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21 September
Writer of Today in Tabs, a daily media-and-internet newsletter started in 2013; earlier founded the community site Kuro5hin.
The @status.news post tomorrow with the 60 Minutes ratings is gonna hit so good Related
20 September
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
19 September
Economist; former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
I realize I did not give the link to the full paper on ratings, debt and deficits. Here it is: imf.org
Related
Ratings largely determine spreads. Yet, their construction remains largely a black box. Our paper assesses the relative importance of debt, deficits and country specific effects in the determination of these ratings. The evidence is at odds with a simple model of default: more importance of debt, less importance of forecast deficits, limited role of r-g, surprisingly large role of country effects. We are agnostic. The model may be too simple in some fundamental ways. Or the rating agencies may be using incorrect weights. Or a mix of the two... We hope the paper triggers a useful discussion. Quoting @int_mon_econ Super interesting! "Ratings, Debt, and Deficits: An Exploration" by Olivier J Blanchard, Daniel Leigh, and Prachi Mishra. "We look at the effects of debt and primary fiscal balances on sovereign credit ratings through the lens of a simple model. We find that the ratings differ from the implications… Related
18 September
Forecaster, founder of FiveThirtyEight, author of The Signal and the Noise and On the Edge. Writes Silver Bulletin, where the predictions come with numbers and the numbers are later checked against what happened.
16 September
Economics professor at the University of California, Berkeley and a former Deputy Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury. Author of Slouching Towards Utopia and writer of the Grasping Reality newsletter.
Their words
The usual default math assumes debtors want to pay. But founder-controlled firms with a "you lent us too much" attitude introduce a strategic-default option that standard systems of ratings do not fully capture.
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braddelong.substack.com
11 September
President of the European Commission since 2019; previously Germany's defence minister.
Today, we have approved €6.1 billion to help Ukraine procure air defence systems, missiles, drones and electronic warfare systems. With this approval, Ukraine can purchase the Patriot equipment it needs to protect its skies from Russia's attacks. Together with our Member States and NATO, we will continue to deliver for Ukraine. So that Ukraine prevails. So that it wins the just and lasting peace it deserves. link.europa.eu
Russia Related
9 September
Founder of Farnam Street (fs.blog) and host of The Knowledge Project podcast. Writes and curates on decision-making, mental models and rational thinking.
Patterns of unhappy people: - Need social approval - Are reliably unreliable - Feel sorry for themselves - Choose comfort over truth - Refuse to learn from others - Spend more then they make - Use chemicals to alter mood - Make everything about them - Resent the success of others - Confuse motion with progress - Confuse cynicism with intelligence - Promiscious with their attention - Always in love with their first idea - Are alwasy too smart to look stupid - Need to learn everything from mistakes - Build a life that looks better than it feels - Protect their potential by never testing it - St… Related
8 September
Creator of Homebrew, the macOS package manager, and a Swift developer.
In a near-future-release of Automic Vault we have added ssh-agent support. Automatically allow ssh connections for trusted destinations. Require human approval for everything else. Human approval can happen on the iPhone app. eg. allow your Terminal automatically and deny your agents. You can delete the keys from ~/.ssh/ after import. Keys are properly encrypted in the keychain. Related
Writes The Diff, a newsletter on inflections in finance and tech read by hedge fund managers, founders and VCs. Previously worked in finance at SAC Capital/Point72.
4 September
Author and journalist writing on food, plants and consciousness. Professor at UC Berkeley and co-founder of its Center for the Science of Psychedelics.
1 September
Dutch bootstrapper who builds and runs their internet startups alone — Nomads.com, Remote OK, Hoodmaps, Photo AI and Interior AI — and has written about it at levels.io since 2013. Posts as @levelsio.
Their words
In most of the world there is: no real willingness to solve problems nor an acceptance of people offering to solve their problems (out of pride) simply too much regulation so the problem cannot be solved without a license or long approval time very low standards of what is deemed acceptable so the problem isn't seen as a problem in the first place
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levels.io
28 August
Creator of Homebrew, the macOS package manager, and a Swift developer.
Automic Vault means your CLI tools don’t perform sensitive actions without your approval. This applies to agents and supply chain attacks both. We patch tools at the *packaging layer*. Blessed Scripts allow you to make small, vetted scripts that escalate tool capabilities. Reentrant Blessed Scripts are a scripting pattern that allow you to “weave” in agent capabilities. Interleaving deterministic work with escalated Tool capabilities and secrets with applied intelligence. Perfect for automations. Quoting @AutomicVault We have documented the concept of `Reentrant Blessed Scripts` that describe our suggested mechanism of giving Agent Automations a set of escalated capabilities and secrets. Have the automation execute a Blessed Script with Automic Vault front-matter for the capabilities and… Related
25 August
Researcher and science writer. Co-founder and editor at Works in Progress magazine, formerly a researcher at Our World in Data, and author of the Scientific Discovery newsletter on science, global health and medical innovation.
9 August
Organizational psychologist and professor at the Wharton School. Author of Give and Take, Originals, Think Again and Hidden Potential, host of the Re:Thinking podcast, and writer of the GRANTED newsletter.
17 July
Writes Very Serious, a newsletter on politics, the economy and culture, and hosts the podcast of the same name.
Their words
the increasing unreasonableness of an electorate that wants all its groceries in one bag and also doesn't want the bag to be heavy is a primary driver behind permanently low approval of politicians in both parties
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joshbarro.com
3 July
Game designer and programmer, co-founder of id Software and co-creator of Doom, Quake and Wolfenstein 3D. Now runs Romero Games in Galway, Ireland.
Sandy is conflating four stories: - The story of the contract programmer is incorrect, and was before Sandy’s time at id. The contract programmer was hired to do the SNES port of Wolf 3D (not the network code). They ended up not doing it. So, we had to stop development on DOOM for three weeks to do the port. That person was employed by another company at the time, and although they assured us they had approval to do the work, that was not true. To avoid a lawsuit, we gave them rights to publish the Mac version of Wolf 3D. See ch 12 DOOM Guy for this story. The person was a good programmer, bu… Quoting @SandyofCthulhu The house doesn't always win. Four anecdotes in which "I was there" when game companies got fleeced. Thrice by individuals, once by their own publisher. First, id Software and our non-network code. John Carmack told me that while our game worked great on a network, they had hired a guy to do the co… Related
29 June
Technology journalist; writes Understanding AI, after reporting at Ars Technica, Vox and the Washington Post.
28 April
Programmer and writer on computer architecture, performance, and software reliability. He has worked on CPU design at Centaur Technology and on software at Google and Microsoft, and writes long-form technical essays at danluu.com.
Can someone at OpenAI help me with an account issue? I'm doing non-security testing and constantly getting flagged for doing "cybersecurity" work. I did the approval / ID scan on my personal account, but my work account is in an infinite loop and I can't use codex/GPT at work. OpenAI Related
6 February
Author of Shape Up; formerly head of strategy at Basecamp, where he worked on product design for seventeen years; now runs Felt Presence.
Nothing matches. Show everything
A korrent is a belief a person has stated in their own words: one
sentence stating the claim, backed by a quote and a source, kept at
korrents.com .
Under a name here, the quoted block is what they actually said.
The korrent beneath it is the claim those words support, in
korrents' wording — tap it to see the record, its source, and who
else holds it.
Nobody here wrote their own korrents. They are compiled from public
statements, and a person can change their mind, which is recorded too.
Got it
About the English under a post
Some people here publish in a language other than English. Where they
do, this site shows a machine translation beneath the post, in
this typeface — the site's own, not theirs.
The post itself is never changed, moved or hidden: what is set in the
serif above is exactly what the person published, and it is what to
quote them on. A translation can be wrong in ways that matter,
especially about tone.
Only the post's own words are translated. A quoted post, a linked
article and a belief on korrents.com
are left in their original language.
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