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Climate scientist and energy systems analyst; writes The Climate Brink with Andrew Dessler and leads climate research at Stripe.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  What drives glacial hazard risk is the rate of change in ice and permafrost, not the total amount of ice present.

  Their words

  Rather, what drives risks is how fast the ice and the frozen ground beneath the ice are changing.

  theclimatebrink.com

Chairman and chief executive of Microsoft since 2014; joined the company in 1992 and ran its cloud business before that.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.

  Their words

  even if the tech is diffusing fast uh this time around for true economic growth to appear it has to sort of diffuse to a point where the work the work artifact and the workflow has to change and so that's kind of one place where I think uh the change management required for a corporation to truly change I think is something we shouldn't discount

  Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGIyoutube.com

Co-founder and CEO of Shopify; long-time Linux user and Omarchy contributor.

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  Companies that constantly retune their pricing cheapen the product, because customers learn to wait for the next discount.

  Their words

  I I think most companies play too much with pricing all the time. It's like it just like causes all these problems with data and like it makes it hard to predict and then suddenly you you do you AB test discounts and then you cheapen the product because now people are just going to wait for the next discount

  youtube.com

Social scientist at King's College London; writes The Great Gender Divergence on why societies differ in how they treat women.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born.

  immigration

  Their words

  For rich countries to maintain their working-age population ratios in 2050 through permanent migration (where each worker brings one dependent), Lant Pritchett estimates they would need to become 40-50% foreign-born.

  Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world

Founder and chief executive of Pershing Square Capital Management, the activist investment firm he started in 2004.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  A margin of safety means paying a discount deep enough that being wrong about what a company is worth still leaves you whole.

  Their words

  You want to buy a company at a price that if you're wrong about what you think it's worth and it turns out to be worth 30% less, you paid a deep enough discount to your estimate that you're still okay. A big part of investing is not losing money.

  youtube.com

Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  With r-g near zero, any advanced economy running a primary deficit will see its debt-to-GDP ratio rise once existing debt is refinanced at current rates.

  Their words

  Thus, once current debt has been refinanced and the average interest on debt reflects the higher long rates, absent changes in policy, debt ratios will increase.

  piie.com

Economist at George Mason University, co-author of Marginal Revolution, host of Conversations with Tyler. Writes in short, dense claims about economics, culture and AI, and has moved position on AI in public more than once.

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  Moral hazard problems are often worse in government programs than in private markets.

  government

  Their words

  The truth is that moral hazard concerns very often are worse with government programs than with markets.

  tylercowen.com

Experimental psychologist and author of the blog Experimental History, on psychology, science reform and creativity.

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  Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.

  Their words

  Even when we understand the words, and even when we trust them, we still have another eject button: we assume they don’t apply to us.

  You can't reach the brain through the earsexperimental-history.com

Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Judging by output kept near potential despite weak private demand, Japan's decades of high debt and low inflation reflect a qualified policy success, not failure.

  inflationinterest rates

  Their words

  Japanese macroeconomic policy is often characterized as a failure, with the central bank unable to achieve its inflation target, a low growth rate, and debt ratios steadily rising to reach more than 170% for net debt and 250% for gross debt. I think it should be seen instead as a qualified success, with the use of aggressive fiscal and monetary policies to compensate for very weak private demand: Output has remained close to potential.

  Fiscal Policy under Low Interest Ratesdirect.mit.edu

Structural engineer and senior infrastructure fellow at the Institute for Progress; writes Construction Physics on why physical things cost what they cost.

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  How much a metro builds relative to its population growth does not predict its rents; across the hundred largest US metros the correlation is essentially zero.

  Their words

  There is essentially zero correlation - the metros with the largest rent increases had added population / added housing ratios no different than metros with smaller rent increases.

  Is There a Housing Shortage or Not?construction-physics.com

Astrophysicist and coffee researcher; author of The Physics of Filter Coffee and The Physics of Espresso, and writer of the Coffee ad Astra blog on brewing science and equipment.

• Mixed onrcmnd.app

  AeroPress

  Their words

  While I have enjoyed the AeroPress a lot in the past especially when travelling, I have always had one big complaint about it: getting a thick coffee bed to minimize uneven flow when pressing out the water limits the brew ratios that can be used.

  coffeeadastra.com

Structural engineer and senior infrastructure fellow at the Institute for Progress; writes Construction Physics on why physical things cost what they cost.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The person who specifies a new building system carries all its risk and none of its reward, a reverse moral hazard that keeps construction innovation out.

  Their words

  In many cases, the person specifying a new system won’t capture the upside from actually using it - they’ll be under a sort of reverse moral hazard, where the benefits accrue to the rest of the project team, but the risks will accrue only to them.

  Why It's Hard to Innovate in Constructionconstruction-physics.com

Co-founder of Microsoft and of the Gates Foundation. Writes Gates Notes on global health, energy and climate, and on whatever they have been reading.

• Likedrcmnd.app

  Why We Sleep

  Their words

  But even if you apply a mild discount factor, Why We Sleep is an important and fascinating book.

  gatesnotes.com

Former NASA flight director and space shuttle programme manager; writes about how the shuttle was actually flown and what went wrong.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Wanting badly to launch is itself a hazard: the pressure to fly is what turns small anomalies into accidents.

  Their words

  Temptation is very high to wave away issues, ignore anomalies, squeeze the rules, or brush aside inconsistencies just to GET ON WITH IT.

  Launch Feverwaynehale.wordpress.com