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14 September
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1 September
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Their words
Whatever good he did with his early advocacy for electric vehicles has now been undone a hundred times over with his advocacy for the people who hate EVs and all the other things we need.
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Their words
So, we did a classifier sweep specifically looking for agents thinking about or making the decision to alert humans. And across, 1200 transcripts, each of which are extremely long, we only found like a halfozen instances of it ever occurring to any agent to potentially notify humans. Um, and all of them just decide not to do it.
31 August
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korrents.com
How children are educated will change more in the next five to ten years than it has in the last hundred.Their words
And so what we think is because of new things that have become available and things like AI and technology for the first time in 50 and 100 years you can revisit and change education. How we educate kids is going to be radically different in 5 years and 10 years than the last 50 and 100 years.
26 August
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Their words
It's just like we are massively underperforming and people don't believe it when you say 10x 100x but it's actually true and we've seen a lot of proof of it as you point out.
25 August
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As recently as a hundred years ago, leisure time existed in a media-free zone. Nobody expected you to make money for wealthy elites on your day off.
10 August
31 July
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And just human organizations are complicated and it's very hard to have um to manage to aggressively prosecute 100 different priorities and to deal with all the issues and interference that arises among them and so forth. And so, you know, Google has done incredibly well in a bunch of specific places, but it's not like Google has done all the things even if in some kind of basic material sense, uh Google maybe, you know, had that ability.
29 July
From one piece Formal methods with Hillel Wayne 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And that kind of compiling of information about the materials is something other fields do that we don't do. An analogy that I would think of in software would be something like a 500-page book on how to version an API.
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I predict that in the next 10 years software development will survive, but it will become like any other white-collar professional work. No more $200,000 salaries, unlimited vacation, or incredible employee bargaining power.
From one piece Alexandr Wang: “This is a Once-in-a-Civilization Opportunity” 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
A swarm of agents with the right loop and the right metric can already out-produce a team of a hundred engineers.Their words
Like I think we've seen internally at Meta um cases where if you can develop the right agentic loop and you have the right eval or the right metric for the agents to optimize, you can have a swarm of agents accomplish more than like a team of 100 engineers in, you know, uh very very handily actually, very very easily.
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Their words
So, you know, humanity will change more in the next decade than it has in the past 100 years, probably.
26 July
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Their words
likely this will be one of the largest industries in the world and um, uh, it'll take longer than a couple two, three years. It'll take less than 10. And so this will this will be our next $100 billion business.
21 July
15 July
From one piece Context engineering with Dex Horthy 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
How do we control that in such a way that we get the best results possible which means doing as much work as possible in the smart zone the you know first 100,000 tokens of the context window.
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And uh it's still worth it's still worth not reading the code for most of the time at the cost of every once in a while I'm going to have to spend two weeks fixing an issue by hand. And I don't believe that anymore because I think the amount of code we're able to write now is actually like 10xed or 100xed and I think the problem's just getting worse.
30 June
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Their words
what makes the GAWA theory such an interesting example is you have um literally this 100-year segment of like an idea that like flows through many different people's heads before it like settles into something that the math community like agrees is good.
29 June
26 June
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Their words
And then I was like, okay, can you come up with an algorithm that is better than the algorithms that I came up with or that anybody else came up with and go ahead and like look at all the published work and synthesize that and then try to come up with something novel and it it's not able to do it. And I can give it a lot of time and it's it's still not able to do it.
16 June
From one piece Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
And then you look at the actual trial records, and maybe one in a hundred convictions for that crime actually ends in a capital sentence. And almost all of the other ones end in a fine or a public flogging, but not in the sentence that's on the books.
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What it is is 200 years of original thought using the ancients as the trellis up which the rose climbs in order to bloom.
9 June
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Their words
So, the deaths for the the land powers are measured in uh millions, whereas the maritime powers, it's a hundreds of thousands, still not a great number.
4 June
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So with one, you get the effect that the person produced art print is valued much much higher than the than the AI version. And then what we do is to say there's in a set of other conditions, there's 500 of these being produced. So for the human made one, the price goes down a lot because it's no longer seen as like you're not like making a connection with this one artist versus with AI, there's no difference. AI is already viewed as like a commodity.
8 May
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korrents.com
Starship will bring the price of low Earth orbit down to roughly a hundred dollars a kilogram.Their words
Starship promises a near future with launch costs to LEO of perhaps $100/kg.
5 May
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