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Robin Hanson x.com
Only 12% chance of US federal anti-prediction mkt law in '26.
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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18 September
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Their words
There are legitimate ways to improve our systems, but what they're likely planning isn't one of them.
14 September
11 September
10 September
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Their words
a hard-earned lesson of the past few months is that mobilizing collective action against the federal government is hard.
7 September
5 September
4 September
1 September
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korrents.com
A federal health agency withholding local disease-death data signals it distrusts states' own reporting.Their words
So, withholding the data signals that CDC is choosing not to trust the states' account. This is an unprecedented move.
31 August
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korrents.com
The US federal government will eventually impose heavy-handed control over the internet.Their words
Sometimes I get super nervous that someday the US government is really going to fuck with the web. Like they are going to decide they just don't have enough control over it and are going to get really heavy-handed somehow.
20 August
18 August
From one piece Michael Kratsios: Inside the White House's AI Strategy 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Congress should pass a federal preemption law for AI so that fifty states cannot each write their own rules.Their words
we would urge Congress to to be able to pass some sort of some sort of law around around preemption so we don't have this crazy patchwork of all these different states doing all these different things these things on AI.
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Their words
Over time that has sort of inverted completely. The private sector plus philanthropy now do about 70% of R&D and the and the government only does about 30.
25 July
20 July
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korrents.com
AI is raising public expectations of government service at the same time it changes what government must deliver.Their words
Every state, and the federal government right along with them, is about to be asked to do a lot more than keep the lights on.
12 July
From one piece The Network State 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
The US federal government has lost the capacity to build basic infrastructure, let alone advanced military hardware.Their words
This US government can’t build a bathroom in San Francisco, let alone a costeffective fighter jet, destroyer, combat ship, or aircraft carrier.
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Their words
Just like Hollywood once compared Netflix to the Albanian Army, the US establishment doesn’t yet understand how much better Satoshi Nakamoto or Vitalik Buterin is than every apparatchik they have in the Federal Reserve system.
30 June
29 May
15 May
From one piece Fed Board Members: Stay In Your Seats 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Federal Reserve Board members have historically often resigned before completing their full terms.Their words
Federal Reserve Board members have often resigned their positions well before their 14-year terms expired, since that's quite a long time to spend in one position in government.
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korrents.com
The Federal Reserve will need to raise interest rates rather than cut them to bring down inflation.Their words
I will be surprised if there are any votes for rate cuts, even from Warsh himself. The Fed may need to hike rates this year to tame inflation.
23 April
8 April
9 March
13 February
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Their words
given the serious dangers that I lay out in adolescence of technology around things like the you know, kind of biological weapons and bioterrorism, autonomy risk and the timelines we've been talking about, like 10 years is an eternity. Like that's that's a that's a I I think that's a crazy thing to do.
22 January
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Their words
Even if the policy is unconstitutional, as it seems to be, a person who is illegally searched probably can't sue ICE for violating their constitutional rights.
27 October 2025
19 April 2025
14 April 2025
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korrents.com
America borrowed cheaply from the world and spent it on consumption rather than investment, exactly as Greece did.Their words
In sum, spurred on by the federal government (in many ways), the US borrowed a huge amount from foreigners at very low rates, and went on a consumption binge. Sooner or later we have to pay it back, or we go though the wrenching adjustment of a debt crisis.
31 March 2025
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