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Computer science professor who works on fast data processing; co-author of the simdjson parser and a weekly blogger about software performance since 2004.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Scientific and academic evaluation will shift away from published papers as the measure of output, toward valuing real-world results.

  Their words

  I predict that, over time, the focus will move away from "papers as the final output."

  AI is breaking the academic sorting machinelemire.me

Professor of finance at NYU's Stern School of Business, known for his work on valuation. He publishes his data, spreadsheets and classes free at Damodaran Online and writes the Musings on Markets blog.

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  The pull of fundamentals that used to reverse market momentum has weakened, so betting on mean reversion is more dangerous than it was.

  Their words

  there is evidence that the reversal effect has weakened over time, leaving investors who bet on mean reversion and a return to fundamentals in the lurch

  aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com

Political scientist writing Drezner's World on international relations, American politics and the marketplace of ideas; author of The Ideas Industry.

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  Eliminating paper-writing as a student assignment would remove a core skill needed for most professions requiring a graduate degree.

  Their words

  I am extremely concerned that this trend will eliminate paper-writing as an assignment, and that is a core function of most professions requiring a graduate degree.

  The Professor and the Plutocrat and AIdanieldrezner.substack.com

Programmer; makes Handmade Hero and teaches Performance-Aware Programming, and argues loudly about how software got slow.

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  Programmers should be reading research papers and crawling their references, and the fact that almost none of them do is a bigger gap than any book recommendation could close.

  Their words

  I want to recommend that people read a paper. I'm trying to get more people to just to just read papers because I realized I read a ton of papers.

  youtube.com

Co-founded Neuralink and founded Science Corp, which is building a retinal implant; writes about neural interfaces and biology.

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  A founder cannot delegate judgment: the chief executive has to make the decision that makes sense to them, however much momentum the alternative has.

  startups

  Their words

  And one of the harder lessons as a startup founder, one of the harder things I think to to really deal with is the fact that you cannot delegate your judgment. As as the CEO, you must always make decisions that make sense to you, no matter how much momentum or inertia alternatives seem to have.

  Max Hodak: Average Is Not Good Enoughyoutube.com

Climate scientist and energy systems analyst; writes The Climate Brink with Andrew Dessler and leads climate research at Stripe.

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  One or two record-warm years cannot distinguish rapid aerosol-driven acceleration in warming from a strong El Niño riding on the existing trend

  Their words

  it tells you that a single warm year, or even two, cannot distinguish between "very rapid acceleration driven by aerosols and high sensitivity" and "the trend and more modest acceleration plus a very strong El Niño."

  Why Hansen may end up being right about 2026theclimatebrink.com

Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs their internet startups alone — Nomads.com, Remote OK, Hoodmaps, Photo AI and Interior AI — and has written about it at levels.io since 2013. Posts as @levelsio.

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  Big AI is cannibalising the app businesses indie hackers used to build, and their revenue and traffic are falling as a result.

  Their words

  I'm seeing a trend here of declining revenue and traffic with indiehackers On my own projects too Maybe big VC products too but I wouldn't know cause they don't share revenue To me it seems clear BigAI is cannibalizing everything that used to be apps

  levels.io

Climate scientist and energy systems analyst; writes The Climate Brink with Andrew Dessler and leads climate research at Stripe.

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  The US warming trend since 1970 is consistent across raw, adjusted, satellite, and surface temperature datasets

  Their words

  The overall US warming trend (around 0.5F per decade since 1970 in max, min, and mean temperatures) is robust in every dataset, raw or adjusted, satellite or surface.

  Hot days, cold thermometerstheclimatebrink.com

Mathematician and Senior Lecturer in the Mathematics department at Columbia University. Author of the book Not Even Wrong and of the long-running physics blog of the same name.

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  AI-generated junk papers risk overwhelming the hep-th physics field with worthless content.

  Their words

  The result is something completely worthless, but not obviously distinguishable from many other things on hep-th, which is in serious danger of going from something sad and unhealthy to something completely overwhelmed with crud.

  Various and Sundrymath.columbia.edu

Head of Instagram since 2018, previously head of Facebook's News Feed.

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  Building a new product on top of whatever is growing fastest is a mistake: momentum is not the same thing as a strong foundation.

  Their words

  we were trying to build reels into stories because we were trying to build in the thing that was growing the fastest. But it was not a strong foundation.

  youtube.com

Mathematician and maker of the 3Blue1Brown YouTube channel, which explains mathematics through animation. Creator of the open-source Manim animation library and founder of the Summer of Math Exposition.

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  A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent.

  Their words

  It becomes insufferable like as a mathematician because you you would basically be like I'm every single time I see one of these I kind of don't know if it's worth my time even if 99 out of 100 of them are right.

  youtube.com

Freelance climate and energy analyst in Oslo, writing on Europe, the US and Australia; worked in the Australian renewables industry before that.

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  Generative AI systems have no built-in drive toward truth and accuracy, unlike people or institutions.

  LLMsenergy

  Their words

  Generative AI has no internal, designed momentum towards truth and accuracy (beyond the absurdly diminishing returns of energy-hungry multi-layered LLMs), but a person or an institution can (and should).

  ketanjoshi.co

Economist at Oxford's Global Priorities Institute; works on what advanced AI would do to growth, saving and the long-run economy.

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  The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public.

  Their words

  if I had to guess I would guess that the kind of long kind of general trend of just like lowering those frictions and making it easier for more and more people to index more and more will continue despite the recent bump in the other direction.

  youtube.com

Behavioural economist at Chicago Booth, professor of behavioural science and economics and director of AGI economics at Google DeepMind.

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  There is still no white-collar apocalypse in the data: you have to squint to see anything, and even junior developer hiring is below trend rather than falling.

  AI and jobs

  Their words

  They just recently released a report, and I think like you really have to squint to see anything happening. Like basically, if you want to take kind of like uh an an approach across the entire economy and looking at even looking at like software engineering, like the most exposed sort of sectors, there's just like not really anything going on. There might be a little bit of a signal about like junior developers getting jobs less than before, and that but that's like a less than before rather than a level shift.

  youtube.com

Programmer known online as technomancy; author of Leiningen, the Clojure build tool, and a maintainer of the Fennel programming language.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The mass adoption of React and single-page-app architecture across nearly all web apps was driven by trend-following rather than technical fit, producing fragile, scripting-dependent software.

  JavaScript

  Their words

  As the software industry is largely driven by trends and fashion, React's "cool factor" led to a mass amnesia regarding how to make normal, well-designed web apps made of HTML with a sprinkling of scripting on top and everything became one big tangled, brittle mass of Javascript that completely keeled over when scripting wasn't available.

  technomancy.us

Co-founder of NVIDIA and, as of 2026, its chief executive; the company designs the GPUs most large AI models are trained on.

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  Anthropic is a unique instance and not a trend: without it there would be essentially no TPU or Trainium growth at all.

  Anthropic

  Their words

  anthropic is is an is a unique instance um and not a trend. Uh without an anthropic, why would there be any TPU growth at all? It's 100% anthropic. Without anthropic, why would there be any tranium growth at all? It's 100% anthropic.

  Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?youtube.com

Scientist and writer on quantum computing, memory systems and metascience; co-wrote the standard quantum computation textbook and wrote Reinventing Discovery.

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  No single person can understand a result like the Higgs boson in depth, and that is what a paper with a thousand authors actually means.

  Their words

  and I don't think it's possible for one person to understand everything in depth. Lots of people understand broadly a lot of these ideas but they don't understand sort of everything in in the depth that is actually utilized. That's why there's these, you know, papers with with well over a thousand authors.

  youtube.com

Programmer; wrote Extreme Programming Explained and Test-Driven Development, signed the Agile Manifesto, and writes Tidy First?.

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  Agents are driving a re-soloing of programming, undoing the safe social environment that extreme programming built for people who are not naturally social.

  Their words

  So, I see a a big trend is the re-soloing of programming. Where a big part of extreme programming is creating a safe social environment for basically antisocial people. Not just asocial, antisocial. And the when I think about the degree of interaction on an XP team, people aren't talking to each other hours a day and happy to be doing so because it's set up for that to be a positive experience.

  youtube.com

Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.

From one piece Terence Tao – How the world’s top mathematician uses AI 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  Within a decade AI will do the bulk of what mathematicians spend their time on, and we will discover that was never the important part of the job.

  Their words

  Um I think with within a decade, a lot of things that mathematicians currently do um we we spend a lot of the bulk of our time doing and a lot of stuff we put in our papers today can be done by AI. Um but we will find that that actually wasn't the most important part of what we do.

  youtube.com

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  AI has made his papers richer and broader, but not deeper.

  Their words

  Uh yeah, so it's it's made papers sort of richer and broader, but not necessarily deeper.

  youtube.com

Founding member of OpenAI and former director of AI at Tesla; creator of nanoGPT and the term "vibe coding".

• Our readingkorrents.com

  AI researchers should contribute ideas but stop enacting them: a single queue of ideas and automated workers should run the experiments.

  Their words

  But okay, they shouldn't actually be enacting these ideas. There is a queue of ideas and there's maybe an automated scientist that comes up with ideas based on all the archive papers and GitHub repos and it funnels ideas in or researchers can contribute ideas, but it's a single queue and there is workers that pull items and they try them out.

  youtube.com

Writer and developer. He runs the Latent Space newsletter and podcast about AI engineering, and writes essays on software and careers at swyx.io.

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  Commentators who hype early exponential growth typically move on to other topics once the trend levels off into an asymptote.

  Their words

  and then as things hit invisible asymptotes those same loud voices who write viral essays have curiously moved on to other things.

  Constance Crozier: Forecasting s-curves is hardswyx.io

Author of The Simple Path to Wealth and of the jlcollinsnh.com stock series on index-fund investing.

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  The United States' share of global GDP and equity markets will keep shrinking, and that decline is accelerating.

  America

  Their words

  For these reasons, I see that declining trend of the US share of the world economy described above accelerating.

  JL Goes International, and to ETFs…… Oh my!jlcollinsnh.com

Machine learning engineer and consultant focused on RAG and retrieval systems. He writes about applied AI engineering at jxnl.co and is the author of the instructor library.

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  One well-made garment outperforms multiple seasons of trend-driven fashion purchases.

  Their words

  One good Yohji piece annihilates three seasons of hype drops.

  Thingsjxnl.co

Historian of invention; writes Age of Invention on where the Industrial Revolution actually came from.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field.

  Their words

  Over the past few decades, journal editors and peer-reviewers have increasingly insisted that papers must present large datasets that have been treated using complex statistical methods in order to make even the mildest claims about what caused what.

  Age of Invention: Joel Mokyr's Nobelageofinvention.xyz

Palaeontologist at Queen Mary University of London; studies dinosaur behaviour and writes about what the fossil record can and cannot tell us.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  The papers claiming Spinosaurus was a diver or a strong swimmer rest on very weak evidence at best.

  Their words

  So Spinosaurus is a super weird and exaggerated version of what was already a kind of super weird group of theropods. So Spinosaurus is properly strange. And then, as you kind of hinted at, super controversial as well, because various papers have claimed it's a diver or a really good swimmer, and I think the evidence for that is very weak at best.

  youtube.com

Co-creator of Django and creator of Datasette; writes daily at simonwillison.net.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  Design Patterns for Securing LLM Agents against Prompt Injections

  Their words

  One of my favorite papers about prompt injection is Design Patterns for Securing LLM Agents against Prompt Injections

  simonwillison.net

Demographer; writes on fertility, marriage and population, and directs the Pro-Family Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies.

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  There is no long decline in human family size: once child survival is accounted for, the two-century downward trend disappears.

  Their words

  What you can see is that the “long decline” of TFR since the late-19th century is… an illusion! It isn’t real!

  There Is No Long Decline in Fertilitylymanstone.substack.com

Mathematician at UCLA, working mainly in harmonic analysis and partial differential equations. Writes What's new, a long-running blog on their research, open problems and expository notes.

From one piece Terence Tao: Hardest Problems in Mathematics, Physics & the Future of AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #472 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  His prediction that research-level mathematics papers would be written in collaboration with AI by 2026 has already come true.

  Their words

  There are certainly math results which could only have been accomplished because there was a human authentication and an AI involved, but it's hard to disentangle credit. I mean, these tools, they do not replicate all the skills needed to do mathematics, but they can replicate some non-trivial percentage of them, 30, 40%, so they can fill in gaps.

  youtube.com

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  When formalising a proof costs no more than writing it, mathematics will flip: papers written in Lean first, and journals refereeing only for significance because correctness is certified.

  Their words

  And that's a phase shift, because suddenly it makes sense when you write a paper to write it in Lean first, or through a conversation with AI, which is generally on the fly with you, and it becomes natural for journals to accept.

  youtube.com

Cognitive scientist and long-standing critic of deep learning's claims; writes Marcus on AI and wrote Rebooting AI.

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  Success on the easy version of a task is evidence of nothing, because it seduces you into believing the model found a general solution when it did not.

  LLMs

  Their words

  Worse, as the latest Apple papers shows, LLMs may well work on your easy test set (like Hanoi with 4 discs) and seduce you into thinking it has built a proper, generalizable solution when it does not.

  A knockout blow for LLMs?garymarcus.substack.com

Astrophysicist at Barnard College; wrote Black Hole Blues and How the Universe Got Its Spots, and directs sciences at Pioneer Works.

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  Nobody really believes there is a firewall at the event horizon, but the firewall papers were what stopped the field from stalling.

  Their words

  I don’t think anyone really believes that at the event horizon you’ll find a firewall. But it did lead to things like the entangled wormholes embroidering a black hole, which was born out of an attempt to address the concerns that AMPS raised. So it did lead to progress.

  youtube.com

Founder and CEO of Epic Games, creator of the Unreal Engine and of Fortnite.

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  A game is quadratically more valuable the larger the share of a player's real-world friends it can connect them to, and that is the number one trend in gaming today.

  Their words

  It is the number one trend for pervading the world of gaming today. And it says that your game is quadratically more valuable the more percentage of a user's real-world friends they can connect to.

  youtube.com

Usability pioneer; co-founder of Nielsen Norman Group and founder of UX Tigers; author of the ten usability heuristics and of Jakob's Law.

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  Vibe coding lets users design and build their own software, upending the user-centred design paradigm that has held since 1947.

  Their words

  The new trend toward vibe coding and vibe design may be upending the user-centered design paradigm that has remained based on the same ideology since the first UX design projects at Bell Labs, starting in 1947.

  jakobnielsenphd.substack.com

Interface designer and researcher, known for the talks Inventing on Principle and Media for Thinking the Unthinkable and for essays on dynamic representations of ideas. Founder of Dynamicland, where he is building a communal computer.

• Lovedrcmnd.app

  CiteSeer

  Their words

  Online library of research papers.

  worrydream.com

Social scientist at King's College London; writes The Great Gender Divergence on why societies differ in how they treat women.

• Our readingkorrents.com

  Government payments and benefits aimed at raising birth rates do not reverse the decline.

  government

  Their words

  Across the OECD, governments are upping their spending. But a wealth of research suggests these fail to mitigate the downward trend.

  Why is Fertility Collapsing, Globally?ggd.world

Theoretical computer scientist, Schlumberger Centennial Chair of Computer Science at the University of Texas at Austin and director of its Quantum Information Center. Writes the blog Shtetl-Optimized.

• Our reading nowkorrents.com

  Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate.

  Their words, before

  If I were forced at gunpoint to guess, I’d say that human-level AI seemed to me like a slog of many more centuries or millennia (with the obvious potential for black swans along the way).

  Their words now

  I was wrong, of course, not to contemplate more seriously the prospect that AI might enter a civilization-altering trajectory, not merely eventually but within the next decade.

Experimental psychologist and author of the blog Experimental History, on psychology, science reform and creativity.

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  Gatekeeping in science stamps out the best research along with the worst, because reviewers are least likely to approve what is novel or risky.

  Their words

  Reviewers are less likely to greenlight papers and grants if they’re novel, risky, or interdisciplinary.

  Science is a strong-link problemexperimental-history.com

Research scientist at Meta in Berlin working on multilingual models and evaluation; led the multilingual team at Cohere and was a research scientist at Google DeepMind before that.

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  As models keep scaling up, modularity will become essential to how they are developed.

  Their words

  Given the trend of pre-training larger and larger models, we believe modularity will be crucial.

  Modular Deep Learningruder.io

Experimental psychologist and author of the blog Experimental History, on psychology, science reform and creativity.

From one piece The rise and fall of peer review 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there

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  Peer reviewers miss most of the serious errors in the papers they review.

  Their words

  Scientists have run studies where they deliberately add errors to papers, send them out to reviewers, and simply count how many errors the reviewers catch. Reviewers are pretty awful at this.

  The rise and fall of peer reviewexperimental-history.com

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  Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do.

  Their words

  In fact, we’ve got knock-down, real-world data that peer review doesn’t work: fraudulent papers get published all the time.

  The rise and fall of peer reviewexperimental-history.com

Cryptographer; teaches cryptography at Johns Hopkins and writes A Few Thoughts on Cryptographic Engineering.

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  Default cloud backup has quietly put a copy of nearly everyone’s private papers in a few data centres, and that is a surveillance weapon.

  data centers

  Their words

  It terrifies me, because these data repositories are not only a risk to individual user privacy, they’re effectively a surveillance super-weapon.

  Why encrypted backup is so importantblog.cryptographyengineering.com

Writes Nintil, long researched essays on metascience, biology, economics and whatever he has decided to read the literature on.

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  Pre-grant peer review predicts which research will have impact substantially better than chance does.

  Their words

  I have reviewed before the effectiveness of peer review at figuring out "what's good" in the context of grant awards, finding that peer review as currently practiced does substantially better than chance at predicting future impact, especially for the most impactful of the papers; but at the same time is is far from perfect, leaving plenty of variance unexplained.

  nintil.com

Member of technical staff at Anthropic. He has led ML/AI teams at Amazon, Alibaba and Lazada, and writes about LLMs, recommender systems and engineering at eugeneyan.com.

• Usesrcmnd.app

  Adobe Acrobat Reader

  Their words

  To read papers, I use Adobe Acrobat Reader and sync them in the cloud. This lets me read, highlight, and sync my papers across devices (work laptop, personal laptop, iPad). Instapaper does the same for online articles.

  eugeneyan.com

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  Instapaper

  Their words

  To read papers, I use Adobe Acrobat Reader and sync them in the cloud. This lets me read, highlight, and sync my papers across devices (work laptop, personal laptop, iPad). Instapaper does the same for online articles.

  eugeneyan.com

Founder and president of the Roots of Progress Institute; writes the history and philosophy of progress, after a career as a software engineering manager and founder.

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  Two centuries of progress were a trend with real causes rather than a fluke, and can continue far into the future.

  Their words

  A foundational conviction of this project is that progress is a trend with definite, substantive causes, and that it can continue far, far into the future.

  Progress: Fluke or trend?rootsofprogress.org