 August 2025
From one piece Keyu Jin: China's Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism | Lex Fridman Podcast #477 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I’ve rarely seen a more capitalist society than China, from the pure economic side. I’ve rarely seen companies that are as competitive as Chinese companies. People as ambitious and obsessed with making money as Chinese people. Kind of ruthless actually. And look, consumers shop, firms invest. If you invest well financially, you’ll get great returns. What is not capitalistic about the Chinese economy? At the same time, the social fabric is highly socialist.
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Their words
If you look at the most recent evidence on this issue, they found that post-1990, aging economies became richer. Not the other way around, which was true for the pre-1990 sample. And the reason is that these aging societies much more rapidly adopted new technologies, automation that actually helped the entire economy.
15 July 2025
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Their words
Thus, TFR as an indicator is cross-culturally biased by social preferences between infanticide and abortion, child neglect and abortion, etc.
There Is No Long Decline in Fertilitylymanstone.substack.com
12 July 2025
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Their words, before
I think we need to correct that ratio somewhat by some testimony of just how God damn amazing it is to literally create life
Their words now
those of us who've chosen to do the traditional thing to get married and to have children have an obligation to kind of talk it up a little bit, which would've seen ridiculous again 50 years ago that you'd have to talk up something so fundamental of that.
30 April 2025
22 March 2025
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Their words
There's a point in which all of your choices add up. And I typically find that right around 5 to 10,000 lines of code. The choices you've made either weigh you down or kind of free you up.
3 February 2025
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Their words
it won't be one person rule them all, but it will be, the thing I worry about is it'll be few people, hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands, maybe millions of people rule whoever's left and the economy around it.
2 February 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Significance of the Frontier in American HistoryTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Communistic Societies of the United StatesTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
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Recommendstheir ownrcmnd.app
The Network StateTheir words
Communistic Societies of the United States, The Significance of the Frontier in American History, The Network State
9 November 2024
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Their words
For loads below $1000/kW, intermittent operation with some modest solar array oversizing is the winning strategy. Above $1000/kW, we charge and discharge batteries daily to run them.
Solar and batteries for generic use casescaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
16 October 2024
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Their words
We are pretty sure that the Sphinx, at least, does date back to 12 and a half thousand years ago and with it, the megalithic temples, the so-called Valley Temple, which stands just to the east and just to the south of the Sphinx and the Sphinx temple, which stands directly in front of the Sphinx.
17 September 2024
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Their words
Another challenge for Class II biotechs is that even if you have a nifty computational drug discovery platform, you are still often bottlenecked by the rest of the drug development process. It takes 1,000 (or more!) small steps to advance a drug through discovery, development, and past the regulators.
25 May 2024
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Their words
about this idea that really when you’re older in most societies, your job is no longer to form new episodic memories, it’s to pass on the memories that you already have, this knowledge about the world, what we call semantic memory, to pass on that semantic memory to the younger generations, pass on the culture.
27 February 2024
19 December 2023
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Lovedrcmnd.app
PsychTheir words
Despite having read a few bookshelves worth of academic psychology texts, I enjoyed Yale professor Paul Bloom's survey of the field. Because understanding psychology cannot be divorced from understanding its history, I enjoyed Bloom's birds-eye view of the field from the past to the present day.
14 December 2023
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Their words
I would love to see a trillion humans living in the solar system. If we had a trillion humans, we would have, at any given time, 1,000 Mozarts and 1,000 Einsteins. That our solar system would be full of life and intelligence and energy.
9 December 2023
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Their words
My wife and I have averaged a joint annual income of £5,500 from the market garden over the last ten years.
3 October 2023
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Their words
Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.
1 September 2023
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Their words
But when you look into the fragrance and you understand that in order to get to this bio-derived fragrance, you blew through 10,000 bushes of rose to create 5 mL of a rose fragrance. And all these 10,000 bushes of rose, they take space, they take water management, and so much waste.
29 June 2023
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korrents.com
Utilitarianism is an abhorrent ideology, because it licenses killing three people to save a thousand.Their words
Utilitarianism is an abhorrent ideology. Well, yeah, we’re going to kill those three people to save a thousand, of course, right.
17 February 2023
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korrents.com
Liberal societies currently face an existential risk that must be addressed to reach a better future.Their words
This book is my best crack at explaining what I think is an existential risk to liberal societies and what I think we need to do to get to that awesome future I used to be so excited about.
27 December 2022
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korrents.com
Compressing a piece of research into a journal paper's word count is itself a distortion of what was found.Their words
The mere act of squeezing a complex process into a few thousand words—limited by a journal-imposed word count—is itself a distortion of reality.
13 October 2022
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Collapse of Complex SocietiesTheir words
much more convincing than Spengler or Toynbee
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Lovedrcmnd.app
The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de ZoetTheir words
It was surprisingly unliterary and unpostmodern for Mitchell, but in exchange, he nailed the historical details and gave us an adventure which subverted many of the usual tropes
30 September 2022
7 September 2022
From one piece Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
If we found a thousand life forms across the universe, 995 of them would be carbon-based and living in water.Their words
I would say pretty fundamental. I wouldn’t like to say it’s impossible for life to start any other way, but water is everywhere. Water’s extremely good at what it does, and carbon works in water especially well. And carbon is everywhere. So, those things together make me think probabilistically, if we found 1,000 life forms, 995 of them would be carbon-based and living in water.
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korrents.com
Re-run Earth a million times and at least a few hundred thousand of those runs give you bacteria again.Their words
I think at the level of bacteria, not much variety. I think we would get how many times you say you want to run it a million times? I would say at least a few hundred thousand will get bacteria again.
2 June 2022
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human SocietiesTheir words
This is my list of the 10 best nonfiction books. These are the pillar books that have helped shape my thinking and approach to life. In my opinion, these are 10 nonfiction books everyone should read.
22 November 2021
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Four Thousand WeeksTheir words
Burkeman’s book is one of the hits of the summer and deservedly so.
14 March 2021
2 December 2020
Nothing matches.
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