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Ramez Naam
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This matches my expectations. Cheaper models (open and closed) will capture most of the token volume. But in a great many domains (and anything adversarial, zero sum, or first past the post), people will pay for the very most advanced model.
adversarial matches expectations
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nothing here is a summary of this one.
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21 September
Designer, product manager, YouTuber and developer who has written about technology at Birchtree since 2010. He makes the Quick Reviews and Quick Notes apps and the A Better Computer YouTube channel.
17 September
Venture capitalist and founder of Theory Ventures, previously a partner at Redpoint. Writes a near-daily blog on startups, SaaS metrics, data and AI.
16 September
Author of Shape Up; formerly head of strategy at Basecamp, where he worked on product design for seventeen years; now runs Felt Presence.
Here's one of the many little ways that AI is changing expectations about UI. I'm building this thing I want for teams I manage to more clearly define review points. (A bit like Shopify's phase transitions in their GSD system). I have a handful of tasks that should be checked in a review. It used to be normal practice that any list in a UI needs a title. Eg "List" or "Untitled" etc. But this was always a drag, right? Naming a list just to have a group of things is extra work. But without a name it's hard to scan and find and all lists look the same. Now AI can generate titles for anything. Li… Related
15 September
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Growth tactic #13: "🎈Go anti-professional: One of the most viral LinkedIn posts of all time came from a manager who swapped her corporate headshot for a casual, no-makeup photo. Pick a norm of your own and break it in public. You might talk about how much roles actually pay or admit that a big launch didn’t actually meet internal expectations. People are tired of perfectly curated, glossy exteriors of the professional world, so a bit of human messiness will stand out." More here: lennysnewsletter.com
Quoting @lennysan 60+ creative growth ideas Everyone's running the same growth playbook: high-production launch videos, paid influencers, AEO, social, maybe some (poorly attended) events. Your competitors are in the same channels competing for the same eyeballs. But attention goes to what people don't see coming. Th… Related
14 September
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13 September
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Football season is upon us. The Baltimore Colts and the SF 49ers were my football loves for decades. This summer, friends forced me to watch full World Cup soccer matches. I fell in love with soccer. Our football look pretty puny by comparison. Related
British open-standards and open-source technologist, formerly of the UK Government Digital Service and the W3C Advisory Committee. Blogs at shkspr.mobi, where he posts a book review most weeks.
11 September
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8 September
Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.
7 September
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It is fine to repeat your words. In fact, it is fine to repeat words not only “in the same section,” but in the very next sentence. Successful rhetoric is a story of variation—but that does not mean you should vary constantly. Constant variance is simply noise; a distinctive voice is made less, not more distinctive by background static. The goal is to set expectations, then break them. Long sentences are broken by short ones. Latinate terms are broken by Saxon ones. You repeat a cadence, or a figure, or a word—and then you break the pattern you have set. This keeps readers interested. It also… Quoting @tomieinlove There's a soft rule in English prose: you shouldn't repeat the same word in a section. This is difficult, because often the same word—whoops—thing does many things—whoops—actions in the same section—whoops—sequence. So you have use like 12 different synonyms Related
6 September
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4 September
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30 August
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Screenshot diffing, feedback inboxes, PWAs, and of course local-first sync layer with self-hosted backend. Matches up pretty well with my approach on personal apps thus far into the LLM coding age. Curious to hear from others. Quoting @flourish.org I vibe coded three personal apps that I'd wanted for a while. They work on mobile and web, sync offline first between them, and are polished. This write up describes why, how, and what I learnt. www.flourish.org/2026/08/pers... LLMs Related
28 August
Writer on the intersection of technology and finance. Author of the Bits about Money newsletter and host of the Complex Systems podcast; previously at Stripe.
Complex Systems this week is with @max_spero_ of Pangram, discussing detecting AI-produced outputs, the social implications of those hitting various adversarial touchpoints in government and elsewhere, and a bit of how Pangram works under the hood. government Related
Self-taught home cook and food writer who has run the Smitten Kitchen recipe site since 2006; author of four cookbooks.
peach cobbler loaf A friend asked me last week how long it takes to get a recipe right. I told him the only answer I know: As long as it takes. I’d like to be someone who could “adjust my expectations,” make peace with “close enough,” or…
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17 August
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12 August
Professor at Stanford working on robot learning and meta-learning; co-founded Physical Intelligence.
Their words
we see that the across the board the single PIO like pre-trained PIO7 model matches or outperforms the fine-tuned specialists that were developed with reinforcement learning post-training for those downstream tasks.
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youtube.com
6 August
Writer on happiness, habits and human nature. Author of The Happiness Project, Better Than Before and The Four Tendencies, and host of the Happier with Gretchen Rubin podcast.
Their words
If you keep adding deadlines without also checking whether the workload itself is sustainable, you risk what I call Obliger-rebellion-the point where an Obliger who has met, met, met, and met expectations suddenly snaps and refuses to meet any more.
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gretchenrubin.com
31 July
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24 July
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23 July
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20 July
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Author of Recoding America; founded Code for America and was US deputy chief technology officer from 2013 to 2014. Writes Eating Policy on why governments cannot do what they decide to do.
19 July
Chief Product and Technology Officer at Netflix, previously VP of Science at Lyft and an economist at Analysis Group.
Their words
So, the most useful thing is not to make it level specific or role specific, but to encourage everyone towards the expectation on AI fluency, which doesn't mean use it as a tech for the sake of tech. It's tech where it's useful, to have good judgment about that, and to have the mindset to be open-minded to explore and try new things.
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youtube.com
6 July
Pseudonymous writer; posts careful, funny investigations of everyday questions — air quality, seed oils, arguing, chess — usually by reading the studies.
30 June
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27 June
Organizational psychologist and professor at the Wharton School. Author of Give and Take, Originals, Think Again and Hidden Potential, host of the Re:Thinking podcast, and writer of the GRANTED newsletter.
Their words
Perfectionism stems from unreasonably demanding expectations and unduly harsh criticism.
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adamgrant.substack.com
10 June
Economist; Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy at Harvard, nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute, and Chairman of the US Council of Economic Advisers from 2013 to 2017.
Three things about today's inflation report: 1. 12-month inflation increased (because May-26 > May-25) 2. 1-month inflation slowed (because May-26 < Apr-26) 3. Inflation came in below expectations. Here is core. inflation Related
2 June
Software engineer at PlanetScale and creator of the vim-go plugin. Writes at arslan.io about Go, tooling, industrial design and books.
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I’m gonna delete this thread because I think people complaining about airlines on Twitter are pretty lame, including myself! That said, I think the takeaway is that the reason I was upset is precisely because of dashed expectations. If this were American I would have shrugged my shoulders. So I guess that’s a compliment to United, but also a reminder that it’s risky to advertise things (like Starlink) when you can’t yet confidently deliver on them. Anyhow, 28B on Southwest. Let’s go! 😅 America Related
28 May
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30 April
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27 April
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Their words
The forty-page PDF used to feel intolerable. The well-designed web form will start to feel that way too, and faster than the last transition did.
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eatingpolicy.com
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Their words
The baseline of user expectation quality and craft keeps rising.
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Why sync adamwiggins.com
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Roboticist; co-founded iRobot and Rethink Robotics, directed the MIT AI Lab, and publishes a scorecard grading his own dated predictions about AI, robots and self-driving.
AI: great expectations This time around I decided on a guest column. The guest is a 37 years ago younger me, and this post is one that I wrote for Manufacturing Engineering in March of 1988. It was for the last page of the trade magazine, in…
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8 July 2025
Technology journalist; writes Understanding AI, after reporting at Ars Technica, Vox and the Washington Post.
self-driving cars
Their words
These videos exceeded my expectations. Tesla’s robotaxi rollout wasn’t perfect, but it went as well as anyone could have expected.
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understandingai.org
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Debugging AI With Adversarial Validation For years, I’ve relied on a straightforward method to identify sudden changes in model inputs or training data, known as “drift.” This method, Adversarial Validation1, is both simple and effective. The best part? It req…
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Research psychologist, instrumental in founding the field of naturalistic decision making; developed the recognition-primed decision model, the PreMortem method and the ShadowBox training method, and wrote Sources of Power and Seeing What Others Don't.
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From one piece
Adversarial Attacks on LLMs
2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
Nothing matches. Show everything
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one
sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at
korrents.com .
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said.
The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in
korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who
else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public
statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
Got it
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they
do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in
this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the
serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to
quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter,
especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked
article and a belief on korrents.com
are left in their original language.
Got it