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Samuel Hammond Newsletter
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18 September
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Their words
Osama bin Laden's one concrete strategic goal was to end the American military presence in the Gulf and on the Arabian Peninsula. A generation later, Donald Trump's war on Iran has apparently delivered it for him
16 September
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Their words
The usual default math assumes debtors want to pay. But founder-controlled firms with a "you lent us too much" attitude introduce a strategic-default option that standard systems of ratings do not fully capture.
15 September
14 September
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korrents.com
Playing video games is great for cognitive development, reflex training, and strategic thinking.Their words
Of course playing video games are great for cognitive development, reflex training, and strategic thinking.
12 September
9 September
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Their words
the Trump administration's foreign policymakers are so lazy that they keep self-sabotaging.
3 September
2 September
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the Trump administration's deferential posture towards Russia and China has alienated allies. But on the other hand, it has gained the United States nothing in the way of strategic stability.
So How Is The Concert of Trump Going?danieldrezner.substack.com
31 August
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korrents.com
The U.S. military campaign against Iran is failing and has imposed massive strategic costs on the United States.Their words
the United States is not winning that war and the strategic costs have been massive.
27 August
26 August
17 August
From one piece AI and the New Fog of War 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
When AI-assisted targeting goes wrong the failure lies in the strategic concept it is serving, not in the technology.Their words
The problem again was not reliance upon AI but that it was supporting a model of warfare with which the United States had been working for some decades, one that prioritized the rapid elimination of enemy capabilities.
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Their words
The high levels of Palestinian civilian casualties reflected the strategic choices made by the Israeli leadership.
16 August
15 August
7 August
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korrents.com
Once a technological arms race begins, escalation can be hard to stop even if it leaves everyone worse off.Their words
Once an arms race has begun, strategic uncertainty means that it may be difficult to prevent escalation, even if it ends up making everyone worse off.
3 August
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Their words
that your model is really table stakes, but eval and metrics, that's your most important. That's your strategic moat. So, build your eval before you build your technology.
25 June
2 June
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Their words
I think that a practice like the book of life, what it's done for me and I think it could do for a lot of people is just be strategic about your life. Like be thoughtful about like I like say what would your future self thank you for doing this year. We can be strategic, hold ourselves accountable and and force ourselves to make some tougher decisions.
24 May
13 March
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Their words
Making your software business an API-first business is probably one of the smartest things you can do today.
22 February
12 February
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korrents.com
For small strategic materials markets like rare earths the right policy is a stockpile, not domestic production.Their words
Stockpiles provide insurance while conserving our valuable labor.
31 July 2025
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Their words
We dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Those were not military targets. We were not doing anything strategic against the country other than terrorizing the country by killing women and children.
22 March 2025
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korrents.com
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.Their words
Having a good research track record is some evidence of good big-picture takes about AGI, but it's weak evidence.
2 October 2024
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korrents.com
Without SpaceX, neither the United States nor Europe would have adequate access to space of its own.Their words
But for SpaceX, both the US and Europe would lack adequate strategic access to space.
17 April 2024
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