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Economist at the Hoover Institution; wrote The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and blogs as The Grumpy Economist.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  When the Fed buys long-term Treasuries under QE and issues overnight debt, the result is equivalent to the Treasury having issued overnight debt.

  interest rates

  Their words

  In QE, the Treasury issued long-term bonds. The Fed bought up the long bonds, issued overnight debt, and passed the interest difference back to the Treasury. In the end, it is just as if the Treasury issued overnight debt in the first place.

  Better Debtgrumpy-economist.com

Engineering leader on Google Chrome; writes about web performance and, lately, about working with AI coding tools.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  What engineers will stay valuable for is being answerable for a system — the named person who decides what ships, what is blocked and what is deferred, whoever or whatever wrote the code.

  Their words

  But they're the person that's on the hook for understanding, for gating, for making sure that someone is deciding what ships, what's blocked, what do we defer. And so, I think that that is something that engineers are going to continue to be valuable for.

  youtube.com

Programmer and teacher; writes on software, learning and the web, and makes the Coding Blocks video course.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  The Martian

  Their words

  When an engineer or a scientist decides to write science fiction, it’s usually either very bad or very good. This one is very good.

  rakhim.org

Systems and developer-tools engineer at Cloudflare as of 2026, on durable infrastructure for AI agents; worked on React and PartyKit before that. Writes at sunilpai.dev.

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  Agent autonomy is a capability, not a product direction: what the person is actually trying to do decides whether more of it helps or ruins the thing.

  Their words

  we tend to describe progress in agents as progress in autonomy: first they could do five minutes of work, then an hour, now we talk seriously about agents running for days. that’s impressive, but autonomy is a capability, not a product direction! the Job To Be Done tells you whether to use it.

  the task isn't the jobsunilpai.dev

Chief Scientist at Google DeepMind and Google Research, at Google since 1999, where he co-created MapReduce, Bigtable, TensorFlow and the TPU.

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  There is no real impediment to models running their own research loop and improving themselves at a far more rapid rate.

  Their words

  Um but I think there's no uh you know real impediment to making that be a much more automated loop where the model itself decides it's going to explore or maybe with a nudge from some people uh at the various highest level like oh why don't you try some new ideas around model architectures that incorporate this and then it will go run lots of experiments uh see which ones work and then those will get incorporated at a much more rapid rate

  Jeff Dean: The 1% Rule for Building in AIyoutube.com

Writer and consultant on formal methods and software correctness; author of Practical TLA+ and Logic for Programmers.

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  The core tension of all engineering is between how expensive a mistake is and how quickly you can iterate, and that alone decides how much planning a field does.

  Their words

  The core tension of engineering is between how expensive it is to make a mistake and how quickly you can iterate. The faster you can iterate, the less planning you need to do before you iterate, and the more expensive it is, the more planning you need to do.

  Formal methods with Hillel Wayneyoutube.com

Founder of HumanLayer; wrote 12-Factor Agents, on how to build AI agents that hold up in production.

From one piece Context engineering with Dex Horthy 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.

  Their words

  You're not actually getting a like smarter model. like the intelligence of the model is is what drives its ability to attend to all of the tokens in the context window to figure out on the next turn which parts of this 100k or 200k context window are the most relevant to making the decision of like what is the next tool we call and doing that over and over again in a loop.

  Context engineering with Dex Horthyyoutube.com

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  Loops belong on codebase quality, not on shipping the features users want; we read all of the code, because program design is what decides whether a codebase stays changeable.

  Their words

  You'll notice what I said was not use loops to ship the features that users want. We use loops to actually improve the codebase quality and we read all the code because we care about how it's architected and we care not just about the system architecture but what I would call the program design

  Context engineering with Dex Horthyyoutube.com

Criminal defence lawyer in New York; writes Simple Justice, mostly about how criminal law works in practice rather than in theory.

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  Ending a temporary immigration status overnight, after people have built lives in reliance on it, does real harm to them and to their communities.

  immigrationAmericagovernment

  Their words

  To shout “temporary” and pull the plug essentially overnight after immigrants have relied on the government’s representations that they should put their efforts and future into establishing a life in the United States wreaks unfair havoc on the lives of immigrants as well as the welfare of their communities.

  SCOTUS Whitewashes Otherwise Racist Decisionblog.simplejustice.us

AI researcher at OpenAI; built the poker systems Libratus and Pluribus and the Diplomacy agent Cicero, and works on reasoning models.

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  There will be no overnight intelligence explosion, because a model's best work takes so much test-time compute that time itself is the bottleneck.

  Their words

  and I don't think we're headed to that world largely because of the fact that the models rely so much on large scale test time compute in order to achieve um their greatest intelligence. If you if it requires so much test time on compute to unlock the full capabilities of the model, then that means you're bottlenecked by time

  youtube.com

Founder and former CEO of Zynga, the social-games company behind FarmVille, Zynga Poker and Words with Friends; says he founded ten companies in all, and wrote Life at the Speed of Play.

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  A company is not a democracy: every voice should be heard and then one person decides, and the decision should not be the popular one.

  Their words

  It's false to believe that a company is a democracy. The way I run the company was what I called a democratic dictatorship. And I said, I want everyone everyone's voice to be heard and then I'll be the single vote. And I think that's the way a company should be run. I think there's one CEO, there's one chef. I think a good CEO is going to seek out the intellectual honesty, the truths from everywhere and hear from everybody and then they're going to make the decision and they're not going to make the decision because it's most popular in the company.

  youtube.com

Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla; creator of nanoGPT and the term "vibe coding".

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  An overnight automated search found tunings that two decades of hand-tuning experience had missed on an already well-tuned repository.

  Their words

  And I've gotten to a certain point and I thought it was like fairly well tuned and then I let auto research go for like overnight and it came back with like tunings that I didn't see.

  youtube.com

Genomics researcher and writer on science, biotech and the culture of research.

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  How long a trial takes decides which diseases get drugs at all, because capital flows to the indications whose endpoints can be measured quickly.

  Psychotherapy

  Their words

  Lastly, the duration of a clinical trial does not merely determine how fast an individual therapy reaches patients. It also shapes which diseases attract serious investment and which do not.

  writingruxandrabio.com

Founder of WP Engine and Smart Bear; writes A Smart Bear, long essays on strategy, pricing and how startups actually fail.

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  A/B testing cannot touch anything that actually decides a company: not strategy, not vision, not insight.

  Their words

  AB testing doesn't work very well and it doesn't work on most things. It won't work on strategy or vision or insights like nothing actually important to the success of the company. You don't AB test whether Uber is a good idea.

  youtube.com

Founded CD Baby in 1998 and sold it in 2008, giving the proceeds to a charitable trust for music education. Since then a writer and speaker: five books and 550+ articles, published first at sive.rs, which they hand-code and keep free of advertising.

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  Nobody actually decides on the facts -- emotion decides and facts rationalise, so you find whatever truth is useful to you.

  Their words

  Emotion decides. Facts rationalize. You'll find whatever truth is useful.

  What is “the truth” really for?sive.rs

American author of Liar's Poker, Moneyball, The Big Short and The Undoing Project, and host of the podcast Against the Rules.

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  Taking notes by hand is a filter, and recording an interview removes the one filter that decides what is worth keeping.

  Their words

  So this is a filter. Like if I'm talking to you, it takes effort to put it down on the page. I don't record anything that I've filtered it. It's interesting enough to me that it belongs on the page.

  10 Years of Acquired (with Michael Lewis)youtube.com

Chairman and chief executive of Microsoft since 2014; joined the company in 1992 and ran its cloud business before that.

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  What decides a country's fortunes is not owning the leading sector but using the leading technology to create its own comparative advantage.

  Their words

  ultimately I think what matters is the use of AI in their economy to create economic value right I mean that's the uh the diffusion theory which is ultimately it's not the leading sector but it's the ability to use the leading technology to create your own comparative advantage right so that I think will fundamentally be the core driver

  Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com

Founder of Telegram, and before it of VK.

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  Curate your own information sources, or an algorithmic feed decides what is important and you end up consuming the same memes and news as everyone else.

  Their words

  So it's extremely important to curate the information sources that you have, so that you wouldn't be somebody who is left to the will of AI-based algorithmic feed telling you what's important so that you end up consuming the same information, the same stuff, the same memes, the same news as everybody else.

  youtube.com

German writer and historian; wrote Blitzed, on drug use in Nazi Germany, and Tripped.

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  The decision to split the German forces away from Moscow was taken by a Hitler who had just been given his first intravenous opioid, and that is probably why Moscow never fell.

  Russia

  Their words

  So Hitler receives this Dolantin injection, and he gets up, he goes into the meeting room, he dominates the meeting room, he feels great. He decides, you know, in front of everybody, no one is able to… no one overpowers him in that meeting. He was very good in the room. And the troops are split up. Like Leningrad is now a target. This weakens the general thrust towards Moscow. This is probably why they didn't take Moscow.

  youtube.com

Economist specialising in China's economy, international macroeconomics and global trade, and author of The New China Playbook.

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  America will keep leading on zero-to-one breakthroughs, but it is diffusion that decides how much productivity a technology actually releases, and China is better at that.

  ChinaAmerica

  Their words

  The US will lead for some time on breakthroughs on disruptive technologies, the zero to one technologies that ultimately change the world. But innovation is a process. It goes from invention to production and commercialization and diffusion, diffusing technology throughout all parts of the economy. And on those two stages, I think that China has a unique advantage, even if it still can’t do the zero to one breakthroughs, because in the end, how much this technology is adopted by the countries and by the various parts of the economy is fundamentally crucial to how much productivity will be unleashed.

  youtube.com

Statistician at Carnegie Mellon; writes on complex systems, machine learning and inference, and has kept a books-read notebook since 2000 that is now thousands of entries long.

• Likedrcmnd.app

  The Overnight Kidnapper

  Their words

  Mind-candy mystery from a highly reliable author.

  bactra.org

Historian of the Second World War; wrote Normandy '44 and Brothers in Arms, and co-hosts the We Have Ways of Making You Talk podcast.

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  On the scale of Barbarossa the operational level of war decides everything: it does not matter how good your commanders at the front are if the backup is not there.

  Their words

  So when you’re talking about Operation Barbarossa, to go back to your original question, Lex, you’re dealing with an operation on such a vast scale, that that operational level of war is absolutely vital to its chances of success or failure. It doesn’t matter how good your individual commanders are at the front. If you haven’t got the backup, it’s not going to work.

  youtube.com