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18 September
17 September
16 September
15 September
13 September
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Their words
Now recently the U.S. economy has experienced a huge positive shock to its Intelligence, with more to come. The core prediction is that this increases marginal returns, employment, and real wages in the Polanyi knowledge sector.
A simple model of AI-aided economic growthmarginalrevolution.com
11 September
10 September
9 September
8 September
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Their words
We are at a point metallurgically where video games were at the start of the last console generation-upgrades aren't necessarily noticeable based on specs alone. And noticeable improvements require a huge increase in resources.
3 September
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korrents.com
Saving dominates returns early in a career and returns dominate saving later, because compounding is back-loaded.Their words
How much you save has a far greater impact than your investments early on in your career. But as your portfolio grows, investment returns swamp your savings because of the wonders of compounding.
How to Invest When Your Portfolio Gets Biggerawealthofcommonsense.com
31 August
27 August
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Their words
What we do know from economics, is that trajectories of technological development are often associated with increasing returns.
24 August
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korrents.com
Investing in relationships yields better returns than investing in speculative assets like crypto.Their words
Investing into relationships is a better deal than investing into crypto.
21 August
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Their words
The way to win at capitalism is to focus on what it actually does (make customers' lives better) rather than the socialist caricature of it (squeeze every penny out of them). The latter gets you 2x returns at best, whereas making new things for people can get you 10x.
18 August
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korrents.com
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.Their words
If China can land humans on the Moon before the United States returns, it will represent a huge geopolitical win.
17 August
18 July
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korrents.com
Pushing an LLM's reasoning budget higher eventually yields diminishing returns and becomes uneconomical.Their words
This saturation can be seen more clearly for the GPT 5.6 Sol model, which also shows that increasing reasoning budgets can become uneconomical at some point.
Controlling Reasoning Effort in LLMsmagazine.sebastianraschka.com
21 June
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korrents.com
Generative AI systems have no built-in drive toward truth and accuracy, unlike people or institutions.Their words
Generative AI has no internal, designed momentum towards truth and accuracy (beyond the absurdly diminishing returns of energy-hungry multi-layered LLMs), but a person or an institution can (and should).
18 June
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korrents.com
Active investing collectively drags down portfolio returns, and the evidence leaves almost no counter-argument.Their words
there is almost no counter to the argument that active investing collectively creates a drag on portfolio performance
9 June
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Their words
the investor community writ large has slowly become aware of and believes it strongly in increasing returns and power laws. And so over time, if they all believe that, they're going to be more willing to invest on the come and take risk.
4 June
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
things have to go really wrong for us to like just get over the threshold of uh you know, capital being productive enough to automate lots of work, but not be productive enough that that the interest rate is high and or the price of capital produced goods is falling a lot, okay? So, even without redistribution, a little bit of savings will save a lot of people.
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Their words
it's already not that hard to index. So it's not There's been a bit of an increase in the privatization of returns but it's still like you know well under 20% of the total market cap of um non-non-tiny companies in in the US is is a private.
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korrents.com
Building the hardest feature in a product yields disproportionately greater returns than easier ones.Their words
Choosing to tackle "the hardest feature" generally produces power-law-level returns, as opposed to tackling something less hard.
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Their words
But, if we get into a situation where people are satiated with capital, um then the returns to accumulating capital are going to be lower. And so, then these rich people are going to be consuming more.
13 May
17 April
7 April
From one piece Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
if somebody, you know, is standing behind the dessert table and is replenishing, restocking the desserts and keeps kind of you know, adding adding new ones in, it may turn out that you know, a little bit later a much better desserts appear.
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Their words
If you're not changing it, if there's some kind of stagnation there, if you're not changing those external sort of circumstances, yes, like you may start to get sort of diminishing returns again. But that doesn't mean there's anything intrinsic about the situation.
16 March
8 February
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korrents.com
Local AI models will eventually catch up to frontier models once frontier progress hits diminishing returns.Their words
At some point frontier models will face diminishing returns, local models will catch up, and we will be done being beholden to frontier models.
10 December 2025
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Their words
In short, investors' view of the decade to come is being shaped by the events of the last few days.
9 December 2025
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Their words
the reason it's a catastrophic way to be paid my argument is that marketing is actually fat tailed so is innovation R&D pharmaceutical research science okay in other words 5 to 10% of what you do delivers perhaps 110% of the value
25 November 2025
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Their words
I think I think there'll definitely be there'll be diminishing returns because you want you want people who think differently rather than the same. I think that if they were literal copies of me, I'm not sure how much more incremental value you'd get.
31 October 2025
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korrents.com
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.Their words
I am far from certain that NASA can regain anything like the vigor necessary to respond decisively to the Chinese threat, but I am determined that the free people of Earth not live under a Red Moon
NASA’s Orion Space Capsule Is Flaming Garbagecaseyhandmer.wordpress.com
25 September 2025
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Being Right or Making MoneyTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Silver BearsTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
Triumph of the OptimistsTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
+ 2 more
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrowTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
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Recommendsrcmnd.app
The Art of the MarketTheir words
Here’s a list of great investing books that somehow have fewer than 50 reviews! Being Right or Making Money by Ned Davis The Art of the Market by Bob Tamarkin and Les Krantz Triumph of the Optimists: 101 Years of Global Investment Returns by Elroy Dimson, Paul Marsh, and Mike Staunton 2020 Vision: Investment wisdom for tomorrow by Harry Liem The Silver Bears by Paul Emil Erdman
1 September 2025
18 August 2025
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Their words
And it came back and half of them were great, a quarter of them were total garbage and a quarter needed some work. But like it was, you know, in a way him working the entire weekend with, you know, guidance from him.
13 August 2025
From one piece Keyu Jin: China's Economy, Tariffs, Trade, Trump, Communism & Capitalism | Lex Fridman Podcast #477 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Maybe on the good side, it’s actually a golden age for Chinese women because the Chinese girls never had as much education investment apportioned to them as they’ve had after being the only child in the family. And you raised a daughter like a son. And if we look at all the skill gaps and the education gaps and the returns to education, actually girls fared better.
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Their words
I’ve rarely seen a more capitalist society than China, from the pure economic side. I’ve rarely seen companies that are as competitive as Chinese companies. People as ambitious and obsessed with making money as Chinese people. Kind of ruthless actually. And look, consumers shop, firms invest. If you invest well financially, you’ll get great returns. What is not capitalistic about the Chinese economy? At the same time, the social fabric is highly socialist.
17 July 2025
16 July 2025
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Their words
if you look at the history of banks from up until 2007, a lot of banks were earning 30% equity. Most of them went bankrupt. We never did that much. Okay, but in '08 and '09, we were fine, and they weren't.
14 October 2024
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Their words
Many software investors eschew hard tech startups because of their capital intensity, but it’s hard to deny that huge returns are possible in hard tech: just consider SpaceX.
31 August 2024
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Their words
The selling point of generative A.I. is that these programs generate vastly more than you put into them, and that is precisely what prevents them from being effective tools for artists.
12 July 2024
14 June 2024
20 February 2024
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Their words
Price matters a lot. You can buy the best business in the world and if you overpay, you're not going to earn particularly attractive returns.
18 February 2024
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Their words
The more addicts rely on these stimuli, the less pleasure they receive. At a certain point, this cycle creates anhedonia—the complete absence of enjoyment in an experience supposedly pursued for pleasure.
19 December 2023
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Their words
recent LLMs are reaching the limits of text data online and repeating data eventually leads to diminishing returns
1 October 2023
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korrents.com
Returns for performance are superlinear rather than proportional across most domains that matter.Their words
One of the most important things I didn't understand about the world when I was a child is the degree to which the returns for performance are superlinear.
26 August 2022
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Their words
New land can be brought under cultivation (or cultivated more intensively) of course, but marginal gains decrease rapidly (because the best land is cultivated first and because adding more labor to already cultivated land, while it can increase harvests, is less efficient than cultivating new land) and there is a fairly hard ceiling on total production of this sort that was, for the most part, fairly low.
1 June 2022
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Their words
Thus, as desirable as public investment is, the proposition that it can be automatically financed by debt is wrong.
22 February 2022
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korrents.com
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.Their words
Reality is not fully knowable. And thinking harder has costs.
17 January 2022
1 August 2021
Nothing matches.
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