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Fed Independence: Safe for Now, but Under Long-Term Threat
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16 September
Geneticist and writer on human population genetics, deep history and evolution; author of the Unsupervised Learning newsletter.
no, the threat is normies will think you are a racist freak and vote for democrats forever Quoting @LuxRatio @razibkhan So the threat is: if you don’t support our goal of demographic replacement via mass immigration then we will vote even more the the left? Related
Management writer; co-author of In Search of Excellence (1982) and author of The Excellence Dividend.
It’s Already Too Late to Stop the A.I. Threat https://t.co/Uz58Z3JO8Q via @NYTOpinion Related
Founder of Farnam Street (fs.blog) and host of The Knowledge Project podcast. Writes and curates on decision-making, mental models and rational thinking.
In my conversation with @bgurley he talked about this too. He called it bedrock. When he first learned investing, he read 'Peter Lynch, One Up on Wall Street. A Random Walk Down Wall Street. All the Buffett letters, Ben Graham, and Howard Marks.' "In order to be great, you want to learn all the bedrock principles you possibly can but then, once you know those have the independence of thought and the confidence to innovate on top of those principles." Studying the history and knowing the pioneers is the closest thing to a cheat code you're gonna get. Quoting @TKPPodcast "We have the only industry in computing that doesn't even know its heroes... no one knows Alan Kay and Dennis Ritchie and Ken Thompson. This matters, I think, because we discard great lessons and have to rediscover them over and over again." Related
15 September
Criminal defence lawyer in New York; writes Simple Justice, mostly about how criminal law works in practice rather than in theory.
Tuesday Talk*: AI, AI, AI, The Hoax The CEOs of the major Artificial Intelligence companies say it’s a potential existential threat to humanity. The president’s statement followed a weekend essay from Dario Amodei, the chief executive of Anthropic, callin…
Anthropic Related
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.
14 September
Security technologist and author of books including Applied Cryptography and Data and Goliath; writes the Schneier on Security blog and the monthly Crypto-Gram newsletter.
Using AI for Weapons Development Last week, Anthropic released a long and detailed document describing current misuses of their Claude models. I’m still reading it, but I wanted to flag this: We identified a cell of threat actors based in northern Yeme…
Anthropic Related
Physicist and science communicator. Writes Backreaction and makes videos explaining new physics and astronomy results, frequently to argue that the headline about them overstates the case.
fwiw I think the actual reason leaders of AI frontier labs suddenly seem to agree to pace AI development is (a) safety measures are currently so crap that they're likely to end up in court if not jail, and they all agree that no one wants that (b) they see no major new model advancement coming up soon anyway and need an excuse (c) shift in public opinion the talk of existential threat is mostly there to keep you distracted and the stock market happy. Related
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.
Their words
This is why we need to make them realize that their own models are a threat to their rule.
Show the whole quote
@Noahpinion on X x.com
13 September
Writes Hyperdimensional, a newsletter on AI policy and governance. A White House AI policy adviser in 2025; joined OpenAI on 6 July 2026 to lead its Strategic Futures team.
Let’s just remember that we don’t need to reinvent the wheel here. Independent assessment is common in other industries. We have defined independence before in similar contexts. We’re not flying blind. Quoting @deanwball you know what? it’s awesome that people are vigorously debating the credentials of assessors in the frontier AI industry. It’s awesome we are debating what independence really means. Some of it is in bad faith but who cares. This would have been my dream come true a year ago. Related
you know what? it’s awesome that people are vigorously debating the credentials of assessors in the frontier AI industry. It’s awesome we are debating what independence really means. Some of it is in bad faith but who cares. This would have been my dream come true a year ago. Related
11 September
Creator of Claude Code at Anthropic.
Their words
The latest Threat Intelligence report is an absolutely terrifying and important read.
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x.com
26 August
Creator of Ruby on Rails, CTO of 37signals, and creator of Omarchy.
Their words
I think you're gonna have a hard time coping with the new reality if the only thing you loved about programming was the mechanical bits of putting the right logical constructs together to produce something other people told you to produce. Because that mechanical process is under threat. If you are, as you just mentioned, excited about building things, I don't think you're under threat at all.
Show the whole quote
youtube.com
22 August
Founder and former CEO of Zynga, the social-games company behind FarmVille, Zynga Poker and Words with Friends; says he founded ten companies in all, and wrote Life at the Speed of Play.
Here is the actual threat to Western democracy and freedom. AIPAC is battling the DSA and extreme left but portrayed as anti American. Meanwhile Qatar, muslim brotherhood, CAIR are supporting the most America hating candidates. Hiding in plain sight as always. Quoting @paulsperry_ BREAKING: The Shariah-ruling arm of the US Muslim Brotherhood has issued a fatwah unlocking an estimated $140 million a year in tithing (zakat) from American Muslims to finance the campaigns of Muslim leaders for public office including the House & Senate America Related
19 August
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.
17 August
Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.
My pal @justindavidcarl My pal Justin writes Fit Rich Life. In the second section… RICH — F*ck It Money & Financial Independence …he talks about his interview with my daughter and The Simple Path to Wealth Workbook she just wrote. fitrichlife.com
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15 August
Social scientist at King's College London; writes The Great Gender Divergence on why societies differ in how they treat women.
7 August
Writes and podcasts Volts, on the technology, politics and policy of decarbonisation; covered energy and climate at Vox and Grist before that.
4 August
Technology journalist; writes Understanding AI, after reporting at Ars Technica, Vox and the Washington Post.
3 August
Writer and former Substack product manager; publishes essays and interviews on technology, culture and China at jasmi.news.
31 July
Software developer and entrepreneur; co-founder of Heroku, author of The Twelve-Factor App, and a researcher at Ink & Switch.
26 July
Organizational psychologist and professor at the Wharton School. Author of Give and Take, Originals, Think Again and Hidden Potential, host of the Re:Thinking podcast, and writer of the GRANTED newsletter.
It's sad that women's success is a threat to marriages. 544k couples, 29 countries: Separation is 36% more likely when women outearn their partners. The risk goes up further if they have children. A woman's prosperity should be a source of pride, not relationship conflict. Related
21 July
Journalist; wrote We Are Eating the Earth on food and climate, and writes the newsletter Emissions.
13 July
Labour politician. Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from July 2024 to June 2026, and MP for Holborn and St Pancras from 2015 until standing down in 2026. Director of Public Prosecutions before entering Parliament.
Shocking news that Counter Terrorism Police are investigating a credible, serious threat targeted at an Islamic event in Suffolk. Thanks to the quick action taken by police and the organisers, nobody was hurt. My message is clear: I will not tolerate any attacks on our Muslim communities, or any form of anti-Muslim hatred. Related
6 July
Partner at Collaborative Fund and author of The Psychology of Money, Same As Ever and The Art of Spending Money. Writes essays on investor behavior and posts frequently on X.
The Purpose of Independence, Lazy Work, and Believing Forecasts. Youtube: https://t.co/Z0xl5RH4fI Spotify: open.spotify.com
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25 June
Canadian bootstrapper and writer on small software businesses. Co-founder of the podcast hosting company Transistor.fm and author of the book Marketing for Developers.
24 June
Security researcher; built Report URI and Security Headers, and writes about web security in practice.
2 June
Co-founder and CTO of Honeycomb; previously an infrastructure engineer at Parse, Facebook and Linden Lab, and co-author of Observability Engineering.
27 May
Member of technical staff at Anthropic. He has led ML/AI teams at Amazon, Alibaba and Lazada, and writes about LLMs, recommender systems and engineering at eugeneyan.com.
26 May
Writes Strange Loop Canon, on the intersection of technology, economics and business — "building models of the world to understand these problem areas and to define them better".
15 May
Writes Very Serious, a newsletter on politics, the economy and culture, and hosts the podcast of the same name.
29 April
Marriage and family therapist working from attachment theory and emotionally focused therapy. Author of Secure Love and the person behind The Secure Relationship.
25 April
Programmer known online as technomancy; author of Leiningen, the Clojure build tool, and a maintainer of the Fennel programming language.
20 April
Cryptography engineer; maintains Go's cryptography libraries as a full-time open-source maintainer, funded directly by companies that use them.
17 April
Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.
Some very cool news to share: Hh is releasing the paperback edition of Pathfinders! ~100 Extraordinary Stories of people like you on the Quest for Financial Independence and how to join them. lnk.to
Quoting @harrimanhouse Pathfinders, the follow-up to JL Collins' bestselling personal finance sensation The Simple Path to Wealth, will be available in US paperback format this June! Pathfinders brings together scores of amazing and insightful real-life stories from real people on the journey to financial independence –… Related
2 February
Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.
16 December 2025
China economy researcher based in Beijing who writes on his personal blog about Chinese political economy, history, books and music.
Their words
Nominally a biography of Patrice Lumumba, this book is actually a gripping, blow-by-blow account of how the Congo stumbled to independence from Belgian rule.
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andrewbatson.com
31 October 2025
Founder of Terraform Industries and formerly a physicist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory; writes about energy, space and manufacturing.
10 September 2025
President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.
energy Europe
Their words
This must be Europe's Independence Moment. I believe this is our Union's mission. To be able to take care of our own defence and security. To take control over the technologies and energies that will fuel our economies.
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enlargement.ec.europa.eu
12 May 2025
Professor of Cognitive and Computational Neuroscience at the University of Sussex, co-director of the Sussex Centre for Consciousness Science, and author of Being You: A New Science of Consciousness.
10 April 2025
Executive coach for product leaders. Previously a partner at GV (Google Ventures) and a product manager at Google. Writes at Bring the Donuts, including a standing essential-reading list for product managers.
21 January 2025
Development economist; writes Global Developments, on growth, history and the numbers behind them.
On changing their mind
Having fallen into the East Asia - Africa Trap before, I can tell you precisely why so many people make this mistake.
Show the whole quote
Development economist; writes Global Developments, on growth, history and the numbers behind them.
From one piece
No, South Korea Was Not Poorer Than Kenya in 1960
2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
Their words
Precisely how much the ancient continuity of East Asian states matters for development is still a little murky, and the delineation with colonial legacies is still an area of active debate—but the balance of evidence suggests that the legacies of these pre-colonial states stretched through the colonial period, extending even into the post-independence era.
Show the whole quote
global-developments.org
Their words
At independence, South Korea and Taiwan had far higher rates of primary education than most of Sub-Saharan Africa.
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global-developments.org
19 January 2025
Historian at Stanford and the Hoover Institution; wrote Milton Friedman: The Last Conservative and Goddess of the Market, on Ayn Rand.
Their words
So, I think she comes back in to relevancy in a different way than Friedman does, because I think in some ways she's tapped into a more universal human longing for independence and autonomy and self-creation and self-discovery.
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youtube.com
1 December 2024
Social scientist at King's College London; writes The Great Gender Divergence on why societies differ in how they treat women.
8 November 2024
Alignment researcher at Anthropic; co-led OpenAI's superalignment team until 2024, and writes Musings on the Alignment Problem.
4 March 2024
Historian of Ukraine at Harvard; wrote The Gates of Europe, Chernobyl and The Russo-Ukrainian War.
Russia
Their words
And the combination of all this factors led to the processes in which Ukraine’s decision to go independent spelled the end to the Soviet Union. And if today anybody wants to restore, not the Soviet Union, but some form of Russian control over the post-Soviet space, Ukraine is as important today as it was back in December of 1991.
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youtube.com
31 January 2024
Partner at Collaborative Fund and author of The Psychology of Money, Same As Ever and The Art of Spending Money. Writes essays on investor behavior and posts frequently on X.
29 November 2023
Development economist; argues that letting people move to rich countries does more for the poor than aid, and wrote Let Their People Come.
immigration
Their words
The thing about the far-right parties is that they are trying to get people to equate all foreigners in a country with a threat to our future, but they are only gaining ground because of their ability to generate fear.
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english.elpais.com
17 October 2023
Creator of the Zig programming language; president and lead developer of the Zig Software Foundation.
The Techno-Optimist Manifesto Technology is a tool that enhances the power of the wielder. Our tools are getting more and more powerful. Some tools, such as nuclear fission, are so powerful that they pose an existential threat to all of humanity, be…
Related
17 July 2023
Professor of Cognitive and Computational Neuroscience at the University of Sussex, co-director of the Sussex Centre for Consciousness Science, and author of Being You: A New Science of Consciousness.
29 June 2023
Writer of the personal-finance blog Of Dollars And Data and author of Just Keep Buying and The Wealth Ladder. Chief Operating Officer at Ritholtz Wealth Management.
Their words
I was never a big fan of thinking about financial independence until I read Your Money or Your Life by Vicki Robin.
Show the whole quote
ofdollarsanddata.com
27 June 2023
First Amendment lawyer and former federal prosecutor; writes The Popehat Report and explains what the law actually says when people shout about free speech.
From one piece
Supreme Court Clarifies "True Threats" First Amendment Exception
2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
government
Their words
Now, finally, the Court has resolved the question: the First Amendment requires that, at a minimum, the government prove that a speaker was reckless about whether their statement would be interpreted as threatening.
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popehat.substack.com
America
Their words
As I’ve argued before, the so-called “objective standard” can be very difficult to administer in this big diverse messy country where we often don’t share a common sense of reality and there is no uniform “reasonable person.”
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popehat.substack.com
3 November 2022
Mathematical biologist; Senior Lecturer in the Department of Mathematical Sciences at the University of Bath and author of The Maths of Life and Death and How to Expect the Unexpected.
19 July 2022
Physicist and science communicator. Writes Backreaction and makes videos explaining new physics and astronomy results, frequently to argue that the headline about them overstates the case.
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