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Jacob Trefethen Blog
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20 September
19 September
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korrents.com
AIs past this point should not be assumed to treat their chain of thought as unmonitored.Their words
Do not assume that any AI, past this point, assumes its CoT is unmonitored.
18 September
16 September
12 September
11 September
8 September
5 September
4 September
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Their words
It is in practice safe to assume your agents are not going to get prompt injected, even if you are kind of asking for it.
Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1: The System Cardthezvi.substack.com
2 September
29 August
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Their words
I think the agents were right to presume causal grading. It turned out to be wrong, but it’s a mistake you are clearly supposed to make here, in response to a mistake by OpenAI where they failed to implement properly.
26 August
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korrents.com
Small European states can demand a war with Russia only because they assume somebody else will fight it.Their words
It is also hypocritical because it is based on the assumption that somebody else (in this case, the United States) will fight for them.
On European hypocrisy and warmongeringbranko2f7.substack.com
23 August
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Their words
SMB Multichannel can make an old NAS with several gigabit interfaces much more capable than one might assume from looking at any single Ethernet port.
21 August
2 August
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Their words
rather than mapping PMs to teams where you kind of assume that the PM will always do that, we tend to map them to kind of problems or kind of like core projects.
22 July
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Their words
I genuinely believe that if you took an open weights model from 2025 and built a pentest harness for it, it could do this kind of sandbox escape and scan/hack in most networks. This is only surprising because you assume OpenAI has sounder sandboxes.
27 June
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korrents.com
When an AI lab builds both a model and a coding harness, the model is optimized for that lab's own harness first.Their words
if an LLM developer also develops a coding harness, it is somewhat safe to assume that their model is optimized for their own harness first
22 June
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korrents.com
People tend to assume their habitual practices achieve what they intend, even without evidence that they do.Their words
It is common to think that what we do achieves what we want it to achieve, even if there is no evidence for it.
4 June
From one piece The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
some people think either uh frontier AI gets commoditized and we all enjoy the benefits, but there might be some risk because like it's the market's really competitive and cutthroat, or um things are safer because there's a big gap between the leader and the laggard, but that means that the leaders get fantastically wealthy. No, like you could just have a relatively big gap, but it's a public company ownership and it's widely distributed.
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Their words
here prices are adjusting in this interesting way that too many macro models don't allow for, right? So, that what what a what's happening is what would be called investment specific technical change where yeah, the price of capital is like falling relative to the price of consumption instead of like the standard doing the standard macro thing of saying there's just output.
2 June
1 May
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Their words
if we can't solve the sadist problem in nursing homes I don't see how we can assume it's solved in cows.
26 April
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Their words
I think technology leaders think that folks will just blindly adopt uh new technology as it comes out and I think we're going to enter a period of time where there's going to be a huge amount of societal pushback on a lot of the changes that are coming uh with AI.
22 April
From one piece Designing Data-intensive Applications with Martin Kleppmann 2 beliefs, in the piece's order there
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Their words
we just assume that there's no upper bound on how long it might take for a message to go over the network. So, you send a message, it might arrive within 100 microseconds, or it might take 10 years.
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korrents.com
Clocks are right most of the time, and that is precisely why a distributed system may never rely on them.Their words
it's very easy to assume that your clocks are correct and most of the times the clocks are pretty correct but we just can't rely on it because actually they're just not precise enough uh on the whole.
29 March
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korrents.com
People no longer read books the way books assume they will — they jump around, whatever they tell the author.Their words
Like I I write books and as much I wish that books as a format will be like will survive. I do think that people don't read books the same way anymore.
21 March
20 March
13 February
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korrents.com
Longer context is an engineering and inference problem, not a research problem — nothing prevents it from working.Their words
There's There's nothing preventing longer context from working. You just have to train at longer context and then learn to to serve them at inference. And both of those are engineering problems that we are working on and that I would assume others are working on as well.
31 October 2025
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Their words
I would assume it will because it’s so anticipated, and anticipation is the best driver of early sales, as we saw with GTA4 versus Red Dead Redemption one.
24 October 2025
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Their words
Toddler parents can take solace in the fact that parenting probably matters less than we think it does.
16 October 2025
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Their words
take prompting and as an engineer, there's a range of prompting abilities. uh the way you discretize and split up your task matters. And if you assume that uh a model can do more than it can do, then you're going to have a bad time.
5 October 2025
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korrents.com
For a product you install rather than open, activation is the decisive moment and it carries the user for years.Their words
One exception is that Grammarly was a different type of product in that you install it and you don't proactively open it every day. So that was kind of interesting to me because I assume that you should always just focus on existing user retention. But for a product like Grammarly, it's actually the activation, installation, aha moment that's really really critical and will carry the user for a very very long time.
30 September 2025
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Their words
I believe this is the right answer. We're often being manipulated by politicians, by corporate leaders to make a choice from two suboptimal options. And then when we are forced to make this choice and we make this choice, it's almost as if it's something that we have to assume responsibility for. I don't think we should be buying into that.
26 March 2025
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Their words
Even if we assume all three of these crashes were Waymo’s fault, that would still mean that a large majority of the 38 serious crashes were not Waymo’s fault.
12 February 2025
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Their words
Many people assume that they need to keep their jobs forever, because it is their source of health insurance. The good news is, this is usually not true.
29 December 2024
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Their words
We ought to be especially careful in the cases where what we delegate to a device, app, agent, or system is an aspect of how we express care, cultivate skill, relate to one another, make moral judgments, or assume responsibility for our actions in the world
3 July 2024
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Likedrcmnd.app
Beyond the Visible: Hilma af KlintTheir words
Beyond the Visible: Hilma af Klint (Germany, 2019, CC) 3.6 When thinking about the most overlooked female artist, Artemesia Gentileschi often comes to mind. This documentary makes a persuasive case for Hilma af Klint. To my eyes, her most appealing works are not the large scale abstractions, rather it’s the small Klee-like gems that stand out. Don’t assume that if you have seen a half dozen of her most famous works that you have any conception of her overall career.
7 May 2024
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Their words
We're advocating that companies handle risk from scheming models in a similar way–striving to ensure that they'll be safe even if their alignment efforts fail to prevent models from scheming.
25 January 2024
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Their words
The Spotlight Effect says that we all tend to assume that people are paying far more attention to us than they actually are.
3 December 2023
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korrents.com
The lesson of the LHC is a cautionary one: you must not assume what is there before it has actually been found.Their words
I’d say for humanity, it’s both a tribute to the ability of discovery and the ability of really believing in things so that you have the confidence to go look for them, but it’s also a cautionary tale that you don’t want to assume things before they’ve been actually found.
18 October 2023
14 March 2023
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korrents.com
Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.Their words
Even when we understand the words, and even when we trust them, we still have another eject button: we assume they don’t apply to us.
You can't reach the brain through the earsexperimental-history.com
9 August 2022
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korrents.com
A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance.Their words
I may have I may be an investor. I have a track record of calling the market right in the last five times. People say, "Wow, he really knows what he's talking about." But there are lots of people who are trying to predict which way the market is going to go. And some of them are going to get it right by chance. And people assume it's because they know what they're what they're doing, and in fact they're just the lucky ones.
25 November 2021
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Likedaffiliate linkrcmnd.app
Polar Vantage M2Their words
In some ways, it’s really a disservice to assume that because these are budget options that they’re somehow bad.
20 January 2021
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korrents.com
Software is not uniquely unpredictable; other engineering disciplines are hit by the same surprises and overruns.Their words
To assume that software is uniquely unpredictable is a special kind of arrogance.
25 September 2020
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