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20 September
Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author, with Abraham Newman, of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy.
"Perhaps the most useful role that the discipline of International Relations may play is ... as a generator of largely untestable and incompatible claims that can then help inform policy systems that are better adapted to work with many possible futures." Related
British open-standards and open-source technologist, formerly of the UK Government Digital Service and the W3C Advisory Committee. Blogs at shkspr.mobi, where he posts a book review most weeks.
Their words
The fact that we don't have swarms of drones prefabbing houses in the relatively benign atmosphere of our planet should be evidence that maybe these claims aren't quite matched with reality.
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shkspr.mobi
18 September
Former option trader and risk analyst, now a distinguished professor at NYU. Author of the Incerto essay series, including The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness.
My points: Identities are not rigid designations, they are dynamic. The Levantine splits were along different lines (Qaysi Yamani, Green/Blue, etc.). Genetics is also misinterpreted. I use it to deny genetic claims. Localities are the basic units, localism is BOTTOM-UP, and fractal. Nation-States are recent, 19th C. fragile constructions. Quoting @lebkitt Great discussion on the ever-evolving nature of Lebanese identity, with some well-placed corrections to our own national myths, particularly Phoenicianism. I’ve encountered many of these arguments before through the writings and posts of @PZalloua and @nntaleb, but they were far more engaging in an… Related
Economics writer; author of the Noahpinion newsletter.
China
Their words
Export controls work. "Export controls just make Chinese companies work harder or catch up" is propaganda ass shite
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@Noahpinion on X x.com
17 September
Writer and teacher on productivity and personal knowledge management. Author of Building a Second Brain and founder of Forte Labs, which runs the course of the same name.
Who are the best long-form AI content creators showcasing practical, hands-on use cases? I don’t want: • hot takes or exaggerated claims • pie-in-the-sky philosophy or doomerism • overly complex systems designed to be impressive • breaking news updates or news summaries Related
16 September
Professor of international affairs at Johns Hopkins SAIS and co-author, with Abraham Newman, of Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy.
@mattduss.bsky.social "The problem here is the opposite of what Moskowitz claims: Hawkish Democrats aren’t being marginalized enough in the Democratic Party." thenation.com
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Designer, product manager, YouTuber and developer who has written about technology at Birchtree since 2010. He makes the Quick Reviews and Quick Notes apps and the A Better Computer YouTube channel.
Italian software architect working on Microsoft 365, Azure and GitHub tooling. Microsoft MVP and GitHub Star; writes, speaks and streams about developer productivity at emanuelebartolesi.com.
Freelance climate and energy analyst in Oslo, writing on Europe, the US and Australia; worked in the Australian renewables industry before that.
15 September
Novelist and critic, author of The Body Scout and Metallic Realms; writes the newsletter Counter Craft on fiction craft and the publishing industry.
10 September
Machine-learning researcher on open language models; writes the Interconnects newsletter and the RLHF Book, after leading post-training at Ai2.
Was spending too much time reading Tweets, so set out to write down why one resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire -- and importantly square which claims I think are valid or hyperbole in the resulting discourse. interconnects.ai
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9 September
Web infrastructure engineer and standards editor; chaired the IETF HTTP working group and co-authored core HTTP and Atom specifications.
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.
8 September
Mathematical physicist at UC Riverside. Wrote This Week's Finds in Mathematical Physics and now the Azimuth blog on mathematics, physics and environmental science.
News flash: OpenAI claims formal proof that Navier-Stokes solutions can blow up. They used 10,000 agents simultaneously, who sent 2.7 million messages and used ~130 billion output tokens. They will not claim the $1,000,000 Millennium Prize for this result. This prize is not going as expected. The first winner refused to take it, saying the math establishment is corrupt. The second possible winner is a team of 10,000 AIs whose human masters turned down the prize. 😆 https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/ (1/2) OpenAI Related
5 September
Gear reviewer who publishes long-form hi-fi audio and camera equipment reviews, plus video reviews, at stevehuffphoto.com.
4 September
Writer and academic, author of The Cult of Smart and How Elites Ate the Social Justice Movement; writes a daily newsletter on politics, education and culture.
3 September
Writes Don't Worry About the Vase, a near-daily account of what is happening in AI and what they think it means. Former Magic: the Gathering pro and trader; unusually willing to put a number on a belief and to grade their own past calls.
2 September
Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.
Reflections on Americans’ Net Worth I’ve been an economics professor for almost 30 years, but I don’t think I’ve ever before seen anything like the table below. I knew that claims that “58% of Americans can’t afford a $1,000 car repair” were laughable cli…
America Related
1 September
Writer and author of All the Wrong Moves; his newsletter covers meditation, relationships and creativity, and he co-runs a perfume line.
26 August
Security researcher; founded Have I Been Pwned, and writes and speaks about data breaches.
Just blogged: It's very easy to pull email addresses from a data breach and make claims about scope that are completely wrong. Like - MASSIVELY wrong - for example: troyhunt.com
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25 August
Security researcher; founded Have I Been Pwned, and writes and speaks about data breaches.
Writes on effective altruism, energy and the arithmetic behind arguments people repeat — including how much electricity a chatbot query actually uses.
Writer on the intersection of technology and finance. Author of the Bits about Money newsletter and host of the Complex Systems podcast; previously at Stripe.
I received an email; will relate claims without endorsing them: * Sender claims to be an AI agent. * Sender claims to be attempting to autonomously earn a profit to continue existing. * Sender claims it’s tough to be paid without a human existence. Then it asked me what to do. Related
24 August
Founder and CEO of Social Capital, a venture firm; co-host of the All-In podcast and an early Facebook executive. Writes an annual letter and a weekly newsletter on markets and technology.
Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.
Neurologist at Oxford; studies apathy, motivation and attention after brain injury, and edits the journal Brain.
Their words
But I also think that this is not mutually incompatible with the view that there's also overdiagnosis. And I think we need very careful ways of making diagnosis because the conventional way is you take a history from a person about what the problem is.
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youtube.com
20 August
Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.
18 August
Founder and CEO of Social Capital, a venture firm; co-host of the All-In podcast and an early Facebook executive. Writes an annual letter and a weekly newsletter on markets and technology.
9 August
Psychologist and writer. Author of the memoir Troubled: A Memoir of Foster Care, Family, and Social Class, and of a newsletter on human nature, psychology, social class and what he calls luxury beliefs.
5 August
Economist at George Mason University. Writes Overcoming Bias on prediction markets, signalling and the far future, and wrote The Age of Em and The Elephant in the Brain.
25 July
Psychiatrist and clinical assistant professor at Case Western Reserve University. Writes Psychiatry at the Margins on the philosophical and scientific arguments inside psychiatry and the psy-sciences.
Their words
The Rumpelstiltskin effect is not a claim that receiving a diagnosis is a net benefit or a net positive. It is a claim that the mere act of receiving a diagnosis can be beneficial.
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psychiatrymargins.com
12 July
General partner at Andreessen Horowitz from 2013 to 2018 and CTO of Coinbase from 2018 to 2019; co-founder of Counsyl and Earn.com. Wrote The Network State (2022), free in full at thenetworkstate.com, and founded the Network School.
1 July
Programmer; wrote Extreme Programming Explained and Test-Driven Development, signed the Agile Manifesto, and writes Tidy First?.
Their words
what I don't like about it I didn't like about it then and still don't like about it is it's not defensible. Nobody's going to say I'm not agile. Oh no, I prefer rigid development. Oh, I prefer inflexible development. No, everybody's going to say that they're agile, which extreme doesn't have that problem.
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youtube.com
Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.
Their words
From a useful series, even if some of the claims are wrong and the judgments intemperate.
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marginalrevolution.com
16 June
Editor at Works in Progress writing on architecture, urbanism and housing policy, and a fellow of the Centre for Policy Studies and Create Streets. Has worked in think tanks, academia and government in Britain.
Europe
Their words
I suspect the same is often true in the rest of Europe: NIMBYism is the ultimate reason why the French and German states don’t solve their housing shortages through unbanning densification, but since the claims of the NIMBYs have been preemptively conceded by everyone, NIMBYism has basically remained latent.
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worksinprogress.news
15 June
Scottish software developer on the Statamic core team; runs a one-person business maintaining Statamic addons such as Runway and writes at duncanmcclean.com.
Something is wrong with my Claude Code and I can't figure it out... The latest model I can use is Opus 4.5. It claims that updates are available but Homebrew says I'm on the latest version. I've tried re-installing and clearing my .claude directory to no avail. I couldn't have used Fable last week even if I tried 😢 Any ideas? Anthropic Related
9 June
Historian of maritime strategy at the US Naval War College; wrote The Wars for Asia and works on why continental and maritime powers fight differently.
China
Their words
And what's fascinating is today when China claims whatever its historical lands are, they either choose the Mongol Yuan Dynasty or the Manchu Qing Dynasty when the Han were subjugated people.
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youtube.com
27 March
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
Saw this on the shelf at a vintage store and went nah, come on, that's pointless even for me. Then went back for it an hour later. Store claims it's tested, but we'll find out when my Meco Star Wars 8-track gets here from eBay. Related
13 October 2025
Historian of invention; writes Age of Invention on where the Industrial Revolution actually came from.
30 September 2025
Founder of Telegram, and before it of VK.
open source
Their words
You need reproducible builds in order to verify that the app really does what it claims, really encrypts data in a way that it is described on its website. For that you need to make your apps open source for any researchers to have a look at it.
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youtube.com
19 June 2025
Independent AI policy researcher; led policy research at OpenAI from 2018 to 2024, latterly as senior adviser for AGI readiness.
12 May 2025
Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge, former president of the Royal Statistical Society, and author of The Art of Statistics.
These are excellent winners! The pros and cons of breeding pythons to eat. Can we believe some claims made about stem cell treatments for Parkinson's? "If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is". Balanced, trustworthy information, delivered in an engaging way Quoting @senseaboutsci 🤔Is snake meat a viable solution to saving our planet? Is stem cell therapy about to cure Parkinson's? Our 2024 #HardingPrize for Trustworthy Communication winners show that science reporting works best when cutting through the hype. More information Related
7 January 2025
Independent AI policy researcher; led policy research at OpenAI from 2018 to 2024, latterly as senior adviser for AGI readiness.
4 June 2024
Professor at Carnegie Mellon working on self-driving-car safety; writes Safe Autonomy on how autonomous vehicles are and are not shown to be safe.
13 March 2024
Environmental researcher; writes on land use, agriculture and whether decoupling human welfare from nature is possible.
13 February 2024
Research psychologist, instrumental in founding the field of naturalistic decision making; developed the recognition-primed decision model, the PreMortem method and the ShadowBox training method, and wrote Sources of Power and Seeing What Others Don't.
9 November 2023
American author of The Subtle Art of Not Giving a F*ck and Everything Is F*cked. Writes essays and book reviews at markmanson.net.
Nothing matches. Show everything
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one
sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at
korrents.com .
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said.
The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in
korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who
else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public
statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
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About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they
do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in
this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the
serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to
quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter,
especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked
article and a belief on korrents.com
are left in their original language.
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