Since I had to discuss the "pacing" with a lot of people this weekend, here are my two cents: I don't think pacing literally means that these companies will be "slowing down" training and development in any way. "Pacing" here means adding a framework for more checks. We have seen some of that "pacing" already in recent months, when Mythos wasn't released as-is but instead a delayed, nerfed Fable variant was released. Or when Astra wasn't released right away / there is an existing Astra model that hasn't been released yet. These Mythos/Fable and Astra pacing decisions were ad hoc. If you are a…
Today is a very historical moment for AI video generation You can now generate AI video faster than you can watch it Before it'd take let's say 2-5 minutes to generate 15 seconds of video @fal made a post-trained Minimax H3 variant called Max which is 50x faster than the original but still maintains quality It generates 15 seconds of video in 9 seconds!
Libertarians always want to let industries regulate themselves, arguing that if they do harmful things then the market will respond. But the market will only notice immediate, severe harm.
well their cost of serving it is is like maybe a buck per million tokens or something like that and the cost of electricity is about 10% of that. So it's like 10 cents of electricity is generating $1,000 worth of economic value.
And beyond that, by the time solar scale has doubled 4 more times, to the equivalent of 16% of today’s electricity demand (and somewhat less of future demand), we should see solar at 3 cents per kwh in the sunniest areas, and 4.5 cents per kwh in moderately sunny areas.
Their words now
Both of those forecasts were wrong. Solar has plunged in price faster than anyone – including me – predicted.
This incredible pace of solar cost decline, with average prices in sunny parts of the world down to a penny or two by 2030 or 2035, is just remarkable.
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