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Craig Hockenberry Blog
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18 September
14 September
11 September
8 September
7 September
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korrents.com
Copyright law's purpose is to incentivize creation for public benefit, not to guarantee revenue streams.Their words
The constitutional rationale for US copyright is incentivizing creation for public benefit, not necessarily securing revenue streams.
4 September
29 August
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Their words
Consensus estimate is that ~15GW of AI compute produced in 2027 cannot be turned on in 2027. This is harder than just finding power, as you also need to build out all the transformers, wiring, liquid-cooling, (massive) chillers & complex networking.
21 August
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Their words
Early in the final stage of the Big Debt Cycle, the market action reflects this dynamic via interest rates rising led by long-term rates, the currency declining especially relative to gold, and the central government’s treasury department shortening the maturities of its debt offerings because of a shortage of the demand for long-term debt.
18 August
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Their words
There is also a clear rationale for why privatisation would lead to a drought in reservoir-building.
The UK needs to build more reservoirshannahritchie.substack.com
17 August
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Their words
In Clausewitz’s time, the problem was a scarcity of reliable information; now the information is plentiful, but it can be contradictory, dated, manipulated, and excessive.
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Their words
And if things are bad now, there are reasons to believe they may get even worse over the next two to four years.
30 July
27 July
18 June
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korrents.com
The binding constraints on AI's growth are power, helium and memory — and almost nobody has noticed the helium one.Their words
One is of course everybody knows power constraint. Some country the power they just don't have that. They get impacted. And then secondly, a lot of people didn't realize the helium impact can be also very significant for semiconductor. And then the thirdly, is everybody know right now memory is a bigger shortage.
3 June
8 May
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Their words
It may still be the case, and I guess it is, that immune traits are the most selected category, but is not at all the case, and in fact, we can prove it's not the case that behavioral traits are not selected.
13 March
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korrents.com
Anthropic saw the coming shortage of chips before Google did, and bought Google's own TPUs out from under it.Their words
Because Enthropic saw it before Google. And then Google had Nano Banano and Gemini 3 which caused their user metrics to skyrocket and leadership at Google was like oh and then they started making the statement of we have to double compute every is it 6 months or I don't remember the exact number that they said.
29 November 2025
14 October 2025
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Their words
The empirical evidence strongly refutes the idea that rising opportunity costs of childbearing are driving low fertility. Declining marriage due to exogenous technology and economics shocks is tanking fertility irrespective of child direct or opportunity costs.
Falling Fertility Is Not About Opportunity Costlymanstone.substack.com
1 September 2025
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korrents.com
A major new interface redesign takes roughly a year of refinement before it looks presentable.Their words
Liquid Glass is currently in a barely presentable state on iOS. It's going to be like iOS 7 and take another year to sand down the rough edges.
28 August 2025
7 June 2025
13 January 2025
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Their words
A glut follows every semiconductor shortage.
1 November 2024
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Their words
From the 1960s, US fertility fell primarily due to fewer births among couples. In that context, baby bonuses might raise fertility. But today, the major contributing factor is the decline of coupling.
4 October 2024
10 June 2024
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korrents.com
Air cooling has run out of headroom for AI racks, so liquid cooling is now a requirement rather than an upgrade.Their words
Conventional air cooling is likely limited to around 20 to 30 kilowatt racks, perhaps 50 kilowatts if rear heat exchangers are used.
29 May 2024
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Their words
So, when housing demand can’t be met in a given place, it doesn’t evaporate. It spills over. It goes somewhere.
18 April 2024
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korrents.com
Air cooling has run out of headroom for AI racks, so liquid cooling is now a requirement rather than an upgrade.Their words
AI servers bring new challenges because many require liquid cooling.
How to Make Off Grid Data Centers Affordableaustinvernon.site
4 April 2024
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korrents.com
Air cooling has run out of headroom for AI racks, so liquid cooling is now a requirement rather than an upgrade.Their words
The critical change that makes this all possible is liquid cooling.
2 March 2023
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Their words
If we collectively devoted the same levels of investment and inventive power and entrepreneurship to developing more and better legal pathways for people to move across borders to needed jobs, including a variety of modalities for labor mobility, we could solve the growing challenge of labor scarcity.
11 May 2022
From one piece Is There a Housing Shortage or Not? 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
So, historical evidence suggests that the US is short at least several million housing units.
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Their words
If there’s one thing to take away from this essay, it's that you can’t infer a housing shortage by looking at housing construction rates in isolation.
13 December 2021
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