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Morgan Housel x.com
The Psychology of Money Podcast AI Optimism and the Agony of Waiting Most forecasts are hyper-optimistic or hyper-pessimistic. Not enough attention to the possibility that the main outcome in 10 years is that all businesses are 20%-30% more productive and life goes on.
The the words it uses that this site has seen least often elsewhere. Posts are matched on those words alone — nothing here is a summary of this one.
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20 September
19 September
15 September
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korrents.com
Cybersecurity-related risks warrant more pessimism than current market prices indicate.Their words
Hardly the final word, and I am myself more pessimistic than those numbers indicate.
Callum Williams on cybersecurity pricesmarginalrevolution.com
8 September
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Their words
anthropic should acquire a runtime / team that's hyper focused on performance and optimising for common real world usecases
23 August
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korrents.com
Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time.Their words
In other words, it is not harmless optimism to act like Trump might help Ukraine, it is falling for a deadly, pro-Putin maneuver that is and will increasingly lead to Ukrainian suffering.
21 July
5 July
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korrents.com
America is a country that rewards first-principles thinkers and builders and encourages reinvention despite cynicism.Their words
increasingly I see America as the place that rewards first principles thinkers and builders; that asks "why not?" instead of telling you why you cannot; that imperfectly supports optimism, reinvention and perseverance in spite of cynicism.
18 June
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Their words
And usually I like the customer is hyper scale. They have the scale. If they like what you have, they're willing to pay millions of dollars next few years. And even giving some warrant is worth it because you have a big one customer, you can scale.
9 May
8 April
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Their words, before
The joy of a programmer, of me as a programmer, is to type the code myself. If I elevate myself, if I promote myself out of programming, I turn myself into a project manager. A project manager of a murder of AI crows as I wrote the other day.
Their words now
I have been hyper accelerated as a programmer. It's a different kind of programmer, but it still has the same affinity to aesthetics, at least when I'm producing Ruby code.
4 April
13 January
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Their words
When someone is asked to reflect on their own life, they draw on a wide range of experiences. When people are asked about “the world”, they recall a very small number of recent events (the availability bias).
18 November 2025
4 September 2025
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korrents.com
All five mass extinctions were ultimately climate change — the climate shifting faster than life could adapt to it.Their words
There are five recognized mass extinctions in the history of life on Earth, and all of them are ultimately some form of climate change. Whether it's volcanic eruptions or hyper-oxygenation, or an ice age or whatever, it's climate changing too quickly for things to adapt to.
19 August 2025
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Their words
I'm now fairly pessimistic about ambitious interpretability (i.e. complete reverse-engineering), and I'm excited about model biology (studying qualitative high-level properties of models) and applied interpretability (rigorously doing useful things with interp).
5 July 2025
1 January 2025
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Their words
Q3 2024 had the rate 8.9% so there is no way it can reach 30% in 2027. I was way too optimistic at a time when EV enthusiasts thought I was horribly pessimistic.
29 September 2024
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Usesrcmnd.app
Keyboard MaestroTheir words
Keyboard Maestro - Launch apps with Hyper Key
21 December 2023
1 December 2023
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Usesrcmnd.app
HyperTheir words
Terminal - Hyper
3 September 2021
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