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15 September
14 September
12 September
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korrents.com
Higher real interest rates reflect a more optimistic collective view of future economic abundance.Their words
Higher real rates mean that the average view of the future is more abundant, and that it's worth sacrificing more to get to that future sooner.
11 September
8 September
8 August
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Their words
Increasingly, it is looking much more like the one anticipated by the drugged-up 1960s oeuvre of Philip K Dick, filled with deranged billionaires, machines that claim consciousness, hallucinated worlds and political breakdown.
10 June
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korrents.com
Disease will never be finished, because the body is a dynamic system: fix one thing and the next appears.Their words
I mean, I'm optimistic it'll be sooner. I mean, I think that the thing that's complicated is that it's a dynamic system, right? So, if you fix something, there will obviously be future things that you need to work on.
4 June
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korrents.com
Younger generations are rejecting AI hype while older generations, who stand to benefit from it, remain optimisticTheir words
there's a consistent theme where Gen Z (and millennials, to some extent) are rejecting the AI hype while older generations are optimistic and coincidentally in a position to benefit from it.
28 May
19 May
29 March
20 March
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korrents.com
Demand for software will be extremely large precisely because software just got much cheaper to produce.Their words
I do have like cautiously optimistic view of this in software engineering where I do think um it does seem to me like the demand for software will be extremely large. Um and it's just become a lot cheaper.
13 January
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Their words
When someone is asked to reflect on their own life, they draw on a wide range of experiences. When people are asked about “the world”, they recall a very small number of recent events (the availability bias).
4 June 2025
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Their words, before
The problem is that the conversational interface is potent and that the AI is trained on a lot of human text input which unfortunately is probably enough to do real damage if that conversational interface is hooked up with something that has real world consequences.
Their words now
While all this is happening, I’ve found myself reflecting a lot on what AI means to the world and I am becoming increasingly optimistic about our future. It’s obvious now that we’re undergoing a tremendous shift.
30 April 2025
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korrents.com
The industry is too optimistic about AI for video, and the consistency problem will not simply be remedied.Their words
I think a lot of people in the industry are overly optimistic about the rate of progress of AI for video and other things like that. The real problem is consistency, like spurting out an image is really high quality, but with video over the course of seeing all the AI approaches have consistency issues going from one place to another. I don't think that those will just be remedied easily.
19 April 2025
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Their words
most rewrites fail and most people are over-optimistic about how long they will take
1 January 2025
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Their words
Q3 2024 had the rate 8.9% so there is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic at a time when EV enthusiasts thought I was horribly pessimistic.
2 October 2024
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Their words, before
The required organizational transition is equivalent in scope and difficulty to the Apollo program, and will be made or broken during the tenure of the next NASA administrator.
Their words now
At the time I was optimistic, now I am not.
1 September 2024
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Their words
I also have another less optimistic prediction: as soon as the concept of founder mode becomes established, people will start misusing it. Founders who are unable to delegate even things they should will use founder mode as the excuse. Or managers who aren't founders will decide they should try to act like founders.
9 November 2023
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Their words
Yeah. I mean, I would say that I’m pathologically optimistic on schedule. This is true.
11 October 2023
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Their words
A number of commentators have consistently predicted that solar cost improvements will level out “this year” since about 1990, and yet if anything deployment, cost decline, and the learning rate have only improved.
5 December 2022
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