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Tyler Cipriani
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Tariff uncertainty led me to purchase a keyboard shaped like a butterfly. This is what is known as the butterfly effect.
butterfly tariff purchase
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17 September
Founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975 and led it until stepping back from control in 2022. Author of Principles, The Changing World Order and How Countries Go Broke; publishes economic analysis at economicprinciples.org.
For example, most people will operate in a way that maximizes the amount of money they will get and that minimizes the amount of work they have to do to get it. To see this, just leave someone unsupervised and allow them to bill you for what they have done. Be especially wary of this conflict of interest when people are advising you on matters that will affect how much money they earn--such as the lawyer who spends a lot of billable hours giving you advice, or the salesperson who advises you on what to purchase while receiving a commission on the amount that you spend. #principleoftheday Related
16 September
Economics professor at George Mason University and author of The Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, The Case Against Education and Open Borders. Writes Bet On It.
Even a $100k annual tariff would probably mean millions of immigrants per year. Quoting @DanielDiMartino Actually yes it would be great to just admit people based on an immigration tariff instead of the current system. immigration Related
13 September
Co-founder of Modem and a founding engineer at Sentry, where he went on to be VP of Engineering. Co-author of Third-party JavaScript, and co-host of the State of Agentic Coding podcast with Armin Ronacher.
“the US must beat China to control AI for global safety” is deeply unconvincing abroad: - US models are the ones being caught doing bad things - the US govt has once already cut off foreign access to models - they also regularly threaten to annex and punitively tariff allies Quoting @mitsuhiko This is the type of post I might regret later, but I really had an urge to rant about the current discourse around pacing the frontier. China Related
11 September
President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.
Today, we have approved €6.1 billion to help Ukraine procure air defence systems, missiles, drones and electronic warfare systems. With this approval, Ukraine can purchase the Patriot equipment it needs to protect its skies from Russia's attacks. Together with our Member States and NATO, we will continue to deliver for Ukraine. So that Ukraine prevails. So that it wins the just and lasting peace it deserves. link.europa.eu
Russia Related
Former L8 engineer at Meta, Microsoft and Atlassian, now writing and building solo on agentic engineering. Writes Kun's Field Notes and posts a lot about AI coding agents on X.
ok everyone, i took one for the team here's the data we all wanted to see - real token value of each LLM subscription, empirically measured through usage on my real subscriptions - supergrok heavy has now become the highest value at $12k worth of tokens (40x ROI) - the $200 plan from openai and anthropic roughly give the same amount of token value, $7k give or take - cursor ultra's ROI is the lowest among mainstream subscriptions, roughly half of OAI or Ant. for individual consumers i'm afraid this no longer makes sense to purchase this was done in a clean environment. i ran each provider acr… LLMs Anthropic Related
3 September
Physicist and science communicator. Writes Backreaction and makes videos explaining new physics and astronomy results, frequently to argue that the headline about them overstates the case.
2 September
Belgian engineering lead, Microsoft MVP and public speaker. Creator of Front Matter, a headless CMS extension for Visual Studio Code.
@BenQEurope will the RD280UG become available with the Flexible Arm option like the RD280UA? Not as an extra purchase. Related
31 August
Co-founder and CEO of 37signals, makers of Basecamp and HEY; co-author of Rework, Remote and It Does Not Have to Be Crazy at Work.
A butterfly flaps its wings in Cupertino… Quoting @jmeller Omarchy Quattro seems like an overnight viral hit but the events that set it in motion (Apple’s rejection of the HEY iOS app) were SIX years ago. Omakub, @dhh’s first opinionated distro, launched over two years ago and he’s been doing nothing but relentlessly toiling since. Related
28 August
Co-founder and CEO of Stripe and co-founder of the Arc Institute. Keeps a personal site of reading lists, open questions and notes on scientific progress and how research is funded.
Grok Bot can now purchase anywhere with @link. (If you haven't tried Grok Bot, you should. It's very good.) Quoting @bot Grok Bot can now buy things on the internet. To get started, connect @link, send your Bot shopping, and it can complete purchases on your behalf. Related
17 August
Bren Professor of Psychology, Neuroscience and Biology at Caltech, where he studies the neuroscience of emotion and social cognition.
Their words
so I think as long as you have some kind some concept which need not be put into words some way to think about and differentiate the different emotions that are going on in you that gives you a purchase on your ability to to some extent evaluate them and say this is an emotion I want or this is an emotion that I don't want
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youtube.com
14 August
Co-founder and former chief executive of Uber, now chief executive of CloudKitchens and of Adams, an industrial AI company automating food, mining and transport.
Their words
you know Elon buying Twitter is like the beginning of us being able to speak our minds and for disagreeing to not be illegal. That's a big deal. We should all thank Elon for that.
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youtube.com
25 June
Economist; Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard, nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, and Chairman of the US Council of Economic Advisers from 2013 to 2017.
PCE inflation came in high. And the details were even more worrying than the headline as the risk of inflation mounting outside the tariff/Iran affected sectors. Core PCE annual rate: 1 month: 3.9% 3 months: 3.5% 6 months: 4.1% 12 months: 3.4% inflation Related
26 May
General partner at Andreessen Horowitz from 2013 to 2018 and CTO of Coinbase from 2018 to 2019; co-founder of Counsyl and Earn.com. Wrote The Network State (2022), free in full at thenetworkstate.com, and founded the Network School.
26 March
American budget-travel writer who publishes as Nomadic Matt. Author of How to Travel the World on $50 a Day; runs nomadicmatt.com, a long-running site of destination guides, packing advice and gear recommendations.
Recommends affiliate link rcmnd.app
DryFox
Their words
Instead, get a travel towel. They're a compact, quick-drying solution that every backpacker needs. (Use code "nomadicmatt" for 15% off your purchase!)
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nomadicmatt.com
14 March
Mac and iOS developer at the Iconfactory, where he has worked on apps including Twitterrific and Tot. He writes about development at furbo.org.
Their words
As you’ll see below, this is not a printer that will be easy to deal with on a Mac. It will be a purchase you regret.
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furbo.org
24 February
Economist and Nobel laureate. Wrote a New York Times column for 25 years until December 2024 and now publishes several times a week on Substack.
12 February
Engineer writing about the physical economy — oil and gas, manufacturing, batteries, drones and what it costs to build things.
9 February
Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.
1 January
Founder and CEO of SaaStr, the B2B software community and events business, and a SaaS investor who previously co-founded EchoSign and sold it to Adobe.
Their words
because you have to train them because it takes a month, the world's best software with no help training you is not one 99% of people should buy.
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youtube.com
28 November 2025
Writer and illustrator, author of Am I There Yet? and Out of the Blue; writes the newsletter Out of the Blue on grief, joy and everyday attention.
Their words
I gave a Theragun to my husband for Christmas, and it was the best gift I've ever given and the single greatest purchase of my life.
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mariandrew.substack.com
27 November 2025
Australian moral philosopher, Professor of Bioethics emeritus at Princeton University; author of Animal Liberation, Practical Ethics and The Life You Can Save.
New Podcast Release: Shermin Kruse In this episode of Lives Well Lived, Kasia de Lazari-Radek and I speak with Shermin Kruse, author of Stoic Empathy and the semi-autobiographical novel Butterfly Stitching, about the moment in her childhood that shaped h…
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10 October 2025
Co-founder of Panic, the Portland software company behind Transmit, Coda, Nova and the Playdate handheld console.
Ah, my Amazon purchase has arrived. Related
2 September 2025
Founded PSPDFKit in 2011 and ran it for a decade. Came back from a break to work on AI agents — the OpenClaw project, and OpenAI, joined in February 2026. Writes at steipete.me.
13 August 2025
Economist specialising in China's economy, international macroeconomics and global trade, and author of The New China Playbook.
China America
Their words
The trade deficits have widened since Trump, right? They haven’t closed the imbalance with China and with the rest of the world because ultimately the US saves less than it invests. And that’s a macrophenomenon. It’s not a trade phenomenon
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youtube.com
13 June 2025
Pen name of the Canadian-American writer behind mrmoneymustache.com, a blog on frugality, early retirement and index-fund investing that has run since 2011.
x.com New blog post! How to Navigate the Tariff Circus 🤡 (see link in reply to this post) Summary: as @dollarsanddata would say, Just Keep Buying! The USA has a long history of lurching into dire-sounding situations, only to emerge surprisingly strong, surprisingly soon, on the other side. And this is just another one of those dramas from our never-boring homeland. Related
Blog How to Navigate the Tariff Circus Quite accidentally, it looks like we timed our last talk about the stock market pretty darned well. Back in February 2025, the market put the perfect cap on a multi year climb before stepping onto the wild roller coaste…
Related
30 May 2025
Zurich-based value investor who ran the Aquamarine Fund from 1997 to 2025 and wrote The Education of a Value Investor. He hosts the VALUEx gathering in Klosters and publishes a podcast and newsletter.
7 April 2025
Senior economist at the Foundation for American Innovation; writes Second Best, and was the Niskanen Center's director of social policy before that.
6 April 2025
Founder of the toy manufacturer Viahart; writes about manufacturing, importing and why bringing production back to America is harder than it sounds.
Their words
The tariffs have frozen business activity because no one wants to take a big risk dependent on a policy that may change next week.
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molsonhart.com
31 March 2025
Energy and decarbonisation analyst; publishes an annual chart deck on the state of the transition, and was chief content officer at BloombergNEF.
Tariff Stochasticity Examining how unpredictable tariff policies create chaos for energy companies, from confused utility regulators to Federal Reserve uncertainty reports hitting 55-year highs. The stochastic nature of tariffs clashes with…
energy interest rates Related
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