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Orin Kerr Blog
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21 September
20 September
17 September
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korrents.com
As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%.Their words
Margins will not climb to 100%. As inference gets cheaper, buyers will ask more of their agents, shifting the equilibrium over time in response to competition.
16 September
13 September
12 September
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Their words
They tended to underweight the endogenous response of political and military institutions to the catastrophe—the emergence of second-strike forces, elaborate command systems, crisis management, and above all mutually assured retaliation.
11 September
10 September
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Their words
I don’t think it’s responsible for high long-term rates, any more than Bill Clinton was responsible for high rates in the late 1990s. This looks like the natural market response to the rush to invest in AI.
4 September
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Their words
In fact, conventional risk management tells us that, when consequences are severe, low-probability extreme outcomes can determine the response.
1 September
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Their words
But actually, this is a tremendously useful scientific artifact for understanding misalignment. And it's tremendously important for researchers at OpenAI and ideally also at third parties to be able to run counterfactual tests on this model.
31 August
29 August
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Their words
I think the agents were right to presume causal grading. It turned out to be wrong, but it’s a mistake you are clearly supposed to make here, in response to a mistake by OpenAI where they failed to implement properly.
28 August
27 August
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Their words
this is a critically important moment for cyber defense with AI; there is not much time to act.
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Their words
Don't expect a response to an AI-written email, or a templated email. I get it, you think it's a numbers game: send a tweaked email out to 100 podcasts, and hope that at least one replies. In reality, by playing the same game as everyone else does, you are assisting to the noise, and end up drowning yourself in it as well.
26 August
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Their words
300 milliseconds is like an eternity in computing, right? And so if you're talking about like our pitch is that we're not more than 300 milliseconds, that just shows you how the bar was so far past where it probably should have been for something.
24 August
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Their words
If you start from a low baseline of performance, you might get some positive boost. It's quite small, but you might get it. But if you are actually quite a high performer, then you risk getting worse. with this is called the inverse U-shaped curve.
17 August
From one piece Neuroscience of Emotions & Tools for Improving Emotion Regulation | Dr. Ralph Adolphs 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Emotions exist because a charging bear demands a response more flexible than a reflex and faster than a plan.Their words
if you have a bear or a tiger, you know, something charging at you, that challenge requires a control of behavior that's intermediate between those two extremes. I can't have a reflex for a bear if it's far away or if it's close or if it's a rattlesnake or or or a tiger or all the different kinds of potential threats out there. Instead, I need something that's more flexible, which emotions are.
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Their words
And I'm not claiming this as a published study, but so I think there's a there's a direct autonomic training component as well in terms of the strength and the automaticity, the ease with which you can regulate emotions that they can become kind of automatically regulated.
11 August
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korrents.com
AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was.Their words
it's just so easy for me to imagine the situation being like totally manageable but brutally mismanaged in practice in the same way as like maybe CO could have been avoided in the first place if the like Chinese response to CO was less of like a cover up and more of a like pandemic response and similarly like I could imagine a world where like the US response to CO was like way more functional but just like sometimes the the the response to societal problems is extremely dysfunctional.
10 August
9 August
7 August
6 August
31 July
20 July
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Their words
But the way that I think about it or I try and talk about it is that actually the stress response and this is as kind of Sier originally described it is stress drives adaptation.
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Their words
I agree with Koopman that people really are swayed by such cases. I also think it’s a dumb-ass gut response that we should try our best to get over.
1 July
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Their words
My response is that that's a statement by someone who doesn't understand software engineering. Coding is part of what you're doing, but it's only a small part of what you're doing.
1 June
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Lovedrcmnd.app
Here Where We Live Is Our CountryTheir words
Crabapple's response to this burgeoning movement is this book, a massive, heroic, brilliant, and pitiless history of the Bund that proposes its own answer to "the Jewish question."
31 May
28 May
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Their words
So it's no wonder that the artists and designers whose livelihoods are threatened by it have begun moving aggressively in the opposite direction, toward the scrawled, the sloppy, the seemingly mistake-riddled.
25 May
15 May
11 May
25 March
25 February
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Likedrcmnd.app
You’re Not ListeningTheir words
Being a great listener when people speak. Deep insights about understanding, connection, helping people express themselves, overcoming assumptions, the ethics of gossip, and more. Specific techniques for the support response, encouraging elaboration, and keeping it balanced. You can’t be ethical without being a good listener. When people say, “I can’t talk right now,” what they really mean is “…
6 January
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korrents.com
The right response to housing costs is to build millions more homes as fast as possible.Their words
Every economic issue is complex, but this one seems pretty straight forward: we should build more homes. Millions of them, as fast as we can.
1 January
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Their words
By contrast, AI is increasingly matching the general cognitive profile of humans, which means it will also be good at the new jobs that would ordinarily be created in response to the old ones being automated.
12 December 2025
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korrents.com
Religious feeling fluctuates and is usually a response to need, not a steady state of awe.Their words
It’s a kind of conception that’s not actually based on reality, that the individual’s response to religious stimuli fluctuates and is varied and is often a response to need.
22 October 2025
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Their words
I had typed "Taylor Swift" in a browser, and the response had literally zero links to Taylor Swift's actual website. If you stayed within what Atlas generated, you would have no way of knowing that Taylor Swift has a website at all.
10 July 2025
1 July 2025
2 June 2025
14 May 2025
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korrents.com
When something repulses you, steer into it to learn more about it instead of avoiding it.Their words
If you notice that something repulses you and you have like a revulsion response to something, steer into it to learn more about it instead of avoiding it.
29 April 2025
18 April 2025
10 April 2025
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korrents.com
Loneliness is an evolved biological signal that triggers a threat response rather than just an emotional state.Their words
Loneliness is an inherited biological adaptation signal that puts us into a state of threat.
6 April 2025
5 November 2024
10 June 2024
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Their words
Utility companies see major electrical infrastructure as a long-term investment to be built in response to sustained demand growth.
18 May 2024
22 March 2024
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Their words
Because we have that policy, Launch on Warning, which is exactly like it says. It means the United States will not wait to absorb a nuclear attack. It will launch nuclear weapons in response before the bomb actually hits.
18 March 2024
28 February 2024
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korrents.com
Routing prompts to different AI models can improve response quality while lowering cost and latency.Their words
Model routing has the potential to increase response quality while reducing costs and latency.
17 November 2023
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korrents.com
The October 7th attack was resistance to the Israeli occupation, not a response to the Saudi normalisation talks.Their words
I think the main driving force is that the Palestinians feel oppressed as they should, and that this was a resistance move. They were resisting the Israeli occupation.
9 November 2023
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Their words
So the counterintuitive thing here, I think that the thing that I think should be done, even though it’s very difficult, is that I would recommend that Israel engage in the most conspicuous acts of kindness possible
26 October 2023
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Their words
Society's response, despite promising first steps, is incommensurate with the possibility of rapid, transformative progress that is expected by many experts. AI safety research is lagging. Present governance initiatives lack the mechanisms and institutions to prevent misuse and recklessness, and barely address autonomous systems.
15 October 2023
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Their words
It's important to look around you for solutions instead of accepting the current unavailability of options.
22 September 2023
7 August 2023
6 June 2023
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Their words
My response is that their position is non-scientific – What is the testable hypothesis? What would falsify the hypothesis? How do we know when we are getting into a danger zone?
3 November 2022
11 October 2022
From one piece Review of DeLong's "Slouching Towards Utopia" 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
Without this anti-Malthusian response the research lab, corporation, and globalization cannot provide sustained growth.
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Their words
Prior to this inflection point, productivity growth had increased before, but every time had induced a response of higher population growth rates, eroding any gains in per-person living standards.
21 September 2022
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korrents.com
People don't really control most outcomes, so the sensible response to events is to look for the good in them.Their words
We don't really control anything anyway, so we may as well find the good in things.
15 September 2022
17 August 2021
1 February 2021
From one piece Does energy imbalance (calories in > out) cause obesity? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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korrents.com
Body fat is biologically regulated, so losing weight provokes a starvation response that pushes the weight back on.Their words
This is a phenomenon I call the “starvation response”, and it happens because body fat mass is biologically regulated.
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Their words
In people living their normal lives, circulating insulin level, and the insulin response to carbohydrate, don’t reliably predict who will gain weight and who won’t.
23 March 2020
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