-
korrents.com
Expecting a layoff in advance provides little psychological protection against its effects.Their words
Being mentally prepared didn't provide much protection. The effects of job loss looked remarkably similar.
Related posts
Miles Brundage Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
Top people
Showing Profile →
Hiding
Hiding
20 September
-
Their words
it is not true that modern institutional speech faces "no adversary": we have journalism, litigation, regulators, social media pile-ons, whistleblowers, and o on.
19 September
-
korrents.com
Anthropic prices its Claude subscription plans as loss leaders relative to its own API rates.Their words
The subscription tiers are still enormous loss leaders: $20/month for your first $200/month of tokens at API rates for the "Pro" tier, and $100 or $200/month for your first $1500 or $3000/month of tokens at the "Max 5x" or "Max 20x" tiers.
17 September
-
korrents.com
As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%.Their words
Margins will not climb to 100%. As inference gets cheaper, buyers will ask more of their agents, shifting the equilibrium over time in response to competition.
16 September
-
korrents.com
The New Right sees the world as a zero-sum collective competition between racial groups.Their words
The New Right sees the world as a zero-sum collective competition between racial groups.
-
Their words
Most importantly, they see the world in terms of collective zero-sum competition between groups. To the New Right, if Indians get into the University of Texas, it means that White people must have been “replaced” at that university — or at American universities in general.
15 September
-
korrents.com
The future is multi-model.Their words
The future is multi-model. Trying to hide the choice confuses and hurts customers, who can't participate in the upside of the most exciting market competition of our times, nor master the best tool for the job.
-
korrents.com
Choosing Pulley to encourage competition with Carta still results in ending up with Carta.Their words
Pick Pulley to encourage competition to Carta. End up with Carta anyways.
13 September
10 September
-
Their words
The Frontier Lab flywheel is to get the smartest people to use the leading models. Then distill their inputs, your own model’s outputs, and resulting synthetic data and environments. And the people have to use the leading models because they’re locked in mutual competition.
9 September
7 September
-
Their words
If you're lamenting writing code by hand like something you love is being taken away from you, see if you can fall in love with solving problems instead. Maybe you'll find out that's what you really loved the whole time
-
korrents.com
All of AI engineering is involution: a system that demands ever more effort and competition without improving output.Their words
I’m more and more convinced that all of AI engineering is Neijuan (内卷, meaning curl inwards). In China it describes a system that demands ever more effort and competition without improving output.
Astra for Coding: Why Are We Doing This Again?lucumr.pocoo.org
5 September
4 September
3 September
-
Their words
The people being worried is in and of itself a problem for jobs.
-
open sourceAnthropicOpenAIChina
Their words
in this whole USA vs China thing OpenAI and Anthropic aren't relevant because they're positioned differently them building better models doesn't hurt china at all the competitor has to be - american - open source - enough compute to do inference at scale that can shift things
2 September
1 September
-
Their words
But a society that does not have anonymous speech does not really have genuine freedom of expression, and we should embed this principle into any digital identification system we attempt.
From one piece Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get" 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
But actually, this is a tremendously useful scientific artifact for understanding misalignment. And it's tremendously important for researchers at OpenAI and ideally also at third parties to be able to run counterfactual tests on this model.
-
Their words
I think one one thing that um feels especially concerning to me about this whole incident is that this might be the clearest warning shot we ever get for loss of control.
29 August
-
Their words
In the 70s and 80s, Japanese companies could get cheap plentiful bank loans to develop new products and explore new markets. Today, they can't. Innovation is downstream of finance.
28 August
-
Their words
But I think there have been enough studies now isolating those variables that show that AI is directly responsible for a lot of this job loss.
27 August
25 August
24 August
From one piece How to Improve Motivation & Overcome Procrastination | Dr. Masud Husain 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
if you do for some reason generalize maladaptively to thinking this didn't work and I tried this, this didn't work, and I tried this and I'm really bad at this. That can lead not only to loss of motivation, but what we might call clinical depression.
-
Their words
it was only about 15 years ago I started beginning to be aware that there may be a an important biology underlying motivation and when that biology goes wrong, it can lead to loss of motivation and even pathological apathy.
23 August
-
Their words
The people who want to censor (code, speech, money) are the bad guys.
17 August
14 August
-
Their words
Major sports leagues are de facto cartels with the power to block entry and competition.
11 August
10 August
-
Their words
It will probably be economically shrewd to lose money on early robot models in anticipation that the data they gather will be worth more later in improving newer versions.
9 August
7 August
29 July
-
Their words
So, it's hard to tell how much of like the loss of the past few years was AI versus the end of like zero interest rate policy and like the post-COVID crash. And I think it's more the latter, but like again, LLMs are still getting better.
-
Their words
The original point of the China Shock 1.0 discourse was not to foreground the unfairness of Chiense competition, so much as the malfunctioning of US policy and societal institutions in the face of concentrated globalization shocks.
28 July
-
Their words
I think it's a real reminder of the stakes of what's happening and that loss of control accidents are not entirely theoretical things.
-
Their words
By the way, this is the pattern in a lot of regulation. It doesn't come from like some well-meaning person trying to keep the public safe. It comes from some entrenched, frankly, lazy interest that doesn't want to have to compete and runs to DC or runs to the local regulator and tries to use the power of government to shut their competition down. I think this is deeply unethical, but it happens all the time.
24 July
22 July
21 July
20 July
-
Their words
but I mean in reality when you look at the data on sleep loss and dementia risk The cut off is really around 6 hours. So if you're consistently sleeping fewer than 6 hours, that's where risk starts to increase.
16 July
From one piece My speech at Borgo Laudato Si’ 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Competitive pressure among AI developers could cause loss of control even without anyone intending itTheir words
But in a climate of rushed decisions and fierce competition, we could lose control over AI even if almost no one wants that outcome.
-
Their words
Loss of control is a risk for the next few years, not the next few decades as many experts once thought.
12 July
-
Their words
the vast majority of Americans had no practical freedom of speech unless they owned a media corporation or were employed by one.
11 July
From one piece Does losing sleep mean losing lifespan? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
Given what we know about sleep loss, that conclusion makes sense—but being reasonable isn’t the same thing as being proven.
-
Their words
Sleep is a lever on body composition, metabolism, and mood, and deprivation pulls in the wrong direction across nearly every axis at once.
10 July
9 July
-
korrents.com
Ask an AI lazily for a strategy and you get the predictable move your competitors already expect from you.Their words
I think if you ask an AI just for a strategy lazily, you're not going to get something great. You're going to get something pretty predictable that probably the competition would expect you to do.
7 July
5 July
1 July
-
Their words
Always try your stupid ideas if you can do it cheaply and reversibly. Jumping off a bridge is not a reversible decision. Not talking about that. I'm talking about stuff like this where you're just like, "Here's a stupid idea." 99 times out of a 100 it'll fail. But that one time you won't have any competition cuz nobody else is stupid enough to try this idea.
-
korrents.com
Cheap flat-rate AI subscription pricing is a temporary loss-leader that will be phased out once users are hookedTheir words
The subscriptions to frontier models are a very good deal, but it looks like they are being phased out now that everyone is hooked.
26 June
24 June
-
Their words
I think a lot of people, especially students, are unfortunately learning everything through LLMs. So a lot of that isn't really learning, they're just kind of cheating and they're just doing everything like that. And then they lose a lot of their skills
18 June
16 June
11 June
10 June
18 May
13 May
-
Their words
It was just better than all the competition. It was faster. It was smaller. Um it was more interactive and it was also cheaper. So, it was like 10 times better at a tenth of the price of the of the competition, right?
10 May
-
Their words
all kinds of famous companies where the thing that destroyed them was not competition. It was not someone else came up with a better product. No, their very success became a liability because the more golden the goose, the greater the temptation to butcher.
8 May
28 April
15 April
-
Their words
the work that we do with building our our computing platform. If we don't if we don't do it, I genuinely believe it doesn't get done. If we didn't take the risk that we take, if we didn't build MVLink the way we built, if we didn't build the whole stack, if we didn't create the ecosystem the way we did it, if we didn't dedicate ourselves to 20 years of CUDA while losing money most of that time, if we didn't do it, nobody else would have done it.
23 March
-
Their words
So you get this rapid, incredible great talent, rapid innovation because of open source and just, you know, the nature of friends, and, and insane competition. Among the company, what emerges is incredible stuff. And so this is the fastest innovating country in the world today
13 February
-
Their words
I actually think profitability happens when you underestimated the amount of demand you were going to get and loss happens when you overestimated the amount of demand you were going to get because you're buying the data centers ahead of time.
12 February
-
Their words
These corner allocations create a distinct source of cross-market misallocation, separate from the aggregate quantity loss (the Harberger triangle) and from within-market misallocation emphasized in prior work.
25 January
-
Their words
When you have a loss, a percentage loss, you have to have a greater percentage gain just to get back to where you were. In this case, a loss of 20% requires a gain of 25% to get back to where you were.
15 December 2025
-
Their words
The audience is waiting for you to get through this thing because they know nothing's going to happen. Like whatever's on that page, that's what's going to happen.
9 December 2025
-
Their words
economists have this fantasy of the world of companies in direct competition driving down price and increasing efficiency while supplying the same thing which is based on a false premise that people know what they want to begin with. Now I would argue when you don't create differentiation, everybody suffers.
1 December 2025
-
Their words
Utility protocols face heavy competition, and thus their value trends toward their marginal cost of operation.
25 November 2025
-
Their words
I think what's going to happen is that the way competition like competition loves specialization and you see it in the market, you see it in evolution as well. So you're going to have lots of different niches and you're going to have lots of different companies who are occupying different niches
20 November 2025
-
Their words
Learning loss is a global phenomenon, exacerbated by a catastrophic event, not a structural flaw unique to the American education system.
17 October 2025
-
Their words
and we'll gradually layer all this stuff everywhere and there will be fewer and fewer people who understand it and that there will be a sort of this like scenario of a gradual loss of control and understanding of what's happening that to me seems most likely outcome of how all this stuff will go down.
30 September 2025
From one piece Pavel Durov: Telegram, Freedom, Censorship, Money, Power & Human Nature | Lex Fridman Podcast #482 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
That's how you end up in an endless loop of ever-increasing taxes, ever-increasing regulation, which ultimately suffocates free market, free enterprise, and free speech. So, you do want to have very, very strict limitations on the extent the government can increase its powers at the expense of citizens.
-
Their words
Well, it's in line with my overall philosophy. I think competition leads to progress. If you want to create an ideal process for selecting the most qualified people for certain specific tasks you have in mind, what can be better than a competition?
-
Their words
it seems like struggle is a part of life, either you do it earlier or you do it later. And it’s true, that’s such a good point that competition does seem to be a really powerful driver of skill development
18 September 2025
-
korrents.com
Trust in institutions has fallen because the institutions have been repeatedly and spectacularly wrong.Their words
Well, when the institutions are over and over spectacularly wrong, whether just incompetent, politicized, or mendacious, there is a reason for loss of trust.
29 August 2025
-
korrents.com
Competition and experimentation among local officials has been a major driver of China's economic growth.Their words
China does much better in basic service delivery-and its local governments have also played a very obvious and important in driving growth, thanks to the competition and experimentation among local officials driven to develop their jurisdictions.
13 August 2025
12 May 2025
5 May 2025
-
Their words
I’m unhappy with that. I would not be happy with information loss. I love that it’s telling us that there’s this crisis because I do think it’s giving us the clues, and we have to take them seriously.
30 April 2025
-
Their words
I think the big thing to realize for indie developers right now is there's massive, massive competition in every major genre, and it's very unlikely that unless you just happen to be the world's best at a particular thing that you're going to release a game in an existing highly competitive genre and win.
29 April 2025
-
korrents.com
Exposure to competition in tradeable sectors makes those sectors more productive than non-tradable ones.Their words
This is why tradeable sectors are generally more productive than non-tradable ones.
28 April 2025
23 April 2025
23 March 2025
-
Their words
I knew that our competition was not going to be startups. It was incumbents. And I also knew that incumbents generally struggle with speed because by definition they have massive scale and usually entrenched architecture.
22 March 2025
-
Their words
Whereas something like Microsoft, they made VS Code as a loss leader. Copilot's probably operating on a loss leader. These things are all getting you so tied into, GitHub, remote workspaces, CI, Copilot, you become this trapped in permanent person and if that price rises, the switching cost is so great at some point that you'll never be able to switch.
15 February 2025
-
Their words
Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.
11 February 2025
3 February 2025
-
Their words
And the important thing to say is that no matter how you want the model to behave, these RLHF and preference-tuning techniques also improve performance. So, on things like math evals and code evals, there is something innate to these, what is called contrastive loss functions.
2 February 2025
-
Their words
AI competition needs to be tempered with a recognition that China isn’t going away as a player in AI, and that coexistence must also be a part of America’s strategy.
20 January 2025
-
korrents.com
Federal efforts to restrict free expression in recent years were illegal and unconstitutional.Their words
After years and years of illegal and unconstitutional federal efforts to restrict free expression, I also will sign an executive order to immediately stop all government censorship and bring back free speech to America.
19 January 2025
From one piece 10 growth tactics that never work | Elena Verna (Amplitude, Miro, Dropbox, SurveyMonkey) 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Industry benchmarks are a dangerous target because every company defines the underlying metric differently.Their words
So, taking also any benchmark that is derived from competition and saying this is where we should be is also so dangerous because it might not even be applicable depending on how you define the metric.
-
Their words
because copying competition is like the fastest way to mediocrity because you'll never be a leader if you copied somebody else.
20 December 2024
-
Their words
If you can’t control where AI weights go (i.e., prevent leaking or theft), you can’t govern the technology.
16 December 2024
-
Lovedrcmnd.app
The Engineering Executive's PrimerTheir words
"It’s honest in how it covers topics like navigating tricky power dynamics with CEOs, surviving 'peer panic,' dealing with competition within leadership teams, and in its overall breadth and depth."
1 November 2024
From one piece Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Europe is losing the competition for talented migrants because it is not an attractive enough destination.Their words
Europe’s real problem is that we are not a competitive destination.
-
korrents.com
As every population ages, countries will have to compete for migrants rather than choose freely among them.Their words
One more word of caution: the world is a closed and shrinking box. As all populations age, competition for talent will only intensify.
25 October 2024
1 October 2024
-
Their words
It could be as simple as a large universal basic income for everyone, although I suspect that will only be a small part of a solution.
5 September 2024
-
Their words
Shipbuilding policies have long been much more focused on sheltering the industry from competition rather than driving to make it successful.
26 August 2024
-
Their words
Without the details, though, it’s really difficult to know if this is an attack on free speech, or legitimate charges over actual criminal behavior.
19 June 2024
-
Their words
There is a skill to asking good questions, and everyone’s curious though. Curiosity is unbounded in this world. Every person in the world is curious, but not all of them are blessed to translate that curiosity into a well-articulated question.
28 May 2024
22 March 2024
-
Their words
But that was their official position, and that changed just two years ago when Putin gave a speech and he said that their position had changed, that they will no longer wait to absorb an attack.
4 March 2024
-
Their words
So for him, the biggest tragedy is not the loss of life, the biggest tragedy is the loss of the great power status or the unity of those whom he considered to be Russian nations.
20 February 2024
-
korrents.com
An independently owned platform is a necessary counterweight to the government and the mainstream media.Their words
So having an independently owned powerful platform is very important for truth, for free speech, for hearing the other side of the story, for counterbalancing the power of the government.
20 November 2023
From one piece My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Up 3 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
korrents.com
Refusing to advertise on a platform is protected expression, not an attack on the platform owner's free speech.Their words
Elon Musk’s sullen yawp amounts to a claim that he has a right for companies to sponsor his speech, no matter what he says. That’s nonsense, both legally and philosophically.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
-
Their words
In my view, too many critics of “cancel culture” are recklessly promoting not the speech of the powerless, but the censorious resentment of the powerful.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
-
Their words
“Your criticism violates my right to free speech” is a fatuous but common American sentiment.
My Free Speech Means You Have To Shut Uppopehat.substack.com
9 November 2023
-
Their words
So there’s a diversity of viewpoints and free speech only matters if people you don’t like are allowed to say things you don’t like. Because if that’s not the case, you don’t have free speech and it’s only a matter of time before the censorship has turned upon you.
26 October 2023
-
Their words
Without sufficient caution, we may irreversibly lose control of autonomous AI systems, rendering human intervention ineffective. Large-scale cybercrime, social manipulation, and other harms could escalate rapidly. This unchecked AI advancement could culminate in a large-scale loss of life and the biosphere, and the marginalization or extinction of humanity.
1 October 2023
-
Their words
A simple understanding of coalitions, political competition, and limited resources will bring you rather quickly to the conclusion that intelligent liberal elites can screw up their colonies pretty badly and in ways that can persist for decades or centuries.
13 September 2023
-
Their words
Moreover, model exfiltration is likely impossible to reverse.
Self-exfiltration is a key dangerous capabilityaligned.substack.com
1 September 2023
-
Their words
So I think the future of design is in that soft control, is in the ability to design highly controlled systems that enable the loss of control.
29 June 2023
-
Their words
When I talked about will GPT12 be AGI, my answer is no. Of course not. I mean, cross-entropy loss is never going to get you there. You need probably RL in fancy environments in order to get something that would be considered AGI-like.
1 June 2023
-
korrents.com
A world without mass child mortality does not have to be imagined, because rich countries are already living in it.Their words
I think we don’t have to imagine what a future could look like without this immense loss.
What does it mean when fewer people die?scientificdiscovery.dev
16 January 2023
-
Their words
What ChatGPT is, in this instance, is replication as travesty. ChatGPT may be able to write a speech or an essay or a sermon or an obituary but it cannot create a genuine song.
4 January 2023
-
Their words
Adding chairs to the game—any kind of chairs—will tend to make the competition less cutthroat for the chairs already in play.
31 December 2022
From one piece The Dark Forest and Generative AI 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
-
Their words
We have designed a system that automates a standardised way of writing. We have codified la langue at a specific point in time.
-
Their words
As the forest grows darker, noisier, and less human, I expect to invest more time in in-person relationships and communities. And while I love meatspace, this still feels like a loss.
8 September 2022
7 September 2022
-
korrents.com
A society cannot morally be based on the way evolution works, even though competition is what drives innovation.Their words
Morally, we cannot base society on the way that evolution works.
28 January 2022
-
Their words
Of course that assumes a loss of state capacity, but as we’re going to see, the evidence for that loss is actually quite ample.
25 November 2021
-
Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Garmin Fenix 6 ProTheir words
There’s still really no competition here. If you’re looking for the most feature-packed higher-end watch
30 January 2021
13 January 2021
19 August 2020
-
Their words
That knowledge never should have been lost in the first place, but in a dysfunctional society, such loss of knowledge becomes the rule.
1 June 2019
-
Recommendsrcmnd.app
Leningrad: The Epic Siege of World War II, 1941-1944Their words
But Anna Reid's book goes far further because, with excellent research in archives which weren't available before, she is able to show how totally cynical Stalin's attitude was to Leningrad. Indeed it was a major factor in the appalling loss of life and suffering, which is very hard to appreciate.
3 July 2018
-
Their words
Like most diets, low-carbohydrate diets aren’t very effective against obesity in the average person, but they do have some effectiveness and they are certainly a valid tool in the toolbox.
18 May 2018
19 March 2018
Nothing matches.
What is a korrent?
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at korrents.com.
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said. The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter, especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked article and a belief on korrents.com are left in their original language.