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Henrik Karlsson Newsletter
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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17 September
16 September
14 September
12 September
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Their words
a recognition that AI is powerful (and will reshape power relations among humans) but that the consequences will flow messily through multiple complex processes that we really need to start mapping and understanding
How should social science think about AI?programmablemutter.com
11 September
10 September
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Their words
Today's AI hunts and feasts upon the Mozarts, Einsteins, and Shakespeares of our age. To birth a gang of ghostly geniuses that write our code, drive our cars, do our work, and run our world.
9 September
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Their words
The new AI agents have profound implications for mathematics research and I think the math community needs to start discussing specific ways to deal with these.
7 September
6 September
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korrents.com
Nobody is prepared for the consequences of machine intelligence continuing to rise this fast.Their words
I am concerned no one is prepared for the consequences of a continued rapid rise in machine intelligence.
4 September
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Their words
In fact, conventional risk management tells us that, when consequences are severe, low-probability extreme outcomes can determine the response.
1 September
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Their words
AI is getting extremely capable; no one fully understands the consequences of this.
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korrents.com
Forensic experts exposed as frauds, and the prosecutors who keep using them, face no consequences.Their words
And while some courts have ruled that Hayne and West aren’t credible experts, the two men never faced any real accountability.
29 August
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Their words
But if you return fire with fire, the only thing that'll burn is our reputation. The troll who triggered you into flashing your teeth won't face any consequences, but every spectator who saw it will judge you.
26 August
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Their words
I think this is one of the great tragedies of the moment, is the falling birth rates are making it more difficult for people to be excited about a more prosperous future that is difficult to get to. Because if we're planting trees of which our children will not sit in the shades, I don't know, maybe we should just make some lumber and burn it all down, right? I think there's a nihilism that can sneak into society much more easily when we are not DNA invested in the future
20 August
From one piece We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Decline 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
within societies, more gender-egalitarian people almost never have more kids than less gender-egalitarian people, and in a panel model, changes in the mismatch rate have no relationship to fertility
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
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Their words
we really do have a good causal model of how to think about fertility decline!
We Actually Know A Lot About Fertility Declinelymanstone.substack.com
19 August
17 August
From one piece Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphs 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Losing your emotions does not leave you a cooler decision-maker; it leaves you unable to organise a life at all.Their words
if you have massive frontal lobe lesions that make it the case that you're no longer emotionally responding to stimuli the consequences are devastating which is that you cannot make decisions complex decisions in your life you can't organize your life you're not motivated to take the right path through life because you don't feel one one way or the other about the different options that are available.
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Their words
And the other question is if you tie emotion to the the conscious experience of emotion, that is you equate you conflate emotions with feelings. Well, then you're not studying emotions, you're studying consciousness.
12 August
10 August
31 July
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Their words
our Tendency is a hard-wired part of our nature. It's not a product of upbringing, generation, birth order, nationality-it's part of our inborn nature.
1 July
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Their words
which is why when I see manifestos today I'm just like too soon. Not a bad idea. Would love to have one just too soon. It took 15 years for the technical change of object-oriented programming to come before we could say here are the consequences of it. Here's how in a simple way we can express how to effectively use this technology that we've been using day in and day out for 15 years. The genie comes along. People are like, "Well, what's the new manifesto? It's just not manifesto time yet.
24 June
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Their words
Thoughts, feelings, decisions, even bodies don't exist, they're only abstractions that we use to manage the chaos.
22 June
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Their words
The phrase "your feelings are valid" does not invite curiosity or deeper self-understanding, which is the point of psychotherapy. It is the mirror image of "stop whining and get a grip." One sounds warm and one sounds harsh, but neither deepens self-awareness.
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Likedrcmnd.app
Demographic Headwinds: The Economic Consequences of Lower Birth Rates and Longer LivesTheir words
A short volume, to the point, worry is in order.
15 June
9 June
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korrents.com
Optimising a single metric is a trap, because the second-order consequences of the change only surface much later.Their words
you got to be really conscious of the consequence and not get too deterministic about a single metric or a single variable and know what's important and what's on top.
7 June
27 May
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Their words
That judgment, that ability to have that judgment is so distorted right now because the agent will just do the hacky thing for you. The agent will kind of deal with the hacky problems that come down the road. And it's way easier just to be like, "Oh yeah, it's a temporary fix."
7 April
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Their words
People will sometimes talk about um you know, a theory of everything as a potential goal for for physics. And and then there's this presumption somehow that physics is done once you get there. And of course, this is this is not true at all if you think about computer science.
6 April
From one piece Surprises of Motherhood 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
I don't think the continuation of the species is some niche, selfish lifestyle choice, nor do I think people without children should have to constantly absorb the consequences of a structure that isn't helping either of us.
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Their words
Whenever humans experience situations where we are closer to our animal selves than usual (needing to use the bathroom, having periods, giving birth, raising a baby, being sick), we usually behave as animals do: instinctively, urgently, and impolitely.
23 March
20 March
16 March
9 March
22 February
14 January
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Lovedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Story of A PoemTheir words
Could a book be more up my alley? The way he unpacks his feelings about giftedness, overachieving, language, disability, and difference really spoke to me.
7 January
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Recommendsaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Thinking, Fast and SlowTheir words
When does our animal brain make decisions for us before our more analytical brain has a chance to think through the consequences? From Nobel laureate Kahneman, this is one of the most important psychology books ever written.
21 December 2025
22 November 2025
27 October 2025
21 September 2025
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Their words
You can shortcut like hard feelings because now you can just watch TikTok instead of actually dealing with the very difficult emotion or tension that you had with a colleague or with your partner or with your children.
29 August 2025
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Likedrcmnd.app
Globalists: The End of Empire and the Birth of NeoliberalismTheir words
As Quinn Slobodian documents in his excellent book Globalists: The End of Empire and the Birth of Neoliberalism
26 July 2025
15 July 2025
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korrents.com
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.Their words
Surviving fertility rates can go in whatever direction society wants, whenever it wants.
There Is No Long Decline in Fertilitylymanstone.substack.com
1 July 2025
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korrents.com
Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity.Their words
My qualitative research has taught me one thing: culture is malleable! So surely this issue is fixable!
25 June 2025
5 June 2025
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Their words
I almost feel the term doesn't matter, what I know is by 2030 there'll be such dramatic progress. We'll be dealing with the consequences of that progress, both the positive externalities and the negative externalities that come with it in a big way by 2030. So that I strongly feel.
4 June 2025
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Their words, before
The problem is that the conversational interface is potent and that the AI is trained on a lot of human text input which unfortunately is probably enough to do real damage if that conversational interface is hooked up with something that has real world consequences.
Their words now
While all this is happening, I’ve found myself reflecting a lot on what AI means to the world and I am becoming increasingly optimistic about our future. It’s obvious now that we’re undergoing a tremendous shift.
3 June 2025
20 February 2025
From one piece Why are Marriage & Fertility Plummeting in MENA? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
But over the past 50 years, there has been a massive decline in fertility. This entails fewer cousins of a suitable age.
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Their words
The Middle East, North Africa and Anatolia are witnessing a rapid decline in coupling and fertility. This should rock your priors.
11 February 2025
24 January 2025
1 November 2024
From one piece Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline.Their words
Across the OECD, governments are upping their spending. But a wealth of research suggests these fail to mitigate the downward trend.
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Their words
Nicolas Eberstadt speculates that it’s all about rising autonomy. But that can’t explain why fertility has also plummeted in Saudi Arabia, Egypt and India, where women are often heavily restricted.
20 August 2024
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Their words
But more deeply, if distributional consequences of a shock are important, then hand out cash. So long as everyone faces the same prices.
28 May 2024
16 March 2024
4 March 2024
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Their words
But the biggest global thing that happened was redrawing the map of the world and producing dozens, if not hundreds, of new states. That’s the outcome of the different processes of the 20th century.
17 January 2024
From one piece Five Fertility Fails 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
They do not want to give such enemies the satisfaction of admitting they have a point.
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korrents.com
Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all.Their words
And they don’t see a need for a plan B, in case their forecast fails.
1 January 2024
3 December 2023
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korrents.com
A far-fetched idea earns its place in physics only when you can go out and look for its observational consequences.Their words
That’s also why I like the dark disk because there’s a scientific story behind it. As far-fetched as it might sound, you could actually go and look for the experimental consequences, for the observational consequences to test whether it’s true.
27 November 2023
15 October 2023
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Their words
you should be frightened of smart people who don't read. They're the ones that build Jurassic Park, or send all the dentists to build a dam.
4 October 2023
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Their words
In 2023, a world of 8.1 billion people suffers far less hunger and famine than the world of 3.2 billion did in 1963, the year of my birth.
3 October 2023
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Their words
Its main causes are tied to deeply held modern values that have been pushing us in this direction for most of this time across most of the world.
7 September 2022
From one piece Nick Lane: Origin of Life, Evolution, Aliens, Biology, and Consciousness | Lex Fridman Podcast #318 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
AI will out-think us, but it will not become conscious, because consciousness is a property of life.Their words
But in terms of what we value the most as humans, which is to say our feelings, our emotions, our sense of what the world is in a very personal way that I think means as much or more to people than their information processing. And that’s where I don’t think that AI necessarily will become conscious because I think it’s the property of life.
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Their words
And I had suggested that that’s linked to the electrical fields on the membranes themselves and that they give some indication of how am I doing in relation to my environment as a real-time feedback on the world.
12 July 2022
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korrents.com
Knowledge decays fast when it goes unused, while the feeling a class left behind lasts for decades.Their words
Feelings, or vibes, on the other hand, seem to stick around a lot longer.
30 May 2022
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korrents.com
Making a change within a complex system tends to produce unforeseen and unintended consequences.Their words
I'm reminded I'm in a huge dynamical system and making a change has unforeseen and unintended consequences.
4 March 2022
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Likedrcmnd.app
The LoopTheir words
Science journalist Jacob Ward warns about a future in which AI technology forms a tight cybernetic feedback loop with the biases ingrained into the human brain, pushing our day-to-day existence in frightening directions. It's sort of like a version of The Terminator in which Danny Kahneman plays a starring role. As longtime readers and listeners of mine know, a big theme in my techno-criticism is the under-appreciated degree to which technologies exert powerful, unintended consequences on our personhood and culture, so Ward's warning hits a sweet spot with me.
7 June 2021
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Mixed onrcmnd.app
Mac OSTheir words
I have a lot of feelings about macOS: it is astonishingly painful for developers, but makes up for it with a consistent experience for users.
18 January 2021
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korrents.com
High consequences cannot be what makes work engineering, because most traditional engineering is low-stakes too.Their words
Much of the engineering there is low-stakes, low-consequence, just like much software is.
21 December 2020
Nothing matches.
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