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Miles Brundage Newsletter
Standards, Incentives, and Evidence: The Frontier AI Governance Triad
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17 September
14 September
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Technologies are not neutral, but political. Money is indeed one of the incentives, but not the only one. A mixture of millennialism, eugenics, search for utopia and for a spread of the specie beyond the confines of the Earth, are all elements we find among the founders’ views.
11 September
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AI companies make for flawed messengers on this subject: they can reasonably be accused of marketing, of blame-shifting, of regulatory capture, and more.
31 August
22 August
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The difference is mostly the delay, which stems not necessarily from the regulation itself, but from the incentives in the machinery that administers it.
20 August
11 August
10 August
5 August
3 August
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The Field Guide to Understanding 'Human Error'Their words
This is such a useful book. It makes the case that there's no such thing as "human error" - instead most catastrophes are caused by system issues, misaligned incentives, and unrealistic processes. You are not the custodian of an otherwise safe system that you need to protect from erratic human beings.
26 May
From one piece Who Audits the Auditors? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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institutions don't fail because people are wicked. Evidence, incentives, discretion, and review rights might be flowing in the wrong direction.
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AI systems however don't need lunch meetings, careers, or envelopes of cash to have an analogous failure.
22 April
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there I feel like in academia, I have the freedom to work on things that go against this commercial incentive of companies and say like, "Actually, no, I'm going to do what I think is right for the users."
15 December 2025
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When you're in any kind of creative thing, there is this benefit to not just following the financial incentives and and not trying to kind of like milk every last penny out of it. And to creating scarcity, not just for the sake of the scarcity, but for the sake of the quality.
20 November 2025
19 October 2025
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Centralized, hierarchical competitive tournaments are effective at creating strong incentives.Their words
Also, centralized hierarchical tournaments seem to be good at creating very effective incentives.
2 September 2025
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But once you actually have a sophisticated industrial economy, central planning can't handle the complexity. And so you try and create incentives and structures around that while not having pricing and that just doesn't work.
13 August 2025
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Another big misunderstanding, and a fundamental one, is that people somehow think that the state suppresses the private sector. It’s not at all as simple as that. For the most part, if we look at the local government’s incentive system, they want to help the best, private companies, which are the most promising, because it makes them look good.
1 July 2025
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Even if late 30s eventually find love, the reproductive window is much smaller. Cash incentives can’t trump biology.
19 June 2025
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governing frontier AI requires standards for safety and security, incentives for the leading AI developers to follow those standards, and evidence that the standards are being followed.
15 February 2025
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Contrary to some people’s beliefs, companies do not in fact have sufficient incentives to mitigate all major risks, and competition is driving corner-cutting that needs to be reined in somehow.
15 June 2024
20 February 2024
From one piece Bill Ackman: Investing, Financial Battles, Harvard, DEI, X & Free Speech | Lex Fridman Podcast #413 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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The problem is the defamation law in the US is so favorable to the publisher, to the media, and so unfavorable to the victim. And the incentives are all wrong.
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korrents.com
Incentives drive all human behaviour, which makes a management team's incentives central to valuing a company.Their words
So as I like to say, incentives drive all human behavior and that certainly applies in the business world. So understanding the people and what drives them, and what the actual financial and other incentives of a business, are very important part of the analysis for investing in a company.
17 November 2023
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And I believe that there is a good chance you would've had World War II in the absence of Hitler. I believe that Germany was very powerful, it was deeply worried about the balance of power in Europe, and it had strong incentives to behave aggressively in the late 1930s, early 1940s.
31 October 2023
3 October 2023
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It seems to me that an attractive robust approach is to have governments pay lots for kids (at no cost or risk to them!) and then let those who respond to these incentives tell us which compromises seem most attractive.
25 January 2022
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korrents.com
When a system's incentives produce bad behaviour, the blame belongs entirely to whoever created the incentives.Their words
And then you have a choice which is do you blame the people who are exhibiting the terrible behavior or do you blame the people who created the incentives? Right? And and and he he believes and I agree on this. I I think 100% you blame the people who created the incentives.
23 February 2020
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In any case, I think we need to not only look at the incentives facing scientists, but also those facing department heads, journals, and grant-making agencies.
23 April 2017
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